New Jersey DevilsNJD 1–4 Final New York RangersNYR

Tuesday, March 31, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
New Jersey DevilsNJD 010 1 23
New York RangersNYR 211 4 23
Playoff odds, % Change
NJD -0.2
NYR +0.0

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 31, 2026 7:12 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
8:14 NYR Conor Sheary (6) Tye Kartye (12), Will Borgen (10) · tip-in xG 0.05 0–1 ▶
13:39 NYR J.T. Miller (16)PP Alexis Lafrenière (30), Adam Fox (37) · wrist xG 0.29 0–2 ▶
2nd Period
0:51 NJD Connor Brown (16)PP Nico Hischier (33), Luke Hughes (29) · backhand xG 0.45 1–2 ▶
11:12 NYR Jaroslav Chmelar (3) Braden Schneider (15) · backhand xG 0.24 1–3 ▶
3rd Period
3:49 NYR Mika Zibanejad (33) Gabe Perreault (15), Adam Fox (38) · wrist xG 0.18 1–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NJD 45%Deserve to win55% NYR
NJDNYR
3.21Expected goals3.56
1Goals (no shootout)4
2.21Expected goals, 5 on 52.77
66Shot attempts59
47Unblocked attempts47
23Shots on goal23

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
19:20 NYR xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced NJD 1.17–0.10
In xG over 10 minutes, 9:20 to 19:20 of the 1st; goals 1–0
3rd Period
16:05 NYR Goalie Goalie · Shesterkin +2.2 goals saved
1 goal on 3.20 xG, 23 shots on goal

Shot map

NJD shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYR shoots
Gabe Perreault: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 0:09) Jack Hughes: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 0:19) Luke Hughes: wrist, 83 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:26) Braden Schneider: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:10) Nico Hischier: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:42) Lenni Hameenaho: backhand, 47 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 5:21) Connor Brown: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:45) Lenni Hameenaho: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:32) Jonas Siegenthaler: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:40) Tye Kartye: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:04) Jesper Bratt: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 8:38) Brenden Dillon: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 9:19) Conor Sheary: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 9:55) Connor Brown: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 10:21) Gabe Perreault: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 10:36) Gabe Perreault: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 10:43) Vladislav Gavrikov: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 10:45) Jesper Bratt: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:43) Alexis Lafrenière: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:19) Vladislav Gavrikov: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:52) Conor Sheary: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:45) Drew Fortescue: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:26) Gabe Perreault: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 17:59) Gabe Perreault: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 18:00) Jonny Brodzinski: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:15) Jaroslav Chmelar: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:43) Vladislav Gavrikov: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 18:47) Jesper Bratt: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 19:51) Connor Brown: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 0:16) Gabe Perreault: wrist, 91 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:28) Luke Hughes: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:47) Nico Hischier: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:48) Will Borgen: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:16) Jonny Brodzinski: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:35) Jonny Brodzinski: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 3:06) Nico Hischier: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:28) Simon Nemec: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:32) Tye Kartye: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 3:53) Conor Sheary: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 4:19) Will Borgen: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:24) Maxim Tsyplakov: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:19) Paul Cotter: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:35) Timo Meier: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 6:20) Dawson Mercer: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 6:25) Simon Nemec: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:26) Nico Hischier: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 6:30) Adam Fox: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 7:16) Mika Zibanejad: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 7:27) Mika Zibanejad: slap, 15 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 8:06) Nick Bjugstad: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 8:41) Noah Laba: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 9:26) Will Cuylle: slap, 12 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 9:38) Jesper Bratt: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:46) Jaroslav Chmelar: tip-in, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:10) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 12:31) Luke Hughes: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:00) Braden Schneider: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:32) Lenni Hameenaho: wrist, 123 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 14:11) Matthew Robertson: wrist, 181 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 15:02) Jack Hughes: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:13) Jack Hughes: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:58) Braden Schneider: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:35) Jack Hughes: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 17:19) Vincent Trocheck: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 17:58) Lenni Hameenaho: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:12) Will Borgen: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:39) Lenni Hameenaho: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 1:59) Will Borgen: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:45) Conor Sheary: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 4:35) Jack Hughes: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 5:30) Connor Brown: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 5:50) Noah Laba: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 5:58) Luke Hughes: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 6:15) Paul Cotter: bat, 10 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 9:01) Will Cuylle: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 11:03) Paul Cotter: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 11:10) Johnathan Kovacevic: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:14) Evgenii Dadonov: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:19) Jaroslav Chmelar: slap, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:48) J.T. Miller: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 13:57) Luke Hughes: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:18) Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:32) Maxim Tsyplakov: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 15:40) Brenden Dillon: snap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:59) Cody Glass: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 16:03) Lenni Hameenaho: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.26 (P3 16:05) Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 16:41) Jonny Brodzinski: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:09) Cody Glass: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:47) Conor Sheary: GOAL, tip-in, 27 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:14) J.T. Miller: GOAL, wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.29 (P1 13:39) Connor Brown: GOAL, backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.45 (P2 0:51) Jaroslav Chmelar: GOAL, backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 11:12) Mika Zibanejad: GOAL, wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 3:49)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New Jersey Devils

