| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 37 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 |
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:25 | Ty Emberson (2) Jack Roslovic (10), Matt Savoie (12) · wrist xG 0.03 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 8:19 | Vasily Podkolzin (13) Andrew Mangiapane (7), Darnell Nurse (13) · wrist xG 0.03 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 12:15 | Warren Foegele (7) Joel Edmundson (15) · tip-in xG 0.02 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 2:59 | Andrew Mangiapane (7) Zach Hyman (15), Mattias Ekholm (24) · wrist xG 0.08 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 4:58 | Connor McDavid (35) Zach Hyman (16) · wrist xG 0.07 | 4–1 ▶ | |
| 8:44 | Zach Hyman (24)PP Leon Draisaitl (52), Evan Bouchard (50) · backhand xG 0.08 | 5–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:31 | Leon Draisaitl (30)PP Connor McDavid (65) · wrist xG 0.08 | 6–1 ▶ | |
| 5:24 | Jake Walman (6) Matt Savoie (13), Leon Draisaitl (53) · slap xG 0.05 | 7–1 ▶ | |
| 7:36 | Jake Walman (7) Leon Draisaitl (54) · backhand xG 0.05 | 8–1 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| EDM | LAK | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.15 | Expected goals | 2.00 |
| 8 | Goals (no shootout) | 1 |
| 2.59 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.25 |
| 63 | Shot attempts | 52 |
| 49 | Unblocked attempts | 35 |
| 37 | Shots on goal | 22 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0:33 | LAK | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · LAK takes the lead, 62–38%
EDM had led since 10:47 of the 1st, by as much as 62% |
| 2:59 | LAK | Goalie | Goalie · Kuemper −2.5 goals saved
3 goals on 0.51 xG, 8 shots on goal |
| 6:49 | LAK | Goalie change | Goalie change · Forsberg in for Kuemper
6:49 of the 2nd; Kuemper had allowed 4 goals on 15 shots (0.84 xG) |
| 9:20 | LAK | No shift | No shift · Armia, 38:05 on the bench
No shift after 14:31 of the 1st; 7 shifts (4:46) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 7:36 | LAK | Goalie | Goalie · Forsberg −2.7 goals saved
4 goals on 1.26 xG, 15 shots on goal |
| 9:30 | LAK | No shift | No shift · Doughty, 20:34 on the bench
No shift after 19:00 of the 2nd; 14 shifts (15:15) before that |
| 10:25 | EDM | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · EDM takes the lead, 61–39%
LAK had led since 0:33 of the 2nd, by as much as 67% |
| 13:00 | EDM | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced LAK 1.14–0.00
In xG over 10 minutes, 3:20 to 13:20 of the 3rd; goals 2–0 |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 97 | Connor McDavid | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 | 20:05 |
| 93 | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 | 19:22 |
| 96 | Jack Roslovic | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 6 | 0.28 | 0 | 1 | 18:26 |
| 18 | Zach Hyman | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 0.62 | 1 | 0 | 17:35 |
| 19 | Adam Henrique | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 16:37 |
| 22 | Matt Savoie | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 16:33 |
| 10 | Trent Frederic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.42 | 4 | 1 | 15:56 |
| 92 | Vasily Podkolzin | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.36 | 2 | 1 | 15:50 |
| 29 | Leon Draisaitl | 1 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 4 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 14:52 |
| 26 | Andrew Mangiapane | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 12:11 |
| 20 | Curtis Lazar | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 11:03 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 96 | Jake Walman | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 22:08 |
| 25 | Darnell Nurse | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 0.02 | 0 | 3 | 21:20 |
| 2 | Evan Bouchard | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 19:38 |
| 24 | Spencer Stastney | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 19:22 |
| 49 | Ty Emberson | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 18:27 |
| 14 | Mattias Ekholm | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.11 | 1 | 2 | 16:35 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Ingram | 22 | 1 | 21 | .955 | 2.00 | +1.00 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 9 | Adrian Kempe | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 4 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 18:32 |
| 55 | Quinton Byfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 18:23 |
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 0.51 | 0 | 0 | 18:11 |
| 11 | Anze Kopitar | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 17:25 |
| 37 | Warren Foegele | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 0.46 | 0 | 0 | 16:51 |
| 14 | Alex Laferriere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.09 | 5 | 0 | 16:34 |
| 90 | Corey Perry | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 16:32 |
| 12 | Trevor Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.26 | 1 | 1 | 14:46 |
| 17 | Taylor Ward | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.17 | 1 | 1 | 14:02 |
| 39 | Jeff Malott | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.01 | 4 | 0 | 12:46 |
