Colorado AvalancheCOL 2–1 Final/SO Edmonton OilersEDM

Monday, April 13, 2026

Final/SO	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	SO	T	SOG
Colorado AvalancheCOL	0	1	0	0	3	2	32
Edmonton OilersEDM	0	1	0	0	2	1	31

Playoff odds, %	Change
COL	+0.0
EDM	+0.0

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 13, 2026 8:54 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
9:05	COL	Sam Malinski (8) Nicolas Roy (17) · wrist xG 0.12	1–0 ▶
15:49	EDM	Connor McDavid (48) Matt Savoie (19), Evan Bouchard (71) · wrist xG 0.03	1–1 ▶
3rd Period
No scoring
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
	EDM	Connor McDavid vs Scott Wedgewood	Goal
	COL	Valeri Nichushkin vs Connor Ingram	Goal
	EDM	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Scott Wedgewood	Goal
	COL	Martin Necas vs Connor Ingram	Goal
	EDM	Jack Roslovic vs Scott Wedgewood	Saved
	COL	Nathan MacKinnon vs Connor Ingram	Goal

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

COL 86%Deserve to win14% EDM

COL		EDM
5.12	Expected goals	2.39
1	Goals (no shootout)	1
2.87	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.35
83	Shot attempts	63
57	Unblocked attempts	46
32	Shots on goal	31

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
19:10	COL	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · COL takes the lead, 69–31% EDM had led since 7:29 of the 1st, by as much as 61%
19:40	COL	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced EDM 1.18–0.15 In xG over 10 minutes, 9:40 to 19:40 of the 1st; neither team scored
2nd Period
1:21	EDM	Goalie	Goalie · Ingram +2.0 goals saved 0 goals on 2.05 xG, 14 shots on goal
Overtime
3:50	COL	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced EDM 1.79–0.16 In xG over 10 minutes, 14:10 of the 3rd to 4:10 of overtime; neither team scored
3:55	EDM	Goalie	Goalie · Ingram +4.0 goals saved 1 goal on 5.02 xG, 31 shots on goal

Shot map

COL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ EDM shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Colorado Avalanche

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
88	Martin Necas	0	0	0	0	8	0.79	1	0	29:08
29	Nathan MacKinnon	0	0	0	0	11	0.55	0	0	27:57
92	Gabriel Landeskog	0	0	0	0	9	1.69	1	1	24:24
11	Brock Nelson	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	2	19:11
43	Valeri Nichushkin	0	0	0	-1	1	0.11	0	1	16:10
10	Nicolas Roy	0	1	1	+1	5	0.25	1	1	14:06
17	Parker Kelly	0	0	0	+1	2	0.20	2	0	13:11
79	Ross Colton	0	0	0	-1	4	0.22	3	0	12:48
25	Logan O'Connor	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	0	0	10:31
18	Jack Drury	0	0	0	0	5	0.23	0	0	09:56
22	Joel Kiviranta	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	2	0	07:45
93	Zakhar Bardakov	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	1	0	06:51
Defense
7	Devon Toews	0	0	0	0	6	0.16	0	4	31:21
70	Sam Malinski	1	0	1	+1	7	0.36	0	2	23:55
27	Brett Kulak	0	0	0	0	3	0.01	0	2	21:41
84	Brent Burns	0	0	0	+1	7	0.09	0	2	21:40
47	Jack Ahcan	0	0	0	-1	3	0.20	0	0	11:06
3	Nick Blankenburg	0	0	0	-1	4	0.16	1	0	10:14

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Scott Wedgewood	31	1	30	.968	2.39	+1.39

Edmonton Oilers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
97	Connor McDavid	1	0	1	0	8	0.29	0	0	27:55
93	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	0	1	21:50
92	Vasily Podkolzin	0	0	0	0	3	0.29	4	2	19:15
22	Matt Savoie	0	1	1	0	3	0.05	0	2	18:59
96	Jack Roslovic	0	0	0	0	8	0.49	1	0	18:21
10	Trent Frederic	0	0	0	0	5	0.12	1	0	13:23
81	Josh Samanski	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	3	3	13:05
19	Adam Henrique	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	1	0	12:47
42	Kasperi Kapanen	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	0	11:51
34	Colton Dach	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	2	0	11:50
53	Isaac Howard	0	0	0	0	4	0.26	0	1	09:56
20	Curtis Lazar	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	07:19
Defense
2	Evan Bouchard	0	1	1	0	10	0.31	0	3	30:31
25	Darnell Nurse	0	0	0	0	4	0.09	2	1	24:25
14	Mattias Ekholm	0	0	0	+1	2	0.06	0	5	22:21
5	Connor Murphy	0	0	0	0	6	0.04	2	6	22:07
96	Jake Walman	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	13:50
49	Ty Emberson	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	10:22

