Buffalo SabresBUF 5–6 Final/OT Anaheim DucksANA

Sunday, March 22, 2026

Final/OT	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T	SOG
Buffalo SabresBUF	2	0	3	0	5	29
Anaheim DucksANA	2	2	1	1	6	33

Playoff odds, %	Change
ANA	+0.7
BUF	-0.0

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 22, 2026 7:11 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
3:36	BUF	Alex Tuch (29) Owen Power (18) · snap xG 0.18	1–0 ▶
9:27	ANA	Chris Kreider (22)PP Leo Carlsson (33) · snap xG 0.07	1–1 ▶
12:23	ANA	Jackson LaCombe (9)PP Mason McTavish (20), Beckett Sennecke (33) · wrist xG 0.03	1–2 ▶
17:14	BUF	Josh Doan (23) Noah Ostlund (16), Bowen Byram (26) · wrist xG 0.11	2–2 ▶
2nd Period
2:35	ANA	Beckett Sennecke (21) Jackson LaCombe (40) · wrist xG 0.17	2–3 ▶
15:40	ANA	Troy Terry (15) Tim Washe (3), Olen Zellweger (13) · backhand xG 0.09	2–4 ▶
3rd Period
4:40	BUF	Jack Quinn (17) Rasmus Dahlin (49), Zach Benson (25) · snap xG 0.06	3–4 ▶
10:05	BUF	Owen Power (8) Ryan McLeod (38) · snap xG 0.04	4–4 ▶
11:37	BUF	Zach Benson (9) Rasmus Dahlin (50), Beck Malenstyn (7) · snap xG 0.31	5–4 ▶
18:16	ANA	Mikael Granlund (14)PP Chris Kreider (22), Leo Carlsson (34) · snap xG 0.15	5–5 ▶
Overtime
1:29	ANA	Troy Terry (16) Unassisted · backhand xG 0.21	5–6 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

BUF 33%Deserve to win67% ANA

BUF		ANA
3.11	Expected goals	4.25
5	Goals (no shootout)	6
2.82	Expected goals, 5 on 5	3.23
66	Shot attempts	62
52	Unblocked attempts	53
29	Shots on goal	33

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
15:40	BUF	Goalie	Goalie · Lyon −2.5 goals saved 4 goals on 1.50 xG, 16 shots on goal
3rd Period
8:30	ANA	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced BUF 1.44–0.29 In xG over 10 minutes, 18:40 of the 2nd to 8:40 of the 3rd; goals 0–1
11:37	ANA	Goalie	Goalie · Husso −2.1 goals saved 5 goals on 2.87 xG, 26 shots on goal
17:30	ANA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Husso, down 5–4 With 2:30 left; ANA scored at 18:16 of the 3rd (5–5)

Shot map

BUF shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ ANA shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
72	Tage Thompson	0	0	0	0	5	0.08	1	1	25:33
89	Alex Tuch	1	0	1	+1	4	0.34	0	0	21:31
9	Josh Norris	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	1	0	18:38
19	Peyton Krebs	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	0	16:21
91	Josh Doan	1	0	1	+1	3	0.15	2	0	15:40
71	Ryan McLeod	0	1	1	+1	2	0.11	0	1	15:33
86	Noah Ostlund	0	1	1	+2	1	0.03	0	0	14:42
22	Jack Quinn	1	0	1	0	7	0.36	1	0	14:40
17	Jason Zucker	0	0	0	0	3	0.19	1	0	14:21
10	Sam Carrick	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	1	0	12:20
6	Zach Benson	1	1	2	+1	4	0.65	0	0	12:07
29	Beck Malenstyn	0	1	1	+1	5	0.16	1	1	10:33
Defense
26	Rasmus Dahlin	0	2	2	+1	7	0.25	1	0	25:18
25	Owen Power	1	1	2	+2	1	0.04	0	1	24:32
23	Mattias Samuelsson	0	0	0	0	6	0.16	1	0	22:44
24	Bowen Byram	0	1	1	+2	5	0.21	0	2	19:55
8	Logan Stanley	0	0	0	0	5	0.11	0	0	14:01
73	Zach Metsa	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	2	12:13

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Alex Lyon	33	6	27	.818	4.25	-1.75

