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New Jersey DevilsNJD 2–5 Final Carolina HurricanesCAR

Saturday, March 28, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
New Jersey DevilsNJD 101 2 19
Carolina HurricanesCAR 032 5 34
Playoff odds, % Change
NJD -0.2
CAR +0.0

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 28, 2026 4:46 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
17:06 NJD Timo Meier (22) Dawson Mercer (20), Nico Hischier (30) · wrist xG 0.12 1–0 ▶
2nd Period
10:10 CAR Nikolaj Ehlers (23)PP Alexander Nikishin (19), Taylor Hall (24) · snap xG 0.11 1–1 ▶
13:48 CAR Jackson Blake (21) Taylor Hall (25), Shayne Gostisbehere (33) · wrist xG 0.15 1–2 ▶
15:13 CAR Jordan Staal (19) Nikolaj Ehlers (38), Jordan Martinook (14) · tip-in xG 0.09 1–3 ▶
3rd Period
15:25 CAR Shayne Gostisbehere (12) Unassisted · snap xG 0.11 1–4 ▶
17:40 CAR Seth Jarvis (30)SHEN Sean Walker (17), Sebastian Aho (48) · wrist xG 0.93 1–5 ▶
19:36 NJD Evgenii Dadonov (1) Johnathan Kovacevic (5), Brenden Dillon (12) · wrist xG 0.09 2–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NJD 23%Deserve to win77% CAR
NJDCAR
2.11Expected goals4.70
2Goals (no shootout)5
1.68Expected goals, 5 on 53.55
42Shot attempts72
30Unblocked attempts54
19Shots on goal34

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
2:30 CAR xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced NJD 1.42–0.05
In xG over 10 minutes, 13:00 of the 2nd to 3:00 of the 3rd; goals 2–0

Shot map

NJD shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CAR shoots
Sean Walker: backhand, 98 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:17) Taylor Hall: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 0:43) Mark Jankowski: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 2:46) Simon Nemec: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:59) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:23) Jaccob Slavin: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:50) Dawson Mercer: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:29) Jordan Martinook: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 5:54) Nick Bjugstad: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:04) Jackson Blake: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:29) Connor Brown: tip-in, 29 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:23) Dougie Hamilton: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:27) Logan Stankoven: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 9:24) Timo Meier: backhand, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:46) Nico Hischier: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:47) Nico Hischier: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 10:52) Jordan Staal: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 11:59) Jordan Staal: wrist, 121 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 12:58) Dawson Mercer: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 13:16) Seth Jarvis: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 16:39) Andrei Svechnikov: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:17) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:23) Shayne Gostisbehere: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 18:25) K'Andre Miller: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:12) Dawson Mercer: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:43) Dougie Hamilton: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 0:29) Jack Hughes: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 1:49) Mark Jankowski: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 2:44) Eric Robinson: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 2:50) Taylor Hall: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 3:21) Maxim Tsyplakov: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 3:38) Logan Stankoven: backhand, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:13) Sebastian Aho: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:02) Andrei Svechnikov: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:44) Alexander Nikishin: wrist, 73 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:53) Logan Stankoven: bat, 7 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 8:08) Logan Stankoven: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:18) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 8:35) Jack Hughes: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 10:18) Jonas Siegenthaler: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:24) Taylor Hall: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:15) Jesper Bratt: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 12:29) Jalen Chatfield: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 12:42) Jaccob Slavin: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:45) Jack Hughes: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 12:55) Seth Jarvis: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 13:19) Seth Jarvis: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:42) Sebastian Aho: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 16:15) Cody Glass: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:27) Nico Hischier: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:17) Sean Walker: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:01) Taylor Hall: wrist, 3 ft, xG 0.45 (P2 18:36) Sean Walker: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:12) K'Andre Miller: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:20) Shayne Gostisbehere: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:44) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 0:09) Johnathan Kovacevic: wrist, 100 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 1:50) Logan Stankoven: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 2:29) Logan Stankoven: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:30) Nico Hischier: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:19) Connor Brown: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 5:41) Jordan Martinook: wrist, 160 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 6:32) Sebastian Aho: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:59) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 7:08) Jackson Blake: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 7:40) Alexander Nikishin: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:57) Johnathan Kovacevic: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 8:46) Sean Walker: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:02) Jalen Chatfield: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:08) Nico Hischier: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 10:35) Jalen Chatfield: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:52) Jordan Martinook: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 14:18) Jordan Martinook: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 14:23) Nico Hischier: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 15:58) Jack Hughes: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 16:34) Timo Meier: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 16:46) Evgenii Dadonov: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:07) Timo Meier: GOAL, wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 17:06) Nikolaj Ehlers: GOAL, snap, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 10:10) Jackson Blake: GOAL, wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 13:48) Jordan Staal: GOAL, tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 15:13) Shayne Gostisbehere: GOAL, snap, 38 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 15:25) Seth Jarvis: GOAL, wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.93 (P3 17:40) Evgenii Dadonov: GOAL, wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 19:36)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New Jersey Devils

