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Calgary FlamesCGY 5–4 Final New Jersey DevilsNJD

Thursday, March 12, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Calgary FlamesCGY 221 5 29
New Jersey DevilsNJD 112 4 32
Playoff odds, % Change
NJD -0.3
CGY +0.0

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 12, 2026 6:17 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
5:04 CGY John Beecher (2) Matvei Gridin (5) · wrist xG 0.07 1–0 ▶
14:07 CGY Kevin Bahl (4) Olli Maatta (4), Adam Klapka (9) · slap xG 0.02 2–0 ▶
16:14 NJD Maxim Tsyplakov (2) Nick Bjugstad (2) · snap xG 0.08 2–1 ▶
2nd Period
0:54 CGY John Beecher (3)SH Unassisted · wrist xG 0.22 3–1 ▶
1:36 NJD Simon Nemec (10)PP Luke Hughes (25), Jacob Markstrom (4) · wrist xG 0.33 3–2 ▶
16:48 CGY Yegor Sharangovich (14) Ryan Strome (9), Victor Olofsson (15) · backhand xG 0.14 4–2 ▶
3rd Period
4:10 CGY Mikael Backlund (14) Joel Farabee (15), Brayden Pachal (4) · wrist xG 0.11 5–2 ▶
9:38 NJD Jack Hughes (16) Jesper Bratt (35), Dougie Hamilton (18) · snap xG 0.10 5–3 ▶
19:56 NJD Luke Hughes (6)PP Jesper Bratt (36), Jack Hughes (31) · wrist xG 0.12 5–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CGY 26%Deserve to win74% NJD
CGYNJD
2.45Expected goals4.00
5Goals (no shootout)4
1.86Expected goals, 5 on 51.72
43Shot attempts79
34Unblocked attempts56
29Shots on goal32

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
16:48 NJD Goalie Goalie · Markstrom −2.5 goals saved
4 goals on 1.51 xG, 18 shots on goal
3rd Period
19:00 NJD xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced CGY 1.24–0.18
In xG over 10 minutes, 9:10 to 19:10 of the 3rd; goals 1–0

Shot map

CGY shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NJD shoots
Jack Hughes: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 1:57) Blake Coleman: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 2:56) Dawson Mercer: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 3:49) Luke Hughes: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:54) Yan Kuznetsov: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:39) Hunter Brzustewicz: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:44) Timo Meier: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 6:11) Arseny Gritsyuk: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 7:22) Adam Klapka: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 8:39) Olli Maatta: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:31) Kevin Bahl: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:55) Blake Coleman: deflected, 22 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 12:54) Adam Klapka: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 13:54) Lenni Hameenaho: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 15:26) Johnathan Kovacevic: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:33) Connor Brown: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:26) Blake Coleman: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 18:42) Connor Brown: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 19:02) Jack Hughes: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 19:33) Nico Hischier: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 19:43) Jack Hughes: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 19:47) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 0:28) Mikael Backlund: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 0:28) John Beecher: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 0:52) Timo Meier: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 1:11) Luke Hughes: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 1:16) Dawson Mercer: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:17) Luke Hughes: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 1:34) Arseny Gritsyuk: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:19) Connor Brown: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:22) Blake Coleman: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 4:50) Nick Bjugstad: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:25) Brenden Dillon: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 8:29) Hunter Brzustewicz: wrist, 167 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 8:51) Hunter Brzustewicz: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:13) John Beecher: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:31) Lenni Hameenaho: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:48) Joel Hanley: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:13) Paul Cotter: wrist, 92 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 13:48) Connor Brown: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:18) Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:24) Paul Cotter: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 17:00) Arseny Gritsyuk: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 18:10) Olli Maatta: wrist, 171 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:25) Lenni Hameenaho: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:41) Matt Coronato: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 19:31) Matvei Gridin: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.44 (P2 19:34) Matvei Gridin: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:46) Cody Glass: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 0:29) Arseny Gritsyuk: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 0:49) Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:05) Paul Cotter: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:54) Matvei Gridin: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:59) Joel Hanley: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:05) Maxim Tsyplakov: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 6:38) Arseny Gritsyuk: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:11) Johnathan Kovacevic: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:18) Arseny Gritsyuk: backhand, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:27) Luke Hughes: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:46) Yegor Sharangovich: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:00) Olli Maatta: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:06) Cody Glass: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:19) Luke Hughes: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:00) Ryan Strome: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 11:00) Blake Coleman: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 11:08) Yan Kuznetsov: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:30) Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:28) Nick Bjugstad: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:57) Simon Nemec: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 13:20) Brayden Pachal: wrist, 173 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 15:42) Dougie Hamilton: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:02) Dougie Hamilton: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:13) Timo Meier: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 17:14) Jack Hughes: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.40 (P3 17:16) Nico Hischier: deflected, 10 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 17:46) Timo Meier: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 17:53) Timo Meier: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 18:00) Jack Hughes: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:13) Jesper Bratt: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 18:51) Jesper Bratt: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 18:52) Jack Hughes: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 19:03) John Beecher: GOAL, wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 5:04) Kevin Bahl: GOAL, slap, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:07) Maxim Tsyplakov: GOAL, snap, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 16:14) John Beecher: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 0:54) Simon Nemec: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.33 (P2 1:36) Yegor Sharangovich: GOAL, backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 16:48) Mikael Backlund: GOAL, wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 4:10) Jack Hughes: GOAL, snap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 9:38) Luke Hughes: GOAL, wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 19:56)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Calgary Flames

