Vancouver CanucksVAN 5–3 Final Dallas StarsDAL

Thursday, October 16, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Vancouver CanucksVAN	0	4	1	5	26
Dallas StarsDAL	2	0	1	3	31

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
4:29	DAL	Mavrik Bourque (1) Thomas Harley (5), Radek Faksa (1) · snap xG 0.02	0–1 ▶
19:22	DAL	Mikko Rantanen (2)PP Jason Robertson (3), Roope Hintz (5) · snap xG 0.08	0–2 ▶
2nd Period
6:40	VAN	Filip Chytil (3) Evander Kane (2), Filip Hronek (1) · snap xG 0.23	1–2 ▶
8:50	VAN	Brock Boeser (3)PP Quinn Hughes (2), Elias Pettersson (2) · tip-in xG 0.12	2–2 ▶
10:06	VAN	Max Sasson (1) Tyler Myers (1) · snap xG 0.10	3–2 ▶
18:54	VAN	Conor Garland (1) Unassisted · backhand xG 0.23	4–2 ▶
3rd Period
17:52	DAL	Wyatt Johnston (4)PP Tyler Seguin (2), Jason Robertson (4) · snap xG 0.23	4–3 ▶
19:23	VAN	Quinn Hughes (1)PP Conor Garland (2), Filip Hronek (2) · wrist xG 0.01	5–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VAN 23%Deserve to win77% DAL

VAN		DAL
2.60	Expected goals	4.36
5	Goals (no shootout)	3
1.93	Expected goals, 5 on 5	3.29
60	Shot attempts	61
40	Unblocked attempts	46
26	Shots on goal	31

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
10:00	DAL	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced VAN 2.13–0.33 In xG over 10 minutes, 1:40 to 11:40 of the 1st; goals 1–0
3rd Period
6:40	DAL	No shift	No shift · Lundkvist, 19:08 on the bench No shift after 14:33 of the 2nd; 13 shifts (11:18) before that
15:16	VAN	Goalie	Goalie · Demko +2.0 goals saved 2 goals on 4.03 xG, 29 shots on goal
17:27	DAL	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled DeSmith, down 4–2 With 2:33 left; DAL scored at 17:52 of the 3rd (4–3)
19:23	DAL	Goalie	Goalie · DeSmith −2.4 goals saved 5 goals on 2.60 xG, 26 shots on goal

Shot map

VAN shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ DAL shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vancouver Canucks

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
6	Brock Boeser	1	0	1	0	4	0.49	1	1	21:15
83	Conor Garland	1	1	2	+1	6	0.56	1	0	20:56
40	Elias Pettersson	0	1	1	0	2	0.03	0	3	20:33
74	Jake DeBrusk	0	0	0	0	3	0.37	1	0	18:58
77	Filip Chytil	1	0	1	+1	3	0.28	1	0	17:42
91	Evander Kane	0	1	1	+3	4	0.11	3	1	17:41
44	Kiefer Sherwood	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	4	0	14:17
18	Drew O'Connor	0	0	0	-1	3	0.00	0	1	13:22
63	Max Sasson	1	0	1	+1	4	0.34	0	0	09:17
54	Aatu Räty	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	08:57
94	Linus Karlsson	0	0	0	+1	2	0.05	1	0	07:44
13	Arshdeep Bains	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	07:23
Defense
43	Quinn Hughes	1	1	2	+1	10	0.11	1	0	25:21
26	Marcus Pettersson	0	0	0	0	4	0.07	0	2	23:59
17	Filip Hronek	0	2	2	+2	4	0.01	3	1	23:27
57	Tyler Myers	0	1	1	0	6	0.06	3	4	23:19
25	Elias Pettersson	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	0	1	10:42

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Thatcher Demko	31	3	28	.903	4.36	+1.36

Dallas Stars

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
53	Wyatt Johnston	1	0	1	0	6	0.51	0	1	21:57
96	Mikko Rantanen	1	0	1	0	4	0.19	3	1	21:54
21	Jason Robertson	0	2	2	0	8	0.38	0	0	20:53
24	Roope Hintz	0	1	1	0	6	0.77	0	1	20:18
18	Sam Steel	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	1	1	17:44
91	Tyler Seguin	0	1	1	0	3	0.17	1	1	17:20
22	Mavrik Bourque	1	0	1	-2	1	0.02	0	0	14:05
12	Radek Faksa	0	1	1	-1	3	0.44	2	1	11:35
15	Colin Blackwell	0	0	0	0	3	0.21	1	1	11:13
73	Adam Erne	0	0	0	-1	2	0.22	5	1	08:49
49	Justin Hryckowian	0	0	0	-1	3	0.88	0	1	08:20
11	Nathan Bastian	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	1	0	07:49
Defense
4	Miro Heiskanen	0	0	0	0	7	0.09	1	3	27:29
23	Esa Lindell	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	2	2	22:23
55	Thomas Harley	0	1	1	-1	8	0.27	1	2	21:17
36	Alexander Petrovic	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	2	17:08
6	Lian Bichsel	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	15:55
5	Nils Lundkvist	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	11:18

