Tuesday, April 7, 2026
Playoff odds, %
Change
SEA
-0.0
MIN
+0.0
How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 7, 2026 7:18 PM EDT.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
SEA 48%Deserve to win 52% MIN
SEA MIN
2.69 Expected goals 3.42
2 Goals (no shootout) 5
1.82 Expected goals, 5 on 5 2.56
64 Shot attempts 47
45 Unblocked attempts 35
27 Shots on goal 29
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
15:57
SEA
Pulled goalie
Pulled goalie · Pulled Daccord, down 4–2
With 4:03 left; MIN scored at 17:17 of the 3rd (2–5)
Shot map
SEA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → MIN shoots
Kirill Kaprizov: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:26)
Berkly Catton: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 2:16)
Jaden Schwartz: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:56)
Danila Yurov: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 3:07)
Matty Beniers: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 4:20)
Jared Spurgeon: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:38)
Adam Larsson: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:47)
Jaden Schwartz: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 6:08)
Adam Larsson: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:14)
Matty Beniers: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:08)
Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:12)
Jared Spurgeon: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:36)
Jared McCann: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 8:29)
Matty Beniers: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 8:50)
Chandler Stephenson: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 9:10)
Jared McCann: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:24)
Kirill Kaprizov: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 10:57)
Brock Faber: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 11:03)
Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 11:54)
Matty Beniers: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 12:17)
Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:33)
Adam Larsson: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:18)
Jaden Schwartz: backhand, 46 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 14:59)
Adam Larsson: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 15:03)
Adam Larsson: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:43)
Brandon Montour: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:32)
Kirill Kaprizov: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 19:24)
Bobby McMann: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 19:32)
Quinn Hughes: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:32)
Marcus Johansson: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:20)
Oscar Fisker Molgaard: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:55)
Jonas Brodin: wrist, 158 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:05)
Jared Spurgeon: snap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:20)
Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:59)
Jaden Schwartz: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 5:50)
Jaden Schwartz: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 5:56)
Ryan Hartman: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 9:26)
Eeli Tolvanen: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 9:35)
Ryan Hartman: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:43)
Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 10:33)
Kirill Kaprizov: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 11:32)
Kirill Kaprizov: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 12:07)
Ryan Hartman: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 12:43)
Mats Zuccarello: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 14:47)
Vince Dunn: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:51)
Adam Larsson: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 16:11)
Jared McCann: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:50)
Brandon Montour: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:08)
Bobby McMann: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 17:14)
Berkly Catton: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:47)
Jordan Eberle: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 18:51)
Bobby McMann: backhand, 29 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:55)
Marcus Foligno: wrist, 99 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 0:08)
Matty Beniers: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 1:26)
Vince Dunn: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:31)
Berkly Catton: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:55)
Jonas Brodin: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 2:45)
Brock Faber: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 4:36)
Jared McCann: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:23)
Ryan Hartman: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 10:04)
