Wednesday, February 4, 2026
Playoff odds, %
Change
SEA
+6.9
LAK
-6.8
How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Feb 4, 2026 9:12 PM EST.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
SEA 54%Deserve to win 46% LAK
SEA LAK
2.66 Expected goals 2.47
4 Goals (no shootout) 2
1.28 Expected goals, 5 on 5 1.49
48 Shot attempts 64
32 Unblocked attempts 44
23 Shots on goal 27
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
1st Period
15:21
LAK
Goalie
Goalie · Kuemper −2.3 goals saved
3 goals on 0.74 xG, 9 shots on goal
3rd Period
2:31
LAK
Deserve to win
Deserve to win · LAK takes the lead, 62–38%
SEA had led since 10:14 of the 1st, by as much as 67%
Shot map
SEA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → LAK shoots
Brandt Clarke: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:32)
Vince Dunn: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:53)
Brandon Montour: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 3:32)
Adrian Kempe: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:00)
Vince Dunn: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 4:26)
Cody Ceci: wrist, 172 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:07)
Tye Kartye: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:16)
Trevor Moore: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:12)
Alex Laferriere: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:39)
Ryan Winterton: bat, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:57)
Jeff Malott: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:39)
Samuel Helenius: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:44)
Samuel Helenius: poke, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:45)
Eeli Tolvanen: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 13:04)
Kevin Fiala: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 14:10)
Ryan Winterton: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:34)
Taylor Ward: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:45)
Taylor Ward: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:48)
Jared McCann: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 18:58)
Jamie Oleksiak: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:17)
Eeli Tolvanen: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 1:32)
Jared McCann: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 2:44)
Quinton Byfield: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:03)
Corey Perry: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:16)
Taylor Ward: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 6:35)
Jeff Malott: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:57)
Kaapo Kakko: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 7:25)
Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 7:45)
Kaapo Kakko: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:02)
Drew Doughty: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 8:45)
Kevin Fiala: slap, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:38)
Corey Perry: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 9:59)
Kevin Fiala: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 10:13)
Andrei Kuzmenko: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:44)
Andrei Kuzmenko: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:50)
Adrian Kempe: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 13:07)
Alex Laferriere: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.25 (P2 13:10)
Alex Laferriere: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 13:29)
Adrian Kempe: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 13:42)
Taylor Ward: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:31)
Brian Dumoulin: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:40)
Quinton Byfield: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:04)
Jordan Eberle: backhand, 28 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:22)
Jared McCann: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 18:52)
Trevor Moore: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 0:14)
Jared McCann: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 0:22)
Adrian Kempe: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 2:00)
Brandt Clarke: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 2:23)
Taylor Ward: slap, 22 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 2:31)
Matty Beniers: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 5:14)
Matty Beniers: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.24 (P3 5:16)
Andrei Kuzmenko: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:23)
Eeli Tolvanen: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:13)
Eeli Tolvanen: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:18)
Adam Larsson: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 8:56)
Kevin Fiala: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 9:07)
Jordan Eberle: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:23)
