| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 31 | |
| 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 40 |
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 4:19 | Ilya Mikheyev (15) Anton Frondell (3), Louis Crevier (14) · wrist xG 0.18 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 11:15 | Connor Brown (15)PP Luke Hughes (28), Jack Hughes (40) · deflected xG 0.10 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 13:11 | Frank Nazar (13) Ryan Donato (14), Andre Burakovsky (21) · wrist xG 0.23 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 15:48 | Simon Nemec (11) Dawson Mercer (21), Nico Hischier (31) · snap xG 0.12 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 10:51 | Frank Nazar (14)PP Connor Bedard (38), Anton Frondell (4) · slap xG 0.27 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 14:32 | Dougie Hamilton (11) Jack Hughes (41), Timo Meier (16) · snap xG 0.06 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 14:51 | Jack Hughes (21) Jesper Bratt (42), Jonas Siegenthaler (12) · wrist xG 0.12 | 3–4 ▶ | |
| 19:29 | Jack Hughes (22)EN Nico Hischier (32), Johnathan Kovacevic (6) · wrist xG 0.73 | 3–5 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| CHI | NJD | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.84 | Expected goals | 5.93 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 2.59 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 4.58 |
| 65 | Shot attempts | 89 |
| 50 | Unblocked attempts | 67 |
| 31 | Shots on goal | 40 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:46 | NJD | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · NJD takes the lead, 60–40%
CHI had led since 5:15 of the 1st, by as much as 72% |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 3:40 | NJD | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced CHI 1.39–0.14
In xG over 10 minutes, 14:00 of the 1st to 4:00 of the 2nd; neither team scored |
| 13:38 | CHI | Goalie | Goalie · Knight +2.1 goals saved
1 goal on 3.06 xG, 28 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 18:31 | CHI | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Knight, down 4–3
With 1:29 left; NJD scored at 19:29 of the 3rd (3–5) |
| 18:40 | NJD | No shift | No shift · Dadonov, 10:23 on the bench
No shift after 5:16 of the 3rd; 12 shifts (9:47) before that |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 98 | Connor Bedard | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 8 | 0.37 | 1 | 1 | 20:40 |
| 91 | Frank Nazar | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 13 | 1.26 | 2 | 1 | 19:00 |
| 59 | Tyler Bertuzzi | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.48 | 0 | 1 | 17:35 |
| 16 | Anton Frondell | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 16:52 |
| 95 | Ilya Mikheyev | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.38 | 0 | 1 | 16:14 |
| 86 | Teuvo Teravainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 16:11 |
| 20 | Ryan Greene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 16:02 |
| 76 | Nick Lardis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.85 | 1 | 0 | 15:37 |
| 8 | Ryan Donato | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 9 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 14:52 |
| 95 | Andre Burakovsky | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 14:16 |
| 84 | Landon Slaggert | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 4 | 0 | 12:41 |
| 90 | Sacha Boisvert | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 09:36 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Wyatt Kaiser | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 22:27 |
| 6 | Sam Rinzel | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 3 | 20:49 |
| 72 | Alex Vlasic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 5 | 20:13 |
| 46 | Louis Crevier | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 4 | 18:58 |
| 38 | Ethan Del Mastro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 2 | 1 | 14:26 |
| 14 | Kevin Korchinski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 12:09 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight | 39 | 4 | 35 | .897 | 5.20 | +1.20 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 86 | Jack Hughes | 2 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 19 | 2.02 | 0 | 0 | 22:12 |
| 13 | Nico Hischier | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.17 | 1 | 1 | 21:25 |
| 91 | Dawson Mercer | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 | 21:10 |
| 16 | Connor Brown | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 0.99 | 0 | 0 | 19:27 |
| 28 | Timo Meier | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 17 | 1.22 | 1 | 0 | 19:19 |
| 63 | Jesper Bratt | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 17:54 |
| 12 | Cody Glass | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 1 | 1 | 11:31 |
| 29 | Lenni Hameenaho | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 2 | 0 | 11:02 |
| 33 | Evgenii Dadonov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 09:47 |
| 47 | Paul Cotter | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 07:36 |
| 72 | Maxim Tsyplakov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 3 | 0 | 07:21 |
