hockeystats.io

Chicago BlackhawksCHI 3–2 Final Tampa Bay LightningTBL

Thursday, October 23, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Chicago BlackhawksCHI 111 3 25
Tampa Bay LightningTBL 020 2 31

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
10:41 CHI Frank Nazar (4)PP Tyler Bertuzzi (4), Teuvo Teravainen (6) · snap xG 0.19 1–0 ▶
2nd Period
6:57 TBL Jake Guentzel (2) Ryan McDonagh (2), Nikita Kucherov (2) · tip-in xG 0.10 1–1 ▶
10:16 CHI Ryan Donato (4) Lukas Reichel (2) · snap xG 0.07 2–1 ▶
19:18 TBL Ryan McDonagh (3) Nikita Kucherov (3), Brayden Point (4) · snap xG 0.16 2–2 ▶
3rd Period
19:06 CHI Ryan Donato (5) Frank Nazar (5), Teuvo Teravainen (7) · wrist xG 0.10 3–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CHI 40%Deserve to win60% TBL
CHITBL
2.90Expected goals3.49
3Goals (no shootout)2
1.99Expected goals, 5 on 53.13
48Shot attempts73
41Unblocked attempts54
25Shots on goal31

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
19:13 TBL Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Vasilevskiy, down 3–2
With 0:47 left

Shot map

CHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ TBL shoots
Ryan McDonagh: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 0:40) Anthony Cirelli: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 1:07) Pontus Holmberg: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 1:29) Ilya Mikheyev: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 1:41) Frank Nazar: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 1:53) Brandon Hagel: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:20) Mitchell Chaffee: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 2:34) Darren Raddysh: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:57) Frank Nazar: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 3:23) Jake Guentzel: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:38) Wyatt Kaiser: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:59) Nikita Kucherov: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 4:32) Darren Raddysh: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:03) Victor Hedman: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:31) Colton Dach: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:29) Matt Grzelcyk: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:36) Nick Foligno: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:35) Colton Dach: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:36) J.J. Moser: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:27) Nikita Kucherov: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 12:34) Darren Raddysh: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:21) J.J. Moser: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:45) Colton Dach: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:33) Dominic James: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:08) Brandon Hagel: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:06) Louis Crevier: backhand, 172 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 17:55) Wyatt Kaiser: wrist, 86 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:03) Yanni Gourde: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:24) Victor Hedman: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:57) Nikita Kucherov: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 3:14) Victor Hedman: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:23) Ilya Mikheyev: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 4:19) Erik Cernak: backhand, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:35) J.J. Moser: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:49) Lukas Reichel: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:38) Connor Bedard: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.27 (P2 5:41) Pontus Holmberg: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:21) Nikita Kucherov: deflected, 11 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 6:52) Nikita Kucherov: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:54) Alex Vlasic: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:23) Connor Murphy: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:49) Brandon Hagel: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 8:18) Curtis Douglas: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 8:44) Mitchell Chaffee: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 8:52) Mitchell Chaffee: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.42 (P2 8:55) Dominic James: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 8:56) Yanni Gourde: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:52) Alex Vlasic: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:05) Ryan McDonagh: wrist, 92 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:29) Oliver Bjorkstrand: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 12:51) Oliver Bjorkstrand: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:56) Connor Bedard: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:28) Wyatt Kaiser: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 14:37) Landon Slaggert: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 15:32) Nikita Kucherov: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 16:17) Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 17:08) Sam Rinzel: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:32) Brayden Point: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:56) Landon Slaggert: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 0:32) Brandon Hagel: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 1:04) Jake Guentzel: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:01) Nikita Kucherov: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:02) Teuvo Teravainen: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 3:43) Teuvo Teravainen: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:14) Frank Nazar: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 4:26) Frank Nazar: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:54) Artyom Levshunov: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:35) Connor Bedard: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 6:09) Colton Dach: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 6:18) Sam Rinzel: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 7:41) Sam Rinzel: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 7:53) Oliver Bjorkstrand: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 8:31) Victor Hedman: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 9:09) Victor Hedman: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 9:20) Darren Raddysh: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 9:51) Ryan McDonagh: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:27) Ryan Donato: backhand, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:19) Pontus Holmberg: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 11:45) Yanni Gourde: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.30 (P3 11:47) Darren Raddysh: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:07) Ilya Mikheyev: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:16) Connor Bedard: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 13:12) Ryan Greene: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 14:09) Victor Hedman: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:20) Nikita Kucherov: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:02) Gage Goncalves: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 16:06) Yanni Gourde: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:41) Ryan Donato: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 18:45) Frank Nazar: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 19:04) Brayden Point: backhand, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:56) Frank Nazar: GOAL, snap, 13 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 10:41) Jake Guentzel: GOAL, tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 6:57) Ryan Donato: GOAL, snap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 10:16) Ryan McDonagh: GOAL, snap, 23 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 19:18) Ryan Donato: GOAL, wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 19:06)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Chicago Blackhawks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
98 Connor Bedard 000 0 60.37 1022:32
91 Frank Nazar 112 +1 60.54 1121:33
86 Teuvo Teravainen 022 +1 20.09 0020:41
95 Ilya Mikheyev 000 0 40.32 0118:21
71 Nick Foligno 000 -1 10.02 2016:17
59 Tyler Bertuzzi 011 -1 10.07 0016:07
8 Ryan Donato 202 +1 40.23 1015:05
34 Colton Dach 000 0 50.20 4114:17
84 Landon Slaggert 000 0 20.34 5011:22
20 Ryan Greene 000 0 10.17 1010:59
Defense
72 Alex Vlasic 000 0 30.02 0122:19
44 Wyatt Kaiser 000 -1 30.25 0120:20
5 Connor Murphy 000 0 10.03 1416:35
46 Louis Crevier 000 0 10.00 0213:22
55 Artyom Levshunov 000 0 10.03 2112:29
24 Matt Grzelcyk 000 +1 10.01 0011:11
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Spencer Knight 31229 .935 3.49 +1.49

