hockeystats.io

Calgary FlamesCGY 0–4 Final New York RangersNYR

Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Calgary FlamesCGY 000 0 21
New York RangersNYR 121 4 29
Playoff odds, % Change
CGY -0.1
NYR +0.0

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 10, 2026 6:10 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
17:27 NYR Alexis Lafrenière (16)PP Mika Zibanejad (33), Adam Fox (27) · tip-in xG 0.13 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
10:28 NYR Conor Sheary (2) Tye Kartye (8), Will Borgen (6) · wrist xG 0.13 0–2 ▶
16:31 NYR Alexis Lafrenière (17) Gabe Perreault (8), Mika Zibanejad (34) · wrist xG 0.18 0–3 ▶
3rd Period
17:42 NYR Alexis Lafrenière (18) Gabe Perreault (9), Urho Vaakanainen (5) · slap xG 0.13 0–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CGY 36%Deserve to win64% NYR
CGYNYR
2.48Expected goals3.33
0Goals (no shootout)4
1.97Expected goals, 5 on 52.89
55Shot attempts56
37Unblocked attempts45
21Shots on goal29

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
17:51 NYR Deserve to win Deserve to win · NYR takes the lead, 60–40%
CGY had led since 1:24 of the 1st, by as much as 73%
3rd Period
8:46 NYR Goalie Goalie · Quick +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.07 xG, 20 shots on goal

Shot map

CGY shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYR shoots
Adam Fox: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:13) Joel Hanley: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:03) Matt Coronato: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 1:24) Jonny Brodzinski: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:03) Tye Kartye: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:07) Matvei Gridin: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 3:27) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:54) Victor Olofsson: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:08) Zayne Parekh: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:16) Adam Klapka: backhand, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:06) Olli Maatta: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:19) Matthew Robertson: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 7:23) Gabe Perreault: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 9:04) Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:05) Yegor Sharangovich: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 10:06) Ryan Strome: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.28 (P1 11:08) Ryan Strome: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 11:09) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:01) Matthew Robertson: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:07) Morgan Frost: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 14:09) Juuso Parssinen: backhand, 87 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 14:56) Jonny Brodzinski: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 15:48) Vincent Trocheck: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 17:20) Zayne Parekh: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 18:44) Juuso Parssinen: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:56) Matt Coronato: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 0:57) Matt Coronato: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:09) Brayden Pachal: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:26) Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 1:50) Matthew Robertson: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 1:56) Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:57) Gabe Perreault: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 2:14) Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:14) Kevin Bahl: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:42) Blake Coleman: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:54) Adam Klapka: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:32) Olli Maatta: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 6:34) Kevin Bahl: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:38) Adam Klapka: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:43) Martin Pospisil: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 7:00) Tye Kartye: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 7:47) Vincent Trocheck: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:15) Matthew Robertson: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 10:38) Gabe Perreault: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 11:04) Mika Zibanejad: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 11:06) Adam Fox: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 12:19) Adam Fox: poke, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 12:20) Alexis Lafrenière: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 12:29) Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:35) Mikael Backlund: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:51) Mika Zibanejad: backhand, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:16) Blake Coleman: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 14:00) Matt Coronato: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:12) Yegor Sharangovich: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:29) Yegor Sharangovich: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 14:42) Mika Zibanejad: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:03) Ryan Strome: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:40) Adam Edstrom: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 17:51) Will Borgen: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:31) Matvei Gridin: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:00) Matt Coronato: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 2:15) Will Cuylle: backhand, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:46) Zayne Parekh: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:06) Conor Sheary: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 5:44) Adam Klapka: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 6:18) Zayne Parekh: wrist, 97 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 6:38) Matt Coronato: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 8:46) Adam Edstrom: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.25 (P3 9:21) Will Borgen: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:48) Will Cuylle: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 12:46) Jonny Brodzinski: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:47) Jonny Brodzinski: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 12:48) Yegor Sharangovich: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:20) Matt Coronato: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.38 (P3 13:23) Alexis Lafrenière: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 13:46) Adam Edstrom: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 15:37) Vincent Trocheck: tip-in, 27 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 16:53) Urho Vaakanainen: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:03) Alexis Lafrenière: GOAL, tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 17:27) Conor Sheary: GOAL, wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 10:28) Alexis Lafrenière: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 16:31) Alexis Lafrenière: GOAL, slap, 22 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 17:42)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Calgary Flames

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
22 Ryan Strome 000 -2 30.34 0017:34
27 Matt Coronato 000 0 100.88 1017:26
16 Morgan Frost 000 0 10.07 1016:33
17 Yegor Sharangovich 000 0 60.28 1216:31
20 Blake Coleman 000 0 30.18 1016:16
47 Connor Zary 000 -2 20.00 1116:09
11 Mikael Backlund 000 0 50.03 0016:04
86 Joel Farabee 000 -1 00.00 0015:16
92 Matvei Gridin 000 -1 30.12 1013:53
95 Victor Olofsson 000 -1 20.02 1013:50
43 Adam Klapka 000 -1 40.11 9011:26
76 Martin Pospisil 000 -1 10.05 3009:53
Defense
3 Olli Maatta 000 -1 30.15 0121:46
7 Kevin Bahl 000 0 20.07 2021:44
19 Zayne Parekh 000 -2 80.17 1118:06
44 Joel Hanley 000 -2 10.01 0117:49
94 Brayden Pachal 000 0 10.02 3117:28
37 Yan Kuznetsov 000 -1 00.00 0217:01
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dustin Wolf 29425 .862 3.33 -0.67

