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Calgary FlamesCGY 3–4 Final/OT Dallas StarsDAL

Tuesday, April 7, 2026

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Calgary FlamesCGY 0210 3 20
Dallas StarsDAL 0121 4 25
Playoff odds, % Change
DAL +0.0
CGY +0.0

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 7, 2026 7:18 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
4:30 DAL Justin Hryckowian (13) Thomas Harley (28), Nils Lundkvist (8) · snap xG 0.29 0–1 ▶
12:38 CGY Joel Farabee (19) Adam Klapka (11), Olli Maatta (11) · backhand xG 0.15 1–1 ▶
18:52 CGY Yegor Sharangovich (15) Adam Klapka (12), Zach Whitecloud (12) · snap xG 0.07 2–1 ▶
3rd Period
0:26 CGY Zayne Parekh (3)PP Matt Coronato (24), Matvei Gridin (12) · snap xG 0.09 3–1 ▶
1:16 DAL Wyatt Johnston (42) Mikko Rantanen (53) · snap xG 0.09 3–2 ▶
4:51 DAL Jason Robertson (41) Matt Duchene (24), Tyler Myers (10) · snap xG 0.25 3–3 ▶
Overtime
3:39 DAL Wyatt Johnston (43)PP Jason Robertson (50), Miro Heiskanen (54) · backhand xG 0.21 3–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CGY 22%Deserve to win78% DAL
CGYDAL
2.05Expected goals3.80
3Goals (no shootout)4
1.77Expected goals, 5 on 51.80
48Shot attempts52
31Unblocked attempts37
20Shots on goal25

Shot map

CGY shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ DAL shoots
Jason Robertson: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 0:33) Mavrik Bourque: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:54) Matt Duchene: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 7:04) Jason Robertson: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 7:30) Thomas Harley: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 8:20) Matvei Gridin: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:47) Miro Heiskanen: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 10:52) Wyatt Johnston: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 11:18) Zayne Parekh: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:43) Adam Klapka: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 13:54) Yegor Sharangovich: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 13:55) Morgan Frost: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 15:51) Matvei Gridin: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 16:01) Thomas Harley: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:57) Matt Coronato: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 1:16) Jason Robertson: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:29) Tyler Myers: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 2:54) Thomas Harley: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:27) Zach Whitecloud: snap, 95 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:32) Zayne Parekh: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:23) Jason Robertson: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 10:15) Blake Coleman: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 11:00) Blake Coleman: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 11:17) Matt Coronato: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 11:43) Yegor Sharangovich: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:15) Adam Klapka: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 12:35) Adam Klapka: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 12:36) Matt Duchene: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 13:22) Matt Coronato: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:40) Wyatt Johnston: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 15:39) Matt Duchene: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 16:54) Blake Coleman: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 19:45) Mikko Rantanen: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 0:59) Aydar Suniev: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 2:07) Arttu Hyry: wrist, 94 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:18) Miro Heiskanen: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:26) Yan Kuznetsov: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:17) Jamie Benn: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:18) Matt Coronato: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:37) Tyler Myers: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 6:49) Jason Robertson: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 7:36) Jason Robertson: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 7:37) Joel Farabee: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 12:09) Zayne Parekh: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:24) Mikael Backlund: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 15:17) Blake Coleman: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:25) Mikael Backlund: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 15:38) Joel Farabee: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 16:10) Blake Coleman: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:56) Blake Coleman: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:09) Mavrik Bourque: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:08) Miro Heiskanen: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 0:38) Matt Duchene: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.17 (OT 0:59) Wyatt Johnston: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.23 (OT 1:23) Wyatt Johnston: poke, 6 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 1:24) Matt Duchene: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 1:25) Jason Robertson: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 2:02) Wyatt Johnston: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.23 (OT 2:20) Mikko Rantanen: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 2:36) Mikko Rantanen: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 2:44) Mikko Rantanen: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (OT 3:25) Justin Hryckowian: GOAL, snap, 9 ft, xG 0.29 (P2 4:30) Joel Farabee: GOAL, backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 12:38) Yegor Sharangovich: GOAL, snap, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 18:52) Zayne Parekh: GOAL, snap, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 0:26) Wyatt Johnston: GOAL, snap, 4 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 1:16) Jason Robertson: GOAL, snap, 8 ft, xG 0.25 (P3 4:51) Wyatt Johnston: GOAL, backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.21 (OT 3:39)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Calgary Flames

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
20 Blake Coleman 000 -1 70.48 2122:40
11 Mikael Backlund 000 -1 50.20 0021:38
92 Matvei Gridin 011 -2 30.10 0018:11
27 Matt Coronato 011 -1 40.17 0017:17
16 Morgan Frost 000 -2 10.10 1015:59
86 Joel Farabee 101 -1 30.46 0015:57
17 Yegor Sharangovich 101 +1 40.13 0015:49
47 Connor Zary 000 +2 10.00 0013:48
22 Ryan Strome 000 0 10.00 1013:10
43 Adam Klapka 022 +2 30.22 2009:12
76 Martin Pospisil 000 0 00.00 4007:58
Defense
3 Olli Maatta 011 0 00.00 0230:00
28 Zach Whitecloud 011 0 20.00 0129:52
37 Yan Kuznetsov 000 -1 40.01 1524:04
19 Zayne Parekh 101 0 80.16 1218:50
48 Hunter Brzustewicz 000 -1 00.00 0218:01
7 Kevin Bahl 000 0 00.00 1001:15
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Devin Cooley 25421 .840 3.80 -0.20

