Friday, March 27, 2026
Playoff odds, %
Change
CHI
-0.0
NYR
+0.0
How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 27, 2026 7:04 PM EDT.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
CHI 27%Deserve to win 73% NYR
CHI NYR
2.43 Expected goals 3.89
1 Goals (no shootout) 6
1.78 Expected goals, 5 on 5 3.13
49 Shot attempts 68
39 Unblocked attempts 59
28 Shots on goal 38
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
16:00
CHI
Goalie
Goalie · Soderblom −2.2 goals saved
6 goals on 3.78 xG, 37 shots on goal
Shot map
CHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → NYR shoots
Ryan Greene: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 0:13)
Artyom Levshunov: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:21)
Connor Bedard: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 0:31)
Sam Rinzel: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:18)
Louis Crevier: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:11)
Jaroslav Chmelar: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 2:37)
Gabe Perreault: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 3:20)
Conor Sheary: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:02)
Tye Kartye: poke, 7 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 4:04)
Artyom Levshunov: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 4:16)
Adam Sykora: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 4:37)
Adam Fox: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:44)
Adam Sykora: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:40)
Conor Sheary: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:23)
Conor Sheary: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:50)
Jaroslav Chmelar: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:44)
Taylor Raddysh: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:45)
Taylor Raddysh: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.26 (P1 9:47)
Gabe Perreault: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:54)
Drew Fortescue: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:05)
Alexis Lafrenière: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 10:12)
Matthew Robertson: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:46)
Connor Bedard: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 11:14)
Ethan Del Mastro: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:17)
Andre Burakovsky: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 12:11)
Adam Fox: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:18)
Adam Sykora: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:27)
Gabe Perreault: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:42)
Landon Slaggert: backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.35 (P1 15:02)
Landon Slaggert: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:39)
Tye Kartye: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:11)
Anton Frondell: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 17:45)
Connor Bedard: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:13)
Braden Schneider: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:27)
Ilya Mikheyev: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 19:37)
Artyom Levshunov: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:34)
Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:12)
J.T. Miller: tip-in, 32 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:46)
Will Cuylle: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:25)
Alexis Lafrenière: poke, 12 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 4:35)
J.T. Miller: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 5:22)
J.T. Miller: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 5:23)
Matthew Robertson: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:49)
Ethan Del Mastro: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:07)
Louis Crevier: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 6:09)
Drew Fortescue: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:56)
Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:27)
Will Borgen: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 10:40)
Artyom Levshunov: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:04)
Tye Kartye: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 13:09)
Tye Kartye: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 13:16)
Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:54)
Adam Fox: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 14:34)
Jaroslav Chmelar: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:45)
Will Borgen: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:50)
Jaroslav Chmelar: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 15:52)
Nick Lardis: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 16:32)
Ryan Donato: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:38)
Anton Frondell: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 0:42)
Frank Nazar: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 1:35)
Matthew Robertson: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:14)
Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:20)
Ethan Del Mastro: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:26)
Louis Crevier: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:28)
Tyler Bertuzzi: deflected, 85 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:40)
Artyom Levshunov: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 4:51)
Ryan Greene: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 6:23)
Nick Lardis: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:46)
Taylor Raddysh: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:15)
Frank Nazar: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 7:32)
Andre Burakovsky: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:49)
