| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 32 | |
| 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 |
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:27 | Anders Lee (17)PP Adam Boqvist (3), Jean-Gabriel Pageau (17) · backhand xG 0.06 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 2:56 | Mathew Barzal (19) Calum Ritchie (14), Adam Boqvist (4) · snap xG 0.15 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 6:41 | Elmer Soderblom (4) Connor Dewar (14), Noel Acciari (11) · snap xG 0.30 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 9:17 | Brayden Schenn (16) Mathew Barzal (48), Calum Ritchie (15) · snap xG 0.36 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 11:01 | Rickard Rakell (18)SH Bryan Rust (34), Parker Wotherspoon (25) · deflected xG 0.14 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 13:29 | Ryan Shea (5) Anthony Mantha (28), Sidney Crosby (37) · slap xG 0.04 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 14:35 | Anthony Mantha (28) Justin Brazeau (15), Parker Wotherspoon (26) · backhand xG 0.14 | 4–3 ▶ | |
| 17:18 | Anthony Mantha (29) Justin Brazeau (16), Kris Letang (26) · backhand xG 0.15 | 5–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 6:06 | Avery Hayes (3) Ben Kindel (17), Tommy Novak (23) · snap xG 0.40 | 6–3 ▶ | |
| 7:54 | Rickard Rakell (19) Justin Brazeau (17), Samuel Girard (12) · deflected xG 0.21 | 7–3 ▶ | |
| 16:16 | Bryan Rust (27) Sidney Crosby (38), Kris Letang (27) · wrist xG 0.17 | 8–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| PIT | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.98 | Expected goals | 2.37 |
| 8 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 4.73 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.07 |
| 64 | Shot attempts | 53 |
| 50 | Unblocked attempts | 35 |
| 32 | Shots on goal | 23 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:39 | NYI | Goalie | Goalie · Sorokin +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.03 xG, 13 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 6:06 | NYI | Goalie | Goalie · Sorokin −2.2 goals saved
6 goals on 3.84 xG, 27 shots on goal |
| 7:54 | NYI | Goalie change | Goalie change · Rittich in for Sorokin
7:54 of the 3rd; Sorokin had allowed 7 goals on 29 shots (4.22 xG) |
| 14:50 | PIT | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NYI 1.48–0.27
In xG over 10 minutes, 4:50 to 14:50 of the 3rd; goals 2–0 |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 17 | Bryan Rust | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0.27 | 1 | 1 | 18:41 |
| 39 | Anthony Mantha | 2 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 6 | 0.59 | 0 | 0 | 18:13 |
| 87 | Sidney Crosby | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 0.51 | 0 | 1 | 16:48 |
| 67 | Rickard Rakell | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 0.78 | 1 | 0 | 16:28 |
| 19 | Connor Dewar | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.40 | 0 | 1 | 15:08 |
| 59 | Egor Chinakhov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 14:58 |
| 81 | Ben Kindel | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 | 0.48 | 0 | 1 | 14:25 |
| 16 | Justin Brazeau | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 0.27 | 3 | 3 | 14:23 |
| 18 | Tommy Novak | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 12:19 |
| 85 | Avery Hayes | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.50 | 1 | 0 | 11:49 |
| 52 | Noel Acciari | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.34 | 1 | 1 | 11:44 |
| 25 | Elmer Soderblom | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.41 | 3 | 1 | 11:32 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 49 | Samuel Girard | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 20:50 |
| 29 | Parker Wotherspoon | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 0.03 | 1 | 2 | 20:39 |
| 58 | Kris Letang | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 19:43 |
| 65 | Erik Karlsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 19:41 |
| 6 | Ryan Shea | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 19:04 |
| 75 | Connor Clifton | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.17 | 3 | 1 | 18:53 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs | 23 | 3 | 20 | .870 | 2.37 | -0.63 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 | 0.47 | 0 | 1 | 18:21 |
| 14 | Bo Horvat | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.34 | 0 | 0 | 18:06 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.12 | 4 | 2 | 17:41 |
| 10 | Brayden Schenn | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 0.36 | 3 | 1 | 16:09 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 0.06 | 3 | 1 | 15:38 |
| 92 | Simon Holmstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 15:03 |
| 44 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14:55 |
| 64 | Calum Ritchie | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 13:57 |
| 32 | Kyle MacLean | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 12:55 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 12:38 |
| 17 | Marc Gatcomb | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.16 | 1 | 0 | 11:29 |
