Edmonton OilersEDM 5–6 Final/OT Utah MammothUTA

Tuesday, April 7, 2026

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Edmonton OilersEDM 3110 5 26
Utah MammothUTA 1311 6 31
Playoff odds, % Change
EDM -1.8
UTA +1.7

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 7, 2026 9:22 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
1:53 UTA JJ Peterka (24) Ian Cole (20), Michael Carcone (14) · slap xG 0.06 0–1 ▶
2:04 EDM Curtis Lazar (4) Adam Henrique (12), Mattias Ekholm (34) · backhand xG 0.16 1–1 ▶
8:56 EDM Connor McDavid (44)PP Evan Bouchard (68), Tristan Jarry (1) · wrist xG 0.18 2–1 ▶
14:43 EDM Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (19) Kasperi Kapanen (9) · snap xG 0.12 3–1 ▶
2nd Period
10:28 UTA Nick Schmaltz (29) Clayton Keller (54), Lawson Crouse (20) · slap xG 0.19 3–2 ▶
15:19 UTA Logan Cooley (23) Dylan Guenther (30), Sean Durzi (21) · slap xG 0.05 3–3 ▶
16:06 EDM Vasily Podkolzin (18) Darnell Nurse (16), Connor McDavid (84) · backhand xG 0.20 4–3 ▶
19:24 UTA Nick Schmaltz (30)SH John Marino (31), Alexander Kerfoot (6) · snap xG 0.10 4–4 ▶
3rd Period
2:09 EDM Colton Dach (4) Trent Frederic (3), Jason Dickinson (10) · snap xG 0.18 5–4 ▶
12:56 UTA Alexander Kerfoot (6) Sean Durzi (22), Michael Carcone (15) · tip-in xG 0.10 5–5 ▶
Overtime
0:33 UTA Clayton Keller (26)PP Mikhail Sergachev (46), Dylan Guenther (31) · snap xG 0.14 5–6 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

EDM 28%Deserve to win72% UTA
EDMUTA
2.67Expected goals4.14
5Goals (no shootout)6
2.26Expected goals, 5 on 53.07
45Shot attempts81
37Unblocked attempts64
26Shots on goal31

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
14:43 UTA Goalie Goalie · Vejmelka −2.1 goals saved
3 goals on 0.93 xG, 6 shots on goal
15:23 UTA Deserve to win Deserve to win · UTA takes the lead, 61–39%
EDM had led since 4:21 of the 1st, by as much as 64%
2nd Period
17:30 UTA No shift No shift · DeSimone, 30:01 on the bench
No shift after 3:14 of the 2nd; 5 shifts (3:19) before that

