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Toronto Maple LeafsTOR @ 7:00 PM EST Montréal CanadiensMTL

Saturday, December 26, 2026

Win probability, % Win In reg OT/SO Exp pts
TOR 35.4 26.7 8.7 0.87
MTL 64.6 48.8 15.8 1.38

From the ratings the simulation plays every game with: this and last season's results, with home ice. 24% of games go past regulation.

Playoff odds, % Now Day Final Cup
TOR 10.6 +0.3 0.4 0.1
MTL 55.1 +0.4 5.4 2.5

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

The teams

TOR MTL
3–4–2 Record 4–3–1
8 (.444) Points 9 (.562)
2 pts out Place 1 pt out
3–4–2 Last 10 4–3–1
2–3–1 At home 3–2–0
1–1–1 On the road 1–1–1
L1 Streak W1
3.22 GF per game 3.38
3.56 GA per game 3.75
42.3 (27th) Strength 53.3 (13th)
45.1 (28th) xG share, 5v5 52.9 (11th)
45.9 (25th) xG share, all 49.3 (17th)
+0.3 Saved above expected -4.0
3 days Rest 3 days

This regular season. Strength and xG share with the league rank in parentheses.

Leading scorers

SkaterGPGAP
Toronto Maple Leafs
Auston Matthews96713
William Nylander95712
Kirill Marchenko9459
Easton Cowan9347
John Tavares7257
Montréal Canadiens
Nick Suzuki84610
Lane Hutson8268
Cole Caufield8516
Josh Anderson8426
Zachary Bolduc8426

Season series

MTL leads the season series 1–0.

Sep 29MTL 3, TOR 2
Nov 7MTL @ TOR
Dec 26TOR @ MTL · this game
Mar 22TOR @ MTL