New York IslandersNYI 3–1 Final Washington CapitalsWSH

Friday, October 31, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
New York IslandersNYI 012 3 23
Washington CapitalsWSH 010 1 23

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
4:48 WSH Tom Wilson (6) Jakob Chychrun (4), Matt Roy (1) · snap xG 0.30 0–1 ▶
14:58 NYI Jean-Gabriel Pageau (3)SH Simon Holmstrom (4) · tip-in xG 0.10 1–1 ▶
3rd Period
4:29 NYI Bo Horvat (7) Emil Heineman (2), Ryan Pulock (5) · snap xG 0.10 2–1 ▶
18:44 NYI Mathew Barzal (3)EN Adam Pelech (2) · snap xG 0.47 3–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NYI 59%Deserve to win41% WSH
NYIWSH
3.59Expected goals2.57
3Goals (no shootout)1
1.70Expected goals, 5 on 51.69
54Shot attempts52
40Unblocked attempts34
23Shots on goal23

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
11:20 WSH No shift No shift · Dubois, 24:36 on the bench
No shift after 18:50 of the 1st; 7 shifts (6:02) before that
3rd Period
18:31 WSH Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Thompson, down 2–1
With 1:29 left; NYI scored at 18:44 of the 3rd (3–1)

Shot map

NYI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ WSH shoots
Alex Ovechkin: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:06) Trevor van Riemsdyk: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 2:01) Connor McMichael: between-legs, 10 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 2:02) Alex Ovechkin: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 3:25) Jakob Chychrun: snap, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 4:43) John Carlson: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:23) John Carlson: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:24) Anthony Beauvillier: slap, 16 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:09) Anthony Beauvillier: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 6:31) Sonny Milano: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 6:32) Pierre-Luc Dubois: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:11) Anders Lee: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:28) Tony DeAngelo: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:37) Scott Mayfield: snap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:51) Kyle MacLean: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 9:54) Matt Roy: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:23) Nic Dowd: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 11:00) Kyle Palmieri: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:10) John Carlson: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:31) Brandon Duhaime: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.29 (P1 11:34) Matthew Schaefer: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:06) Anthony Beauvillier: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 12:27) Adam Pelech: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 16:05) Tony DeAngelo: snap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:21) Calum Ritchie: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:31) Matthew Schaefer: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 18:29) Ryan Pulock: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:35) Emil Heineman: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:49) Anders Lee: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 2:16) Connor McMichael: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 4:30) Alex Ovechkin: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 5:20) Declan Chisholm: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:31) Sonny Milano: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:36) Hendrix Lapierre: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:43) Mathew Barzal: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:08) Emil Heineman: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 8:51) Trevor van Riemsdyk: snap, 170 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 8:52) Ryan Pulock: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:44) Jonathan Drouin: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 11:23) Tony DeAngelo: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:43) Jonathan Drouin: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 11:45) Kyle Palmieri: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 11:53) Mathew Barzal: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 12:41) Anthony Beauvillier: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 14:23) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 15:32) Bo Horvat: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 15:50) Jonathan Drouin: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 16:50) Jakob Chychrun: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:43) John Carlson: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:41) Matt Roy: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:59) Aliaksei Protas: deflected, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 1:01) Emil Heineman: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 1:19) Bo Horvat: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 1:39) Aliaksei Protas: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 2:10) Simon Holmstrom: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 2:52) Emil Heineman: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 3:00) Scott Mayfield: snap, 73 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:07) Alex Ovechkin: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 6:58) Kyle Palmieri: wrist, 181 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 7:34) Jakob Chychrun: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 8:01) Brandon Duhaime: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:57) Bo Horvat: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 9:41) Bo Horvat: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 9:50) Anthony Beauvillier: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:13) Anders Lee: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 11:36) Anders Lee: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 12:08) Tony DeAngelo: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:17) Anders Lee: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 12:28) Calum Ritchie: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:10) Kyle Palmieri: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 13:59) Tom Wilson: GOAL, snap, 18 ft, xG 0.30 (P2 4:48) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: GOAL, tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 14:58) Bo Horvat: GOAL, snap, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 4:29) Mathew Barzal: GOAL, snap, 107 ft, xG 0.47 (P3 18:44)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New York Islanders

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Bo Horvat 101 +1 60.51 0020:34
21 Kyle Palmieri 000 0 40.25 2020:02
13 Mathew Barzal 101 +1 30.61 0018:04
92 Simon Holmstrom 011 +1 20.11 0017:45
92 Jonathan Drouin 000 0 40.41 0016:23
64 Calum Ritchie 000 0 20.07 0116:17
72 Anders Lee 000 0 50.55 0015:21
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau 101 +1 10.10 0113:35
51 Emil Heineman 011 +1 60.52 4012:44
32 Kyle MacLean 000 0 10.07 1010:09
53 Casey Cizikas 000 0 00.00 2209:59
11 Anthony Duclair 000 0 00.00 0109:13
Defense
6 Ryan Pulock 011 +3 40.02 0320:06
28 Alexander Romanov 000 0 10.00 1419:43
3 Adam Pelech 011 +3 40.19 0019:29
24 Scott Mayfield 000 -1 20.01 1118:56
48 Matthew Schaefer 000 -1 40.10 1217:58
77 Tony DeAngelo 000 0 50.06 0115:42
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Ilya Sorokin 23122 .957 2.57 +1.57