Shot map

EDM shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ UTA shoots
Colton Dach: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 0:40) Michael Carcone: tip-in, 32 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:25) JJ Peterka: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:33) Ian Cole: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:17) Lawson Crouse: bat, 17 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:18) Jason Dickinson: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 4:21) Brandon Tanev: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 5:30) Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 8:17) Nick Schmaltz: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 8:26) Michael Carcone: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:05) Colton Dach: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:24) Darnell Nurse: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 9:29) Trent Frederic: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 9:37) Logan Cooley: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:50) MacKenzie Weegar: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:00) Sean Durzi: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 10:21) Ian Cole: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 10:23) Michael Carcone: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:00) Lawson Crouse: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:56) Kailer Yamamoto: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 12:41) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 100 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 12:47) Sean Durzi: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:13) Kevin Stenlund: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 15:16) Clayton Keller: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.29 (P1 15:19) Nick Schmaltz: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:23) Connor McDavid: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 15:48) Logan Cooley: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 16:30) Dylan Guenther: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 16:54) Lawson Crouse: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 17:53) Dylan Guenther: backhand, 48 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:47) Clayton Keller: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:19) Darnell Nurse: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:29) Jake Walman: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:51) Jake Walman: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:57) Trent Frederic: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 1:51) Mattias Ekholm: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:01) Brandon Tanev: tip-in, 82 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:33) Brandon Tanev: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 4:42) Nick Schmaltz: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 4:49) Connor McDavid: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 5:56) Ty Emberson: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:43) JJ Peterka: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 7:19) Nick Schmaltz: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 8:06) Clayton Keller: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 8:17) Lawson Crouse: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 8:44) JJ Peterka: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 9:29) Jason Dickinson: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:07) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 11:50) Kasperi Kapanen: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 12:37) Vasily Podkolzin: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 12:49) Darnell Nurse: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:55) Jason Dickinson: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:56) Colton Dach: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 12:58) Evan Bouchard: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 13:30) Kailer Yamamoto: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:52) Colton Dach: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:48) Dylan Guenther: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 17:31) Connor McDavid: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:13) Mikhail Sergachev: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:33) Mikhail Sergachev: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 19:36) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 0:55) Colton Dach: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 2:07) Sean Durzi: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:22) Kailer Yamamoto: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 2:29) Clayton Keller: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:44) Kasperi Kapanen: backhand, 85 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:29) Logan Cooley: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 3:38) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:41) Dylan Guenther: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 4:00) Adam Henrique: backhand, 83 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 5:19) Connor McDavid: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 6:20) Alexander Kerfoot: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:30) JJ Peterka: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:40) Alexander Kerfoot: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 7:21) Dylan Guenther: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:32) Mikhail Sergachev: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:49) Lawson Crouse: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 8:55) MacKenzie Weegar: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:00) Kevin Stenlund: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 11:02) Matt Savoie: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 11:40) Mikhail Sergachev: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:49) Jason Dickinson: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:05) Dylan Guenther: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:14) Dylan Guenther: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 14:22) John Marino: backhand, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:38) Logan Cooley: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:19) Dylan Guenther: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:24) JJ Peterka: backhand, 31 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:36) Jason Dickinson: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:37) JJ Peterka: tip-in, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:46) JJ Peterka: GOAL, slap, 27 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 1:53) Curtis Lazar: GOAL, backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 2:04) Connor McDavid: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 8:56) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: GOAL, snap, 31 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 14:43) Nick Schmaltz: GOAL, slap, 21 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 10:28) Logan Cooley: GOAL, slap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:19) Vasily Podkolzin: GOAL, backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 16:06) Nick Schmaltz: GOAL, snap, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 19:24) Colton Dach: GOAL, snap, 24 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 2:09) Alexander Kerfoot: GOAL, tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 12:56) Clayton Keller: GOAL, snap, 31 ft, xG 0.14 (OT 0:33)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Edmonton Oilers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Connor McDavid 112 -1 50.42 0022:05
22 Matt Savoie 000 0 40.05 0019:44
96 Jack Roslovic 000 -3 00.00 0317:12
42 Kasperi Kapanen 011 -1 20.08 2016:58
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 101 -2 30.29 0016:51
92 Vasily Podkolzin 101 +1 20.25 3115:43
16 Jason Dickinson 011 0 50.32 2015:20
10 Trent Frederic 011 +1 20.09 1014:44
34 Colton Dach 101 +1 60.72 5014:01
19 Adam Henrique 011 -1 10.00 0111:36
20 Curtis Lazar 101 0 10.16 3007:51
46 Max Jones 000 +1 10.00 1007:26
Defense
5 Connor Murphy 000 +1 10.00 3223:44
25 Darnell Nurse 011 +2 50.05 2223:15
2 Evan Bouchard 011 -1 10.13 0122:33
14 Mattias Ekholm 011 +1 30.06 0120:20
96 Jake Walman 000 -2 20.02 0015:10
49 Ty Emberson 000 -2 10.03 2213:06
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Tristan Jarry 31625 .806 4.14 -1.86

Utah Mammoth

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
67 Lawson Crouse 011 0 70.36 5021:01
9 Clayton Keller 112 0 50.55 0019:35
8 Nick Schmaltz 202 +1 70.67 0019:23
92 Logan Cooley 101 +1 50.25 2018:28
11 Dylan Guenther 022 +1 110.45 1018:10
56 Kailer Yamamoto 000 0 30.31 4117:10
14 Alexander Kerfoot 112 +1 40.15 0017:04
10 JJ Peterka 101 0 70.44 0016:37
53 Michael Carcone 022 0 30.09 2015:11
82 Kevin Stenlund 000 -1 30.32 0111:11
13 Brandon Tanev 000 -1 40.16 2007:09
Defense
98 Mikhail Sergachev 011 0 40.20 0225:34
52 MacKenzie Weegar 000 0 20.04 2118:59
6 John Marino 011 0 30.02 0018:36
28 Ian Cole 011 +2 30.01 0117:50
88 Nate Schmidt 000 -1 20.00 1017:13
5 Sean Durzi 022 +2 70.13 0015:24
57 Nick DeSimone 000 -1 10.00 0003:19
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Karel Vejmelka 26521 .808 2.67 -2.33