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
86 Jack Hughes 000 -1 60.33 0021:58
16 Connor Brown 101 -1 50.79 0121:06
13 Nico Hischier 011 -1 40.16 1119:38
63 Jesper Bratt 000 -1 40.20 1019:03
28 Timo Meier 000 -1 50.14 1118:29
91 Dawson Mercer 000 -1 10.13 0117:51
12 Cody Glass 000 -1 40.13 0012:39
72 Nick Bjugstad 000 -1 20.20 2211:08
29 Lenni Hameenaho 000 -1 60.37 0010:05
72 Maxim Tsyplakov 000 0 20.19 1009:01
33 Evgenii Dadonov 000 0 20.02 0008:09
47 Paul Cotter 000 0 30.25 3008:05
Defense
43 Luke Hughes 011 0 90.12 0025:05
71 Simon Nemec 000 0 60.03 0022:54
7 Dougie Hamilton 000 -2 30.01 2118:23
5 Brenden Dillon 000 -1 20.11 7017:37
8 Johnathan Kovacevic 000 -1 10.02 1117:34
71 Jonas Siegenthaler 000 -2 10.02 0216:01
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jacob Markstrom 23419 .826 3.56 -0.44

New York Rangers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
16 Vincent Trocheck 000 0 30.09 3122:07
10 J.T. Miller 101 +1 20.37 1119:10
13 Alexis Lafrenière 011 +1 50.16 0017:52
93 Mika Zibanejad 101 +1 40.46 1017:20
50 Will Cuylle 000 0 30.29 4016:27
94 Gabe Perreault 011 +1 60.38 0014:42
24 Tye Kartye 011 +1 30.25 2114:02
38 Adam Sykora 000 0 00.00 4113:02
43 Conor Sheary 101 +1 50.41 0112:37
42 Noah Laba 000 +1 20.16 3011:54
22 Jonny Brodzinski 000 +1 40.16 2011:50
49 Jaroslav Chmelar 101 +1 40.35 1010:31
Defense
23 Adam Fox 022 +1 20.06 1122:37
44 Vladislav Gavrikov 000 +1 30.32 2322:18
4 Braden Schneider 011 +1 40.03 4318:35
29 Matthew Robertson 000 +1 30.00 1218:32
17 Will Borgen 011 +1 50.05 4018:30
45 Drew Fortescue 000 +1 10.01 0313:48
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Igor Shesterkin 23122 .957 3.21 +2.21

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New Jersey Devils

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
5 Brenden Dillon D +0.89 0.00 +0.07 +1.01 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 17:37
17 Simon Nemec D +0.74 0.00 +0.02 +0.74 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 22:54
42 Maxim Tsyplakov R +0.71 0.00 +0.12 +0.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:01
13 Nico Hischier C +0.54 +0.70 +0.11 -0.28 0.00 +0.01 +0.01 — 19:38
47 Paul Cotter L +0.52 0.00 +0.16 +0.39 -0.03 0.00 0.00 — 8:05
29 Lenni Hameenaho R +0.46 0.00 +0.24 +0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:05
16 Connor Brown R +0.37 +0.75 +0.52 -0.93 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:06
12 Cody Glass C +0.30 0.00 +0.08 +0.19 0.00 +0.05 -0.02 — 12:39
33 Evgenii Dadonov L -0.01 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:09
43 Luke Hughes D -0.08 +0.55 +0.08 -0.73 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 25:05
91 Dawson Mercer C -0.10 0.00 +0.09 -0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:51
72 Nick Bjugstad C -0.13 0.00 +0.13 -0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 11:08
28 Timo Meier R -0.28 0.00 +0.09 -0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 18:29
25 Jacob Markstrom G -0.56 0.00 — — -0.12 — — -0.44 60:00
7 Dougie Hamilton D -0.64 0.00 +0.01 -0.74 +0.15 0.00 -0.05 — 18:23
8 Johnathan Kovacevic D -0.71 0.00 +0.02 -0.95 +0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 17:34
86 Jack Hughes C -0.91 0.00 +0.21 -1.06 0.00 -0.04 -0.02 — 21:58
63 Jesper Bratt L -1.20 0.00 +0.13 -1.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:03
71 Jonas Siegenthaler D -1.38 0.00 +0.02 -1.48 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 16:01

New York Rangers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
31 Igor Shesterkin G +2.33 0.00 — — +0.12 — — +2.21 60:00
93 Mika Zibanejad C +2.18 +0.75 +0.30 +1.17 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 17:20
94 Gabe Perreault R +1.86 +0.70 +0.24 +1.07 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 14:42
23 Adam Fox D +1.78 +1.10 +0.04 +0.59 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 22:37
13 Alexis Lafrenière L +1.77 +0.70 +0.11 +0.98 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 17:52
24 Tye Kartye L +1.64 +0.70 +0.16 +0.75 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 14:02
43 Conor Sheary L +1.61 +0.75 +0.27 +0.42 +0.15 -0.01 +0.03 — 12:37
49 Jaroslav Chmelar R +1.50 +0.75 +0.23 +0.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:31
8 J.T. Miller C +1.43 +0.75 +0.24 +0.52 -0.15 +0.02 +0.05 — 19:10
17 Will Borgen D +1.14 +0.55 +0.03 +0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:30
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D +1.11 0.00 +0.21 +0.77 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 22:18
4 Braden Schneider D +0.83 +0.70 +0.02 -0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 18:35
29 Matthew Robertson D +0.73 0.00 0.00 +0.63 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 18:32
22 Jonny Brodzinski C +0.47 0.00 +0.10 +0.23 +0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 11:50
42 Noah Laba C +0.35 0.00 +0.11 +0.31 0.00 -0.05 -0.02 — 11:54
45 Drew Fortescue D -0.11 0.00 +0.01 -0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 13:48
50 Will Cuylle L -0.83 0.00 +0.19 -0.87 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 16:27
38 Adam Sykora L -0.88 0.00 0.00 -0.93 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:02
16 Vincent Trocheck C -0.97 0.00 +0.06 -1.08 0.00 +0.04 +0.01 — 22:07

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.