Washington Capitals

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
43 Tom Wilson 101 0 10.30 3219:47
21 Aliaksei Protas 000 -1 40.31 2019:26
77 Connor McMichael 000 -1 20.14 0018:27
8 Alex Ovechkin 000 -3 60.32 0018:17
26 Nic Dowd 000 0 20.17 5215:56
72 Anthony Beauvillier 000 -1 60.33 0014:21
24 Brandon Duhaime 000 0 20.30 0014:04
34 Justin Sourdif 000 -1 10.00 0013:52
22 Hendrix Lapierre 000 -1 10.01 0013:51
9 Ryan Leonard 000 0 10.00 1013:04
15 Sonny Milano 000 0 20.09 1009:13
80 Pierre-Luc Dubois 000 0 30.05 0006:02
Defense
74 John Carlson 000 -2 60.10 0325:08
3 Matt Roy 011 0 20.07 1121:21
42 Martin Fehérváry 000 0 10.00 0420:27
6 Jakob Chychrun 011 -1 60.25 0020:21
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk 000 0 50.12 0114:26
47 Declan Chisholm 000 0 10.02 1012:25
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Logan Thompson 22220 .909 3.11 +1.11

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New York Islanders

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
3 Adam Pelech D +1.67 +0.70 +0.12 +0.74 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 19:29
30 Ilya Sorokin G +1.57 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.57 60:00
6 Ryan Pulock D +1.51 +0.55 +0.02 +0.84 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 20:06
14 Bo Horvat C +1.09 +0.75 +0.33 -0.07 0.00 +0.10 -0.02 — 20:34
51 Emil Heineman L +1.09 +0.70 +0.34 +0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:44
10 Simon Holmstrom R +0.93 +0.70 +0.07 +0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:45
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C +0.87 +0.75 +0.06 -0.05 0.00 +0.08 +0.03 — 13:35
13 Mathew Barzal C +0.74 +0.75 +0.40 -0.37 0.00 -0.04 0.00 — 18:04
29 Jonathan Drouin L +0.53 0.00 +0.27 +0.31 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 16:23
48 Matthew Schaefer D +0.50 0.00 +0.06 +0.18 +0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 17:58
27 Anders Lee L +0.42 0.00 +0.36 +0.17 -0.15 +0.02 +0.02 — 15:21
11 Anthony Duclair L +0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 9:13
53 Casey Cizikas C +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.17 -0.15 -0.03 +0.10 — 9:59
21 Kyle Palmieri C -0.06 0.00 +0.16 -0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 20:02
32 Kyle MacLean C -0.07 0.00 +0.05 -0.25 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 10:09
64 Calum Ritchie C -0.33 0.00 +0.04 -0.08 -0.30 0.00 +0.01 — 16:17
77 Tony DeAngelo D -0.38 0.00 +0.04 -0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 15:42
28 Alexander Romanov D -0.48 0.00 0.00 -0.64 0.00 0.00 +0.16 — 19:43
24 Scott Mayfield D -0.61 0.00 +0.01 -0.66 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:56

Washington Capitals

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
43 Tom Wilson R +1.49 +0.75 +0.20 +0.32 +0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 19:47
48 Logan Thompson G +1.11 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.11 59:32
3 Matt Roy D +0.69 +0.55 +0.04 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:21
6 Jakob Chychrun D +0.55 +0.70 +0.16 -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 20:21
72 Anthony Beauvillier L +0.51 0.00 +0.21 +0.31 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:21
42 Martin Fehérváry D +0.44 0.00 0.00 +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 20:27
21 Aliaksei Protas C +0.42 0.00 +0.20 +0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:26
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D +0.22 0.00 +0.08 +0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 14:26
22 Brandon Duhaime R +0.22 0.00 +0.19 +0.20 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 14:04
24 Connor McMichael C +0.14 0.00 +0.09 +0.20 0.00 -0.09 -0.06 — 18:27
34 Justin Sourdif R +0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 +0.15 -0.02 0.00 — 13:52
74 John Carlson D +0.06 0.00 +0.07 -0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 25:08
80 Pierre-Luc Dubois L +0.05 0.00 +0.03 +0.06 0.00 -0.04 0.00 — 6:02
26 Nic Dowd C +0.04 0.00 +0.11 -0.02 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 15:56
15 Sonny Milano L +0.01 0.00 +0.06 -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 9:13
47 Declan Chisholm D 0.00 0.00 +0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:25
29 Hendrix Lapierre C -0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.32 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 13:51
9 Ryan Leonard R -0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 13:04
8 Alex Ovechkin L -0.50 0.00 +0.21 -0.69 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:17

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.