Tampa Bay LightningTBL 1–2 Final Montréal CanadiensMTL

Thursday, April 9, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Tampa Bay LightningTBL 001 1 18
Montréal CanadiensMTL 011 2 21
Playoff odds, % Change
TBL +0.0
MTL +0.0

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 9, 2026 6:48 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
6:30 MTL Cole Caufield (50) Nick Suzuki (69), Juraj Slafkovský (41) · snap xG 0.10 0–1 ▶
3rd Period
18:09 TBL Darren Raddysh (22) Nikita Kucherov (85), Gage Goncalves (21) · snap xG 0.06 1–1 ▶
18:56 MTL Juraj Slafkovský (30) Nick Suzuki (70) · snap xG 0.40 1–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

TBL 24%Deserve to win76% MTL
TBLMTL
1.88Expected goals4.14
1Goals (no shootout)2
0.74Expected goals, 5 on 51.78
36Shot attempts59
27Unblocked attempts43
18Shots on goal21

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
10:00 MTL xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced TBL 1.38–0.00
In xG over 10 minutes, 0:40 to 10:40 of the 1st; neither team scored
3rd Period
17:50 TBL Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Vasilevskiy, down 1–0
With 2:10 left; TBL scored at 18:09 of the 3rd (1–1)
19:05 TBL Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Vasilevskiy, down 2–1
With 0:55 left

Shot map

TBL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ MTL shoots
Cole Caufield: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:14) Juraj Slafkovský: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 3:36) Juraj Slafkovský: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 3:44) Nick Suzuki: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 3:59) Cole Caufield: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 4:10) Juraj Slafkovský: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 6:01) Cole Caufield: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 6:21) Cole Caufield: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:22) Ivan Demidov: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 6:41) Juraj Slafkovský: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 6:58) Lane Hutson: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 7:08) Nick Suzuki: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 7:16) Oliver Kapanen: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 7:53) Phillip Danault: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:23) Cole Caufield: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:39) Jake Guentzel: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.25 (P1 11:24) Corey Perry: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 13:06) Jake Guentzel: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 13:48) Phillip Danault: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 15:04) Erik Cernak: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:23) Mike Matheson: slap, 109 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 16:33) Josh Anderson: slap, 141 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 17:36) Cole Caufield: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:55) Nick Suzuki: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:56) Jayden Struble: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:03) Cole Caufield: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:32) Jake Guentzel: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 4:21) Jakob Pelletier: deflected, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 5:14) Ryan McDonagh: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:15) Anthony Cirelli: tip-in, 77 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:00) Lane Hutson: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 7:10) Yanni Gourde: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 7:32) Alexandre Texier: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:23) Alexandre Texier: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 10:39) Alex Newhook: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 10:44) Cole Caufield: tip-in, 29 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:47) Darren Raddysh: snap, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:12) Gage Goncalves: snap, 148 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 13:00) Alex Newhook: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 13:44) Noah Dobson: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:15) Jake Evans: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 14:58) Brayden Point: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 17:30) Juraj Slafkovský: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 18:02) Noah Dobson: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:28) Ivan Demidov: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 0:19) Oliver Kapanen: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 0:30) Nikita Kucherov: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 0:47) Corey Perry: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 2:49) J.J. Moser: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:43) Yanni Gourde: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:54) Jayden Struble: snap, 71 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:15) Gage Goncalves: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:35) Nick Suzuki: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 9:14) Nikita Kucherov: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:23) Adam Engstrom: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 10:01) Corey Perry: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 14:37) Jake Guentzel: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 14:38) Joseph Veleno: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 14:49) Darren Raddysh: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:03) Darren Raddysh: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:42) Darren Raddysh: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:52) Nikita Kucherov: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 16:03) Juraj Slafkovský: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:00) Charle-Edouard D'Astous: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 18:01) Jake Evans: backhand, 51 ft, xG 0.42 (P3 19:12) Darren Raddysh: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:39) Nick Suzuki: backhand, 110 ft, xG 0.32 (P3 19:58) Cole Caufield: GOAL, snap, 24 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 6:30) Darren Raddysh: GOAL, snap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 18:09) Juraj Slafkovský: GOAL, snap, 9 ft, xG 0.40 (P3 18:56)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Tampa Bay Lightning

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
59 Jake Guentzel 000 -1 40.66 0026:38
86 Nikita Kucherov 011 0 30.23 1023:12
21 Brayden Point 000 0 20.16 0021:22
71 Anthony Cirelli 000 0 10.00 3220:28
93 Gage Goncalves 011 0 40.03 1118:19
37 Yanni Gourde 000 -1 40.12 6014:05
90 Corey Perry 000 +1 30.23 0013:17
28 Zemgus Girgensons 000 0 00.00 1112:25
28 Oliver Bjorkstrand 000 0 00.00 3010:46
20 Nick Paul 000 -1 20.00 3107:38
22 Jakob Pelletier 000 0 10.07 0107:06
Defense
27 Ryan McDonagh 000 0 30.01 1222:47
81 Erik Cernak 000 -1 10.03 4222:05
90 J.J. Moser 000 -1 10.01 2020:41
78 Emil Lilleberg 000 -1 00.00 4118:43
43 Darren Raddysh 101 +1 60.24 0113:59
51 Charle-Edouard D'Astous 000 0 10.09 0009:12
72 Declan Carlile 000 0 00.00 0105:02
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Andrei Vasilevskiy 21219 .905 3.39 +1.39

