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Minnesota WildMIN 4–3 Final/OT Chicago BlackhawksCHI

Tuesday, March 17, 2026

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Minnesota WildMIN 3001 4 37
Chicago BlackhawksCHI 1110 3 26
Playoff odds, % Change
CHI -0.1
MIN +0.0

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 17, 2026 7:11 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
6:17 MIN Ryan Hartman (16) Kirill Kaprizov (42), Brock Faber (30) · snap xG 0.19 1–0 ▶
7:58 MIN Marcus Johansson (14) Michael McCarron (9), Jonas Brodin (13) · snap xG 0.38 2–0 ▶
10:47 CHI Louis Crevier (5) Frank Nazar (23), Wyatt Kaiser (8) · slap xG 0.03 2–1 ▶
18:30 MIN Vladimir Tarasenko (19)PP Marcus Johansson (28), Brock Faber (31) · wrist xG 0.13 3–1 ▶
2nd Period
14:35 CHI Ryan Greene (9) Connor Bedard (36), Louis Crevier (12) · wrist xG 0.51 3–2 ▶
3rd Period
18:20 CHI Frank Nazar (11) Connor Bedard (37), Artyom Levshunov (22) · snap xG 0.21 3–3 ▶
Overtime
3:09 MIN Mats Zuccarello (13) Marcus Johansson (29), Brock Faber (32) · snap xG 0.16 4–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

MIN 54%Deserve to win46% CHI
MINCHI
3.43Expected goals3.21
4Goals (no shootout)3
2.24Expected goals, 5 on 52.39
63Shot attempts57
48Unblocked attempts43
37Shots on goal26

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
16:41 MIN Goalie change Goalie change · Gustavsson in for Wallstedt
16:41 of the 1st; Wallstedt had allowed 0 goals on 2 shots (0.37 xG)
2nd Period
19:50 CHI xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced MIN 1.08–0.03
In xG over 10 minutes, 10:00 of the 2nd to the end of the 2nd; goals 1–0
3rd Period
13:00 MIN Goalie change Goalie change · Wallstedt in for Gustavsson
13:00 of the 3rd; Gustavsson had allowed 2 goals on 21 shots (2.56 xG)

Shot map

MIN shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CHI shoots
Ryan Hartman: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:19) Ilya Mikheyev: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:12) Sam Rinzel: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:19) Connor Bedard: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 2:41) Andre Burakovsky: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 2:55) Brock Faber: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:05) Brock Faber: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 3:07) Robby Fabbri: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 3:08) Robby Fabbri: poke, 4 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 3:09) Nick Foligno: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 3:38) Nick Foligno: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 3:39) Jake Middleton: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:59) Jake Middleton: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:04) Teuvo Teravainen: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:01) Ethan Del Mastro: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 7:12) Jonas Brodin: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:55) Connor Bedard: wrist, 96 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:40) Connor Bedard: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 13:43) Teuvo Teravainen: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:33) Connor Bedard: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:59) Tyler Bertuzzi: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 15:08) Danila Yurov: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 15:47) Danila Yurov: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 15:49) Brock Faber: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:57) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 16:19) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 17:50) Kirill Kaprizov: bat, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 17:51) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 17:51) Artyom Levshunov: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:50) Ryan Donato: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 2:10) Ryan Donato: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 2:11) Brock Faber: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:44) Artyom Levshunov: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:02) Mats Zuccarello: backhand, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:19) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:31) Ilya Mikheyev: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 6:18) Danila Yurov: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 7:37) Danila Yurov: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 7:38) Matt Boldy: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 7:50) Yakov Trenin: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:20) Robby Fabbri: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 9:45) Brock Faber: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:55) Ilya Mikheyev: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 10:44) Artyom Levshunov: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:01) Nick Foligno: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:48) Zach Bogosian: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:58) Louis Crevier: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:31) Connor Bedard: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:32) Jared Spurgeon: backhand, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:14) Ryan Donato: slap, 24 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 15:55) Connor Bedard: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 16:11) Ryan Greene: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:57) Louis Crevier: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:11) Louis Crevier: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:42) Sam Rinzel: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 17:55) Alex Vlasic: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:29) Artyom Levshunov: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:43) Zach Bogosian: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:29) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:43) Ryan Hartman: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 0:45) Artyom Levshunov: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:21) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:17) Ryan Greene: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:45) Nick Foligno: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 6:41) Marcus Johansson: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:51) Marcus Johansson: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:51) Ilya Mikheyev: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 8:56) Teuvo Teravainen: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 10:46) Louis Crevier: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:06) Robby Fabbri: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:35) Frank Nazar: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 13:49) Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 13:51) Artyom Levshunov: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 13:59) Matt Boldy: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:19) Ryan Donato: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 16:06) Sam Rinzel: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:25) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 95 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:44) Louis Crevier: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:48) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (OT 0:20) Ryan Greene: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 1:07) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 1:40) Matt Boldy: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.18 (OT 1:49) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 2:12) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (OT 2:30) Ryan Hartman: GOAL, snap, 9 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 6:17) Marcus Johansson: GOAL, snap, 19 ft, xG 0.38 (P1 7:58) Louis Crevier: GOAL, slap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:47) Vladimir Tarasenko: GOAL, wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 18:30) Ryan Greene: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.51 (P2 14:35) Frank Nazar: GOAL, snap, 10 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 18:20) Mats Zuccarello: GOAL, snap, 31 ft, xG 0.16 (OT 3:09)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Minnesota Wild

