hockeystats.io

Florida PanthersFLA 1–3 Final New York RangersNYR

Sunday, March 29, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Florida PanthersFLA 001 1 27
New York RangersNYR 003 3 22
Playoff odds, % Change
FLA +0.0
NYR +0.0

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 29, 2026 12:26 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
5:10 NYR Adam Sykora (2) Adam Fox (36), Noah Laba (13) · tip-in xG 0.08 0–1 ▶
11:14 NYR Conor Sheary (5)SH J.T. Miller (31) · snap xG 0.12 0–2 ▶
16:06 NYR Adam Fox (6)EN Will Borgen (9) · wrist xG 0.35 0–3 ▶
19:19 FLA Mackie Samoskevich (7) Jesper Boqvist (8), Mike Benning (4) · wrist xG 0.13 1–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

FLA 74%Deserve to win26% NYR
FLANYR
2.91Expected goals2.84
1Goals (no shootout)3
2.14Expected goals, 5 on 51.19
71Shot attempts47
47Unblocked attempts35
27Shots on goal22

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
6:11 NYR Goalie Goalie · Shesterkin +2.2 goals saved
0 goals on 2.25 xG, 22 shots on goal
14:40 FLA Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Bobrovsky, down 2–0
With 5:20 left; NYR scored at 16:06 of the 3rd (0–3)

Shot map

FLA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYR shoots
Mika Zibanejad: deflected, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 0:46) Dmitry Kulikov: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:57) Mackie Samoskevich: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:05) Seth Jones: snap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:45) Gustav Forsling: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 4:17) Alexis Lafrenière: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:31) Jonny Brodzinski: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 6:19) Matthew Robertson: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:22) Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:50) Adam Fox: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:16) Gabe Perreault: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:23) Jesper Boqvist: wrist, 163 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 7:31) A.J. Greer: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:47) Matthew Tkachuk: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:57) Eetu Luostarinen: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 8:40) Vinnie Hinostroza: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 9:01) Jesper Boqvist: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 9:02) Vinnie Hinostroza: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 9:14) Dmitry Kulikov: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:41) Eetu Luostarinen: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:23) Seth Jones: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:32) Tye Kartye: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:27) A.J. Greer: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 13:19) Seth Jones: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 14:47) Will Cuylle: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:16) Adam Fox: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 15:22) Donovan Sebrango: snap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:09) Dmitry Kulikov: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 18:06) Noah Gregor: backhand, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:37) Tomas Nosek: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 18:57) Tomas Nosek: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 19:00) Gustav Forsling: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:12) Carter Verhaeghe: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:24) Drew Fortescue: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:48) Noah Gregor: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 4:41) Gustav Forsling: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 6:03) Adam Fox: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 6:19) Carter Verhaeghe: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 6:30) Gustav Forsling: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:35) Mike Benning: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:22) Jonny Brodzinski: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 9:20) Conor Sheary: deflected, 28 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 10:21) Jonny Brodzinski: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:02) Noah Laba: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:28) Braden Schneider: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:10) Vincent Trocheck: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:59) Will Borgen: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:20) Mika Zibanejad: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:12) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:25) Tomas Nosek: backhand, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:45) Jesper Boqvist: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:11) Mika Zibanejad: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 19:27) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 19:33) Alexis Lafrenière: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:43) A.J. Greer: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:23) Vinnie Hinostroza: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 2:27) Dmitry Kulikov: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:43) Aaron Ekblad: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:51) Adam Fox: deflected, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:32) Noah Laba: poke, 4 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:33) Noah Laba: poke, 5 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 5:34) Carter Verhaeghe: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 6:07) Eetu Luostarinen: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 6:09) Matthew Tkachuk: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.25 (P3 6:11) Matthew Tkachuk: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:23) Carter Verhaeghe: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:24) Carter Verhaeghe: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 8:07) Matthew Tkachuk: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 8:33) Matthew Tkachuk: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 8:34) Noah Laba: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 8:54) Mike Benning: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:48) Seth Jones: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:55) Jesper Boqvist: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 13:58) A.J. Greer: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:31) Noah Laba: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.90 (P3 14:55) Matthew Robertson: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:23) Braden Schneider: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:36) Braden Schneider: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 19:38) Adam Sykora: GOAL, tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 5:10) Conor Sheary: GOAL, snap, 33 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 11:14) Adam Fox: GOAL, wrist, 185 ft, xG 0.35 (P3 16:06) Mackie Samoskevich: GOAL, wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 19:19)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Florida Panthers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
23 Carter Verhaeghe 000 -2 80.43 0019:52
19 Matthew Tkachuk 000 -2 70.51 1219:03
11 Mackie Samoskevich 101 0 40.14 0017:43
27 Eetu Luostarinen 000 -1 50.38 1017:23
70 Jesper Boqvist 011 +1 40.24 2016:51
18 A.J. Greer 000 +1 60.18 2216:42
92 Tomas Nosek 000 -1 40.18 1014:51
18 Vinnie Hinostroza 000 -1 30.28 0014:50
73 Noah Gregor 000 -2 40.10 1113:29
0 Nolan Foote 000 -1 30.00 1111:32
29 Cole Reinhardt 000 0 10.00 1111:27
71 Luke Kunin 000 0 00.00 3109:41
Defense
3 Seth Jones 000 -1 70.14 0024:00
5 Aaron Ekblad 000 +1 20.01 0121:14
42 Gustav Forsling 000 -1 60.14 1120:26
73 Donovan Sebrango 000 -1 10.01 1017:42
20 Mike Benning 011 -2 20.09 0016:41
7 Dmitry Kulikov 000 +1 40.09 0015:59
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Sergei Bobrovsky 21219 .905 1.59 -0.41

