Minnesota WildMIN 4–5 Final Dallas StarsDAL

Thursday, April 9, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Minnesota WildMIN	2	2	0	4	31
Dallas StarsDAL	1	2	2	5	20

Playoff odds, %	Change
DAL	+0.0
MIN	+0.0

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 9, 2026 8:52 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
4:26	DAL	Wyatt Johnston (44) Justin Hryckowian (15), Mikko Rantanen (54) · snap xG 0.23	0–1 ▶
13:02	MIN	Quinn Hughes (7) Mats Zuccarello (37) · snap xG 0.11	1–1 ▶
19:44	MIN	Kirill Kaprizov (44)PP Matt Boldy (42), Mats Zuccarello (38) · tip-in xG 0.10	2–1 ▶
2nd Period
6:39	MIN	Kirill Kaprizov (45)PP Matt Boldy (43), Mats Zuccarello (39) · snap xG 0.47	3–1 ▶
8:03	DAL	Colin Blackwell (4) Esa Lindell (24) · snap xG 0.18	3–2 ▶
16:16	DAL	Cameron Hughes (1) Colin Blackwell (11), Oskar Bäck (7) · snap xG 0.44	3–3 ▶
19:49	MIN	Ryan Hartman (23)PP Jared Spurgeon (16), Quinn Hughes (69) · tip-in xG 0.20	4–3 ▶
3rd Period
4:28	DAL	Mikko Rantanen (22) Thomas Harley (29), Wyatt Johnston (40) · deflected xG 0.12	4–4 ▶
10:35	DAL	Jason Robertson (42) Esa Lindell (25) · wrist xG 0.10	4–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

MIN 71%Deserve to win29% DAL

MIN		DAL
3.16	Expected goals	2.00
4	Goals (no shootout)	5
1.80	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.79
60	Shot attempts	41
44	Unblocked attempts	30
31	Shots on goal	20

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
6:40	MIN	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced DAL 1.35–0.26 In xG over 10 minutes, 16:40 of the 1st to 6:40 of the 2nd; goals 2–0
12:20	DAL	No shift	No shift · Heiskanen, 31:24 on the bench No shift after 16:37 of the 1st; 8 shifts (5:45) before that
3rd Period
4:28	MIN	Goalie	Goalie · Gustavsson −2.1 goals saved 4 goals on 1.87 xG, 18 shots on goal
18:08	MIN	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Gustavsson, down 5–4 With 1:52 left

Shot map

MIN shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ DAL shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Minnesota Wild

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
97	Kirill Kaprizov	2	0	2	0	6	0.70	3	0	23:00
12	Matt Boldy	0	2	2	-1	7	0.36	2	0	20:47
36	Mats Zuccarello	0	3	3	0	3	0.04	0	0	18:12
14	Joel Eriksson Ek	0	0	0	-1	10	0.44	1	1	18:10
91	Vladimir Tarasenko	0	0	0	0	6	0.11	0	2	14:55
38	Ryan Hartman	1	0	1	0	3	0.27	1	1	14:37
22	Danila Yurov	0	0	0	-1	2	0.00	0	0	14:14
90	Marcus Johansson	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	3	0	13:50
13	Yakov Trenin	0	0	0	0	3	0.57	5	1	12:53
17	Marcus Foligno	0	0	0	-3	3	0.30	5	0	10:39
71	Nick Foligno	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	10:07
47	Michael McCarron	0	0	0	-2	3	0.04	1	1	09:55
Defense
43	Quinn Hughes	1	1	2	-2	4	0.26	0	1	31:51
7	Brock Faber	0	0	0	-2	6	0.05	1	0	24:38
46	Jared Spurgeon	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	1	1	17:23
25	Jonas Brodin	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	16:35
2	Jeff Petry	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	0	0	12:04
55	Jake Middleton	0	0	0	-2	2	0.00	1	1	11:55

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Filip Gustavsson	20	5	15	.750	2.00	-3.00

Dallas Stars

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
96	Mikko Rantanen	1	1	2	+2	3	0.16	3	1	17:42
49	Justin Hryckowian	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	0	0	17:24
22	Mavrik Bourque	0	0	0	+1	4	0.01	4	0	17:00
53	Wyatt Johnston	1	1	2	+2	3	0.40	0	0	16:53
21	Jason Robertson	1	0	1	+1	3	0.16	0	1	16:14
25	Arttu Hyry	0	0	0	-1	2	0.00	2	1	15:10
95	Matt Duchene	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	0	0	14:20
10	Oskar Bäck	0	1	1	+2	3	0.02	0	0	13:24
14	Jamie Benn	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	2	1	12:55
73	Adam Erne	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	1	0	10:35
15	Colin Blackwell	1	1	2	+2	6	0.33	0	1	09:56
34	Cameron Hughes	1	0	1	+2	1	0.44	1	0	08:57
Defense
55	Thomas Harley	0	1	1	+2	3	0.05	1	0	25:17
23	Esa Lindell	0	2	2	+4	3	0.08	0	2	25:03
57	Tyler Myers	0	0	0	+2	1	0.04	2	2	22:38
6	Lian Bichsel	0	0	0	0	3	0.05	1	1	20:27
46	Ilya Lyubushkin	0	0	0	+1	2	0.00	1	3	20:06
4	Miro Heiskanen	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	05:45