| 72 | Nick Bjugstad | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.20 | 4 | 0 | 07:04 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Luke Hughes | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 22:07 |
| 71 | Jonas Siegenthaler | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.24 | 3 | 3 | 20:37 |
| 8 | Johnathan Kovacevic | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 20:10 |
| 5 | Brenden Dillon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.03 | 0 | 2 | 19:31 |
| 7 | Dougie Hamilton | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.11 | 4 | 3 | 18:55 |
| 71 | Simon Nemec | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.30 | 0 | 2 | 16:55 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen | 31 | 3 | 28 | .903 | 3.84 | +0.84 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91 Frank Nazar C | +1.95 | +1.50 | +0.82 | -0.47 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.05 | — | 19:00 |
| 30 Spencer Knight G | +1.20 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.20 | 59:02 |
| 8 Ryan Donato C | +0.85 | +0.70 | +0.13 | +0.05 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 14:52 |
| 15 Anton Frondell C | +0.48 | +1.25 | +0.05 | -0.76 | 0.00 | -0.05 | -0.02 | — | 16:52 |
| 28 Andre Burakovsky L | +0.19 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:16 |
| 59 Tyler Bertuzzi L | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.31 | -0.16 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.03 | — | 17:35 |
| 76 Nick Lardis L | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.55 | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:37 |
| 38 Ethan Del Mastro D | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:26 |
| 12 Sacha Boisvert C | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.30 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.03 | — | 9:36 |
| 6 Sam Rinzel D | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 20:49 |
| 14 Kevin Korchinski D | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.09 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:09 |
| 44 Wyatt Kaiser D | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.09 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:27 |
| 98 Connor Bedard C | -0.26 | +0.70 | +0.24 | -1.51 | +0.30 | -0.03 | +0.03 | — | 20:40 |
| 95 Ilya Mikheyev R | -0.27 | +0.75 | +0.25 | -1.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 16:14 |
| 86 Teuvo Teravainen C | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.66 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 16:11 |
| 84 Landon Slaggert L | -0.70 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:41 |
| 20 Ryan Greene C | -0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.66 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.00 | — | 16:02 |
| 46 Louis Crevier D | -1.00 | +0.55 | +0.01 | -1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 | — | 18:58 |
| 72 Alex Vlasic D | -1.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 20:13 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86 Jack Hughes C | +5.38 | +2.75 | +1.31 | +1.41 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.08 | — | 22:12 |
| 28 Timo Meier R | +3.69 | +0.55 | +0.79 | +2.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:19 |
| 43 Luke Hughes D | +3.16 | +0.70 | +0.04 | +2.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:07 |
| 91 Dawson Mercer C | +2.82 | +0.70 | +0.17 | +1.92 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 21:10 |
| 13 Nico Hischier C | +2.62 | +1.25 | +0.11 | +1.11 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.07 | — | 21:25 |
| 8 Johnathan Kovacevic D | +2.17 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 20:10 |
| 16 Connor Brown R | +2.15 | +0.75 | +0.65 | +0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:27 |
| 71 Jonas Siegenthaler D | +1.88 | +0.55 | +0.16 | +1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 20:37 |
| 63 Jesper Bratt L | +1.76 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:54 |
| 7 Dougie Hamilton D | +1.21 | +0.75 | +0.07 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 18:55 |
| 34 Jake Allen G | +0.84 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.84 | 60:00 |
| 17 Simon Nemec D | +0.76 | +0.75 | +0.19 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 16:55 |
| 12 Cody Glass C | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.03 | — | 11:31 |
| 33 Evgenii Dadonov L | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 9:47 |
| 72 Nick Bjugstad C | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.33 | -0.15 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 7:04 |
| 47 Paul Cotter L | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.50 | +0.15 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 7:36 |
| 42 Maxim Tsyplakov R | -0.40 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:21 |
| 5 Brenden Dillon D | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 19:31 |
| 29 Lenni Hameenaho R | -0.44 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.33 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:02 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.