Anaheim DucksANA 4–1 Final Utah MammothUTA

Friday, March 20, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Anaheim DucksANA	1	1	2	4	24
Utah MammothUTA	1	0	0	1	30

Playoff odds, %	Change
ANA	+2.2
UTA	-2.1

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 20, 2026 9:59 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
1:48	UTA	Dylan Guenther (34) Sean Durzi (18), JJ Peterka (20) · slap xG 0.11	0–1 ▶
13:37	ANA	Ryan Poehling (9)SH Alex Killorn (14), Pavel Mintyukov (12) · wrist xG 0.18	1–1 ▶
2nd Period
9:09	ANA	Alex Killorn (11) Beckett Sennecke (32) · snap xG 0.04	2–1 ▶
3rd Period
18:24	ANA	Cutter Gauthier (36)EN Jeffrey Viel (5), John Carlson (37) · snap xG 0.61	3–1 ▶
19:05	ANA	Mikael Granlund (13)EN Ryan Poehling (22), Alex Killorn (15) · wrist xG 0.86	4–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

ANA 33%Deserve to win67% UTA

ANA		UTA
4.10	Expected goals	3.38
4	Goals (no shootout)	1
1.20	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.28
50	Shot attempts	74
38	Unblocked attempts	46
24	Shots on goal	30

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
15:09	ANA	Goalie	Goalie · Dostal +2.2 goals saved 1 goal on 3.21 xG, 30 shots on goal
16:30	UTA	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced ANA 1.05–0.01 In xG over 10 minutes, 6:30 to 16:30 of the 3rd; neither team scored
17:56	UTA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Vanecek, down 2–1 With 2:04 left; ANA scored at 18:24 of the 3rd (3–1)
18:39	UTA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Vanecek, down 3–1 With 1:21 left; ANA scored at 19:05 of the 3rd (4–1)

Shot map

ANA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ UTA shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Anaheim Ducks

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
25	Ryan Poehling	1	1	2	+2	2	0.18	5	4	19:04
22	Chris Kreider	0	0	0	0	4	0.34	2	0	18:01
91	Leo Carlsson	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	1	17:44
19	Troy Terry	0	0	0	0	3	0.28	0	0	17:36
61	Cutter Gauthier	1	0	1	+1	5	1.04	0	0	16:56
17	Alex Killorn	1	2	3	+2	4	0.11	1	0	16:39
64	Mikael Granlund	1	0	1	+2	4	1.03	0	0	16:35
45	Beckett Sennecke	0	1	1	0	5	0.57	2	1	15:09
25	Jeffrey Viel	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	2	15:00
83	Mason McTavish	0	0	0	0	5	0.33	1	0	10:22
42	Tim Washe	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	3	10:20
10	Jansen Harkins	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	2	08:18
Defense
74	John Carlson	0	1	1	+1	5	0.00	1	3	24:19
98	Pavel Mintyukov	0	1	1	+2	2	0.04	1	2	22:51
65	Jacob Trouba	0	0	0	+2	2	0.03	1	6	20:33
2	Jackson LaCombe	0	0	0	+2	3	0.00	0	3	19:54
8	Olen Zellweger	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	0	13:10
3	Ian Moore	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	0	2	11:29

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Lukas Dostal	30	1	29	.967	3.38	+2.38

Utah Mammoth

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
9	Clayton Keller	0	0	0	-2	5	0.11	0	0	20:31
67	Lawson Crouse	0	0	0	-2	7	0.52	4	3	20:29
8	Nick Schmaltz	0	0	0	-2	8	0.60	0	0	20:22
11	Dylan Guenther	1	0	1	-1	10	0.41	0	0	17:17
92	Logan Cooley	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	2	1	16:56
27	Barrett Hayton	0	0	0	-2	3	0.31	0	0	14:44
82	Kevin Stenlund	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	0	0	13:15
10	JJ Peterka	0	1	1	0	4	0.25	0	0	13:06
53	Michael Carcone	0	0	0	-1	7	0.29	4	0	12:44
22	Jack McBain	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	1	10:39
14	Alexander Kerfoot	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	10:32
56	Kailer Yamamoto	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	07:17
Defense
98	Mikhail Sergachev	0	0	0	-3	7	0.30	0	1	23:15
6	John Marino	0	0	0	-1	3	0.05	0	0	20:28
52	MacKenzie Weegar	0	0	0	-1	5	0.10	1	2	20:12
88	Nate Schmidt	0	0	0	0	9	0.23	0	0	18:13
28	Ian Cole	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	2	16:24
5	Sean Durzi	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	2	1	15:42