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jake Oettinger	31	4	27	.871	3.16	-0.84

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Minnesota Wild

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
36 Mats Zuccarello R	+2.14	+1.80	+0.02	+0.30	0.00	-0.01	+0.02	—	18:12
97 Kirill Kaprizov L	+2.08	+1.50	+0.45	+0.12	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	23:00
12 Matt Boldy L	+1.73	+1.40	+0.24	-0.02	+0.15	-0.04	0.00	—	20:47
38 Ryan Hartman R	+1.63	+0.75	+0.18	+0.35	+0.30	+0.03	+0.03	—	14:37
43 Quinn Hughes D	+1.33	+1.30	+0.17	-0.23	0.00	0.00	+0.09	—	31:51
13 Yakov Trenin C	+1.08	0.00	+0.37	+0.66	0.00	-0.02	+0.07	—	12:53
46 Jared Spurgeon D	+0.80	+0.70	0.00	-0.08	+0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	17:22
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R	+0.52	0.00	+0.07	+0.38	0.00	-0.01	+0.08	—	14:55
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C	+0.48	0.00	+0.29	+0.09	0.00	+0.05	+0.05	—	18:10
25 Jonas Brodin D	+0.22	0.00	0.00	-0.03	+0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	16:35
7 Brock Faber D	+0.02	0.00	+0.03	+0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	24:38
90 Marcus Johansson L	-0.17	0.00	+0.02	-0.19	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:50
2 Jeff Petry D	-0.34	0.00	0.00	-0.32	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	12:04
47 Michael McCarron C	-0.35	0.00	+0.02	-0.46	0.00	+0.04	+0.05	—	9:55
5 Jake Middleton D	-0.54	0.00	0.00	-0.57	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	11:55
22 Danila Yurov R	-0.58	0.00	0.00	-0.56	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	14:14
17 Marcus Foligno L	-1.02	0.00	+0.19	-1.19	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	10:39
71 Nick Foligno L	-1.34	0.00	0.00	-1.18	-0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	10:08
32 Filip Gustavsson G	-3.00	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-3.00	58:15

Dallas Stars

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
15 Colin Blackwell C	+2.80	+1.45	+0.21	+1.07	0.00	+0.02	+0.05	—	9:56
23 Esa Lindell D	+2.66	+1.40	+0.05	+1.27	-0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	25:03
34 Cameron Hughes C	+1.91	+0.75	+0.28	+0.89	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	8:57
96 Mikko Rantanen R	+1.68	+1.30	+0.11	+0.35	-0.15	-0.02	+0.09	—	17:42
53 Wyatt Johnston C	+1.67	+1.30	+0.26	+0.41	-0.30	0.00	0.00	—	16:53
10 Oskar Bäck C	+1.51	+0.55	+0.01	+0.95	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:24
49 Justin Hryckowian C	+1.20	+0.70	0.00	+0.44	0.00	+0.04	+0.02	—	17:24
55 Thomas Harley D	+0.84	+0.70	+0.03	+0.10	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	25:17
57 Tyler Myers D	+0.83	0.00	+0.03	+0.76	0.00	0.00	+0.04	—	22:38
21 Jason Robertson L	+0.72	+0.75	+0.10	-0.15	0.00	+0.01	+0.01	—	16:14
95 Matt Duchene C	-0.06	0.00	+0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	0.00	—	14:20
46 Ilya Lyubushkin D	-0.07	0.00	0.00	-0.18	0.00	0.00	+0.11	—	20:08
73 Adam Erne L	-0.19	0.00	+0.09	-0.28	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	10:35
14 Jamie Benn L	-0.30	0.00	+0.03	-0.37	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	12:55
6 Lian Bichsel D	-0.34	0.00	+0.03	-0.44	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	20:25
4 Miro Heiskanen D	-0.41	0.00	0.00	-0.35	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	5:45
25 Arttu Hyry R	-0.66	0.00	0.00	-0.69	0.00	-0.02	+0.05	—	15:10
22 Mavrik Bourque C	-0.78	0.00	+0.01	-0.78	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	17:00
29 Jake Oettinger G	-0.84	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.84	60:00

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.