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Calgary FlamesCGY 1–4 Final Seattle KrakenSEA

Saturday, April 11, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Calgary FlamesCGY 010 1 27
Seattle KrakenSEA 031 4 21
Playoff odds, % Change
SEA +0.0
CGY +0.0

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 11, 2026 6:18 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
1:11 CGY Hunter Brzustewicz (2) Matt Coronato (26), Olli Maatta (12) · wrist xG 0.09 1–0 ▶
2:05 SEA Frederick Gaudreau (6) Kaapo Kakko (26), Jared McCann (20) · wrist xG 0.10 1–1 ▶
13:16 SEA Chandler Stephenson (16) Vince Dunn (33), Jaden Schwartz (14) · wrist xG 0.16 1–2 ▶
19:55 SEA Matty Beniers (20) Ryker Evans (8), Jamie Oleksiak (9) · wrist xG 0.02 1–3 ▶
3rd Period
18:31 SEA Jordan Eberle (26)EN Ryker Evans (9) · wrist xG 0.48 1–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CGY 34%Deserve to win66% SEA
CGYSEA
1.65Expected goals2.95
1Goals (no shootout)4
1.43Expected goals, 5 on 52.14
53Shot attempts55
41Unblocked attempts37
27Shots on goal21

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
16:24 SEA Deserve to win Deserve to win · SEA takes the lead, 61–39%
CGY had led since 14:19 of the 1st, by as much as 63%
3rd Period
16:55 CGY Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Cooley, down 3–1
With 3:05 left
17:48 CGY Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Cooley, down 3–1
With 2:12 left; SEA scored at 18:31 of the 3rd (1–4)

Shot map

CGY shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ SEA shoots
Joel Farabee: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:09) Eeli Tolvanen: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 1:08) Blake Coleman: backhand, 85 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:59) Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:29) Connor Zary: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 2:58) Matty Beniers: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 3:27) Bobby McMann: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 3:43) Yan Kuznetsov: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:34) Matt Coronato: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:50) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 5:13) Zayne Parekh: wrist, 81 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:37) Yan Kuznetsov: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:47) Jordan Eberle: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:06) Vince Dunn: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:17) Adam Larsson: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:46) Mikael Backlund: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:03) Tyson Gross: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 9:44) Hunter Brzustewicz: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 9:47) Zach Whitecloud: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 11:33) Bobby McMann: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:03) Yegor Sharangovich: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:35) Matt Coronato: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:52) Aydar Suniev: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 14:19) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:18) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 15:32) Vince Dunn: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:14) Frederick Gaudreau: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 16:30) Frederick Gaudreau: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 16:49) Frederick Gaudreau: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 16:50) Bobby McMann: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:33) Matt Coronato: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:08) Matt Coronato: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:32) Brandon Montour: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:50) Connor Zary: wrist, 95 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:00) Jordan Eberle: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:22) Matt Coronato: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 5:13) Zayne Parekh: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:51) Vince Dunn: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:30) Blake Coleman: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 9:53) Matty Beniers: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 10:46) Vince Dunn: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 10:59) Frederick Gaudreau: tip-in, 27 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:55) Zayne Parekh: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:31) Mikael Backlund: backhand, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:05) Eeli Tolvanen: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 15:17) Brandon Montour: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:30) Berkly Catton: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 16:24) Jared McCann: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:07) Ryan Lindgren: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:54) Yegor Sharangovich: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:50) Morgan Frost: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:31) Zayne Parekh: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 1:48) Bobby McMann: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:01) Bobby McMann: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 3:00) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 141 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:20) Ryan Winterton: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 5:19) Blake Coleman: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 6:33) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:58) Vince Dunn: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 7:47) Blake Coleman: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 9:07) Bobby McMann: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 11:43) Bobby McMann: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:49) Hunter Brzustewicz: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:19) Zayne Parekh: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:04) Matvei Gridin: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:11) Hunter Brzustewicz: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:47) Matty Beniers: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 13:58) Abram Wiebe: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:18) Connor Zary: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:37) Hunter Brzustewicz: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:53) Blake Coleman: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 18:24) Ryan Winterton: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:56) Jared McCann: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 19:20) Hunter Brzustewicz: GOAL, wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 1:11) Frederick Gaudreau: GOAL, wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 2:05) Chandler Stephenson: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 13:16) Matty Beniers: GOAL, wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:55) Jordan Eberle: GOAL, wrist, 157 ft, xG 0.48 (P3 18:31)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Calgary Flames

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
92 Matvei Gridin 000 -2 10.01 0219:58
20 Blake Coleman 000 -1 60.38 1119:24
16 Morgan Frost 000 0 30.03 1217:41
27 Matt Coronato 011 -2 50.20 1016:33
17 Yegor Sharangovich 000 -1 20.04 0016:02
86 Joel Farabee 000 -1 10.01 1115:30
11 Mikael Backlund 000 -2 100.12 0015:16
22 Ryan Strome 000 0 00.00 0012:34
39 Tyson Gross 000 -1 20.10 0211:58
47 Connor Zary 000 -1 30.13 0011:23
76 Martin Pospisil 000 0 00.00 6009:59
Defense
28 Zach Whitecloud 000 -1 20.09 0224:52
3 Olli Maatta 011 -1 00.00 0423:06
19 Zayne Parekh 000 -1 70.15 0122:06
37 Yan Kuznetsov 000 -1 30.02 1218:02
48 Hunter Brzustewicz 101 -1 50.29 1017:05
52 Abram Wiebe 000 0 20.01 0011:19
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Devin Cooley 20317 .850 2.47 -0.53