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Vitek Vanecek	22	2	20	.909	2.33	+0.33

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Anaheim Ducks

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
1 Lukas Dostal G	+2.38	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+2.38	60:00
17 Alex Killorn L	+2.24	+2.00	+0.07	+0.20	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	16:39
64 Mikael Granlund C	+1.74	+0.75	+0.67	+0.30	0.00	+0.02	0.00	—	16:35
25 Ryan Poehling C	+1.13	+1.45	+0.12	-0.90	+0.15	+0.11	+0.20	—	19:04
61 Cutter Gauthier L	+1.07	+0.75	+0.68	-0.34	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	16:56
45 Beckett Sennecke R	+1.05	+0.70	+0.37	-0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	—	15:09
98 Pavel Mintyukov D	+0.35	+0.55	+0.03	-0.32	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	22:51
74 John Carlson D	+0.35	+0.55	0.00	-0.34	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	24:19
23 Mason McTavish C	+0.23	0.00	+0.21	+0.05	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	10:22
42 Tim Washe C	+0.19	0.00	0.00	-0.16	+0.15	+0.05	+0.15	—	10:20
28 Jeffrey Viel L	0.00	+0.70	0.00	-0.95	+0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	15:00
3 Ian Moore D	-0.09	0.00	+0.01	-0.07	-0.15	0.00	+0.12	—	11:29
24 Jansen Harkins C	-0.11	0.00	0.00	-0.20	0.00	+0.01	+0.08	—	8:18
19 Troy Terry R	-0.12	0.00	+0.18	-0.32	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	17:36
91 Leo Carlsson C	-0.13	0.00	+0.06	-0.38	+0.15	-0.01	+0.05	—	17:44
51 Olen Zellweger D	-0.19	0.00	+0.01	-0.33	+0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	13:10
20 Chris Kreider L	-0.24	0.00	+0.22	-0.47	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	18:01
2 Jackson LaCombe D	-0.38	0.00	0.00	-0.53	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	19:54
65 Jacob Trouba D	-1.08	0.00	+0.02	-1.16	-0.15	0.00	+0.21	—	20:33

Utah Mammoth

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
77 JJ Peterka R	+1.88	+0.55	+0.16	+1.01	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	13:06
11 Dylan Guenther R	+1.85	+0.75	+0.26	+0.83	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	17:17
88 Nate Schmidt D	+1.35	0.00	+0.15	+1.30	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	—	18:13
50 Sean Durzi D	+1.02	+0.70	0.00	+0.27	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	15:42
8 Nick Schmaltz C	+1.00	0.00	+0.39	+0.65	0.00	-0.04	0.00	—	20:22
6 John Marino D	+0.97	0.00	+0.03	+1.12	-0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	20:28
67 Lawson Crouse L	+0.83	0.00	+0.34	+0.34	0.00	-0.01	+0.17	—	20:29
9 Clayton Keller R	+0.49	0.00	+0.07	+0.47	0.00	-0.01	-0.04	—	20:31
92 Logan Cooley C	+0.38	0.00	+0.04	+0.44	0.00	-0.05	-0.05	—	16:56
41 Vitek Vanecek G	+0.33	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.33	59:06
56 Kailer Yamamoto R	+0.23	0.00	0.00	+0.18	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	7:17
82 Kevin Stenlund C	+0.16	0.00	+0.08	+0.11	0.00	-0.03	0.00	—	13:15
15 Alexander Kerfoot C	+0.15	0.00	0.00	+0.18	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	10:32
53 Michael Carcone L	+0.12	0.00	+0.19	-0.07	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:44
52 MacKenzie Weegar D	+0.05	0.00	+0.06	-0.07	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	20:12
27 Barrett Hayton C	+0.04	0.00	+0.20	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	—	14:44
22 Jack McBain C	-0.08	0.00	0.00	-0.13	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	10:39
28 Ian Cole D	-0.27	0.00	+0.02	-0.21	-0.15	0.00	+0.06	—	16:24
98 Mikhail Sergachev D	-0.35	0.00	+0.19	-0.42	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	23:15

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.