Ottawa SenatorsOTT 7–1 Final Washington CapitalsWSH

Saturday, October 25, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Ottawa SenatorsOTT	1	3	3	7	34
Washington CapitalsWSH	0	0	1	1	13

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
1:58	OTT	Dylan Cozens (5) Artem Zub (4), David Perron (2) · tip-in xG 0.06	1–0 ▶
2nd Period
3:27	OTT	Shane Pinto (8) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.87	2–0 ▶
4:27	OTT	Dylan Cozens (6)PP Drake Batherson (5), Tim Stützle (4) · backhand xG 0.21	3–0 ▶
6:22	OTT	Nick Cousins (1) Tim Stützle (5) · backhand xG 0.27	4–0 ▶
3rd Period
0:55	OTT	Drake Batherson (1)PP Dylan Cozens (3), Claude Giroux (5) · wrist xG 0.07	5–0 ▶
5:04	WSH	Trevor van Riemsdyk (1) Ryan Leonard (2), Nic Dowd (2) · backhand xG 0.15	5–1 ▶
9:47	OTT	Thomas Chabot (2)PP Claude Giroux (6), David Perron (3) · snap xG 0.05	6–1 ▶
14:22	OTT	Drake Batherson (2) Jake Sanderson (5), Artem Zub (5) · snap xG 0.17	7–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

OTT 93%Deserve to win7% WSH

OTT		WSH
5.14	Expected goals	1.72
7	Goals (no shootout)	1
3.73	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.41
57	Shot attempts	54
45	Unblocked attempts	29
34	Shots on goal	13

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
14:20	OTT	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced WSH 1.11–0.07 In xG over 10 minutes, 4:20 to 14:20 of the 1st; neither team scored
2nd Period
4:20	OTT	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced WSH 1.89–0.05 In xG over 10 minutes, 18:40 of the 1st to 8:40 of the 2nd; goals 3–0
7:40	WSH	No shift	No shift · Strome, 36:52 on the bench No shift after 14:25 of the 1st; 4 shifts (2:34) before that
3rd Period
14:22	WSH	Goalie	Goalie · Lindgren −2.1 goals saved 7 goals on 4.88 xG, 31 shots on goal
15:40	OTT	No shift	No shift · MacDermid, 14:11 on the bench No shift after 5:04 of the 3rd; 11 shifts (5:05) before that

Shot map

OTT shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ WSH shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Ottawa Senators

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
24	Dylan Cozens	2	1	3	0	8	0.80	1	2	19:44
71	Ridly Greig	0	0	0	+1	3	0.04	0	1	18:23
12	Shane Pinto	1	0	1	+1	7	1.38	1	1	17:58
20	Lars Eller	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	0	2	16:01
28	Claude Giroux	0	2	2	+1	1	0.19	0	1	15:42
16	David Perron	0	2	2	+1	2	0.30	2	0	15:41
20	Fabian Zetterlund	0	0	0	+1	11	0.68	0	0	14:28
21	Nick Cousins	1	0	1	+1	2	0.27	2	2	14:22
18	Tim Stützle	0	2	2	+2	3	0.45	1	1	14:22
22	Michael Amadio	0	0	0	+1	2	0.08	0	2	13:56
19	Drake Batherson	2	1	3	+1	5	0.64	1	0	11:47
23	Kurtis MacDermid	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	1	05:05
Defense
72	Thomas Chabot	1	0	1	+1	4	0.14	0	2	22:24
85	Jake Sanderson	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	0	2	21:49
4	Nick Jensen	0	0	0	-1	3	0.05	0	3	21:06
2	Artem Zub	0	2	2	+4	1	0.00	0	2	18:12
33	Nikolas Matinpalo	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	16:01
43	Tyler Kleven	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	1	15:44

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Linus Ullmark	13	1	12	.923	1.72	+0.72

Washington Capitals

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
21	Aliaksei Protas	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	0	0	19:23
43	Tom Wilson	0	0	0	0	4	0.14	4	0	18:24
8	Alex Ovechkin	0	0	0	-2	5	0.21	3	0	17:44
26	Nic Dowd	0	1	1	0	1	0.10	1	0	16:32
80	Pierre-Luc Dubois	0	0	0	-1	3	0.22	2	1	15:05
72	Anthony Beauvillier	0	0	0	-2	3	0.09	0	1	14:58
77	Connor McMichael	0	0	0	-2	3	0.01	0	0	14:47
9	Ryan Leonard	0	1	1	0	4	0.23	1	0	14:36
34	Justin Sourdif	0	0	0	0	4	0.21	4	0	14:24
24	Brandon Duhaime	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	13:42
22	Hendrix Lapierre	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	0	0	11:23
17	Dylan Strome	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	02:34
Defense
6	Jakob Chychrun	0	0	0	-2	5	0.03	1	2	24:46
3	Matt Roy	0	0	0	-1	6	0.03	1	2	21:21
74	John Carlson	0	0	0	-2	6	0.09	3	2	21:05
42	Martin Fehérváry	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	4	3	19:46
57	Trevor van Riemsdyk	1	0	1	0	2	0.15	0	0	16:32
52	Dylan McIlrath	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	3	0	14:05