Seattle Kraken

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
10 Matty Beniers 101 +1 40.35 1021:16
7 Jordan Eberle 101 +2 30.52 0020:54
74 Bobby McMann 000 +1 100.40 0019:27
9 Chandler Stephenson 101 +1 10.16 0216:59
89 Frederick Gaudreau 101 +1 60.50 0115:16
19 Jared McCann 011 +1 30.16 0014:52
71 Jaden Schwartz 011 +1 00.00 0013:54
17 Eeli Tolvanen 000 0 20.21 1013:13
84 Kaapo Kakko 011 +1 00.00 0013:12
26 Ryan Winterton 000 0 40.15 5112:58
27 Berkly Catton 000 0 20.16 0111:42
78 Oscar Fisker Molgaard 000 0 00.00 2010:07
Defense
62 Brandon Montour 000 -1 50.04 0020:11
55 Ryan Lindgren 000 -1 30.03 1219:36
41 Ryker Evans 022 +2 10.00 2119:26
29 Vince Dunn 011 +2 70.23 0218:56
4 Jamie Oleksiak 011 +2 20.03 0118:46
6 Adam Larsson 000 +2 10.02 0017:15
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Nikke Kokko 27126 .963 1.65 +0.65

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Calgary Flames

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
48 Hunter Brzustewicz D +0.78 +0.75 +0.19 -0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:05
3 Olli Maatta D +0.65 +0.55 0.00 -0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 23:06
27 Matt Coronato R +0.38 +0.70 +0.13 -0.61 +0.15 -0.01 +0.02 — 16:33
20 Blake Coleman L +0.33 0.00 +0.25 +0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:24
11 Mikael Backlund C +0.13 0.00 +0.08 -0.05 0.00 +0.08 +0.02 — 15:16
37 Yan Kuznetsov D +0.06 0.00 +0.01 -0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 18:02
47 Connor Zary C -0.04 0.00 +0.08 -0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:23
36 Aydar Suniev L -0.05 0.00 +0.04 -0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:25
16 Morgan Frost C -0.11 0.00 +0.02 -0.18 0.00 -0.01 +0.06 — 17:41
76 Martin Pospisil C -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:59
92 Matvei Gridin R -0.27 0.00 +0.01 -0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.14 — 19:58
86 Joel Farabee L -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.34 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 15:30
17 Yegor Sharangovich C -0.36 0.00 +0.03 -0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:02
28 Zach Whitecloud D -0.39 0.00 +0.06 -0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 24:52
22 Ryan Strome C -0.40 0.00 0.00 -0.24 -0.15 +0.01 -0.02 — 12:34
19 Zayne Parekh D -0.45 0.00 +0.10 -0.58 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 22:06
39 Tyson Gross C -0.48 0.00 +0.07 -0.60 0.00 -0.04 +0.10 — 11:58
1 Devin Cooley G -0.53 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.53 58:48
52 Abram Wiebe D -0.87 0.00 +0.01 -0.73 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 11:19

Seattle Kraken

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
89 Frederick Gaudreau C +1.94 +0.75 +0.32 +0.85 0.00 -0.02 +0.03 — 15:16
41 Ryker Evans D +1.74 +1.40 0.00 +0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 19:26
19 Jared McCann L +1.58 +0.55 +0.10 +0.81 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 14:52
7 Jordan Eberle R +1.56 +0.75 +0.34 +0.51 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 20:54
84 Kaapo Kakko R +1.54 +0.70 0.00 +0.83 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 13:12
29 Vince Dunn D +1.46 +0.70 +0.15 +0.71 -0.15 0.00 +0.06 — 18:56
10 Matty Beniers C +1.37 +0.75 +0.23 +0.23 +0.15 +0.02 0.00 — 21:16
24 Jamie Oleksiak D +0.89 +0.55 +0.02 +0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 18:46
6 Adam Larsson D +0.87 0.00 +0.01 +0.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:15
9 Chandler Stephenson C +0.86 +0.75 +0.11 -0.05 0.00 -0.06 +0.12 — 16:59
39 Nikke Kokko G +0.65 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.65 60:00
74 Bobby McMann C +0.50 0.00 +0.26 +0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:27
17 Jaden Schwartz L +0.49 +0.55 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:54
26 Ryan Winterton C +0.23 0.00 +0.09 +0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.09 — 12:58
27 Berkly Catton C +0.15 0.00 +0.11 +0.01 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 11:42
55 Ryan Lindgren D +0.11 0.00 +0.02 -0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 19:36
78 Oscar Fisker Molgaard C +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.05 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 10:07
62 Brandon Montour D +0.01 0.00 +0.02 -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:11
20 Eeli Tolvanen R -0.13 0.00 +0.14 -0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 13:13

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.