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Casey DeSmith	26	5	21	.808	2.60	-2.40

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vancouver Canucks

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
8 Conor Garland R	+2.14	+1.45	+0.37	+0.49	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	20:56
63 Max Sasson C	+1.45	+0.75	+0.22	+0.52	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	—	9:17
35 Thatcher Demko G	+1.36	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.36	60:00
17 Filip Hronek D	+1.33	+1.10	+0.01	+0.19	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	23:27
6 Brock Boeser R	+1.06	+0.75	+0.32	-0.07	0.00	+0.01	+0.05	—	21:15
57 Tyler Myers D	+1.00	+0.70	+0.04	+0.21	-0.15	0.00	+0.20	—	23:19
40 Elias Pettersson C	+1.00	+0.55	+0.02	+0.33	0.00	-0.05	+0.15	—	20:33
72 Filip Chytil C	+0.95	+0.75	+0.18	+0.06	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	—	17:42
29 Marcus Pettersson D	+0.64	0.00	+0.05	+0.47	0.00	0.00	+0.12	—	23:59
94 Linus Karlsson C	+0.56	0.00	+0.03	+0.52	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	7:44
13 Arshdeep Bains L	+0.28	0.00	0.00	+0.30	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	7:23
74 Jake DeBrusk L	+0.26	0.00	+0.24	+0.17	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	18:58
43 Quinn Hughes D	+0.21	+1.45	+0.07	-1.29	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	25:21
18 Drew O'Connor L	-0.15	0.00	0.00	-0.19	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	13:22
91 Evander Kane L	-0.19	+0.70	+0.07	-1.46	+0.45	0.00	+0.05	—	17:41
25 Elias Pettersson D	-0.32	0.00	+0.01	-0.38	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	10:42
90 Victor Mancini D	-1.54	0.00	+0.01	-1.60	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	9:43
44 Kiefer Sherwood L	-2.15	0.00	+0.06	-2.15	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	14:17
54 Aatu Räty C	-2.25	0.00	0.00	-2.10	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	8:57

Dallas Stars

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
21 Jason Robertson L	+2.11	+1.25	+0.25	+0.61	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	20:53
55 Thomas Harley D	+1.56	+0.70	+0.18	+0.72	-0.15	0.00	+0.12	—	21:17
53 Wyatt Johnston C	+1.51	+0.75	+0.33	+0.36	0.00	+0.01	+0.05	—	21:57
91 Tyler Seguin C	+1.47	+0.70	+0.11	+0.62	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	17:20
6 Lian Bichsel D	+1.42	0.00	0.00	+1.19	+0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	15:55
24 Roope Hintz C	+1.24	+0.55	+0.50	+0.10	0.00	+0.06	+0.03	—	20:18
96 Mikko Rantanen R	+1.08	+0.75	+0.13	-0.15	+0.30	-0.01	+0.07	—	21:54
49 Justin Hryckowian C	+1.05	0.00	+0.57	+0.42	0.00	+0.01	+0.05	—	8:20
12 Radek Faksa C	+0.96	+0.55	+0.28	+0.23	-0.15	+0.02	+0.03	—	11:35
11 Nathan Bastian R	+0.96	0.00	+0.07	+0.90	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	7:49
73 Adam Erne L	+0.96	0.00	+0.15	+0.76	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	8:49
22 Mavrik Bourque C	+0.75	+0.75	+0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:05
28 Alexander Petrovic D	+0.74	0.00	0.00	+0.70	0.00	0.00	+0.04	—	17:08
5 Nils Lundkvist D	+0.59	0.00	0.00	+0.61	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	11:18
15 Colin Blackwell C	+0.41	0.00	+0.13	+0.23	0.00	+0.01	+0.03	—	11:13
4 Miro Heiskanen D	+0.08	0.00	+0.06	+0.02	-0.15	0.00	+0.15	—	27:29
18 Sam Steel C	-0.18	0.00	+0.04	-0.41	+0.15	-0.01	+0.05	—	17:44
23 Esa Lindell D	-0.80	0.00	+0.03	-0.91	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	22:23
1 Casey DeSmith G	-2.40	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-2.40	58:15

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.