New York Rangers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
93 Mika Zibanejad 000 0 60.32 0019:55
16 Vincent Trocheck 000 +1 10.03 3019:22
10 J.T. Miller 011 0 10.00 3117:44
13 Alexis Lafrenière 000 +1 30.09 1217:17
24 Tye Kartye 000 0 10.01 3114:10
50 Will Cuylle 000 +1 10.03 2114:08
94 Gabe Perreault 000 0 10.01 0013:35
42 Noah Laba 011 +1 51.16 1013:20
49 Jaroslav Chmelar 000 -1 10.00 4012:26
43 Conor Sheary 101 +1 20.19 0012:07
22 Jonny Brodzinski 000 0 50.25 0011:21
38 Adam Sykora 101 +1 10.08 2110:03
Defense
44 Vladislav Gavrikov 000 +2 00.00 1224:54
23 Adam Fox 112 +2 70.40 0423:52
4 Braden Schneider 000 0 40.23 0318:49
17 Will Borgen 011 +1 20.01 1217:41
45 Drew Fortescue 000 -1 20.02 1316:54
29 Matthew Robertson 000 0 30.02 2116:22
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Igor Shesterkin 27126 .963 2.91 +1.91

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Florida Panthers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
19 Matthew Tkachuk L +1.64 0.00 +0.33 +1.24 0.00 -0.01 +0.08 — 19:03
23 Carter Verhaeghe C +1.53 0.00 +0.28 +1.28 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 19:52
11 Mackie Samoskevich R +1.51 +0.75 +0.09 +0.52 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 17:43
27 Eetu Luostarinen C +1.26 0.00 +0.25 +1.04 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 17:23
70 Jesper Boqvist C +1.14 +0.70 +0.16 +0.38 0.00 -0.10 0.00 — 16:51
5 Aaron Ekblad D +0.95 0.00 +0.01 +0.90 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:14
42 Gustav Forsling D +0.92 0.00 +0.09 +0.77 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:26
20 Mike Benning D +0.91 +0.55 +0.06 +0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:41
10 A.J. Greer L +0.68 0.00 +0.12 +0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 16:42
7 Dmitry Kulikov D +0.49 0.00 +0.06 +0.58 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 15:59
92 Tomas Nosek L +0.25 0.00 +0.11 +0.12 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 14:51
18 Noah Gregor L +0.21 0.00 +0.07 -0.08 +0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 13:29
3 Seth Jones D -0.15 0.00 +0.09 -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 24:00
25 Nolan Foote L -0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:32
6 Donovan Sebrango D -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:42
72 Sergei Bobrovsky G -0.41 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.41 58:34
24 Vinnie Hinostroza C -0.44 0.00 +0.18 -0.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:50
29 Cole Reinhardt L -0.44 0.00 0.00 -0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:27
71 Luke Kunin C -0.45 0.00 0.00 -0.49 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 9:41

New York Rangers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
42 Noah Laba C +2.03 +0.55 +0.75 +0.73 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 13:20
31 Igor Shesterkin G +1.91 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.91 60:00
23 Adam Fox D +1.24 +1.45 +0.26 -0.65 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 23:52
22 Jonny Brodzinski C +0.69 0.00 +0.16 +0.68 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 11:21
38 Adam Sykora L +0.68 +0.75 +0.05 -0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 10:03
17 Will Borgen D +0.55 +0.70 +0.01 -0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 17:41
29 Matthew Robertson D +0.35 0.00 +0.01 +0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:22
49 Jaroslav Chmelar R +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 12:26
4 Braden Schneider D +0.09 0.00 +0.15 -0.06 -0.15 0.00 +0.15 — 18:49
50 Will Cuylle L +0.08 0.00 +0.02 +0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:08
43 Conor Sheary L +0.07 +0.75 +0.12 -0.96 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 12:07
13 Alexis Lafrenière L -0.14 0.00 +0.06 -0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 17:17
93 Mika Zibanejad C -0.18 0.00 +0.21 -0.38 0.00 +0.08 -0.08 — 19:55
16 Vincent Trocheck C -0.22 0.00 +0.02 -0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 19:22
94 Gabe Perreault R -0.31 0.00 +0.01 -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 13:35
8 J.T. Miller C -0.47 +0.70 0.00 -1.21 0.00 +0.05 -0.01 — 17:44
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D -0.65 0.00 0.00 -0.71 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 24:54
45 Drew Fortescue D -0.70 0.00 +0.01 -0.71 -0.15 0.00 +0.15 — 16:54
24 Tye Kartye L -1.19 0.00 +0.01 -1.25 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:10

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.