Monday, April 6, 2026
Playoff odds, %
Change
LAK
+19.8
NSH
-19.3
How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 6, 2026 9:03 PM EDT.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
NSH 68%Deserve to win 32% LAK
NSH LAK
3.61 Expected goals 2.52
2 Goals (no shootout) 2
2.66 Expected goals, 5 on 5 2.34
68 Shot attempts 64
49 Unblocked attempts 44
31 Shots on goal 28
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
2nd Period
18:42
NSH
Deserve to win
Deserve to win · NSH takes the lead, 65–35%
LAK had led since 5:36 of the 1st, by as much as 76%
3rd Period
4:00
NSH
xG swing
xG swing · Out-chanced LAK 1.37–0.00
In xG over 10 minutes, 16:10 of the 2nd to 6:10 of the 3rd; goals 1–0
Shot map
NSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → LAK shoots
Alex Laferriere: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 0:20)
Quinton Byfield: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 0:24)
Alex Laferriere: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 0:35)
Brandt Clarke: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:14)
Joakim Kemell: wrist, 92 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:31)
Jeff Malott: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:02)
Adam Wilsby: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:15)
Zachary L'Heureux: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 4:25)
Quinton Byfield: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:24)
Scott Laughton: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 5:46)
Anze Kopitar: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:09)
Filip Forsberg: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:35)
Luke Evangelista: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 8:00)
Brady Skjei: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:48)
Jonathan Marchessault: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:14)
Drew Doughty: wrist, 134 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 10:46)
Taylor Ward: backhand, 25 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:31)
Taylor Ward: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 11:44)
Jeff Malott: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 11:56)
Jeff Malott: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:06)
Jeff Malott: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 12:08)
Artemi Panarin: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 14:47)
Joel Edmundson: tip-in, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 15:01)
Artemi Panarin: wrist, 84 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 15:26)
Justin Barron: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:21)
Scott Laughton: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:19)
Joel Armia: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 17:33)
Brandt Clarke: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:46)
Matthew Wood: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:04)
Zachary L'Heureux: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:23)
Scott Laughton: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 0:37)
Scott Laughton: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:54)
Roman Josi: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:45)
Joel Edmundson: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 1:53)
Brandt Clarke: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:00)
Brandt Clarke: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:08)
Luke Evangelista: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:34)
Adam Wilsby: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:02)
Roman Josi: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 3:45)
Ryan O'Reilly: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 4:06)
Brandt Clarke: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:07)
Luke Evangelista: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:14)
Reid Schaefer: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:48)
Reid Schaefer: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 6:54)
Fedor Svechkov: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 7:09)
Fedor Svechkov: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 7:11)
Jeff Malott: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 7:47)
Ryan O'Reilly: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 8:18)
Jonathan Marchessault: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 8:25)
Roman Josi: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 8:27)
Anze Kopitar: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 11:39)
Mikey Anderson: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:52)
Quinton Byfield: wrist, 91 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:46)
Samuel Helenius: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:38)
Jared Wright: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 14:14)
Steven Stamkos: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 14:43)
Drew Doughty: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:00)
Jonathan Marchessault: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 15:31)
Jeff Malott: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 16:09)
Nick Perbix: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 16:16)
Brady Skjei: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 16:20)
Brady Skjei: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:25)
Filip Forsberg: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:26)
Filip Forsberg: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:57)
Ryan O'Reilly: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 17:40)
Tyson Jost: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 18:20)
Justin Barron: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.23 (P2 18:39)
