| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 23 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 4:48 | Tom Wilson (6) Jakob Chychrun (4), Matt Roy (1) · snap xG 0.30 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 14:58 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau (3)SH Simon Holmstrom (4) · tip-in xG 0.10 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 4:29 | Bo Horvat (7) Emil Heineman (2), Ryan Pulock (5) · snap xG 0.10 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 18:44 | Mathew Barzal (3)EN Adam Pelech (2) · snap xG 0.47 | 3–1 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYI | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.59 | Expected goals | 2.57 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 1 |
| 1.70 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.69 |
| 54 | Shot attempts | 52 |
| 40 | Unblocked attempts | 34 |
| 23 | Shots on goal | 23 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:20 | WSH | No shift | No shift · Dubois, 24:36 on the bench
No shift after 18:50 of the 1st; 7 shifts (6:02) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 18:31 | WSH | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Thompson, down 2–1
With 1:29 left; NYI scored at 18:44 of the 3rd (3–1) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Bo Horvat | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.51 | 0 | 0 | 20:34 |
| 21 | Kyle Palmieri | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 2 | 0 | 20:02 |
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.61 | 0 | 0 | 18:04 |
| 92 | Simon Holmstrom | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 17:45 |
| 92 | Jonathan Drouin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 | 16:23 |
| 64 | Calum Ritchie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 16:17 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.55 | 0 | 0 | 15:21 |
| 44 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 13:35 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.52 | 4 | 0 | 12:44 |
| 32 | Kyle MacLean | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 10:09 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 09:59 |
| 11 | Anthony Duclair | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 09:13 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Ryan Pulock | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 0.02 | 0 | 3 | 20:06 |
| 28 | Alexander Romanov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 4 | 19:43 |
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 19:29 |
| 24 | Scott Mayfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 18:56 |
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.10 | 1 | 2 | 17:58 |
| 77 | Tony DeAngelo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 15:42 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | 23 | 1 | 22 | .957 | 2.57 | +1.57 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 43 | Tom Wilson | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.30 | 3 | 2 | 19:47 |
| 21 | Aliaksei Protas | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.31 | 2 | 0 | 19:26 |
| 77 | Connor McMichael | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 18:27 |
| 8 | Alex Ovechkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 6 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 18:17 |
| 26 | Nic Dowd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 5 | 2 | 15:56 |
| 72 | Anthony Beauvillier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 14:21 |
| 24 | Brandon Duhaime | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 14:04 |
| 34 | Justin Sourdif | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 13:52 |
| 22 | Hendrix Lapierre | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 13:51 |
| 9 | Ryan Leonard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 13:04 |
| 15 | Sonny Milano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 09:13 |
| 80 | Pierre-Luc Dubois | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 06:02 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 74 | John Carlson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.10 | 0 | 3 | 25:08 |
| 3 | Matt Roy | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 21:21 |
| 42 | Martin Fehérváry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 4 | 20:27 |
| 6 | Jakob Chychrun | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 20:21 |
| 57 | Trevor van Riemsdyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 | 14:26 |
| 47 | Declan Chisholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 12:25 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson | 22 | 2 | 20 | .909 | 3.11 | +1.11 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Adam Pelech D | +1.67 | +0.70 | +0.12 | +0.74 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 19:29 |
| 30 Ilya Sorokin G | +1.57 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.57 | 60:00 |
| 6 Ryan Pulock D | +1.51 | +0.55 | +0.02 | +0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 20:06 |
| 14 Bo Horvat C | +1.09 | +0.75 | +0.33 | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.02 | — | 20:34 |
| 51 Emil Heineman L | +1.09 | +0.70 | +0.34 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:44 |
| 10 Simon Holmstrom R | +0.93 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:45 |
| 44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | +0.87 | +0.75 | +0.06 | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.03 | — | 13:35 |
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | +0.74 | +0.75 | +0.40 | -0.37 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 18:04 |
| 29 Jonathan Drouin L | +0.53 | 0.00 | +0.27 | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:23 |
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | +0.50 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.18 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:58 |
| 27 Anders Lee L | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.36 | +0.17 | -0.15 | +0.02 | +0.02 | — | 15:21 |
| 11 Anthony Duclair L | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 9:13 |
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.15 | -0.03 | +0.10 | — | 9:59 |
| 21 Kyle Palmieri C | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 20:02 |
| 32 Kyle MacLean C | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.25 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:09 |
| 64 Calum Ritchie C | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.08 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 16:17 |
| 77 Tony DeAngelo D | -0.38 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 15:42 |
| 28 Alexander Romanov D | -0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 | — | 19:43 |
| 24 Scott Mayfield D | -0.61 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:56 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 Tom Wilson R | +1.49 | +0.75 | +0.20 | +0.32 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:47 |
| 48 Logan Thompson G | +1.11 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.11 | 59:32 |
| 3 Matt Roy D | +0.69 | +0.55 | +0.04 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:21 |
| 6 Jakob Chychrun D | +0.55 | +0.70 | +0.16 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 20:21 |
| 72 Anthony Beauvillier L | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:21 |
| 42 Martin Fehérváry D | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 20:27 |
| 21 Aliaksei Protas C | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:26 |
| 57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:26 |
| 22 Brandon Duhaime R | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.20 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:04 |
| 24 Connor McMichael C | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.20 | 0.00 | -0.09 | -0.06 | — | 18:27 |
| 34 Justin Sourdif R | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 13:52 |
| 74 John Carlson D | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 25:08 |
| 80 Pierre-Luc Dubois L | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.06 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 6:02 |
| 26 Nic Dowd C | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.02 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 15:56 |
| 15 Sonny Milano L | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 9:13 |
| 47 Declan Chisholm D | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:25 |
| 29 Hendrix Lapierre C | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 13:51 |
| 9 Ryan Leonard R | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 13:04 |
| 8 Alex Ovechkin L | -0.50 | 0.00 | +0.21 | -0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:17 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.