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Philadelphia FlyersPHI 3–2 Final/OT New York RangersNYR

Thursday, February 26, 2026

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 0111 3 24
New York RangersNYR 1100 2 24
Playoff odds, % Change
PHI +1.4
NYR -0.0

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Feb 26, 2026 6:49 PM EST.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
9:56 NYR Sam Carrick (4) Taylor Raddysh (6), Will Borgen (4) · wrist xG 0.01 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
1:23 NYR Alexis Lafrenière (13) Will Cuylle (15), Vincent Trocheck (25) · wrist xG 0.19 0–2 ▶
10:25 PHI Matvei Michkov (14)PP Noah Cates (17), Owen Tippett (17) · snap xG 0.19 1–2 ▶
3rd Period
0:39 PHI Trevor Zegras (21) Travis Konecny (33), Travis Sanheim (20) · wrist xG 0.15 2–2 ▶
Overtime
2:10 PHI Matvei Michkov (15) Sean Couturier (22), Nick Seeler (6) · wrist xG 0.09 3–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

PHI 65%Deserve to win35% NYR
PHINYR
2.78Expected goals1.97
3Goals (no shootout)2
1.31Expected goals, 5 on 51.43
53Shot attempts51
33Unblocked attempts40
24Shots on goal24

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
0:58 PHI Deserve to win Deserve to win · PHI takes the lead, 62–38%
NYR had led since 1:28 of the 1st, by as much as 77%

Shot map

PHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYR shoots
Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 0:13) Adam Fox: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 0:27) Noah Laba: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:28) Brendan Brisson: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 1:30) Matthew Robertson: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:34) Carl Grundstrom: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 2:53) Will Borgen: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:16) Braden Schneider: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 3:40) Vincent Iorio: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:51) Carl Grundstrom: wrist, 186 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 5:58) Brendan Brisson: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 7:40) Will Borgen: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:45) Adam Fox: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:16) Mika Zibanejad: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:55) Noah Cates: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 13:38) Jamie Drysdale: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 14:49) Travis Sanheim: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:20) Braden Schneider: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:53) Mika Zibanejad: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:35) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:36) Bobby Brink: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:53) Carl Grundstrom: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 3:03) Jamie Drysdale: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:04) Bobby Brink: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 3:05) Jamie Drysdale: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 3:37) Travis Konecny: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 4:40) Owen Tippett: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 5:02) Noah Cates: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:03) Matthew Robertson: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:16) Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:32) Bobby Brink: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 8:54) Owen Tippett: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:17) Adam Fox: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 12:21) Alexis Lafrenière: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 12:22) Garnet Hathaway: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 13:13) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:03) Cam York: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 14:19) Taylor Raddysh: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:18) Vincent Trocheck: backhand, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:26) Noah Cates: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:04) Bobby Brink: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 0:58) Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 1:17) Adam Fox: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:10) Garnet Hathaway: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:58) Carl Grundstrom: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.32 (P3 3:01) Mika Zibanejad: tip-in, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:29) Matthew Robertson: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:06) Braden Schneider: wrist, 183 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 5:26) Braden Schneider: wrist, 161 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 7:51) Noah Laba: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:31) Matthew Robertson: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:38) Sam Carrick: slap, 94 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 11:12) Nick Seeler: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:42) Carl Grundstrom: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:11) Travis Konecny: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 14:59) Trevor Zegras: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 15:22) Will Cuylle: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:49) Noah Cates: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 16:00) Noah Cates: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 16:01) Matthew Robertson: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:02) Matthew Robertson: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:07) Nikita Grebenkin: wrist, 97 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:44) Vladislav Gavrikov: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:48) Sean Couturier: wrist, 157 ft, xG 0.00 (OT 0:39) Mika Zibanejad: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 0:50) J.T. Miller: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 1:48) Mika Zibanejad: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 1:54) Vincent Trocheck: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (OT 1:55) Sam Carrick: GOAL, wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:56) Alexis Lafrenière: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 1:23) Matvei Michkov: GOAL, snap, 9 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 10:25) Trevor Zegras: GOAL, wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 0:39) Matvei Michkov: GOAL, wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 2:10)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
22 Christian Dvorak 000 +1 10.00 0021:00
46 Trevor Zegras 101 +1 40.28 2020:17
11 Travis Konecny 011 +1 20.19 0120:12
14 Sean Couturier 011 +1 20.00 3018:44
10 Bobby Brink 000 -1 50.34 1115:45
27 Noah Cates 011 -1 60.44 0115:29
74 Owen Tippett 011 0 30.11 2115:24
39 Matvei Michkov 202 0 20.28 0014:01
86 Denver Barkey 000 0 00.00 2113:54
17 Nikita Grebenkin 000 -1 30.00 2012:08
91 Carl Grundstrom 000 -1 60.55 2010:23
21 Garnet Hathaway 000 -1 30.17 4109:09
Defense
6 Travis Sanheim 011 0 20.02 0023:39
8 Cam York 000 0 30.13 2122:18
55 Rasmus Ristolainen 000 0 10.00 1121:46
9 Jamie Drysdale 000 -1 50.26 0021:33
24 Nick Seeler 011 +1 40.01 1215:34
36 Emil Andrae 000 0 10.00 1111:50
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Samuel Ersson 24222 .917 1.97 -0.03