Zachary L'Heureux: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.43 (P2 18:42)
Filip Forsberg: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 4:15)
Matthew Wood: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 5:36)
Jeff Malott: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 6:20)
Alex Laferriere: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 7:04)
Jonathan Marchessault: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:10)
Samuel Helenius: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 10:05)
Roman Josi: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 10:44)
Joel Edmundson: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:24)
Ryan O'Reilly: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:37)
Filip Forsberg: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:43)
Ryan Ufko: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:48)
Jared Wright: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 16:54)
Tyson Jost: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:13)
Adam Wilsby: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 18:12)
Alex Laferriere: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 19:19)
Filip Forsberg: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:45)
Erik Haula: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.15 (OT 0:48)
Quinton Byfield: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 1:56)
Artemi Panarin: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 2:34)
Jonathan Marchessault: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.20 (OT 2:52)
Matthew Wood: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (OT 4:37)
Joel Armia: GOAL, wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 5:36)
Steven Stamkos: GOAL, slap, 28 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 4:29)
Scott Laughton: GOAL, wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 13:57)
Roman Josi: GOAL, slap, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 4:18)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Nashville Predators
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Juuse Saros
28 2 26
.929
2.52
+0.52
Los Angeles Kings
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Nashville Predators
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
59 Roman Josi D
+1.84
+1.30
+0.23
+0.35
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
28:09
56 Erik Haula L
+1.81
+0.55
+0.09
+1.10
0.00
-0.08
+0.15
—
15:41
9 Filip Forsberg L
+1.20
+0.70
+0.14
+0.36
0.00
-0.01
+0.01
—
20:41
81 Jonathan Marchessault R
+1.14
0.00
+0.25
+0.73
+0.15
+0.01
0.00
—
19:25
90 Ryan O'Reilly C
+1.04
+0.70
+0.31
-0.06
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
22:10
20 Justin Barron D
+1.02
0.00
+0.17
+0.60
0.00
0.00
+0.25
—
22:00
83 Adam Wilsby D
+0.91
0.00
+0.07
+0.83
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
22:25
91 Steven Stamkos C
+0.85
+0.75
+0.16
-0.06
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
21:38
17 Tyson Jost C
+0.72
0.00
+0.08
+0.60
0.00
-0.01
+0.05
—
13:57
68 Zachary L'Heureux L
+0.64
0.00
+0.31
+0.23
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
13:49
76 Brady Skjei D
+0.54
0.00
+0.02
+0.50
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
22:45
74 Juuse Saros G
+0.52
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.52
65:00
77 Luke Evangelista R
+0.33
0.00
+0.10
+0.23
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
16:41
40 Fedor Svechkov C
-0.10
0.00
+0.09
-0.23
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
10:29
71 Matthew Wood R
-0.45
0.00
+0.17
-0.61
0.00
+0.01
-0.02
—
17:14
49 Reid Schaefer L
-0.67
0.00
+0.08
-0.68
0.00
-0.02
-0.04
—
9:54
85 Ryan Ufko D
-0.67
0.00
0.00
-0.70
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
13:25
48 Nick Perbix D
-0.89
0.00
+0.06
-1.17
+0.15
0.00
+0.08
—
14:26
25 Joakim Kemell R
-1.01
0.00
0.00
-1.01
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
10:11
Los Angeles Kings
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
31 Anton Forsberg G
+1.61
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+1.61
65:00
53 Jared Wright R
+1.52
+0.70
+0.07
+0.75
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
13:22
40 Joel Armia R
+1.23
+0.75
+0.07
+0.39
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
14:56
21 Scott Laughton C
+1.18
+0.75
+0.19
+0.30
-0.15
+0.05
+0.03
—
15:05
39 Jeff Malott L
+1.02
0.00
+0.40
+0.62
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
7:47
92 Brandt Clarke D
+0.80
0.00
+0.06
+0.41
0.00
0.00
+0.33
—
21:29
52 Taylor Ward R
+0.61
0.00
+0.07
+0.53
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
8:31
79 Samuel Helenius C
+0.59
0.00
+0.08
+0.52
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
7:41
6 Joel Edmundson D
+0.56
0.00
+0.16
+0.42
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
20:55
11 Anze Kopitar C
+0.04
0.00
+0.06
-0.12
0.00
+0.07
+0.03
—
19:48
8 Drew Doughty D
-0.14
0.00
+0.01
-0.21
0.00
0.00
+0.06
—
25:14
10 Artemi Panarin L
-0.26
0.00
+0.11
-0.34
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
20:52
5 Cody Ceci D
-0.27
0.00
0.00
-0.37
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
17:45
9 Adrian Kempe R
-0.29
0.00
0.00
-0.27
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
19:21
44 Mikey Anderson D
-0.30
0.00
+0.02
-0.31
-0.15
0.00
+0.15
—
23:31
2 Brian Dumoulin D
-0.33
0.00
0.00
-0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
16:03
12 Trevor Moore L
-0.73
0.00
0.00
-0.76
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
17:43
55 Quinton Byfield R
-0.80
0.00
+0.12
-1.01
0.00
0.00
+0.09
—
20:52
14 Alex Laferriere R
-1.05
0.00
+0.20
-1.22
0.00
-0.01
-0.02
—
20:45
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.