Louis Crevier: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:00)
Mika Zibanejad: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:43)
Vincent Trocheck: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 9:52)
Mika Zibanejad: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 9:55)
J.T. Miller: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 10:26)
Mika Zibanejad: slap, 24 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 10:40)
Landon Slaggert: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 10:53)
Jonny Brodzinski: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 11:24)
Connor Bedard: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:10)
Ryan Greene: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 12:19)
J.T. Miller: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:51)
J.T. Miller: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 12:52)
Nick Lardis: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:51)
Connor Bedard: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:57)
Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 15:08)
Artyom Levshunov: wrist, 128 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 16:12)
Taylor Raddysh: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 19:15)
Tye Kartye: deflected, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:40)
Drew Fortescue: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:45)
Drew Fortescue: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:53)
Nick Lardis: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 17:34)
J.T. Miller: GOAL, deflected, 5 ft, xG 0.29 (P1 18:32)
Matthew Robertson: GOAL, wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 5:24)
Adam Sykora: GOAL, snap, 20 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 8:20)
Jonny Brodzinski: GOAL, snap, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 16:07)
Alexis Lafrenière: GOAL, tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 13:17)
Jonny Brodzinski: GOAL, snap, 29 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 16:00)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Chicago Blackhawks
New York Rangers
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Dylan Garand
28 1 27
.964
2.43
+1.43
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Chicago Blackhawks
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
76 Nick Lardis L
+0.55
+0.75
+0.16
-0.34
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
10:57
84 Landon Slaggert L
+0.12
0.00
+0.34
-0.20
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
11:51
59 Tyler Bertuzzi L
+0.06
+0.70
+0.01
-0.65
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
17:06
44 Wyatt Kaiser D
-0.16
0.00
0.00
-0.12
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
17:44
91 Frank Nazar C
-0.20
0.00
+0.10
-0.36
0.00
+0.01
+0.05
—
16:33
12 Sacha Boisvert C
-0.25
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-0.18
0.00
-0.04
—
10:05
86 Teuvo Teravainen C
-0.27
0.00
0.00
-0.25
0.00
-0.02
0.00
—
13:52
8 Ryan Donato C
-0.30
0.00
+0.03
-0.42
+0.15
-0.06
0.00
—
12:59
28 Andre Burakovsky L
-0.34
0.00
+0.08
-0.42
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
13:19
95 Ilya Mikheyev R
-0.36
0.00
+0.08
-0.42
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
15:14
55 Artyom Levshunov D
-0.40
0.00
+0.15
-0.80
+0.15
0.00
+0.11
—
22:33
6 Sam Rinzel D
-0.56
0.00
+0.01
-0.60
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
19:35
46 Louis Crevier D
-0.61
0.00
+0.02
-0.68
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
18:05
20 Ryan Greene C
-0.65
0.00
+0.19
-0.76
0.00
-0.06
-0.02
—
17:27
72 Alex Vlasic D
-0.65
+0.55
0.00
-1.02
-0.19
0.00
+0.01
—
19:15
15 Anton Frondell C
-0.80
0.00
+0.11
-1.11
+0.15
0.00
+0.05
—
20:50
38 Ethan Del Mastro D
-0.99
0.00
+0.03
-0.95
-0.08
0.00
+0.01
—
17:36
98 Connor Bedard C
-1.06
0.00
+0.26
-1.28
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
20:32
40 Arvid Soderblom G
-2.11
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-2.11
60:00
New York Rangers
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
8 J.T. Miller C
+3.74
+2.00
+0.50
+1.16
0.00
+0.07
+0.01
—
17:00
22 Jonny Brodzinski C
+2.85
+1.50
+0.22
+1.14
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
11:00
14 Taylor Raddysh R
+2.16
+0.70
+0.27
+1.20
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
10:05
49 Jaroslav Chmelar R
+2.03
+0.55
+0.13
+1.10
+0.15
0.00
+0.10
—
9:47
4 Braden Schneider D
+1.96
+0.55
+0.01
+1.35
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
21:49
17 Will Borgen D
+1.94
+0.70
+0.03
+1.07
+0.11
0.00
+0.03
—
17:41
29 Matthew Robertson D
+1.80
+0.75
+0.08
+0.98
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
15:53
43 Conor Sheary L
+1.68
+0.70
+0.12
+1.01
-0.15
0.00
0.00
—
15:28
33 Dylan Garand G
+1.43
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+1.43
60:00
24 Tye Kartye L
+1.43
0.00
+0.23
+1.15
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
16:46
38 Adam Sykora L
+1.27
+0.75
+0.23
+0.22
+0.08
0.00
0.00
—
13:56
45 Drew Fortescue D
+1.17
+0.55
+0.05
+0.61
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
17:23
50 Will Cuylle L
+1.02
+0.70
+0.03
+0.18
+0.12
0.00
0.00
—
15:31
16 Vincent Trocheck C
+1.00
+0.55
+0.09
+0.23
0.00
+0.10
+0.04
—
18:33
23 Adam Fox D
+0.95
+0.70
+0.06
+0.16
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
21:38
13 Alexis Lafrenière L
+0.55
+0.75
+0.16
-0.35
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
16:34
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D
+0.01
0.00
+0.08
-0.02
-0.15
0.00
+0.10
—
23:34
94 Gabe Perreault R
-0.28
0.00
+0.09
-0.35
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
15:28
93 Mika Zibanejad C
-0.48
0.00
+0.17
-0.44
-0.15
-0.03
-0.02
—
15:54
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.