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Charlie Lindgren	34	7	27	.794	5.14	-1.86

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Ottawa Senators

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
2 Artem Zub D	+3.60	+1.25	0.00	+2.25	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	18:12
19 Drake Batherson R	+3.05	+2.20	+0.41	+0.43	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	11:47
24 Dylan Cozens C	+3.00	+2.20	+0.52	+0.06	+0.15	+0.01	+0.06	—	19:44
12 Shane Pinto C	+2.70	+0.75	+0.90	+1.13	-0.15	+0.02	+0.05	—	17:58
18 Tim Stützle C	+2.57	+1.25	+0.29	+0.96	0.00	+0.02	+0.05	—	14:22
85 Jake Sanderson D	+2.44	+0.70	0.00	+1.70	0.00	0.00	+0.04	—	21:49
28 Claude Giroux R	+2.26	+1.25	+0.12	+0.86	0.00	+0.03	-0.01	—	15:42
20 Fabian Zetterlund L	+2.16	0.00	+0.44	+1.55	+0.15	0.00	+0.02	—	14:28
21 Nick Cousins C	+2.06	+0.75	+0.18	+1.03	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	14:22
72 Thomas Chabot D	+1.96	+0.75	+0.09	+1.04	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	22:24
57 David Perron L	+1.81	+1.10	+0.20	+0.49	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	15:41
22 Michael Amadio R	+1.17	0.00	+0.05	+1.00	0.00	0.00	+0.12	—	13:56
89 Lars Eller C	+1.10	0.00	+0.08	+0.85	0.00	+0.03	+0.14	—	16:01
71 Ridly Greig C	+1.09	0.00	+0.02	+0.90	+0.10	+0.02	+0.05	—	18:23
35 Linus Ullmark G	+0.72	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.72	59:15
3 Nick Jensen D	+0.59	0.00	+0.03	+0.43	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	21:06
43 Tyler Kleven D	+0.29	0.00	0.00	+0.26	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	15:44
33 Nikolas Matinpalo D	+0.18	0.00	0.00	+0.33	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	16:01
23 Kurtis MacDermid L	-0.21	0.00	0.00	-0.26	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	5:05

Washington Capitals

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
9 Ryan Leonard R	+0.69	+0.70	+0.15	-0.29	+0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	14:36
26 Nic Dowd C	+0.44	+0.55	+0.06	-0.22	0.00	+0.03	+0.02	—	16:32
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D	+0.30	+0.75	+0.10	-0.52	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	16:32
29 Hendrix Lapierre C	0.00	0.00	+0.05	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	11:23
43 Tom Wilson R	-0.01	0.00	+0.09	+0.06	-0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	18:24
80 Pierre-Luc Dubois L	-0.19	0.00	+0.14	-0.39	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	15:05
17 Dylan Strome C	-0.24	0.00	0.00	-0.21	0.00	-0.03	0.00	—	2:34
34 Justin Sourdif R	-0.51	0.00	+0.13	-0.47	-0.15	-0.03	0.00	—	14:24
52 Dylan McIlrath D	-0.57	0.00	+0.01	-0.56	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	14:05
42 Martin Fehérváry D	-0.62	0.00	+0.03	-0.70	-0.10	0.00	+0.15	—	19:46
22 Brandon Duhaime R	-0.86	0.00	0.00	-0.86	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:42
74 John Carlson D	-1.08	0.00	+0.06	-1.18	0.00	0.00	+0.04	—	21:05
72 Anthony Beauvillier L	-1.15	0.00	+0.06	-1.23	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	14:58
21 Aliaksei Protas C	-1.17	0.00	+0.06	-1.18	0.00	-0.01	-0.04	—	19:23
3 Matt Roy D	-1.24	0.00	+0.02	-1.49	+0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	21:21
6 Jakob Chychrun D	-1.43	0.00	+0.02	-1.55	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	24:46
8 Alex Ovechkin L	-1.87	0.00	+0.13	-2.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	17:44
79 Charlie Lindgren G	-1.91	0.00	—	—	-0.05	—	—	-1.86	59:55
24 Connor McMichael C	-2.23	0.00	+0.01	-2.18	0.00	-0.06	0.00	—	14:47

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.