hockeystats.io

Vancouver CanucksVAN 1–3 Final Edmonton OilersEDM

Saturday, October 11, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Vancouver CanucksVAN 001 1 15
Edmonton OilersEDM 021 3 37

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
12:21 EDM Noah Philp (1) Kasperi Kapanen (1), Vasily Podkolzin (1) · snap xG 0.16 0–1 ▶
19:09 EDM Andrew Mangiapane (2) Unassisted · snap xG 0.30 0–2 ▶
3rd Period
0:47 VAN Brock Boeser (2) Quinn Hughes (1), Jake DeBrusk (2) · wrist xG 0.13 1–2 ▶
18:47 EDM Leon Draisaitl (2)SHEN Darnell Nurse (1), Connor McDavid (3) · backhand xG 0.40 1–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VAN 11%Deserve to win89% EDM
VANEDM
2.25Expected goals5.73
1Goals (no shootout)3
1.85Expected goals, 5 on 52.71
41Shot attempts69
26Unblocked attempts54
15Shots on goal37

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
3:39 VAN Goalie Goalie · Demko +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.01 xG, 16 shots on goal
19:10 EDM xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced VAN 1.22–0.08
In xG over 10 minutes, 9:10 to 19:10 of the 2nd; goals 2–0
3rd Period
15:50 EDM xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced VAN 1.49–0.04
In xG over 10 minutes, 5:50 to 15:50 of the 3rd; neither team scored
17:38 VAN Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Demko, down 2–1
With 2:22 left; EDM scored at 18:47 of the 3rd (1–3)
18:50 VAN Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Demko, down 3–1
With 1:10 left

Shot map

VAN shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ EDM shoots
Filip Chytil: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 0:53) Connor McDavid: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 1:21) Matt Savoie: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.25 (P1 2:23) Matt Savoie: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 2:24) Kiefer Sherwood: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:52) Vasily Podkolzin: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 3:46) Connor McDavid: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.27 (P1 5:07) Jonathan Lekkerimäki: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 6:13) Darnell Nurse: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:06) Trent Frederic: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:42) Marcus Pettersson: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:18) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:31) Trent Frederic: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 11:21) David Tomasek: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 12:04) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 12:54) Mattias Ekholm: snap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:15) Conor Garland: deflected, 5 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 13:54) Vasily Podkolzin: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 14:30) Connor McDavid: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:04) Brock Boeser: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 15:36) Connor McDavid: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 15:49) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 16:58) David Tomasek: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 17:33) David Tomasek: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 17:34) David Tomasek: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 18:31) Jake DeBrusk: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 0:42) Brock Boeser: deflected, 3 ft, xG 0.37 (P2 0:54) Conor Garland: deflected, 5 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 1:20) Conor Garland: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 1:46) Vasily Podkolzin: wrist, 97 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 1:54) Evan Bouchard: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 3:21) Connor McDavid: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:39) Leon Draisaitl: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:40) Darnell Nurse: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 5:24) Noah Philp: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 6:08) Tyler Myers: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:29) Mattias Ekholm: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:07) Trent Frederic: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 9:26) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 10:01) David Tomasek: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 10:27) Evan Bouchard: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 11:14) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:42) Alec Regula: wrist, 71 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 13:45) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:10) Connor McDavid: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 14:39) Jake DeBrusk: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:04) Brett Kulak: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:57) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:02) Connor McDavid: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 18:32) Andrew Mangiapane: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 18:57) Jake DeBrusk: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 0:38) Connor McDavid: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:27) Derek Forbort: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 1:37) Elias Pettersson: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:05) Isaac Howard: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 2:31) Jonathan Lekkerimäki: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:38) Drew O'Connor: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:42) Matt Savoie: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 3:18) Trent Frederic: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 4:15) Evander Kane: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 4:50) Matt Savoie: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 6:49) Evander Kane: snap, 78 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 8:10) Connor McDavid: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 9:37) Leon Draisaitl: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 10:53) Leon Draisaitl: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 11:00) Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 11:10) Darnell Nurse: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:18) Noah Philp: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 11:22) Jonathan Lekkerimäki: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:04) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.26 (P3 14:14) Adam Henrique: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 15:35) Mattias Ekholm: backhand, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:38) Adam Henrique: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.47 (P3 15:41) Evander Kane: deflected, 21 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 17:51) Brock Boeser: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.28 (P3 17:53) Elias Pettersson: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:56) Noah Philp: GOAL, snap, 20 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 12:21) Andrew Mangiapane: GOAL, snap, 17 ft, xG 0.30 (P2 19:09) Brock Boeser: GOAL, wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 0:47) Leon Draisaitl: GOAL, backhand, 82 ft, xG 0.40 (P3 18:47)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vancouver Canucks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
91 Evander Kane 000 -1 40.19 5118:49
6 Brock Boeser 101 -1 50.85 0018:38
83 Conor Garland 000 -1 50.46 0017:49
77 Filip Chytil 000 -2 10.10 1017:17
74 Jake DeBrusk 011 0 40.27 1016:42
40 Elias Pettersson 000 0 10.01 1316:38
18 Drew O'Connor 000 0 10.02 0013:46
44 Kiefer Sherwood 000 -1 10.01 5012:13
54 Aatu Räty 000 0 00.00 4011:01
13 Arshdeep Bains 000 0 00.00 1010:00
Defense
17 Filip Hronek 000 0 20.00 2227:19
43 Quinn Hughes 011 -1 90.04 0025:58
26 Marcus Pettersson 000 -1 10.01 0120:27
57 Tyler Myers 000 -2 20.03 3420:11
27 Derek Forbort 000 0 10.13 1212:35
25 Elias Pettersson 000 0 10.01 1011:25
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Thatcher Demko 36234 .944 5.34 +3.34

