Ottawa SenatorsOTT @ 7:30 PM EST Buffalo SabresBUF

Friday, February 26, 2027

Win probability, % Win In reg OT/SO Exp pts
OTT 46.7 35.3 11.4 1.07
BUF 53.3 40.2 13.0 1.18

From the ratings the simulation plays every game with: this and last season's results, with home ice. 24% of games go past regulation.

Playoff odds, % Now Day Final Cup
OTT 67.8 +0.5 7.3 3.4
BUF 57.8 +0.4 5.9 2.7

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

The teams

OTT BUF
6–3–0 Record 4–3–2
12 (.667) Points 10 (.556)
3rd in the Atlantic Place 2nd wild card
6–3–0 Last 10 4–3–2
3–1–0 At home 3–2–0
3–2–0 On the road 1–1–2
L1 Streak OTL1
2.67 GF per game 3.00
2.56 GA per game 3.78
55.0 (11th) Strength 53.9 (12th)
47.9 (21st) xG share, 5v5 52.5 (12th)
50.0 (14th) xG share, all 49.8 (15th)
+3.3 Saved above expected -4.7
Back-to-back Rest 1 day

This regular season. Strength and xG share with the league rank in parentheses.

Leading scorers

SkaterGPGAP
Ottawa Senators
Tim Stützle95712
Drake Batherson9426
Claude Giroux9156
Shane Pinto9156
Michael Amadio9224
Buffalo Sabres
Tage Thompson9549
Jack Quinn9549
Owen Power9268
Mattias Samuelsson9257
Noah Ostlund9246

Season series

Nov 4OTT @ BUF
Dec 14BUF @ OTT
Feb 26OTT @ BUF · this game
Mar 7BUF @ OTT