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Edmonton Oilers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
34 Colton Dach C +2.34 +0.75 +0.47 +1.15 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:01
97 Connor McDavid C +2.01 +1.30 +0.28 +0.22 +0.15 +0.06 0.00 — 22:05
92 Vasily Podkolzin R +1.68 +0.75 +0.16 +0.56 +0.15 +0.01 +0.05 — 15:43
10 Trent Frederic C +1.51 +0.70 +0.06 +0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:44
16 Jason Dickinson C +1.45 +0.55 +0.21 +0.63 0.00 +0.06 0.00 — 15:20
14 Mattias Ekholm D +1.14 +0.55 +0.04 +0.52 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:20
25 Darnell Nurse D +0.88 +0.70 +0.03 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 23:15
2 Evan Bouchard D +0.56 +0.70 +0.08 -0.04 -0.15 0.00 -0.03 — 22:33
20 Curtis Lazar C +0.09 +0.75 +0.10 -0.89 +0.15 -0.02 0.00 — 7:51
22 Matt Savoie C -0.07 0.00 +0.03 +0.03 -0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 19:44
42 Kasperi Kapanen R -0.13 +0.70 +0.05 -0.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:58
19 Adam Henrique C -0.21 +0.70 0.00 -0.95 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 11:36
5 Connor Murphy D -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 23:44
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C -0.28 +0.75 +0.19 -1.18 0.00 -0.04 0.00 — 16:51
46 Max Jones L -0.70 0.00 0.00 -0.68 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 7:26
96 Jake Walman D -0.86 0.00 +0.01 -0.85 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:10
28 Jack Roslovic C -1.18 0.00 0.00 -1.28 0.00 -0.01 +0.11 — 17:12
35 Tristan Jarry G -1.31 +0.55 — — 0.00 — — -1.86 60:33
49 Ty Emberson D -1.32 0.00 +0.02 -1.27 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 13:06

Utah Mammoth

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
9 Clayton Keller R +2.77 +1.45 +0.35 +1.11 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 19:35
8 Nick Schmaltz C +2.30 +1.50 +0.44 +0.41 0.00 +0.01 -0.06 — 19:23
50 Sean Durzi D +2.15 +1.25 +0.08 +0.83 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:24
11 Dylan Guenther R +1.78 +1.25 +0.29 +0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 18:10
28 Ian Cole D +1.56 +0.70 +0.01 +0.79 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 17:50
15 Alexander Kerfoot C +1.47 +1.30 +0.10 +0.04 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 17:04
67 Lawson Crouse L +1.33 +0.55 +0.24 +0.57 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 21:01
92 Logan Cooley C +1.17 +0.75 +0.16 +0.16 +0.15 -0.05 0.00 — 18:28
6 John Marino D +0.91 +0.70 +0.01 +0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:36
53 Michael Carcone L +0.91 +1.10 +0.06 -0.36 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 15:11
77 JJ Peterka R +0.81 +0.75 +0.28 -0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 16:37
98 Mikhail Sergachev D +0.69 +0.70 +0.13 -0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 25:34
13 Brandon Tanev L +0.67 0.00 +0.10 +0.62 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 7:09
56 Kailer Yamamoto R +0.40 0.00 +0.20 +0.01 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 17:10
82 Kevin Stenlund C +0.34 0.00 +0.21 +0.13 0.00 -0.01 +0.01 — 11:11
88 Nate Schmidt D +0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 17:13
57 Nick DeSimone D +0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 3:19
52 MacKenzie Weegar D -0.66 0.00 +0.03 -0.40 -0.30 0.00 +0.01 — 18:59
70 Karel Vejmelka G -2.33 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.33 60:06

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.