Edmonton Oilers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Connor McDavid 011 +1 110.84 1024:29
29 Leon Draisaitl 101 +1 60.80 1024:11
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 000 +1 50.48 1020:02
10 Trent Frederic 000 0 50.56 3014:51
19 Adam Henrique 000 0 30.60 2113:28
42 Kasperi Kapanen 011 0 00.00 6113:22
22 Matt Savoie 000 0 50.57 0113:18
26 Andrew Mangiapane 101 +1 30.40 1011:19
92 Vasily Podkolzin 011 0 40.17 1011:00
15 Noah Philp 101 0 30.34 2010:48
53 Isaac Howard 000 0 10.05 0010:17
Defense
2 Evan Bouchard 000 0 20.18 0025:43
25 Darnell Nurse 011 +1 70.06 2418:38
27 Brett Kulak 000 +2 20.01 0218:35
14 Mattias Ekholm 000 0 40.06 1118:27
75 Alec Regula 000 +1 10.00 0116:44
49 Ty Emberson 000 0 10.00 0213:20
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Calvin Pickard 15114 .933 2.25 +1.25

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vancouver Canucks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
35 Thatcher Demko G +3.34 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +3.34 57:41
43 Quinn Hughes D +1.64 +0.70 +0.03 +0.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 25:58
6 Brock Boeser R +1.58 +0.75 +0.55 +0.35 0.00 -0.01 -0.06 — 18:38
74 Jake DeBrusk L +0.67 +0.55 +0.17 -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:42
91 Evander Kane L +0.47 0.00 +0.12 +0.31 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 18:49
40 Elias Pettersson C +0.42 0.00 +0.01 +0.41 0.00 -0.12 +0.13 — 16:38
54 Aatu Räty C -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.32 +0.15 +0.07 0.00 — 11:01
17 Filip Hronek D -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 27:19
13 Arshdeep Bains L -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:00
23 Jonathan Lekkerimäki R -0.39 0.00 +0.08 -0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 9:38
18 Drew O'Connor L -0.39 0.00 +0.01 -0.37 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 13:46
44 Kiefer Sherwood L -0.46 0.00 0.00 -0.32 -0.15 +0.01 0.00 — 12:13
57 Tyler Myers D -0.51 0.00 +0.02 -0.54 -0.15 0.00 +0.16 — 20:11
8 Conor Garland R -0.54 0.00 +0.30 -0.79 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 17:49
80 Braeden Cootes C -0.56 0.00 0.00 -0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:53
72 Filip Chytil C -0.58 0.00 +0.07 -0.47 -0.15 -0.01 -0.02 — 17:17
27 Derek Forbort D -0.68 0.00 +0.09 -0.66 -0.15 0.00 +0.04 — 12:35
29 Marcus Pettersson D -0.73 0.00 +0.01 -0.77 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:27
25 Elias Pettersson D -0.94 0.00 +0.01 -0.93 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:25

Edmonton Oilers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
29 Leon Draisaitl C +2.62 +0.75 +0.52 +1.24 +0.15 -0.06 +0.02 — 24:11
97 Connor McDavid C +2.54 +0.55 +0.55 +1.24 +0.15 +0.09 -0.04 — 24:29
2 Evan Bouchard D +1.78 0.00 +0.12 +1.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 25:43
14 Mattias Ekholm D +1.61 0.00 +0.04 +1.59 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 18:27
88 Andrew Mangiapane L +1.39 +0.75 +0.26 +0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:19
30 Calvin Pickard G +1.25 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.25 60:00
48 Noah Philp C +1.06 +0.75 +0.22 +0.23 -0.15 +0.03 -0.02 — 10:48
25 Darnell Nurse D +1.03 +0.70 +0.04 +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 18:38
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C +1.00 0.00 +0.31 +0.71 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 20:02
42 Kasperi Kapanen R +0.97 +0.70 0.00 +0.23 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 13:22
92 Vasily Podkolzin R +0.87 +0.55 +0.11 +0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:00
10 Trent Frederic C +0.67 0.00 +0.36 +0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:51
86 David Tomasek R +0.63 0.00 +0.40 +0.09 +0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 15:28
22 Matt Savoie C +0.13 0.00 +0.37 -0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 13:18
75 Alec Regula D +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:44
53 Isaac Howard L -0.33 0.00 +0.03 -0.34 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:17
19 Adam Henrique C -0.58 0.00 +0.39 -1.04 0.00 +0.04 +0.03 — 13:28
49 Ty Emberson D -0.71 0.00 0.00 -0.81 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 13:20
27 Brett Kulak D -0.81 0.00 0.00 -0.89 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 18:35

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.