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
11 Mikael Backlund 101 +1 40.34 0018:07
20 Blake Coleman 000 +1 60.51 3217:20
17 Yegor Sharangovich 101 +1 20.15 1016:37
86 Joel Farabee 011 +2 00.00 1116:25
95 Victor Olofsson 011 +2 10.00 0016:18
17 John Beecher 202 +1 40.36 0315:15
22 Ryan Strome 011 +2 10.04 0015:02
27 Matt Coronato 000 0 10.09 0013:07
47 Connor Zary 000 0 00.00 0012:15
43 Adam Klapka 011 -1 20.25 6111:58
16 Morgan Frost 000 -1 00.00 0111:41
92 Matvei Gridin 011 0 30.48 0110:55
Defense
7 Kevin Bahl 101 +1 40.04 2227:33
3 Olli Maatta 011 +1 50.05 1227:19
37 Yan Kuznetsov 000 +1 30.04 3217:09
44 Joel Hanley 000 +1 20.04 0316:41
94 Brayden Pachal 011 +2 10.00 4116:05
48 Hunter Brzustewicz 000 0 40.04 1115:23
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dustin Wolf 32428 .875 4.00 -0.00

New Jersey Devils

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
13 Nico Hischier 000 -1 40.23 1120:59
86 Jack Hughes 112 -3 110.89 0020:57
63 Jesper Bratt 022 -2 40.15 0120:11
16 Connor Brown 000 -2 50.25 0017:20
81 Arseny Gritsyuk 000 -2 60.29 0017:10
28 Timo Meier 000 0 60.45 1116:40
91 Dawson Mercer 000 0 20.09 0015:49
12 Cody Glass 000 -1 30.19 1114:19
29 Lenni Hameenaho 000 -1 50.10 1012:28
72 Nick Bjugstad 011 +1 20.08 0011:15
72 Maxim Tsyplakov 101 +1 20.15 3011:13
47 Paul Cotter 000 0 40.11 2011:07
Defense
43 Luke Hughes 112 -1 90.39 0125:03
7 Dougie Hamilton 011 -1 90.15 2021:32
71 Simon Nemec 101 -2 30.38 2121:22
5 Brenden Dillon 000 -1 10.06 1116:31
8 Johnathan Kovacevic 000 0 20.04 0116:30
71 Jonas Siegenthaler 000 0 10.00 0013:39
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jacob Markstrom 29524 .828 2.45 -2.55

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Calgary Flames

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
18 John Beecher C +1.96 +1.50 +0.24 +0.06 0.00 -0.03 +0.19 — 15:15
92 Matvei Gridin R +1.24 +0.70 +0.31 +0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 10:55
11 Mikael Backlund C +1.23 +0.75 +0.22 +0.22 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 18:07
7 Kevin Bahl D +1.19 +0.75 +0.03 +0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 27:33
86 Joel Farabee L +0.90 +0.70 0.00 +0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:25
22 Ryan Strome C +0.89 +0.70 +0.03 +0.20 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 15:02
17 Yegor Sharangovich C +0.83 +0.75 +0.10 +0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 16:37
43 Adam Klapka R +0.82 +0.55 +0.16 +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 11:58
37 Yan Kuznetsov D +0.78 0.00 +0.03 +0.69 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 17:09
94 Brayden Pachal D +0.66 +0.55 0.00 +0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 16:05
20 Blake Coleman L +0.64 0.00 +0.33 +0.22 0.00 -0.01 +0.10 — 17:20
95 Victor Olofsson L +0.64 +0.55 0.00 +0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 16:18
3 Olli Maatta D +0.61 +0.70 +0.03 -0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 27:19
27 Matt Coronato R +0.12 0.00 +0.06 +0.08 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 13:07
48 Hunter Brzustewicz D +0.04 0.00 +0.02 +0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 15:23
47 Connor Zary C +0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:15
16 Morgan Frost C +0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 11:41
32 Dustin Wolf G 0.00 0.00 — — 0.00 — — 0.00 60:00
44 Joel Hanley D -0.29 0.00 +0.03 0.00 -0.45 0.00 +0.13 — 16:41

New Jersey Devils

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
86 Jack Hughes C +1.81 +1.30 +0.58 -0.25 +0.30 -0.03 -0.08 — 20:57
63 Jesper Bratt L +1.24 +1.40 +0.10 -0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:11
7 Dougie Hamilton D +1.06 +0.55 +0.10 +0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:32
42 Maxim Tsyplakov R +1.03 +0.75 +0.10 +0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:13
43 Luke Hughes D +1.00 +1.45 +0.25 -0.70 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 25:03
72 Nick Bjugstad C +0.97 +0.70 +0.05 +0.19 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 11:15
28 Timo Meier R +0.70 0.00 +0.29 +0.26 +0.15 -0.01 +0.01 — 16:40
13 Nico Hischier C +0.67 0.00 +0.15 +0.46 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 20:59
17 Simon Nemec D +0.49 +0.75 +0.25 -0.56 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:22
91 Dawson Mercer C +0.44 0.00 +0.06 +0.37 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 15:49
71 Jonas Siegenthaler D +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:39
5 Brenden Dillon D +0.13 0.00 +0.04 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:31
47 Paul Cotter L +0.07 0.00 +0.07 -0.02 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 11:07
16 Connor Brown R 0.00 0.00 +0.16 -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:20
8 Johnathan Kovacevic D -0.29 0.00 +0.03 -0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:30
29 Lenni Hameenaho R -0.50 0.00 +0.07 -0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:28
81 Arseny Gritsyuk R -0.52 0.00 +0.19 -0.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:10
12 Cody Glass C -0.62 0.00 +0.12 -0.87 0.00 +0.06 +0.07 — 14:19
25 Jacob Markstrom G -2.00 +0.55 — — 0.00 — — -2.55 55:55

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.