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Montréal CanadiensMTL 3–1 Final Carolina HurricanesCAR

Sunday, March 29, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Montréal CanadiensMTL 030 3 18
Carolina HurricanesCAR 100 1 35
Playoff odds, % Change
MTL +1.0
CAR -0.0

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 29, 2026 4:33 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
8:37 CAR Andrei Svechnikov (26)PP Seth Jarvis (32), Sebastian Aho (49) · slap xG 0.06 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
6:18 MTL Nick Suzuki (25) Cole Caufield (33), Lane Hutson (61) · snap xG 0.23 1–1 ▶
17:32 MTL Cole Caufield (46) Nick Suzuki (65), Lane Hutson (62) · snap xG 0.14 2–1 ▶
19:53 MTL Nick Suzuki (26)PP Juraj Slafkovský (36), Ivan Demidov (41) · wrist xG 0.06 3–1 ▶
3rd Period
No scoring

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

MTL 21%Deserve to win79% CAR
MTLCAR
2.46Expected goals4.40
3Goals (no shootout)1
0.93Expected goals, 5 on 53.43
42Shot attempts100
29Unblocked attempts67
18Shots on goal35

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
15:44 MTL Goalie Goalie · Dobes +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.04 xG, 26 shots on goal
3rd Period
16:41 CAR Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Andersen, down 3–1
With 3:19 left

Shot map

MTL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CAR shoots
Seth Jarvis: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:26) Sean Walker: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:49) Jackson Blake: bat, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 0:50) K'Andre Miller: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:23) Logan Stankoven: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 1:36) Alexander Nikishin: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:19) Jaccob Slavin: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:18) Mark Jankowski: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:38) Jaccob Slavin: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:07) Sebastian Aho: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 7:26) Shayne Gostisbehere: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 8:10) Jackson Blake: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 8:45) Logan Stankoven: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 9:13) Jalen Chatfield: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:27) Sebastian Aho: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:12) Brendan Gallagher: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:40) Nikolaj Ehlers: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 11:06) Jake Evans: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:17) Zachary Bolduc: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:48) Nick Suzuki: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:14) Seth Jarvis: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:43) Logan Stankoven: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.27 (P1 13:36) Jordan Martinook: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:16) Nick Suzuki: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 15:29) Lane Hutson: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 15:31) Noah Dobson: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 16:01) Noah Dobson: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:08) Noah Dobson: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:13) Noah Dobson: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:21) K'Andre Miller: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:45) Nikolaj Ehlers: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:47) Seth Jarvis: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:12) Sebastian Aho: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:32) Seth Jarvis: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 0:38) Taylor Hall: tip-in, 32 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:10) Nikolaj Ehlers: backhand, 24 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:06) K'Andre Miller: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:20) Jordan Martinook: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:25) William Carrier: backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.26 (P2 3:38) Alex Newhook: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:13) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:09) Seth Jarvis: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:36) Seth Jarvis: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 6:08) Jackson Blake: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 6:49) Jaccob Slavin: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 6:51) Shayne Gostisbehere: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 7:36) Juraj Slafkovský: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:08) Nick Suzuki: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 9:21) Taylor Hall: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 9:34) Seth Jarvis: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 10:12) Ivan Demidov: backhand, 27 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:16) Logan Stankoven: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:03) Lane Hutson: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 13:05) Cole Caufield: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 13:16) Nick Suzuki: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 13:42) Cole Caufield: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 13:44) Juraj Slafkovský: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 13:45) Seth Jarvis: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.26 (P2 14:31) Jackson Blake: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 15:41) Jordan Staal: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 15:43) Taylor Hall: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 15:44) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 16:11) Jordan Martinook: deflected, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 16:17) Zachary Bolduc: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:18) Nick Suzuki: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 19:52) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 0:14) Sebastian Aho: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 0:20) Jordan Staal: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 0:49) Shayne Gostisbehere: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:00) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 1:15) Nikolaj Ehlers: backhand, 33 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:58) Jordan Staal: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:00) Alexander Nikishin: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:04) Sebastian Aho: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 4:48) Juraj Slafkovský: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 6:03) Oliver Kapanen: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 6:58) Sean Walker: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 7:15) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:36) Seth Jarvis: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:46) Jalen Chatfield: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:52) K'Andre Miller: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:28) Mark Jankowski: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:26) Cole Caufield: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 12:22) Cole Caufield: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 12:38) Taylor Hall: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:13) Andrei Svechnikov: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:03) Jackson Blake: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 16:09) Taylor Hall: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 16:20) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 80 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 16:39) Juraj Slafkovský: snap, 149 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 16:42) Shayne Gostisbehere: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:50) Jordan Staal: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:51) Andrei Svechnikov: GOAL, slap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 8:37) Nick Suzuki: GOAL, snap, 20 ft, xG 0.23 (P2 6:18) Cole Caufield: GOAL, snap, 29 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 17:32) Nick Suzuki: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 19:53)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Montréal Canadiens

