hockeystats.io

Washington CapitalsWSH 3–4 Final/SO Buffalo SabresBUF

Saturday, November 1, 2025

Final/SO 1st2nd3rdOTSO T SOG
Washington CapitalsWSH 21000 3 34
Buffalo SabresBUF 30001 4 24

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
1:07 WSH Dylan Strome (3) Ryan Leonard (3) · snap xG 0.12 1–0 ▶
2:15 WSH Aliaksei Protas (5) Connor McMichael (3), Tom Wilson (7) · snap xG 0.11 2–0 ▶
2:30 BUF Tage Thompson (5) Jason Zucker (3), Jordan Greenway (1) · snap xG 0.16 2–1 ▶
10:02 BUF Alex Tuch (5) Josh Doan (5), Owen Power (4) · wrist xG 0.13 2–2 ▶
18:45 BUF Isak Rosen (1) Jack Quinn (4), Conor Timmins (4) · wrist xG 0.10 2–3 ▶
2nd Period
19:17 WSH Sonny Milano (1) Matt Roy (2), Martin Fehérváry (4) · tip-in xG 0.07 3–3 ▶
3rd Period
No scoring
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
BUF Jack Quinn vs Charlie Lindgren Saved
WSH Dylan Strome vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen Saved
BUF Tage Thompson vs Charlie Lindgren Missed
WSH Anthony Beauvillier vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen Saved
BUF Alex Tuch vs Charlie Lindgren Missed
WSH Connor McMichael vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen Missed
BUF Rasmus Dahlin vs Charlie Lindgren Saved
WSH Alex Ovechkin vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen Missed
BUF Bowen Byram vs Charlie Lindgren Goal
WSH Ryan Leonard vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen Missed

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WSH 54%Deserve to win46% BUF
WSHBUF
2.84Expected goals2.59
3Goals (no shootout)3
1.70Expected goals, 5 on 51.29
66Shot attempts53
50Unblocked attempts40
34Shots on goal24

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
17:30 WSH No shift No shift · Chisholm, 14:23 on the bench
No shift from 7:21 of the 1st to 1:44 of the 2nd; 3 shifts (2:30) before that

Shot map

WSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ BUF shoots
Mattias Samuelsson: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:27) Anthony Beauvillier: tip-in, 90 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:51) Ryan Leonard: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:05) Beck Malenstyn: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:03) Alex Tuch: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:04) Sonny Milano: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 3:54) Beck Malenstyn: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:20) Connor McMichael: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 4:37) Isak Rosen: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:46) Rasmus Dahlin: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 5:00) Tage Thompson: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:18) Isak Rosen: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 5:25) Ryan McLeod: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 6:28) Dylan Strome: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:52) Conor Timmins: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:50) Alex Ovechkin: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 9:34) Trevor van Riemsdyk: snap, 73 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:20) Ryan Leonard: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 12:08) Ryan Leonard: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:25) Jiri Kulich: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 15:13) Jiri Kulich: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 15:40) Mattias Samuelsson: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:53) Tage Thompson: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 15:59) Justin Sourdif: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:45) Justin Sourdif: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:54) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:56) Anthony Beauvillier: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:58) Hendrix Lapierre: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 2:42) Mattias Samuelsson: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:01) Aliaksei Protas: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 3:42) Josh Dunne: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:13) Peyton Krebs: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:13) Nic Dowd: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:05) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 7:12) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 7:23) Trevor van Riemsdyk: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:45) Aliaksei Protas: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 9:13) Anthony Beauvillier: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 9:19) Martin Fehérváry: slap, 87 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:54) Brandon Duhaime: deflected, 24 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 9:56) Owen Power: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:39) Mattias Samuelsson: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:34) Tage Thompson: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:24) Alex Ovechkin: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 12:44) Isak Rosen: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 13:28) Tage Thompson: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 14:49) Josh Doan: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 15:15) Aliaksei Protas: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:28) Jiri Kulich: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 16:16) Declan Chisholm: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:43) Dylan Strome: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 17:04) Jason Zucker: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 17:33) John Carlson: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:33) Matt Roy: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:04) Matt Roy: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:11) Dylan Strome: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:45) Mattias Samuelsson: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:14) Tage Thompson: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:50) Connor McMichael: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:08) Ryan McLeod: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:35) Jack Quinn: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 3:07) Tage Thompson: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 3:30) Josh Doan: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 3:49) Bowen Byram: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 4:42) Dylan Strome: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 7:04) Alex Tuch: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:50) Matt Roy: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:47) Anthony Beauvillier: slap, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 10:55) Matt Roy: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:06) Jakob Chychrun: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:19) Jakob Chychrun: backhand, 33 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:28) Josh Doan: backhand, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:47) Tage Thompson: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 12:16) Brandon Duhaime: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:26) Alex Ovechkin: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:42) Ryan McLeod: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 18:46) Tom Wilson: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 1:31) John Carlson: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.21 (OT 2:26) John Carlson: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 2:27) Alex Ovechkin: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.12 (OT 3:05) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 3:15) Aliaksei Protas: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 3:33) Dylan Strome: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 4:43) Ryan McLeod: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (OT 4:57) Dylan Strome: GOAL, snap, 15 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 1:07) Aliaksei Protas: GOAL, snap, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 2:15) Tage Thompson: GOAL, snap, 25 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 2:30) Alex Tuch: GOAL, wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 10:02) Isak Rosen: GOAL, wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 18:45) Sonny Milano: GOAL, tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 19:17)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Washington Capitals

