New Jersey DevilsNJD 6–4 Final Dallas StarsDAL

Tuesday, March 24, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
New Jersey DevilsNJD	4	0	2	6	25
Dallas StarsDAL	1	2	1	4	27

Playoff odds, %	Change
NJD	+0.2
DAL	+0.0

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 24, 2026 7:45 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
4:12	NJD	Jack Hughes (19) Simon Nemec (14) · snap xG 0.17	1–0 ▶
8:16	DAL	Wyatt Johnston (39) Thomas Harley (25), Jason Robertson (45) · snap xG 0.19	1–1 ▶
9:11	NJD	Jesper Bratt (18) Jonas Siegenthaler (8), Dougie Hamilton (22) · wrist xG 0.51	2–1 ▶
12:52	NJD	Connor Brown (14) Arseny Gritsyuk (18), Jonas Siegenthaler (9) · snap xG 0.17	3–1 ▶
17:19	NJD	Jack Hughes (20) Luke Hughes (27), Jesper Bratt (39) · snap xG 0.22	4–1 ▶
2nd Period
1:11	DAL	Wyatt Johnston (40)PP Matt Duchene (22), Jason Robertson (46) · snap xG 0.15	4–2 ▶
12:31	DAL	Jason Robertson (39) Nils Lundkvist (7), Wyatt Johnston (38) · snap xG 0.07	4–3 ▶
3rd Period
6:46	NJD	Timo Meier (20) Nico Hischier (29), Dawson Mercer (19) · snap xG 0.13	5–3 ▶
13:08	DAL	Mavrik Bourque (14) Justin Hryckowian (14), Thomas Harley (26) · tip-in xG 0.11	5–4 ▶
19:00	NJD	Dougie Hamilton (10)EN Unassisted · snap xG 0.53	6–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NJD 67%Deserve to win33% DAL

NJD		DAL
4.04	Expected goals	2.40
6	Goals (no shootout)	4
2.41	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.71
48	Shot attempts	65
33	Unblocked attempts	41
25	Shots on goal	27

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
17:19	DAL	Goalie	Goalie · Oettinger −2.6 goals saved 4 goals on 1.35 xG, 5 shots on goal
17:30	NJD	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced DAL 1.43–0.07 In xG over 10 minutes, 8:20 to 18:20 of the 1st; goals 3–0
20:00	DAL	Goalie change	Goalie change · DeSmith in for Oettinger The start of the 2nd; Oettinger had allowed 4 goals on 8 shots (1.62 xG)
2nd Period
12:31	NJD	Goalie	Goalie · Allen −2.0 goals saved 3 goals on 0.98 xG, 10 shots on goal
3rd Period
15:00	NJD	No shift	No shift · Cotter, 11:51 on the bench No shift after 2:54 of the 3rd; 9 shifts (7:11) before that
16:47	DAL	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled DeSmith, down 5–4 With 3:13 left; NJD scored at 19:00 of the 3rd (6–4)

Shot map

NJD shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ DAL shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New Jersey Devils

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
13	Nico Hischier	0	1	1	+2	5	0.58	0	0	20:05
86	Jack Hughes	2	0	2	0	3	0.38	0	3	19:20
28	Timo Meier	1	0	1	+2	6	0.46	1	3	18:33
16	Connor Brown	1	0	1	+2	4	0.49	0	1	18:05
63	Jesper Bratt	1	1	2	+2	2	0.67	0	0	17:09
91	Dawson Mercer	0	1	1	+2	4	0.38	2	1	16:54
81	Arseny Gritsyuk	0	1	1	+2	2	0.03	1	0	16:22
12	Cody Glass	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	2	16:15
29	Lenni Hameenaho	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	0	1	13:57
47	Paul Cotter	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	0	07:11
72	Nick Bjugstad	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	1	06:33
72	Maxim Tsyplakov	0	0	0	0	3	0.24	2	0	06:24
Defense
43	Luke Hughes	0	1	1	0	5	0.07	0	1	21:29
7	Dougie Hamilton	1	1	2	+1	6	0.62	1	2	21:01
71	Jonas Siegenthaler	0	2	2	+2	0	0.00	2	0	19:50
8	Johnathan Kovacevic	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	2	3	19:12
5	Brenden Dillon	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	2	18:32
71	Simon Nemec	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	0	2	16:57

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jake Allen	27	4	23	.852	2.40	-1.60