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Nick Suzuki 213 +2 70.79 1120:17
20 Juraj Slafkovský 011 +2 60.23 1219:49
71 Jake Evans 000 0 30.03 5217:55
15 Alex Newhook 000 0 30.01 2117:14
13 Cole Caufield 112 +2 50.79 0015:45
91 Oliver Kapanen 000 0 20.11 0215:41
24 Phillip Danault 000 0 10.00 2315:34
93 Ivan Demidov 011 0 10.05 0015:20
76 Zachary Bolduc 000 0 20.08 0014:11
90 Joseph Veleno 000 0 00.00 0312:41
7 Brendan Gallagher 000 0 20.02 0111:27
Defense
8 Mike Matheson 000 0 10.00 0323:23
53 Noah Dobson 000 0 50.13 1322:07
21 Kaiden Guhle 000 0 00.00 2119:42
48 Lane Hutson 022 +2 30.22 0419:31
45 Alexandre Carrier 000 +1 10.00 1419:05
3 Jayden Struble 000 +1 00.00 1110:30
72 Arber Xhekaj 000 0 00.00 5105:11
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jakub Dobes 35134 .971 4.40 +3.40

Carolina Hurricanes

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
20 Sebastian Aho 011 -1 80.33 1019:30
24 Seth Jarvis 011 -1 100.74 1019:13
53 Jackson Blake 000 0 70.57 0018:43
22 Logan Stankoven 000 0 60.50 1018:38
27 Nikolaj Ehlers 000 -1 60.25 2118:08
11 Jordan Staal 000 -1 60.33 4017:37
71 Taylor Hall 000 0 50.34 1017:24
37 Andrei Svechnikov 101 -1 70.33 3016:56
48 Jordan Martinook 000 -1 50.11 1014:02
77 Mark Jankowski 000 0 30.02 3009:29
50 Eric Robinson 000 0 20.00 1008:43
28 William Carrier 000 0 10.26 3005:59
Defense
4 Shayne Gostisbehere 000 -1 100.22 0320:25
19 K'Andre Miller 000 -1 60.05 2319:33
74 Jaccob Slavin 000 0 30.11 0019:07
26 Sean Walker 000 -1 40.15 5219:07
21 Alexander Nikishin 000 -1 60.03 1218:12
5 Jalen Chatfield 000 0 50.05 0117:18
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Frederik Andersen 18315 .833 2.42 -0.58

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Montréal Canadiens

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
75 Jakub Dobes G +3.40 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +3.40 60:00
14 Nick Suzuki C +2.20 +2.20 +0.51 -0.40 -0.15 -0.02 +0.05 — 20:17
13 Cole Caufield R +1.70 +1.45 +0.51 -0.36 +0.15 0.00 -0.06 — 15:45
48 Lane Hutson D +1.17 +1.10 +0.14 -0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 19:31
20 Juraj Slafkovský L +0.53 +0.70 +0.15 -0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 19:49
24 Phillip Danault C +0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.04 0.00 -0.02 +0.13 — 15:34
71 Jake Evans C +0.11 0.00 +0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 +0.10 — 17:55
76 Zachary Bolduc R +0.06 0.00 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 14:11
90 Joseph Veleno C -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.29 0.00 -0.01 +0.15 — 12:41
72 Arber Xhekaj D -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 5:11
45 Alexandre Carrier D -0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 19:05
47 Jayden Struble D -0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.44 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 10:30
93 Ivan Demidov R -0.66 +0.55 +0.03 -1.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:20
21 Kaiden Guhle D -0.69 0.00 0.00 -0.72 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 19:42
11 Brendan Gallagher R -0.75 0.00 +0.01 -0.79 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 11:27
53 Noah Dobson D -0.86 0.00 +0.09 -1.27 +0.15 0.00 +0.17 — 22:07
8 Mike Matheson D -1.52 0.00 0.00 -1.69 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 23:23
91 Oliver Kapanen C -1.66 0.00 +0.07 -1.80 0.00 -0.01 +0.08 — 15:41
15 Alex Newhook C -1.78 0.00 0.00 -1.87 0.00 +0.03 +0.05 — 17:14

Carolina Hurricanes

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
53 Jackson Blake R +2.03 0.00 +0.37 +1.69 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 18:43
71 Taylor Hall L +1.85 0.00 +0.22 +1.65 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:24
22 Logan Stankoven C +1.50 0.00 +0.32 +1.26 0.00 -0.04 -0.04 — 18:38
24 Seth Jarvis C +1.48 +0.70 +0.48 +0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 19:13
5 Jalen Chatfield D +1.45 0.00 +0.04 +1.36 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:18
74 Jaccob Slavin D +1.31 0.00 +0.07 +1.26 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:07
37 Andrei Svechnikov R +1.26 +0.75 +0.22 +0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:56
20 Sebastian Aho C +1.08 +0.55 +0.21 +0.32 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 19:30
11 Jordan Staal C +0.92 0.00 +0.21 +0.64 0.00 +0.07 0.00 — 17:37
26 Sean Walker D +0.86 0.00 +0.10 +0.69 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 19:07
4 Shayne Gostisbehere D +0.78 0.00 +0.14 +0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 20:25
19 K'Andre Miller D +0.70 0.00 +0.04 +0.54 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 19:33
21 Alexander Nikishin D +0.67 0.00 +0.02 +0.57 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 18:12
48 Jordan Martinook L +0.44 0.00 +0.07 +0.22 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 14:02
28 William Carrier L +0.42 0.00 +0.17 +0.24 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 5:59
27 Nikolaj Ehlers L +0.33 0.00 +0.16 +0.25 -0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 18:08
77 Mark Jankowski L +0.23 0.00 +0.02 +0.23 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 9:29
50 Eric Robinson L +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.23 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 8:43
31 Frederik Andersen G -0.58 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.58 55:52

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.