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Connor Ingram	32	1	31	.969	5.12	+4.12

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Colorado Avalanche

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
70 Sam Malinski D	+2.32	+0.75	+0.24	+1.26	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	23:55
92 Gabriel Landeskog L	+2.01	0.00	+1.10	+0.88	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	24:24
88 Martin Necas C	+1.88	0.00	+0.51	+1.22	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	29:08
41 Scott Wedgewood G	+1.54	0.00	—	—	+0.15	—	—	+1.39	64:59
29 Nathan MacKinnon C	+1.48	0.00	+0.36	+1.14	0.00	+0.02	-0.04	—	27:57
10 Nicolas Roy C	+1.23	+0.70	+0.16	+0.36	0.00	-0.04	+0.05	—	14:06
7 Devon Toews D	+1.04	0.00	+0.10	+0.78	0.00	0.00	+0.16	—	31:21
37 Nick Blankenburg D	+0.75	0.00	+0.10	+0.67	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	10:14
15 Jack Ahcan D	+0.58	0.00	+0.13	+0.44	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	11:06
93 Zakhar Bardakov C	+0.40	0.00	+0.04	+0.36	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	6:51
18 Jack Drury C	+0.39	0.00	+0.15	+0.26	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	9:56
11 Brock Nelson C	+0.33	0.00	0.00	+0.40	-0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	19:11
84 Brent Burns D	+0.28	0.00	+0.06	+0.17	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	21:40
25 Logan O'Connor R	+0.28	0.00	+0.02	+0.26	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	10:31
94 Joel Kiviranta L	+0.20	0.00	0.00	+0.20	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	7:45
13 Valeri Nichushkin R	+0.11	0.00	+0.07	+0.02	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	16:10
17 Parker Kelly C	+0.10	0.00	+0.13	+0.14	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	13:11
20 Ross Colton C	+0.04	0.00	+0.14	-0.08	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	12:48
27 Brett Kulak D	+0.03	0.00	+0.01	-0.10	0.00	0.00	+0.12	—	21:41

Edmonton Oilers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
39 Connor Ingram G	+4.12	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+4.12	64:47
5 Connor Murphy D	+0.57	0.00	+0.03	+0.09	+0.15	0.00	+0.30	—	22:07
28 Jack Roslovic C	+0.28	0.00	+0.32	-0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	18:21
25 Darnell Nurse D	+0.09	0.00	+0.06	+0.01	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	24:25
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	+0.03	0.00	+0.05	+0.01	-0.15	+0.05	+0.07	—	21:50
10 Trent Frederic C	+0.02	0.00	+0.08	-0.05	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:23
53 Isaac Howard L	-0.01	0.00	+0.17	-0.23	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	9:56
34 Colton Dach C	-0.02	0.00	+0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	11:50
81 Josh Samanski C	-0.06	0.00	+0.05	-0.24	0.00	-0.02	+0.15	—	13:05
97 Connor McDavid C	-0.16	+0.75	+0.19	-1.22	+0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	27:55
92 Vasily Podkolzin R	-0.19	0.00	+0.19	-0.44	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	19:15
20 Curtis Lazar C	-0.24	0.00	0.00	-0.28	0.00	+0.01	+0.03	—	7:19
49 Ty Emberson D	-0.29	0.00	0.00	-0.32	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	10:22
22 Matt Savoie C	-0.32	+0.70	+0.03	-1.18	0.00	-0.01	+0.14	—	18:59
96 Jake Walman D	-0.48	0.00	+0.01	-0.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:50
2 Evan Bouchard D	-0.48	+0.55	+0.20	-1.36	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	30:31
42 Kasperi Kapanen R	-0.55	0.00	+0.01	-0.41	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	11:51
14 Mattias Ekholm D	-0.88	0.00	+0.04	-1.13	0.00	0.00	+0.21	—	22:21
19 Adam Henrique C	-1.11	0.00	+0.10	-1.04	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	12:47

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.