Dallas Stars

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
21	Jason Robertson	1	2	3	+1	18	0.91	1	1	21:17
53	Wyatt Johnston	2	1	3	+1	8	0.60	2	1	19:50
22	Mavrik Bourque	1	0	1	+2	3	0.32	2	0	17:16
18	Sam Steel	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	17:03
95	Matt Duchene	0	1	1	-3	1	0.03	3	0	16:57
49	Justin Hryckowian	0	1	1	-1	1	0.00	1	0	16:37
14	Jamie Benn	0	0	0	-3	5	0.00	2	2	15:00
15	Colin Blackwell	0	0	0	-1	4	0.13	2	1	13:51
10	Oskar Bäck	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	10:53
73	Adam Erne	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	10:28
25	Arttu Hyry	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	10:07
58	Michael Bunting	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	0	0	09:59
Defense
4	Miro Heiskanen	0	0	0	-2	6	0.13	1	1	24:50
55	Thomas Harley	0	2	2	+1	4	0.10	0	3	23:07
23	Esa Lindell	0	0	0	-1	6	0.09	0	1	22:24
57	Tyler Myers	0	0	0	-4	0	0.00	0	1	16:44
5	Nils Lundkvist	0	1	1	+2	5	0.05	1	1	15:53
6	Lian Bichsel	0	0	0	-2	3	0.01	2	0	13:57

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jake Oettinger	8	4	4	.500	1.62	-2.38
Casey DeSmith	16	1	15	.938	1.73	+0.73

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New Jersey Devils

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
63 Jesper Bratt L	+2.58	+1.30	+0.43	+0.85	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	17:09
86 Jack Hughes C	+2.48	+1.50	+0.25	+0.66	0.00	-0.06	+0.13	—	19:20
16 Connor Brown R	+1.99	+0.75	+0.32	+0.70	+0.15	0.00	+0.07	—	18:08
13 Nico Hischier C	+1.90	+0.70	+0.38	+0.80	0.00	+0.04	-0.02	—	20:05
91 Dawson Mercer C	+1.85	+0.55	+0.25	+0.72	+0.30	0.00	+0.03	—	16:54
7 Dougie Hamilton D	+1.64	+1.30	+0.40	+0.05	-0.15	0.00	+0.04	—	21:01
71 Jonas Siegenthaler D	+1.58	+1.25	0.00	+0.33	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	19:50
43 Luke Hughes D	+1.41	+0.70	+0.04	+0.63	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	21:29
8 Johnathan Kovacevic D	+1.39	0.00	0.00	+1.24	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	19:12
28 Timo Meier R	+1.26	+0.75	+0.30	+0.21	-0.15	+0.02	+0.13	—	18:33
17 Simon Nemec D	+0.54	+0.70	0.00	-0.26	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	16:57
81 Arseny Gritsyuk R	+0.48	+0.70	+0.02	-0.24	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	16:22
47 Paul Cotter L	+0.43	0.00	0.00	+0.44	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	7:11
42 Maxim Tsyplakov R	+0.42	0.00	+0.16	+0.26	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	6:24
72 Nick Bjugstad C	+0.23	0.00	+0.01	+0.17	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	6:33
5 Brenden Dillon D	-0.19	0.00	0.00	-0.14	-0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	18:32
12 Cody Glass C	-0.21	0.00	+0.06	-0.36	0.00	+0.01	+0.08	—	16:17
29 Lenni Hameenaho R	-0.84	0.00	+0.01	-0.75	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	13:52
34 Jake Allen G	-1.60	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.60	60:00

Dallas Stars

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
21 Jason Robertson L	+3.59	+1.85	+0.59	+1.29	-0.15	0.00	+0.01	—	21:17
53 Wyatt Johnston C	+3.34	+2.05	+0.39	+0.90	0.00	-0.01	+0.01	—	19:50
22 Mavrik Bourque C	+2.56	+0.75	+0.21	+1.44	+0.15	-0.01	+0.02	—	17:16
55 Thomas Harley D	+1.36	+1.25	+0.07	-0.10	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	23:07
1 Casey DeSmith G	+0.73	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.73	37:47
49 Justin Hryckowian C	+0.65	+0.70	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	+0.02	—	16:37
5 Nils Lundkvist D	+0.41	+0.70	+0.03	-0.35	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	15:53
15 Colin Blackwell C	+0.16	0.00	+0.09	+0.01	0.00	+0.01	+0.05	—	13:51
23 Esa Lindell D	-0.06	0.00	+0.06	-0.14	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	22:24
18 Sam Steel C	-0.16	0.00	0.00	-0.34	+0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	17:03
4 Miro Heiskanen D	-0.23	0.00	+0.08	-0.09	-0.30	0.00	+0.07	—	24:50
73 Adam Erne L	-0.33	0.00	0.00	-0.46	+0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	10:28
95 Matt Duchene C	-0.52	+0.70	+0.02	-1.24	0.00	+0.01	-0.02	—	16:57
6 Lian Bichsel D	-0.60	0.00	0.00	-0.58	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	13:57
10 Oskar Bäck C	-0.88	0.00	0.00	-0.88	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	10:53
25 Arttu Hyry R	-1.00	0.00	0.00	-1.01	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	10:07
14 Jamie Benn L	-1.00	0.00	0.00	-1.11	0.00	+0.01	+0.10	—	15:00
57 Tyler Myers D	-1.04	0.00	0.00	-1.07	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	16:44
58 Michael Bunting L	-1.33	0.00	+0.01	-1.53	+0.15	0.00	+0.04	—	9:59
29 Jake Oettinger G	-2.38	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-2.38	20:00

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.