Kirill Kaprizov: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.23 (P3 10:07)
Bobby McMann: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:07)
Yakov Trenin: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:37)
Michael McCarron: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:38)
Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:04)
Bobby McMann: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:30)
Jared McCann: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 16:14)
Chandler Stephenson: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 16:25)
Jared McCann: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 16:34)
Eeli Tolvanen: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 17:36)
Eeli Tolvanen: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:38)
Michael McCarron: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:26)
Marcus Foligno: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 18:35)
Brandon Montour: GOAL, slap, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:23)
Matt Boldy: GOAL, tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 11:57)
Adam Larsson: GOAL, snap, 32 ft, xG 0.24 (P1 13:10)
Marcus Foligno: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.23 (P2 0:38)
Vladimir Tarasenko: GOAL, wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.28 (P2 12:46)
Marcus Johansson: GOAL, wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 6:49)
Joel Eriksson Ek: GOAL, wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.64 (P3 17:17)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Seattle Kraken
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Joey Daccord
28 4 24
.857
2.78
-1.22
Minnesota Wild
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Seattle Kraken
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
6 Adam Larsson D
+1.16
+0.75
+0.23
+0.15
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
22:18
74 Bobby McMann C
+0.71
0.00
+0.26
+0.50
0.00
-0.01
-0.04
—
18:26
84 Kaapo Kakko R
+0.65
+0.70
0.00
-0.05
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
14:41
17 Jaden Schwartz L
+0.49
+0.55
+0.30
-0.33
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
16:27
10 Matty Beniers C
+0.49
0.00
+0.22
+0.25
0.00
-0.03
+0.05
—
18:56
29 Vince Dunn D
+0.41
0.00
+0.04
+0.27
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
22:18
7 Jordan Eberle R
+0.33
0.00
+0.05
+0.22
0.00
+0.01
+0.05
—
18:26
27 Berkly Catton C
+0.27
0.00
+0.10
+0.04
+0.15
+0.02
-0.04
—
13:46
9 Chandler Stephenson C
+0.10
+0.70
+0.10
-0.90
+0.15
+0.03
+0.02
—
16:02
78 Oscar Fisker Molgaard C
+0.02
0.00
+0.02
+0.06
0.00
-0.01
-0.04
—
9:31
62 Brandon Montour D
-0.30
+0.75
+0.07
-1.17
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
19:43
59 Ben Meyers C
-0.31
0.00
0.00
-0.31
0.00
+0.02
-0.02
—
13:11
19 Jared McCann L
-0.42
0.00
+0.21
-0.58
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
17:55
55 Ryan Lindgren D
-0.51
0.00
0.00
-0.61
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
15:14
20 Eeli Tolvanen R
-0.64
0.00
+0.13
-0.77
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
10:43
24 Jamie Oleksiak D
-0.75
0.00
+0.03
-0.78
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
14:08
89 Frederick Gaudreau C
-0.75
0.00
0.00
-0.72
0.00
-0.03
0.00
—
16:44
41 Ryker Evans D
-0.86
0.00
0.00
-0.84
-0.15
0.00
+0.13
—
19:23
35 Joey Daccord G
-1.22
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-1.22
58:08
Minnesota Wild
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C
+2.84
+2.00
+0.50
+0.25
0.00
-0.01
+0.10
—
13:09
46 Jared Spurgeon D
+2.33
+0.55
+0.06
+1.55
0.00
0.00
+0.17
—
18:29
90 Marcus Johansson L
+2.24
+1.30
+0.13
+0.81
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
12:12
38 Ryan Hartman R
+1.80
+0.70
+0.28
+0.82
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
18:27
12 Matt Boldy L
+1.78
+1.45
+0.07
+0.25
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
14:29
17 Marcus Foligno L
+1.67
+0.75
+0.23
+0.61
0.00
0.00
+0.09
—
12:52
13 Yakov Trenin C
+1.07
+0.70
0.00
+0.40
0.00
-0.01
-0.02
—
12:34
25 Jonas Brodin D
+1.03
0.00
+0.05
+0.94
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
18:59
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R
+0.89
+0.75
+0.22
+0.04
-0.15
0.00
+0.03
—
11:40
7 Brock Faber D
+0.88
0.00
+0.07
+0.94
-0.15
0.00
+0.03
—
23:10
30 Jesper Wallstedt G
+0.69
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.69
60:00
43 Quinn Hughes D
+0.66
0.00
+0.02
+0.56
0.00
0.00
+0.07
—
25:19
97 Kirill Kaprizov L
+0.63
0.00
+0.43
+0.25
0.00
0.00
-0.06
—
20:58
47 Michael McCarron C
+0.56
0.00
+0.03
+0.54
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
14:22
36 Mats Zuccarello R
+0.08
0.00
+0.05
+0.19
-0.15
-0.01
0.00
—
18:28
10 Bobby Brink R
-0.16
0.00
0.00
-0.32
+0.15
+0.01
0.00
—
12:29
22 Danila Yurov R
-0.36
0.00
+0.08
-0.49
0.00
+0.02
+0.03
—
11:53
2 Jeff Petry D
-0.72
0.00
0.00
-0.79
0.00
0.00
+0.07
—
15:00
5 Jake Middleton D
-0.92
0.00
0.00
-0.97
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
17:30
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.