Drew Doughty: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:47)
Brandt Clarke: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 11:32)
Andrei Kuzmenko: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 12:24)
Andrei Kuzmenko: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:01)
Brandon Montour: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 14:50)
Trevor Moore: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:17)
Matty Beniers: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 16:04)
Alex Laferriere: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:16)
Vince Dunn: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 18:07)
Eeli Tolvanen: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:08)
Jared McCann: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 19:05)
Joel Armia: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:31)
Joel Edmundson: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:33)
Andrei Kuzmenko: GOAL, snap, 25 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 7:42)
Shane Wright: GOAL, backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 9:16)
Adam Larsson: GOAL, snap, 22 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 10:14)
Vince Dunn: GOAL, backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 15:21)
Andrei Kuzmenko: GOAL, wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 10:27)
Shane Wright: GOAL, wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 5:50)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Seattle Kraken
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Joey Daccord
27 2 25
.926
2.47
+0.47
Los Angeles Kings
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Seattle Kraken
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
51 Shane Wright C
+2.16
+1.50
+0.21
+0.45
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
15:01
6 Adam Larsson D
+1.76
+0.75
+0.19
+0.26
+0.30
0.00
+0.27
—
21:14
29 Vince Dunn D
+1.37
+0.75
+0.15
+0.30
+0.15
0.00
+0.02
—
19:50
9 Chandler Stephenson C
+1.30
+1.25
0.00
+0.01
0.00
+0.01
+0.03
—
22:23
26 Ryan Winterton C
+1.28
+0.70
+0.04
+0.43
+0.15
0.00
-0.04
—
14:01
89 Frederick Gaudreau C
+1.20
+1.25
0.00
-0.04
0.00
-0.04
+0.03
—
18:16
84 Kaapo Kakko R
+0.97
+0.55
+0.12
+0.41
-0.15
-0.01
+0.05
—
12:19
19 Jared McCann L
+0.95
+0.70
+0.35
-0.12
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
19:03
35 Joey Daccord G
+0.47
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.47
60:00
62 Brandon Montour D
+0.36
0.00
+0.13
+0.23
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
22:19
20 Eeli Tolvanen R
+0.19
0.00
+0.16
-0.10
+0.15
0.00
-0.02
—
18:38
24 Jamie Oleksiak D
+0.17
0.00
+0.03
+0.31
-0.15
0.00
-0.02
—
16:09
10 Matty Beniers C
+0.11
0.00
+0.33
-0.24
0.00
-0.04
+0.06
—
19:41
7 Jordan Eberle R
-0.03
0.00
+0.02
-0.12
0.00
0.00
+0.07
—
18:23
78 Oscar Fisker Molgaard C
-0.13
0.00
0.00
-0.15
0.00
-0.01
+0.03
—
6:42
63 Jacob Melanson R
-0.14
0.00
0.00
-0.16
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
6:25
12 Tye Kartye L
-0.14
0.00
+0.01
-0.15
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
7:43
55 Ryan Lindgren D
-0.35
0.00
0.00
-0.45
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
17:56
41 Ryker Evans D
-0.56
0.00
0.00
-0.49
-0.15
0.00
+0.08
—
14:42
Los Angeles Kings
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
96 Andrei Kuzmenko L
+1.85
+1.50
+0.27
-0.06
+0.15
0.00
0.00
—
17:57
22 Kevin Fiala L
+1.37
+1.10
+0.20
-0.14
+0.15
+0.01
+0.05
—
20:23
9 Adrian Kempe R
+0.88
+0.70
+0.18
+0.29
-0.30
-0.01
+0.02
—
18:39
92 Brandt Clarke D
+0.66
+0.70
+0.07
+0.05
-0.15
0.00
0.00
—
22:05
14 Alex Laferriere R
+0.47
0.00
+0.25
+0.21
0.00
-0.07
+0.08
—
14:15
10 Corey Perry R
+0.27
0.00
+0.09
+0.19
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
13:00
5 Cody Ceci D
+0.20
0.00
0.00
+0.10
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
17:30
11 Anze Kopitar C
+0.18
0.00
0.00
+0.03
0.00
+0.12
+0.03
—
18:43
12 Trevor Moore L
+0.17
0.00
+0.07
0.00
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
14:44
43 Jacob Moverare D
+0.13
0.00
0.00
+0.17
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
7:11
2 Brian Dumoulin D
+0.02
0.00
+0.01
+0.08
0.00
0.00
-0.06
—
20:42
55 Quinton Byfield R
-0.02
0.00
+0.06
-0.02
-0.15
+0.03
+0.05
—
20:21
39 Jeff Malott L
-0.07
0.00
+0.04
-0.21
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
7:48
52 Taylor Ward R
-0.08
0.00
+0.26
-0.34
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
7:25
40 Joel Armia R
-0.11
0.00
+0.04
0.00
-0.15
0.00
0.00
—
13:48
6 Joel Edmundson D
-0.15
0.00
0.00
-0.30
0.00
0.00
+0.15
—
17:56
8 Drew Doughty D
-0.15
0.00
+0.02
-0.20
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
24:32
79 Samuel Helenius C
-0.16
0.00
+0.05
-0.23
0.00
+0.02
0.00
—
8:29
35 Darcy Kuemper G
-1.34
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-1.34
60:00
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.