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Kirill Kaprizov 011 -1 60.62 1121:54
12 Matt Boldy 000 0 30.25 0120:34
38 Ryan Hartman 101 -2 100.37 1318:39
36 Mats Zuccarello 101 0 20.16 1017:12
90 Marcus Johansson 123 +2 30.40 0015:56
91 Vladimir Tarasenko 101 0 30.21 1115:36
22 Danila Yurov 000 0 40.39 1014:58
47 Michael McCarron 011 +1 00.00 5014:19
71 Nick Foligno 000 0 40.25 3012:31
13 Yakov Trenin 000 0 10.04 3012:20
78 Nico Sturm 000 0 00.00 1111:39
21 Robby Fabbri 000 -1 40.28 1108:10
Defense
43 Quinn Hughes 000 0 50.24 0127:27
7 Brock Faber 033 0 70.14 3121:48
46 Jared Spurgeon 000 0 30.01 1021:01
25 Jonas Brodin 011 0 20.03 0320:19
24 Zach Bogosian 000 0 20.02 1015:50
55 Jake Middleton 000 -1 40.02 0115:24
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Filip Gustavsson 24321 .875 2.84 -0.16
Jesper Wallstedt 202 1.000 0.37 +0.37

Chicago Blackhawks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
98 Connor Bedard 022 +2 90.35 1123:05
20 Ryan Greene 101 0 40.62 1221:25
59 Tyler Bertuzzi 000 0 30.35 0020:50
91 Frank Nazar 112 +2 20.27 1020:48
86 Teuvo Teravainen 000 +2 30.15 0118:09
95 Andre Burakovsky 000 +1 10.07 0016:52
95 Ilya Mikheyev 000 -1 40.49 0016:12
8 Ryan Donato 000 0 50.50 0113:50
26 Andrew Mangiapane 000 -1 10.00 0311:05
76 Nick Lardis 000 -1 00.00 0110:24
84 Landon Slaggert 000 -1 00.00 0008:52
18 Sam Lafferty 000 -1 00.00 1007:02
Defense
55 Artyom Levshunov 011 -1 90.09 1026:29
44 Wyatt Kaiser 011 +2 20.00 1122:59
72 Alex Vlasic 000 -1 30.03 1122:13
46 Louis Crevier 112 +1 60.09 2018:40
6 Sam Rinzel 000 0 30.13 0216:52
38 Ethan Del Mastro 000 -1 20.07 0211:51
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Spencer Knight 37433 .892 3.43 -0.57

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Minnesota Wild

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
90 Marcus Johansson L +2.76 +2.15 +0.26 +0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:56
7 Brock Faber D +1.42 +1.65 +0.09 -0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.09 — 21:48
47 Michael McCarron C +1.41 +0.70 0.00 +0.65 0.00 +0.04 +0.02 — 14:19
97 Kirill Kaprizov L +0.98 +0.70 +0.41 -0.31 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 21:54
12 Matt Boldy L +0.75 0.00 +0.16 +0.55 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 20:34
25 Jonas Brodin D +0.69 +0.55 +0.02 -0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 20:19
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R +0.67 +0.75 +0.14 -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 15:36
13 Yakov Trenin C +0.39 0.00 +0.03 +0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 12:20
30 Jesper Wallstedt G +0.37 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.37 3:27
38 Ryan Hartman R +0.25 +0.75 +0.24 -0.92 0.00 +0.03 +0.15 — 18:39
22 Danila Yurov R +0.10 0.00 +0.26 +0.04 -0.15 -0.02 -0.02 — 14:58
46 Jared Spurgeon D +0.09 0.00 +0.01 +0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:01
24 Zach Bogosian D +0.05 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:50
5 Jake Middleton D +0.02 0.00 +0.02 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:24
78 Nico Sturm C +0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.07 0.00 +0.04 +0.05 — 11:39
21 Robby Fabbri C -0.01 0.00 +0.18 -0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 8:10
71 Nick Foligno L -0.03 0.00 +0.16 -0.02 -0.15 -0.02 0.00 — 12:31
43 Quinn Hughes D -0.13 0.00 +0.15 -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 27:27
32 Filip Gustavsson G -0.16 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.16 59:32
36 Mats Zuccarello R -0.25 +0.75 +0.11 -1.09 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:12

Chicago Blackhawks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
91 Frank Nazar C +2.62 +1.45 +0.17 +1.05 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 20:48
98 Connor Bedard C +2.58 +1.40 +0.23 +0.92 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 23:05
20 Ryan Greene C +2.04 +0.75 +0.40 +0.49 +0.30 0.00 +0.10 — 21:25
44 Wyatt Kaiser D +1.70 +0.55 0.00 +1.16 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 22:59
46 Louis Crevier D +1.66 +1.30 +0.06 +0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:40
86 Teuvo Teravainen C +1.00 0.00 +0.10 +0.86 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 18:09
55 Artyom Levshunov D +0.97 +0.55 +0.06 +0.40 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 26:29
59 Tyler Bertuzzi L +0.89 0.00 +0.23 +0.68 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:50
8 Ryan Donato C +0.74 0.00 +0.32 +0.40 0.00 -0.05 +0.07 — 13:50
28 Andre Burakovsky L +0.60 0.00 +0.05 +0.53 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 16:52
95 Ilya Mikheyev R +0.07 0.00 +0.32 -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:12
6 Sam Rinzel D -0.02 0.00 +0.09 -0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.14 — 16:52
38 Ethan Del Mastro D -0.33 0.00 +0.05 -0.48 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 11:51
26 Andrew Mangiapane L -0.43 0.00 0.00 -0.41 -0.15 0.00 +0.13 — 11:05
30 Spencer Knight G -0.57 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.57 63:09
84 Landon Slaggert L -0.85 0.00 0.00 -0.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:52
72 Alex Vlasic D -0.90 0.00 +0.02 -0.92 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 22:13
24 Sam Lafferty C -0.94 0.00 0.00 -0.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:02
76 Nick Lardis L -1.16 0.00 0.00 -1.19 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 10:24

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.