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
17 Dylan Strome 101 +1 60.33 0022:13
8 Alex Ovechkin 000 -1 90.32 2019:15
21 Aliaksei Protas 101 0 70.36 0118:25
72 Anthony Beauvillier 000 0 40.32 1017:27
77 Connor McMichael 011 0 40.05 1016:48
26 Nic Dowd 000 -1 10.01 2116:41
43 Tom Wilson 011 +1 10.13 4015:32
24 Brandon Duhaime 000 -1 30.06 1014:13
34 Justin Sourdif 000 -1 20.08 3013:02
9 Ryan Leonard 011 +1 30.16 1112:14
22 Hendrix Lapierre 000 +1 10.12 0009:27
15 Sonny Milano 101 0 20.11 0009:07
Defense
74 John Carlson 000 -1 50.32 0228:05
6 Jakob Chychrun 000 +1 80.35 0127:21
3 Matt Roy 011 +1 40.08 2419:44
42 Martin Fehérváry 011 0 20.00 0017:55
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk 000 -1 20.03 0316:00
47 Declan Chisholm 000 0 20.03 0013:39
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Charlie Lindgren 24321 .875 2.59 -0.41

Buffalo Sabres

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
89 Alex Tuch 101 0 30.18 0220:14
72 Tage Thompson 101 +1 100.65 0219:23
71 Ryan McLeod 000 0 40.34 1018:05
22 Jack Quinn 011 0 20.07 1016:23
91 Josh Doan 011 0 40.31 2015:32
19 Peyton Krebs 000 -1 10.06 1015:08
17 Jason Zucker 011 +1 20.15 0015:07
12 Jordan Greenway 011 +1 00.00 4013:28
29 Beck Malenstyn 000 -1 20.03 3112:42
44 Josh Dunne 000 -1 10.04 3011:51
20 Jiri Kulich 000 0 40.18 1011:19
Defense
26 Rasmus Dahlin 000 0 20.07 0226:12
23 Mattias Samuelsson 000 -1 60.10 4220:22
25 Owen Power 011 +1 20.01 0019:54
24 Bowen Byram 000 -1 20.12 0018:54
7 Michael Kesselring 000 0 00.00 0118:27
21 Conor Timmins 011 +1 20.03 0117:47
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen 34331 .912 2.84 -0.16

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Washington Capitals

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
3 Matt Roy D +1.55 +0.70 +0.05 +0.60 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 19:44
21 Aliaksei Protas C +1.42 +0.75 +0.23 +0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:25
17 Dylan Strome C +1.30 +0.75 +0.21 +0.26 0.00 +0.08 0.00 — 22:13
15 Sonny Milano L +1.12 +0.75 +0.07 +0.15 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 9:07
42 Martin Fehérváry D +1.08 +0.55 0.00 +0.38 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 17:55
9 Ryan Leonard R +0.79 +0.70 +0.10 +0.15 -0.15 0.00 -0.01 — 12:14
72 Anthony Beauvillier L +0.77 0.00 +0.21 +0.58 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:27
43 Tom Wilson R +0.71 +0.55 +0.08 +0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:32
29 Hendrix Lapierre C +0.66 0.00 +0.08 +0.62 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 9:27
6 Jakob Chychrun D +0.61 0.00 +0.23 +0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 27:21
24 Connor McMichael C +0.54 +0.70 +0.03 -0.14 0.00 -0.05 0.00 — 16:48
74 John Carlson D +0.03 0.00 +0.21 -0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 28:05
47 Declan Chisholm D 0.00 0.00 +0.02 +0.16 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 13:39
26 Nic Dowd C 0.00 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 16:41
8 Alex Ovechkin L -0.06 0.00 +0.21 -0.26 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 19:15
34 Justin Sourdif R -0.07 0.00 +0.05 -0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:02
22 Brandon Duhaime R -0.08 0.00 +0.04 -0.25 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 14:13
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D -0.14 0.00 +0.02 -0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 16:00
79 Charlie Lindgren G -0.41 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.41 64:52

Buffalo Sabres

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
72 Tage Thompson C +1.51 +0.75 +0.42 +0.24 0.00 +0.04 +0.06 — 19:23
17 Jason Zucker L +1.16 +0.70 +0.10 +0.37 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 15:07
12 Jordan Greenway L +1.12 +0.55 0.00 +0.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:28
25 Owen Power D +1.06 +0.55 0.00 +0.53 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:54
21 Conor Timmins D +1.06 +0.55 +0.02 +0.44 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:47
63 Isak Rosen R +0.87 +0.75 +0.17 -0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 14:44
91 Josh Doan R +0.47 +0.70 +0.20 -0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 15:32
22 Jack Quinn R +0.42 +0.70 +0.04 -0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:23
89 Alex Tuch R +0.38 +0.75 +0.12 -0.26 -0.30 -0.01 +0.08 — 20:14
8 Michael Kesselring D +0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 18:27
44 Josh Dunne C -0.06 0.00 +0.03 -0.22 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 11:51
29 Beck Malenstyn L -0.15 0.00 +0.02 -0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:42
71 Ryan McLeod C -0.16 0.00 +0.22 -0.28 0.00 -0.06 -0.04 — 18:05
1 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen G -0.16 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.16 64:28
20 Jiri Kulich C -0.21 0.00 +0.12 -0.33 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 11:19
23 Mattias Samuelsson D -0.30 0.00 +0.07 -0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 20:22
19 Peyton Krebs C -0.31 0.00 +0.04 -0.33 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 15:08
26 Rasmus Dahlin D -0.37 0.00 +0.05 -0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 26:12
4 Bowen Byram D -0.88 0.00 +0.08 -0.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:54

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.