Anaheim Ducks

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
19	Troy Terry	2	0	2	+1	4	0.45	0	0	21:40
91	Leo Carlsson	0	2	2	-1	5	0.61	0	0	21:02
64	Mikael Granlund	1	0	1	0	4	0.48	0	0	18:43
17	Alex Killorn	0	0	0	-1	4	0.37	1	1	17:54
22	Chris Kreider	1	1	2	0	5	0.42	1	0	17:40
25	Ryan Poehling	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	1	1	16:23
61	Cutter Gauthier	0	0	0	-3	3	0.06	1	0	16:22
45	Beckett Sennecke	1	1	2	+1	4	0.34	0	0	15:00
83	Mason McTavish	0	1	1	0	2	0.13	0	2	12:28
25	Jeffrey Viel	0	0	0	-3	3	0.01	1	0	12:01
42	Tim Washe	0	1	1	+1	4	0.27	5	0	11:14
10	Jansen Harkins	0	0	0	0	4	0.45	3	0	08:36
Defense
65	Jacob Trouba	0	0	0	+2	4	0.06	4	3	27:49
74	John Carlson	0	0	0	-1	4	0.25	1	1	25:03
2	Jackson LaCombe	1	1	2	0	3	0.12	0	1	23:56
98	Pavel Mintyukov	0	0	0	-1	4	0.12	4	3	21:20
8	Olen Zellweger	0	1	1	-2	2	0.06	0	0	12:45
3	Ian Moore	0	0	0	-3	2	0.04	1	1	09:50

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Ville Husso	29	5	24	.828	3.11	-1.89

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Buffalo Sabres

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
6 Zach Benson L	+2.51	+1.30	+0.42	+0.63	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	12:07
29 Beck Malenstyn L	+1.74	+0.55	+0.11	+1.00	0.00	+0.01	+0.07	—	10:33
25 Owen Power D	+1.54	+1.45	+0.03	+0.04	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	21:01
26 Rasmus Dahlin D	+1.29	+1.40	+0.17	-0.24	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	25:18
86 Noah Ostlund C	+1.16	+0.70	+0.02	+0.47	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	14:42
71 Ryan McLeod C	+0.98	+0.70	+0.07	+0.14	0.00	+0.06	+0.01	—	15:33
91 Josh Doan R	+0.88	+0.75	+0.09	+0.03	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:40
10 Sam Carrick C	+0.61	0.00	+0.09	+0.49	0.00	+0.02	0.00	—	12:20
4 Bowen Byram D	+0.57	+0.55	+0.14	-0.05	-0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	19:55
22 Jack Quinn R	+0.50	+0.75	+0.23	-0.46	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	14:40
73 Zach Metsa D	+0.40	0.00	+0.02	+0.13	+0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	12:13
9 Josh Norris C	+0.39	0.00	+0.05	+0.29	0.00	+0.03	+0.02	—	15:07
89 Alex Tuch R	+0.31	+0.75	+0.22	-0.50	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	21:31
23 Mattias Samuelsson D	+0.01	0.00	+0.10	-0.07	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	22:44
64 Logan Stanley D	+0.01	0.00	+0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:01
17 Jason Zucker L	-0.16	0.00	+0.13	-0.29	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:21
72 Tage Thompson C	-0.45	0.00	+0.05	-0.70	+0.15	+0.01	+0.03	—	22:02
19 Peyton Krebs C	-0.85	0.00	0.00	-0.86	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	16:21
34 Alex Lyon G	-1.90	0.00	—	—	-0.15	—	—	-1.75	61:17

Anaheim Ducks

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
20 Chris Kreider L	+2.65	+1.45	+0.27	+0.90	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	17:40
45 Beckett Sennecke R	+2.26	+1.30	+0.22	+0.72	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	15:00
19 Troy Terry R	+1.92	+1.50	+0.29	+0.13	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	18:09
2 Jackson LaCombe D	+1.87	+1.45	+0.08	+0.32	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	23:56
42 Tim Washe C	+1.66	+0.70	+0.18	+0.94	-0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	11:14
64 Mikael Granlund C	+1.57	+0.75	+0.31	+0.51	0.00	-0.02	+0.02	—	18:43
23 Mason McTavish C	+1.39	+0.70	+0.08	+0.56	0.00	-0.01	+0.06	—	12:28
98 Pavel Mintyukov D	+1.34	0.00	+0.08	+1.13	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	21:20
91 Leo Carlsson C	+1.18	+1.25	+0.40	-0.56	+0.15	-0.06	0.00	—	17:31
65 Jacob Trouba D	+1.14	0.00	+0.04	+0.95	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	24:18
24 Jansen Harkins C	+1.02	0.00	+0.29	+0.75	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	8:36
74 John Carlson D	+0.91	0.00	+0.16	+0.67	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	25:03
17 Alex Killorn L	-0.35	0.00	+0.24	-0.78	+0.15	-0.01	+0.05	—	17:54
51 Olen Zellweger D	-0.86	+0.55	+0.04	-1.45	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:45
25 Ryan Poehling C	-0.92	0.00	+0.01	-0.95	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	16:23
61 Cutter Gauthier L	-1.11	0.00	+0.04	-1.12	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	16:22
28 Jeffrey Viel L	-1.28	0.00	+0.01	-1.10	-0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	12:01
3 Ian Moore D	-1.56	0.00	+0.02	-1.63	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	9:50
33 Ville Husso G	-1.89	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.89	60:43

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.