New York Rangers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
16 Vincent Trocheck 000 0 40.29 3020:26
94 Gabe Perreault 022 +2 30.35 1019:58
93 Mika Zibanejad 022 +2 40.14 0018:45
13 Alexis Lafrenière 303 +2 100.75 0018:38
50 Will Cuylle 000 0 30.14 5116:00
42 Noah Laba 000 +1 00.00 3115:51
43 Conor Sheary 101 +1 30.27 0115:27
24 Tye Kartye 011 +1 20.14 3114:53
22 Jonny Brodzinski 000 0 60.18 1013:41
84 Adam Edstrom 000 0 30.50 1310:22
49 Jaroslav Chmelar 000 0 10.00 0107:39
71 Juuso Parssinen 000 0 20.01 0007:31
Defense
23 Adam Fox 011 +1 30.20 0223:24
44 Vladislav Gavrikov 000 0 40.04 2122:39
4 Braden Schneider 000 +1 10.00 0321:00
29 Matthew Robertson 000 +2 40.25 3119:15
18 Urho Vaakanainen 011 +1 10.02 1115:26
17 Will Borgen 011 +1 20.04 0015:21
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jonathan Quick 21021 1.000 2.48 +2.48

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Calgary Flames

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
27 Matt Coronato R +1.08 0.00 +0.57 +0.53 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:26
17 Yegor Sharangovich C +0.70 0.00 +0.18 +0.27 +0.15 -0.01 +0.10 — 16:31
16 Morgan Frost C +0.27 0.00 +0.04 +0.19 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 16:33
3 Olli Maatta D +0.20 0.00 +0.09 +0.25 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 21:46
43 Adam Klapka R +0.08 0.00 +0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 11:26
7 Kevin Bahl D -0.01 0.00 +0.04 -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 21:44
95 Victor Olofsson L -0.08 0.00 +0.01 -0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:50
76 Martin Pospisil C -0.20 0.00 +0.03 -0.39 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 9:53
20 Blake Coleman L -0.32 0.00 +0.12 -0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:16
19 Zayne Parekh D -0.34 0.00 +0.11 -0.44 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 18:06
94 Brayden Pachal D -0.52 0.00 +0.02 -0.63 0.00 0.00 +0.09 — 17:28
37 Yan Kuznetsov D -0.57 0.00 0.00 -0.63 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 17:01
11 Mikael Backlund C -0.69 0.00 +0.02 -0.49 -0.15 -0.01 -0.06 — 16:04
92 Matvei Gridin R -0.74 0.00 +0.08 -0.79 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:53
32 Dustin Wolf G -0.82 0.00 — — -0.15 — — -0.67 60:00
47 Connor Zary C -0.98 0.00 0.00 -1.01 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:09
22 Ryan Strome C -1.09 0.00 +0.22 -1.24 0.00 -0.01 -0.06 — 17:34
86 Joel Farabee L -1.12 0.00 0.00 -1.08 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 15:16
44 Joel Hanley D -1.22 0.00 0.00 -1.30 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 17:49

New York Rangers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
13 Alexis Lafrenière L +3.84 +2.25 +0.49 +1.12 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:38
94 Gabe Perreault R +2.50 +1.40 +0.23 +1.00 -0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 19:58
32 Jonathan Quick G +2.48 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.48 59:44
93 Mika Zibanejad C +2.34 +1.25 +0.09 +1.03 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 18:45
29 Matthew Robertson D +2.08 0.00 +0.17 +1.86 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:15
43 Conor Sheary L +1.30 +0.75 +0.17 +0.36 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 15:27
23 Adam Fox D +1.04 +0.55 +0.13 +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 23:24
4 Braden Schneider D +1.02 0.00 0.00 +0.91 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 21:00
17 Will Borgen D +0.98 +0.55 +0.03 +0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:21
16 Vincent Trocheck C +0.90 0.00 +0.19 +0.36 +0.30 +0.04 +0.02 — 20:26
24 Tye Kartye L +0.89 +0.70 +0.09 +0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 14:53
84 Adam Edstrom C +0.61 0.00 +0.32 +0.14 0.00 -0.01 +0.15 — 10:22
18 Urho Vaakanainen D +0.39 +0.55 +0.01 -0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 15:26
50 Will Cuylle L +0.17 0.00 +0.09 +0.06 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 16:00
22 Jonny Brodzinski C +0.15 0.00 +0.12 +0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:41
42 Noah Laba C +0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.06 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 15:51
49 Jaroslav Chmelar R +0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 7:39
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D -0.10 0.00 +0.03 -0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 22:39
71 Juuso Parssinen C -0.13 0.00 +0.01 +0.01 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 7:31

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.