| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 |
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 4:20 | Mackie Samoskevich (9) Unassisted · snap xG 0.09 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 7:39 | Sam Bennett (26) A.J. Greer (12) · snap xG 0.17 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 19:33 | Fraser Minten (17) Marat Khusnutdinov (18), David Pastrnak (67) · snap xG 0.38 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| 3rd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| BOS | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.15 | Expected goals | 4.23 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 2.40 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.69 |
| 69 | Shot attempts | 58 |
| 50 | Unblocked attempts | 38 |
| 29 | Shots on goal | 24 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:30 | BOS | No shift | No shift · Reichel, 11:11 on the bench
No shift after 3:25 of the 3rd; 14 shifts (10:03) before that |
| 18:24 | BOS | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Swayman, down 2–1
With 1:36 left |
| 18:45 | FLA | Goalie | Goalie · Bobrovsky +2.1 goals saved
1 goal on 3.08 xG, 29 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 88 | David Pastrnak | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0.37 | 0 | 0 | 24:12 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.35 | 1 | 1 | 19:53 |
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0.43 | 4 | 0 | 18:42 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.20 | 2 | 0 | 17:53 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.46 | 1 | 3 | 15:16 |
| 33 | Viktor Arvidsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.24 | 0 | 1 | 14:37 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 14:06 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 13:46 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | 5 | 2 | 12:42 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.23 | 1 | 1 | 12:23 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | 0 | 1 | 11:09 |
| 76 | Lukas Reichel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 10:03 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.11 | 1 | 2 | 27:37 |
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.01 | 3 | 1 | 18:35 |
| 27 | Hampus Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.14 | 1 | 2 | 18:29 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.03 | 2 | 0 | 17:46 |
| 45 | Jonathan Aspirot | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 17:19 |
| 20 | Henri Jokiharju | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.03 | 1 | 2 | 15:14 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | 24 | 2 | 22 | .917 | 3.18 | +1.18 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 23 | Carter Verhaeghe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.22 | 2 | 0 | 20:11 |
| 9 | Sam Bennett | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1.38 | 0 | 0 | 19:52 |
| 19 | Matthew Tkachuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 0.79 | 1 | 0 | 18:17 |
| 18 | A.J. Greer | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0.59 | 3 | 1 | 16:37 |
| 27 | Eetu Luostarinen | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.09 | 1 | 3 | 15:57 |
| 92 | Tomas Nosek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 14:39 |
| 11 | Mackie Samoskevich | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.35 | 3 | 1 | 13:56 |
| 70 | Jesper Boqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.39 | 2 | 1 | 13:33 |
| 18 | Vinnie Hinostroza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 11:47 |
| 0 | Nolan Foote | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 1 | 2 | 10:56 |
| 73 | Noah Gregor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 10:52 |
| 71 | Luke Kunin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 10:47 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 42 | Gustav Forsling | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 27:13 |
| 3 | Seth Jones | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 26:39 |
| 73 | Donovan Sebrango | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 3 | 0 | 20:29 |
| 22 | Tobias Bjornfot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 16:39 |
| 20 | Mike Benning | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 16:28 |
| 96 | Mikulas Hovorka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 11:08 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky | 29 | 1 | 28 | .966 | 3.15 | +2.15 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jeremy Swayman G | +1.18 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.18 | 58:18 |
| 88 David Pastrnak R | +1.13 | +0.55 | +0.24 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 24:12 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | +1.08 | +0.75 | +0.30 | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.13 | — | 15:16 |
| 73 Charlie McAvoy D | +0.83 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 27:37 |
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | +0.60 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 11:09 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | +0.57 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 12:42 |
| 45 Jonathan Aspirot D | +0.56 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 17:19 |
| 92 Marat Khusnutdinov C | +0.46 | +0.70 | +0.06 | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:46 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.03 | — | 12:23 |
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.28 | -0.07 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 18:42 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:46 |
| 28 Elias Lindholm C | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.23 | -0.46 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:53 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 18:35 |
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 17:53 |
| 71 Viktor Arvidsson L | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 14:37 |
| 11 Casey Mittelstadt C | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 14:06 |
| 75 Lukas Reichel L | -0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:03 |
| 27 Hampus Lindholm D | -0.75 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 18:29 |
| 20 Henri Jokiharju D | -0.97 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 15:14 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72 Sergei Bobrovsky G | +2.15 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.15 | 60:00 |
| 9 Sam Bennett C | +2.09 | +0.75 | +0.90 | +0.47 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 19:52 |
| 10 A.J. Greer L | +1.68 | +0.70 | +0.38 | +0.77 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.01 | — | 16:37 |
| 11 Mackie Samoskevich R | +1.32 | +0.75 | +0.23 | +0.43 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.07 | — | 13:56 |
| 27 Eetu Luostarinen C | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.43 | 0.00 | -0.07 | +0.13 | — | 15:57 |
| 20 Mike Benning D | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 16:28 |
| 19 Matthew Tkachuk L | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.51 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:17 |
| 70 Jesper Boqvist C | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.25 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 13:33 |
| 22 Tobias Bjornfot D | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:39 |
| 42 Gustav Forsling D | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 27:13 |
| 23 Carter Verhaeghe C | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.16 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 20:11 |
| 25 Nolan Foote L | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.07 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 10:56 |
| 6 Donovan Sebrango D | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:29 |
| 3 Seth Jones D | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 26:39 |
| 18 Noah Gregor L | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 10:52 |
| 92 Tomas Nosek L | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 14:39 |
| 24 Vinnie Hinostroza C | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.39 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.12 | — | 11:47 |
| 96 Mikulas Hovorka D | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 11:08 |
| 71 Luke Kunin C | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.44 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 10:47 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.