| 15 | Alex Turcotte | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 12:15 |
| 40 | Joel Armia | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 04:46 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 92 | Brandt Clarke | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 22:58 |
| 2 | Brian Dumoulin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 20:12 |
| 44 | Mikey Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 20:05 |
| 5 | Cody Ceci | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 4 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 19:32 |
| 6 | Joel Edmundson | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 |
| 8 | Drew Doughty | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 15:15 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper | 15 | 4 | 11 | .733 | 0.84 | -3.16 |
| Anton Forsberg | 22 | 4 | 18 | .818 | 2.30 | -1.70 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Zach Hyman L | +3.48 | +2.15 | +0.40 | +0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:35 |
| 29 Leon Draisaitl C | +3.33 | +2.70 | +0.05 | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.02 | — | 14:52 |
| 96 Jake Walman D | +2.74 | +1.50 | +0.08 | +1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 22:08 |
| 97 Connor McDavid C | +2.48 | +1.45 | +0.19 | +0.66 | +0.15 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 20:05 |
| 88 Andrew Mangiapane L | +2.09 | +1.45 | +0.15 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:11 |
| 28 Jack Roslovic C | +1.88 | +0.70 | +0.18 | +0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 18:26 |
| 22 Matt Savoie C | +1.85 | +1.25 | +0.06 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:33 |
| 92 Vasily Podkolzin R | +1.45 | +0.75 | +0.23 | +0.43 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 15:50 |
| 2 Evan Bouchard D | +1.42 | +0.55 | +0.02 | +0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:38 |
| 49 Ty Emberson D | +1.38 | +0.75 | +0.03 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:27 |
| 14 Mattias Ekholm D | +1.28 | +0.55 | +0.07 | +0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 16:35 |
| 25 Darnell Nurse D | +1.25 | +0.55 | +0.02 | +0.87 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 21:20 |
| 10 Trent Frederic C | +1.07 | 0.00 | +0.27 | +0.59 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.03 | — | 15:56 |
| 39 Connor Ingram G | +1.00 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.00 | 60:00 |
| 93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | +0.93 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:22 |
| 19 Adam Henrique C | +0.67 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.54 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.05 | — | 16:37 |
| 20 Curtis Lazar C | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.47 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 11:03 |
| 24 Spencer Stastney D | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 19:22 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 Warren Foegele L | +0.80 | +0.75 | +0.30 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:51 |
| 40 Joel Armia R | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 4:46 |
| 14 Alex Laferriere R | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.24 | -0.15 | -0.07 | 0.00 | — | 16:34 |
| 6 Joel Edmundson D | +0.03 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 18:15 |
| 72 Artemi Panarin L | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.33 | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:11 |
| 12 Trevor Moore L | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 14:46 |
| 8 Drew Doughty D | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.28 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 15:15 |
| 2 Brian Dumoulin D | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.75 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:12 |
| 44 Mikey Anderson D | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 20:05 |
| 11 Anze Kopitar C | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.53 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.03 | — | 17:25 |
| 52 Taylor Ward R | -0.69 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:02 |
| 10 Corey Perry R | -0.74 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:32 |
| 9 Adrian Kempe R | -0.74 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.74 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.02 | — | 18:32 |
| 55 Quinton Byfield R | -0.79 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.91 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.04 | — | 18:23 |
| 92 Brandt Clarke D | -0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 22:58 |
| 15 Alex Turcotte C | -0.96 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -1.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:15 |
| 5 Cody Ceci D | -1.12 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:32 |
| 39 Jeff Malott L | -1.22 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.08 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:46 |
| 31 Anton Forsberg G | -1.70 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.70 | 33:11 |
| 35 Darcy Kuemper G | -3.16 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -3.16 | 26:49 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.