| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 27 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 44 |
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 3:35 | Lucas Raymond (22)PP Andrew Copp (30), Patrick Kane (30) · snap xG 0.16 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 5:07 | David Pastrnak (28)PP Charlie McAvoy (43), Morgan Geekie (25) · slap xG 0.16 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 4:06 | Alex DeBrincat (35) Moritz Seider (39) · snap xG 0.02 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 6:22 | Elias Lindholm (13) Morgan Geekie (26), Mason Lohrei (18) · wrist xG 0.05 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 9:42 | Nikita Zadorov (2) Morgan Geekie (27), Charlie McAvoy (44) · wrist xG 0.03 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 18:08 | Marat Khusnutdinov (14)EN David Pastrnak (58), Elias Lindholm (29) · wrist xG 0.61 | 4–2 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| BOS | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.74 | Expected goals | 3.76 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 1.40 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.05 |
| 52 | Shot attempts | 68 |
| 39 | Unblocked attempts | 56 |
| 27 | Shots on goal | 44 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | BOS | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced DET 1.61–0.03
In xG over 10 minutes, 1:40 to 11:40 of the 1st; neither team scored |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 5:05 | DET | Goalie | Goalie · Gibson +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.02 xG, 21 shots on goal |
| 10:00 | DET | Shortened bench | Shortened bench · 2 forwards sat
Dries and Shine: no shift after 17:47 of the 2nd |
| 13:30 | DET | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced BOS 1.21–0.13
In xG over 10 minutes, 3:30 to 13:30 of the 3rd; goals 1–2 |
| 17:35 | DET | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Gibson, down 3–2
With 2:25 left; BOS scored at 18:08 of the 3rd (4–2) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 88 | David Pastrnak | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 0.45 | 0 | 0 | 21:27 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 21:09 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.64 | 0 | 0 | 17:09 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.67 | 0 | 0 | 16:33 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.48 | 1 | 0 | 16:29 |
| 33 | Viktor Arvidsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.24 | 1 | 2 | 16:03 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 8 | 0.93 | 0 | 1 | 15:40 |
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 14:07 |
| 76 | Lukas Reichel | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.27 | 1 | 0 | 10:53 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.15 | 1 | 0 | 10:14 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 5 | 2 | 08:48 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.49 | 2 | 0 | 08:28 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 0.03 | 6 | 0 | 27:05 |
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.03 | 2 | 4 | 21:52 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 18:11 |
| 27 | Hampus Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 18:06 |
| 45 | Jonathan Aspirot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 17:24 |
| 6 | Mason Lohrei | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 13:51 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | 44 | 2 | 42 | .955 | 3.76 | +1.76 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 23 | Lucas Raymond | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 8 | 0.30 | 1 | 1 | 22:58 |
| 93 | Alex DeBrincat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 0.79 | 0 | 0 | 21:48 |
| 88 | Patrick Kane | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0.39 | 1 | 0 | 21:42 |
| 18 | Andrew Copp | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.29 | 0 | 1 | 21:16 |
| 37 | J.T. Compher | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.24 | 0 | 1 | 19:54 |
| 16 | David Perron | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.20 | 2 | 0 | 17:02 |
| 58 | Emmitt Finnie | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.85 | 0 | 0 | 16:59 |
| 92 | Marco Kasper | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.05 | 5 | 1 | 14:34 |
| 22 | Mason Appleton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.06 | 2 | 0 | 12:43 |
| 21 | James van Riemsdyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.21 | 1 | 0 | 09:17 |
| 15 | Sheldon Dries | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 04:26 |
| 65 | Dominik Shine | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 03:54 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 53 | Moritz Seider | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.10 | 1 | 3 | 25:19 |
| 8 | Ben Chiarot | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.04 | 2 | 1 | 23:41 |
| 72 | Justin Faulk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.03 | 2 | 3 | 20:53 |
| 77 | Simon Edvinsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 2 | 1 | 18:04 |
| 20 | Albert Johansson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 13:38 |
| 25 | Jacob Bernard-Docker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 09:40 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | 26 | 3 | 23 | .885 | 3.56 | +0.56 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | +2.15 | +1.95 | +0.10 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | — | 14:07 |
| 28 Elias Lindholm C | +1.93 | +1.30 | +0.61 | +0.02 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.03 | — | 15:40 |
| 1 Jeremy Swayman G | +1.76 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.76 | 60:00 |
| 6 Mason Lohrei D | +1.28 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:51 |
| 88 David Pastrnak R | +1.27 | +1.45 | +0.29 | -0.62 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:27 |
| 73 Charlie McAvoy D | +0.89 | +1.25 | +0.02 | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 27:05 |
| 27 Hampus Lindholm D | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.74 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:06 |
| 75 Lukas Reichel L | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.11 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:53 |
| 92 Marat Khusnutdinov C | +0.39 | +0.75 | +0.44 | -0.75 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 16:33 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | +0.39 | +0.75 | +0.02 | -0.73 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 21:52 |
| 11 Casey Mittelstadt C | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.41 | +0.04 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 17:09 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | +0.32 | 0.00 | +0.32 | +0.16 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 8:28 |
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:14 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 8:48 |
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.31 | -0.07 | 0.00 | -0.07 | 0.00 | — | 16:29 |
| 71 Viktor Arvidsson L | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 16:03 |
| 45 Jonathan Aspirot D | -0.68 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.53 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 17:24 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | -0.83 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.95 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 21:09 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | -0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:11 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58 Emmitt Finnie C | +1.56 | 0.00 | +0.55 | +0.81 | +0.15 | +0.03 | +0.02 | — | 16:59 |
| 93 Alex DeBrincat R | +1.54 | +0.75 | +0.51 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 21:48 |
| 53 Moritz Seider D | +1.51 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.72 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 25:19 |
| 23 Lucas Raymond L | +1.49 | +0.75 | +0.19 | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 22:58 |
| 88 Patrick Kane R | +1.02 | +0.55 | +0.25 | +0.44 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.06 | — | 21:42 |
| 37 J.T. Compher L | +0.95 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.64 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.05 | — | 19:54 |
| 18 Andrew Copp C | +0.94 | +0.70 | +0.19 | +0.03 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 21:16 |
| 77 Simon Edvinsson D | +0.85 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.57 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:04 |
| 72 Justin Faulk D | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 20:53 |
| 57 David Perron L | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.74 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:02 |
| 36 John Gibson G | +0.56 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.56 | 57:40 |
| 92 Marco Kasper C | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 14:34 |
| 8 Ben Chiarot D | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 23:41 |
| 22 Mason Appleton C | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.22 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:43 |
| 20 Albert Johansson D | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:38 |
| 25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:40 |
| 21 James van Riemsdyk L | -0.37 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:17 |
| 15 Sheldon Dries C | -0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.59 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 4:26 |
| 65 Dominik Shine R | -0.47 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 3:54 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.