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
86 Jack Hughes 000 -2 50.45 0022:17
16 Connor Brown 000 -2 30.13 0020:01
63 Jesper Bratt 000 -2 20.16 1019:15
13 Nico Hischier 011 -1 70.37 2319:12
28 Timo Meier 101 -1 30.21 3118:05
91 Dawson Mercer 011 0 30.11 1017:49
29 Lenni Hameenaho 000 +1 00.00 0213:28
33 Evgenii Dadonov 101 +1 20.09 0012:36
12 Cody Glass 000 +1 20.02 2112:18
47 Paul Cotter 000 -1 00.00 3010:26
72 Maxim Tsyplakov 000 -1 20.15 1009:21
72 Nick Bjugstad 000 -1 10.04 1009:19
Defense
43 Luke Hughes 000 -2 10.00 0223:21
7 Dougie Hamilton 000 -1 20.20 4220:46
71 Jonas Siegenthaler 000 -1 30.02 3019:21
8 Johnathan Kovacevic 011 +1 20.15 2219:18
71 Simon Nemec 000 -1 30.00 1118:13
5 Brenden Dillon 011 +1 10.00 2115:02
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jacob Markstrom 33429 .879 3.78 -0.22

Carolina Hurricanes

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
11 Jordan Staal 101 0 30.19 0317:59
24 Seth Jarvis 101 +1 61.22 0017:56
20 Sebastian Aho 011 +1 40.23 0017:44
37 Andrei Svechnikov 000 0 50.24 0016:41
48 Jordan Martinook 011 0 50.17 1016:22
27 Nikolaj Ehlers 112 0 40.24 1115:10
22 Logan Stankoven 000 +1 60.55 2014:44
71 Taylor Hall 022 +1 40.69 1014:25
53 Jackson Blake 101 +1 30.24 0013:43
77 Mark Jankowski 000 0 20.27 1010:53
50 Eric Robinson 000 0 10.14 0010:49
28 William Carrier 000 0 00.00 2009:02
Defense
19 K'Andre Miller 000 +1 30.02 0022:09
74 Jaccob Slavin 000 0 30.02 1221:40
26 Sean Walker 011 +1 80.03 2020:39
5 Jalen Chatfield 000 0 40.10 0120:09
4 Shayne Gostisbehere 112 +1 80.31 1117:42
21 Alexander Nikishin 011 +1 30.01 0116:13
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Brandon Bussi 19217 .895 2.11 +0.11

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New Jersey Devils

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
13 Nico Hischier C +1.29 +0.55 +0.24 +0.12 +0.15 +0.06 +0.17 — 19:12
28 Timo Meier R +1.09 +0.75 +0.14 +0.17 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 18:05
8 Johnathan Kovacevic D +0.85 +0.70 +0.10 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 19:18
5 Brenden Dillon D +0.82 +0.55 0.00 +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:02
91 Dawson Mercer C +0.72 +0.70 +0.07 -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:49
33 Evgenii Dadonov L -0.04 +0.75 +0.06 -1.00 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 12:36
25 Jacob Markstrom G -0.22 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.22 58:09
42 Maxim Tsyplakov R -0.36 0.00 +0.09 -0.59 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 9:21
63 Jesper Bratt L -0.50 0.00 +0.10 -0.54 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 19:15
72 Nick Bjugstad C -0.50 0.00 +0.03 -0.55 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 9:19
47 Paul Cotter L -0.55 0.00 0.00 -0.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:26
16 Connor Brown R -0.61 0.00 +0.08 -0.68 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:01
86 Jack Hughes C -0.62 0.00 +0.29 -0.82 0.00 -0.06 -0.04 — 22:17
7 Dougie Hamilton D -0.76 0.00 +0.13 -0.97 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 20:46
43 Luke Hughes D -0.93 0.00 0.00 -1.01 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 23:21
12 Cody Glass C -0.96 0.00 +0.01 -1.01 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 12:18
17 Simon Nemec D -1.17 0.00 0.00 -1.17 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 18:13
29 Lenni Hameenaho R -1.19 0.00 0.00 -1.14 -0.15 -0.02 +0.12 — 13:28
71 Jonas Siegenthaler D -1.45 0.00 +0.01 -1.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:21

Carolina Hurricanes

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
4 Shayne Gostisbehere D +3.55 +1.30 +0.20 +2.17 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 17:42
71 Taylor Hall L +3.31 +1.25 +0.45 +1.70 0.00 -0.01 -0.08 — 14:25
21 Alexander Nikishin D +3.01 +0.70 +0.01 +2.26 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:13
53 Jackson Blake R +2.68 +0.75 +0.16 +1.79 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:43
22 Logan Stankoven C +2.12 0.00 +0.36 +1.75 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 14:44
24 Seth Jarvis C +1.66 +0.75 +0.80 +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 17:56
27 Nikolaj Ehlers L +1.42 +1.45 +0.16 -0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 15:10
20 Sebastian Aho C +0.81 +0.55 +0.15 +0.10 0.00 +0.05 -0.04 — 17:44
26 Sean Walker D +0.75 +0.70 +0.02 +0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 20:39
77 Mark Jankowski L +0.74 0.00 +0.17 +0.58 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 10:53
11 Jordan Staal C +0.72 +0.75 +0.13 -0.12 -0.15 -0.03 +0.15 — 17:59
50 Eric Robinson L +0.62 0.00 +0.09 +0.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:49
28 William Carrier L +0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:02
48 Jordan Martinook L +0.38 +0.55 +0.11 -0.21 0.00 -0.01 -0.06 — 16:22
37 Andrei Svechnikov R +0.32 0.00 +0.16 +0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:41
5 Jalen Chatfield D +0.29 0.00 +0.07 +0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:09
32 Brandon Bussi G +0.11 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.11 60:00
74 Jaccob Slavin D +0.10 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 21:40
19 K'Andre Miller D -0.22 0.00 +0.02 -0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 22:09

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.