Dallas Stars

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
21 Jason Robertson 112 0 90.86 1124:14
53 Wyatt Johnston 202 0 91.09 2122:12
96 Mikko Rantanen 011 +1 60.39 0021:08
22 Mavrik Bourque 000 0 30.08 1019:16
95 Matt Duchene 011 +1 60.62 1018:37
49 Justin Hryckowian 101 +1 10.29 1116:16
25 Arttu Hyry 000 0 20.00 1015:30
10 Oskar Bäck 000 0 10.00 1113:53
14 Jamie Benn 000 0 10.04 0213:47
15 Colin Blackwell 000 0 00.00 1113:25
73 Adam Erne 000 0 10.00 4010:56
Defense
4 Miro Heiskanen 011 0 30.18 0027:09
23 Esa Lindell 000 0 10.00 0120:36
55 Thomas Harley 011 +1 60.11 1020:11
57 Tyler Myers 011 +1 20.13 1214:30
5 Nils Lundkvist 011 +2 10.00 0314:00
6 Lian Bichsel 000 0 00.00 4113:42
46 Ilya Lyubushkin 000 -2 00.00 0209:29
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jake Oettinger 20317 .850 2.05 -0.95

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Calgary Flames

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
43 Adam Klapka R +2.34 +1.40 +0.14 +0.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:12
86 Joel Farabee L +1.19 +0.75 +0.30 +0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:57
19 Zayne Parekh D +1.16 +0.75 +0.10 +0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 18:50
17 Yegor Sharangovich C +1.00 +0.75 +0.08 +0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:49
28 Zach Whitecloud D +0.87 +0.55 0.00 +0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.05 — 29:52
3 Olli Maatta D +0.76 +0.55 0.00 +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 30:00
20 Blake Coleman L +0.60 0.00 +0.31 +0.12 +0.15 -0.03 +0.05 — 22:40
47 Connor Zary C +0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.53 -0.15 +0.01 0.00 — 13:48
27 Matt Coronato R +0.30 +0.70 +0.11 -0.35 -0.15 +0.01 -0.02 — 17:17
92 Matvei Gridin R +0.21 +0.55 +0.07 -0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:11
37 Yan Kuznetsov D -0.01 0.00 +0.01 -0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.27 — 24:04
11 Mikael Backlund C -0.05 0.00 +0.13 -0.05 0.00 -0.07 -0.06 — 21:38
7 Kevin Bahl D -0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 1:15
1 Devin Cooley G -0.20 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.20 63:39
36 Aydar Suniev L -0.27 0.00 +0.02 -0.47 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 11:16
16 Morgan Frost C -0.32 0.00 +0.06 -0.36 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 15:59
76 Martin Pospisil C -0.52 0.00 0.00 -0.37 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 7:58
48 Hunter Brzustewicz D -0.58 0.00 0.00 -0.66 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 18:01
22 Ryan Strome C -0.61 0.00 0.00 -0.28 -0.30 -0.01 -0.02 — 13:10

Dallas Stars

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
21 Jason Robertson L +2.51 +1.45 +0.56 +0.07 +0.45 0.00 -0.01 — 24:14
53 Wyatt Johnston C +2.49 +1.50 +0.71 +0.13 +0.15 -0.01 +0.01 — 22:12
55 Thomas Harley D +1.48 +0.70 +0.07 +0.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:11
95 Matt Duchene C +1.44 +0.70 +0.41 +0.27 0.00 +0.09 -0.02 — 18:37
57 Tyler Myers D +1.37 +0.55 +0.08 +0.83 -0.15 0.00 +0.06 — 14:30
96 Mikko Rantanen R +1.17 +0.70 +0.25 +0.27 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 21:08
5 Nils Lundkvist D +1.10 +0.55 0.00 +0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 14:00
49 Justin Hryckowian C +1.05 +0.75 +0.19 +0.04 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 16:16
6 Lian Bichsel D +0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.23 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 13:42
4 Miro Heiskanen D +0.38 +0.55 +0.12 -0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 27:09
14 Jamie Benn L +0.09 0.00 +0.03 +0.02 0.00 -0.01 +0.06 — 13:47
25 Arttu Hyry R +0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.06 0.00 +0.08 +0.04 — 15:30
10 Oskar Bäck C +0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 13:53
22 Mavrik Bourque C +0.01 0.00 +0.05 -0.03 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 19:16
73 Adam Erne L +0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.02 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 10:56
15 Colin Blackwell C -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.18 0.00 +0.01 +0.07 — 13:25
23 Esa Lindell D -0.62 0.00 0.00 -0.65 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:36
46 Ilya Lyubushkin D -0.91 0.00 0.00 -0.86 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 9:29
29 Jake Oettinger G -0.95 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.95 63:38

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.