Tampa Bay Lightning

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
86 Nikita Kucherov 022 0 110.59 0022:44
59 Jake Guentzel 101 +1 30.12 0120:38
71 Anthony Cirelli 000 0 20.10 1017:50
21 Brayden Point 011 -1 20.02 0017:05
37 Yanni Gourde 000 +1 40.35 4016:34
38 Brandon Hagel 000 0 60.29 0016:20
29 Pontus Holmberg 000 0 30.22 1014:22
28 Oliver Bjorkstrand 000 -1 60.27 1013:50
17 Dominic James 000 0 20.08 1009:59
93 Gage Goncalves 000 0 20.13 1009:00
42 Curtis Douglas 000 0 10.13 0007:08
Defense
27 Ryan McDonagh 112 +1 50.19 0223:10
77 Victor Hedman 000 -1 80.19 1223:05
81 Erik Cernak 000 +1 20.01 1021:40
90 J.J. Moser 000 -1 50.09 2219:27
43 Darren Raddysh 000 0 70.10 0014:28
78 Emil Lilleberg 000 0 00.00 1013:03
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Andrei Vasilevskiy 25322 .880 2.90 -0.10

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Chicago Blackhawks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
30 Spencer Knight G +1.49 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.49 60:00
8 Ryan Donato C +1.39 +1.50 +0.15 -0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:05
91 Frank Nazar C +1.14 +1.45 +0.35 -0.79 +0.15 -0.05 +0.03 — 21:33
48 Matt Grzelcyk D +0.53 0.00 +0.01 +0.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:11
55 Artyom Levshunov D +0.52 0.00 +0.02 +0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:29
84 Landon Slaggert L +0.49 0.00 +0.22 +0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:22
86 Teuvo Teravainen C +0.45 +1.10 +0.06 -0.69 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:41
73 Lukas Reichel L +0.43 +0.70 +0.05 -0.38 0.00 -0.02 +0.08 — 10:58
34 Colton Dach C +0.42 0.00 +0.13 +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 14:17
59 Tyler Bertuzzi L +0.26 +0.70 +0.04 -0.47 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:07
98 Connor Bedard C +0.15 0.00 +0.24 -0.33 +0.30 -0.04 -0.02 — 22:32
72 Alex Vlasic D +0.15 0.00 +0.01 +0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 22:19
5 Connor Murphy D +0.10 0.00 +0.02 -0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 16:35
20 Ryan Greene C +0.09 0.00 +0.11 -0.06 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 10:59
6 Sam Rinzel D -0.41 0.00 +0.08 -0.41 -0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 17:35
17 Nick Foligno L -0.47 0.00 +0.01 -0.29 -0.15 -0.02 -0.02 — 16:17
95 Ilya Mikheyev R -0.63 0.00 +0.21 -1.05 +0.15 -0.01 +0.07 — 18:21
46 Louis Crevier D -1.12 0.00 0.00 -1.20 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 13:22
44 Wyatt Kaiser D -1.58 0.00 +0.17 -1.90 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 20:20

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
27 Ryan McDonagh D +2.40 +1.45 +0.13 +0.79 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 23:10
86 Nikita Kucherov R +1.99 +1.25 +0.39 +0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 22:44
41 Mitchell Chaffee R +1.04 0.00 +0.40 +0.49 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 10:09
59 Jake Guentzel C +0.87 +0.75 +0.08 +0.18 -0.15 -0.04 +0.05 — 20:38
90 J.J. Moser D +0.80 0.00 +0.06 +0.47 +0.15 0.00 +0.12 — 19:27
21 Brayden Point C +0.67 +0.55 +0.01 -0.08 +0.15 +0.06 -0.02 — 17:05
81 Erik Cernak D +0.63 0.00 0.00 +0.65 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 21:40
42 Curtis Douglas C +0.54 0.00 +0.09 +0.48 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 7:08
38 Brandon Hagel L +0.52 0.00 +0.19 +0.38 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 16:20
71 Anthony Cirelli C +0.51 0.00 +0.06 +0.34 0.00 +0.09 +0.02 — 17:50
22 Oliver Bjorkstrand R +0.51 0.00 +0.17 +0.30 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 13:50
29 Pontus Holmberg R +0.46 0.00 +0.14 +0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:22
37 Yanni Gourde C +0.40 0.00 +0.23 +0.51 -0.30 -0.03 0.00 — 16:34
93 Gage Goncalves C +0.36 0.00 +0.08 +0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:00
17 Dominic James C +0.28 0.00 +0.05 +0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:59
78 Emil Lilleberg D +0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.50 -0.30 0.00 0.00 — 13:03
77 Victor Hedman D +0.17 0.00 +0.13 -0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 23:05
43 Darren Raddysh D +0.03 0.00 +0.06 +0.14 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 14:28
88 Andrei Vasilevskiy G -0.10 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.10 59:13

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.