Montréal Canadiens

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Nick Suzuki 022 +1 70.67 1022:25
20 Juraj Slafkovský 112 +1 100.96 2021:23
93 Ivan Demidov 000 0 20.18 0019:14
15 Alex Newhook 000 0 40.23 1018:56
13 Cole Caufield 101 +2 100.60 1017:56
77 Kirby Dach 000 0 00.00 5014:38
91 Oliver Kapanen 000 0 20.22 1013:03
24 Phillip Danault 000 0 20.14 1012:40
17 Josh Anderson 000 -1 10.00 1112:32
71 Jake Evans 000 0 20.60 1012:29
90 Joseph Veleno 000 0 10.09 4010:44
85 Alexandre Texier 000 0 30.13 1009:03
Defense
48 Lane Hutson 000 +1 30.15 1229:17
8 Mike Matheson 000 +1 20.00 0125:39
53 Noah Dobson 000 0 30.06 4122:55
3 Jayden Struble 000 0 30.02 5311:09
42 Adam Engstrom 000 0 20.08 1109:12
72 Arber Xhekaj 000 0 20.00 4008:45
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jakub Dobes 18117 .944 1.88 +0.88

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
88 Andrei Vasilevskiy G +1.39 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.39 58:15
43 Darren Raddysh D +0.99 +0.75 +0.16 +0.11 -0.10 0.00 +0.07 — 13:59
10 Corey Perry R +0.61 0.00 +0.15 +0.16 +0.30 0.00 0.00 — 13:17
86 Nikita Kucherov R +0.30 +0.70 +0.15 -0.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 23:12
93 Gage Goncalves C +0.25 +0.55 +0.02 -0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:19
11 Jakob Pelletier L -0.04 0.00 +0.04 -0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 7:06
78 Emil Lilleberg D -0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.09 +0.04 0.00 +0.01 — 18:43
51 Charle-Edouard D'Astous D -0.05 0.00 +0.06 -0.19 +0.08 0.00 0.00 — 9:12
67 Declan Carlile D -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 5:02
59 Jake Guentzel C -0.18 0.00 +0.43 -0.60 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 26:38
20 Nick Paul L -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.38 +0.04 +0.01 +0.05 — 7:38
28 Zemgus Girgensons C -0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 12:25
21 Brayden Point C -0.35 0.00 +0.11 -0.35 -0.05 -0.02 -0.04 — 21:22
71 Anthony Cirelli C -0.42 0.00 0.00 -0.34 -0.15 +0.01 +0.06 — 20:28
27 Ryan McDonagh D -0.63 0.00 +0.01 -0.72 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 22:47
22 Oliver Bjorkstrand R -0.70 0.00 0.00 -0.55 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 10:46
90 J.J. Moser D -0.76 0.00 +0.01 -0.59 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 20:41
81 Erik Cernak D -1.13 0.00 +0.02 -1.21 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 22:05
37 Yanni Gourde C -1.18 0.00 +0.08 -0.92 -0.30 -0.01 -0.02 — 14:05

Montréal Canadiens

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
14 Nick Suzuki C +3.17 +1.40 +0.44 +1.18 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 22:25
20 Juraj Slafkovský L +3.09 +1.30 +0.62 +1.18 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 21:23
13 Cole Caufield R +2.32 +0.75 +0.39 +1.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:56
48 Lane Hutson D +1.69 0.00 +0.10 +1.52 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 29:17
47 Jayden Struble D +1.03 0.00 +0.01 +0.60 +0.26 0.00 +0.15 — 11:09
8 Mike Matheson D +0.95 0.00 0.00 +0.77 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 25:39
75 Jakub Dobes G +0.93 0.00 — — +0.05 — — +0.88 60:00
15 Alex Newhook C +0.57 0.00 +0.15 +0.26 +0.15 +0.01 0.00 — 18:56
17 Josh Anderson R +0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.46 +0.08 0.00 +0.01 — 12:32
71 Jake Evans C +0.55 0.00 +0.39 +0.04 +0.10 +0.02 0.00 — 12:29
91 Oliver Kapanen C +0.30 0.00 +0.14 +0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:03
42 Adam Engstrom D +0.27 0.00 +0.05 +0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 9:12
90 Joseph Veleno C +0.08 0.00 +0.06 +0.08 -0.04 0.00 -0.02 — 10:44
93 Ivan Demidov R +0.05 0.00 +0.12 +0.27 -0.30 0.00 -0.04 — 19:14
72 Arber Xhekaj D +0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.21 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 8:45
77 Kirby Dach C -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:38
24 Phillip Danault C -0.09 0.00 +0.09 -0.17 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 12:40
85 Alexandre Texier L -0.16 0.00 +0.08 -0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:03
53 Noah Dobson D -0.29 0.00 +0.04 -0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 22:55

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.