New York Rangers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
16 Vincent Trocheck 011 0 20.05 6021:35
93 Mika Zibanejad 000 -2 80.36 1021:33
10 J.T. Miller 000 -2 20.13 1021:07
50 Will Cuylle 011 +1 30.01 2218:05
42 Noah Laba 000 0 20.06 4016:09
13 Alexis Lafrenière 101 +1 30.34 1015:25
94 Gabe Perreault 000 -1 00.00 0114:52
43 Conor Sheary 000 0 00.00 0212:50
0 Brendan Brisson 000 0 20.38 0011:21
14 Taylor Raddysh 011 +1 10.03 1209:49
78 Brennan Othmann 000 +1 00.00 1109:23
10 Sam Carrick 101 +1 20.01 1107:57
Defense
23 Adam Fox 000 -1 50.24 0124:57
44 Vladislav Gavrikov 000 -2 40.08 0023:09
4 Braden Schneider 000 +2 40.13 0322:34
17 Will Borgen 011 +2 30.06 2218:58
29 Matthew Robertson 000 0 90.09 2017:29
6 Vincent Iorio 000 0 10.00 1011:53
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Igor Shesterkin 24321 .875 2.78 -0.22

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
39 Matvei Michkov R +1.14 +1.50 +0.18 -0.49 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 14:02
91 Carl Grundstrom R +0.98 0.00 +0.36 +0.63 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 10:23
11 Travis Konecny R +0.73 +0.70 +0.13 -0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:12
29 Nikita Grebenkin R +0.65 0.00 0.00 +0.63 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 12:08
27 Noah Cates L +0.64 +0.70 +0.29 -0.47 +0.15 -0.05 +0.03 — 15:29
46 Trevor Zegras C +0.53 +0.75 +0.18 -0.17 -0.15 -0.02 -0.06 — 20:17
19 Garnet Hathaway R +0.51 0.00 +0.11 +0.35 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 9:09
6 Travis Sanheim D +0.51 +0.55 +0.01 -0.16 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 23:39
74 Owen Tippett R +0.46 +0.55 +0.07 -0.22 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 15:24
24 Nick Seeler D +0.38 +0.55 0.00 -0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 15:35
14 Sean Couturier C +0.34 +0.70 0.00 -0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 18:45
9 Jamie Drysdale D +0.33 0.00 +0.17 +0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 21:33
10 Bobby Brink R +0.15 0.00 +0.22 -0.25 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 15:45
55 Rasmus Ristolainen D +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:46
8 Cam York D +0.07 0.00 +0.09 -0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 22:19
33 Samuel Ersson G -0.03 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.03 61:40
52 Denver Barkey C -0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:54
22 Christian Dvorak C -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.14 0.00 -0.06 0.00 — 21:00
36 Emil Andrae D -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 11:50

New York Rangers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
50 Will Cuylle L +1.30 +0.70 +0.01 +0.37 +0.15 +0.01 +0.06 — 18:05
13 Alexis Lafrenière L +1.03 +0.75 +0.22 +0.21 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 15:25
91 Brendan Brisson C +0.84 0.00 +0.25 +0.57 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 11:21
16 Vincent Trocheck C +0.66 +0.55 +0.03 +0.21 -0.15 +0.02 0.00 — 21:36
17 Will Borgen D +0.55 +0.55 +0.04 -0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 18:58
42 Noah Laba C +0.53 0.00 +0.04 +0.47 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 16:09
93 Mika Zibanejad C +0.51 0.00 +0.24 +0.23 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 21:34
29 Matthew Robertson D +0.50 0.00 +0.06 +0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:29
43 Conor Sheary L +0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.47 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 12:50
23 Adam Fox D +0.36 0.00 +0.16 +0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 24:57
6 Vincent Iorio D +0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:53
8 J.T. Miller C +0.33 0.00 +0.08 +0.23 0.00 +0.03 -0.02 — 21:08
39 Sam Carrick C +0.28 +0.75 +0.01 -0.64 +0.11 +0.01 +0.05 — 7:57
94 Gabe Perreault R +0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 14:52
14 Taylor Raddysh R +0.16 +0.70 +0.02 -0.64 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 9:49
4 Braden Schneider D +0.01 0.00 +0.08 -0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 22:34
31 Igor Shesterkin G -0.07 0.00 — — +0.15 — — -0.22 61:42
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D -0.11 0.00 +0.05 -0.06 -0.15 0.00 +0.04 — 23:10
78 Brennan Othmann L -0.88 0.00 0.00 -0.80 -0.11 0.00 +0.03 — 9:23

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.