| 81 | Ondrej Palat | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 11:12 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 6 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 22:23 |
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 8 | 0.21 | 1 | 1 | 22:14 |
| 6 | Ryan Pulock | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.02 | 0 | 3 | 20:31 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 20:19 |
| 34 | Adam Boqvist | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 17:48 |
| 24 | Scott Mayfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 14:41 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | 29 | 7 | 22 | .759 | 4.22 | -2.78 |
| David Rittich | 3 | 1 | 2 | .667 | 0.76 | -0.24 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Anthony Mantha R | +4.64 | +2.20 | +0.39 | +2.09 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 18:13 |
| 16 Justin Brazeau R | +4.28 | +2.10 | +0.18 | +1.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 14:23 |
| 67 Rickard Rakell R | +3.17 | +1.50 | +0.51 | +1.32 | -0.15 | -0.03 | +0.02 | — | 16:28 |
| 58 Kris Letang D | +3.15 | +1.10 | 0.00 | +2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:43 |
| 28 Parker Wotherspoon D | +2.91 | +1.10 | +0.02 | +1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 20:39 |
| 81 Ben Kindel C | +2.46 | +0.70 | +0.31 | +1.47 | 0.00 | -0.07 | +0.05 | — | 14:25 |
| 49 Samuel Girard D | +2.19 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +1.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 20:50 |
| 87 Sidney Crosby C | +2.04 | +1.25 | +0.33 | +0.49 | 0.00 | -0.06 | +0.03 | — | 16:48 |
| 55 Noel Acciari C | +1.95 | +0.55 | +0.22 | +1.30 | -0.15 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 11:44 |
| 85 Avery Hayes R | +1.91 | +0.75 | +0.33 | +0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:49 |
| 25 Elmer Soderblom L | +1.78 | +0.75 | +0.27 | +0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:32 |
| 19 Connor Dewar C | +1.42 | +0.70 | +0.26 | +0.46 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.05 | — | 15:08 |
| 18 Tommy Novak C | +1.38 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.78 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.06 | — | 12:19 |
| 17 Bryan Rust R | +1.37 | +1.45 | +0.17 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 18:41 |
| 5 Ryan Shea D | +1.10 | +0.75 | +0.03 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 19:04 |
| 75 Connor Clifton D | +1.06 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:53 |
| 65 Erik Karlsson D | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 19:41 |
| 59 Egor Chinakhov R | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.02 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:58 |
| 37 Arturs Silovs G | -0.63 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.63 | 60:00 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64 Calum Ritchie C | +0.38 | +1.25 | 0.00 | -0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:57 |
| 27 Anders Lee L | +0.36 | +0.75 | +0.04 | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:38 |
| 34 Adam Boqvist D | +0.31 | +1.25 | +0.07 | -1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 17:48 |
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | +0.24 | +1.45 | +0.30 | -1.58 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 | — | 18:21 |
| 4 Carson Soucy D | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:19 |
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.05 | — | 12:38 |
| 16 Marc Gatcomb C | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 11:29 |
| 32 Kyle MacLean C | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.41 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:55 |
| 33 David Rittich G | -0.24 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.24 | 12:06 |
| 44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | -0.37 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.81 | -0.15 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 14:55 |
| 51 Emil Heineman L | -0.49 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:41 |
| 24 Scott Mayfield D | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:41 |
| 14 Bo Horvat C | -0.74 | 0.00 | +0.22 | -1.17 | +0.15 | +0.08 | -0.02 | — | 18:06 |
| 10 Brayden Schenn C | -1.05 | +0.75 | +0.23 | -2.11 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 16:09 |
| 3 Adam Pelech D | -1.08 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 22:23 |
| 81 Ondrej Palat L | -1.10 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:12 |
| 6 Ryan Pulock D | -1.25 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 20:31 |
| 92 Simon Holmstrom R | -2.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 15:03 |
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | -2.24 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -2.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 22:14 |
| 30 Ilya Sorokin G | -2.78 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.78 | 47:54 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.