| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 |
 |
1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 32 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9:50 | |
Tom Wilson (7)PP John Carlson (6), Jakob Chychrun (5) · tip-in xG 0.10 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 2:39 | |
Alex Ovechkin (3) Jakob Chychrun (6) · backhand xG 0.07 | 0–2 ▶ |
| 4:33 | |
Anthony Beauvillier (2) Jakob Chychrun (7) · backhand xG 0.12 | 0–3 ▶ |
| 9:28 | |
John Carlson (3) Ryan Leonard (4), Martin Fehérváry (5) · snap xG 0.16 | 0–4 ▶ |
| 16:20 | |
Anthony Beauvillier (3) Unassisted · snap xG 0.08 | 0–5 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:37 | |
Alexey Toropchenko (1)SH Pius Suter (4), Cam Fowler (5) · backhand xG 0.08 | 1–5 ▶ |
| 9:00 | |
Tom Wilson (8) Rasmus Sandin (3), Trevor van Riemsdyk (1) · snap xG 0.31 | 1–6 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| STL | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.34 | Expected goals | 3.83 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 6 |
| 1.69 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.96 |
| 51 | Shot attempts | 70 |
| 36 | Unblocked attempts | 45 |
| 24 | Shots on goal | 32 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9:28 | STL | Goalie | Goalie · Binnington −2.4 goals saved
4 goals on 1.57 xG, 15 shots on goal |
| 9:28 | STL | Goalie change | Goalie change · Hofer in for Binnington
9:28 of the 2nd; Binnington had allowed 4 goals on 15 shots (1.57 xG) |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 13:40 | STL | No shift | No shift · Sundqvist, 16:17 on the bench
No shift after 3:40 of the 3rd; 10 shifts (7:43) before that |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 81 | Dylan Holloway | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.21 | 5 | 1 | 17:41 |
| 21 | Jimmy Snuggerud | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.26 | 1 | 0 | 17:39 |
| 15 | Dalibor Dvorsky | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.27 | 2 | 2 | 16:48 |
| 89 | Pavel Buchnevich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | 0 | 1 | 16:44 |
| 25 | Jordan Kyrou | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.38 | 0 | 0 | 16:43 |
| 22 | Pius Suter | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 16:26 |
| 18 | Robert Thomas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 16:23 |
| 26 | Nathan Walker | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.04 | 3 | 2 | 15:08 |
| 10 | Brayden Schenn | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 14:10 |
| 13 | Alexey Toropchenko | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.08 | 6 | 0 | 12:53 |
| 72 | Nick Bjugstad | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 12:44 |
| 70 | Oskar Sundqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.14 | 2 | 1 | 07:43 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 72 | Justin Faulk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 4 | 25:07 |
| 55 | Colton Parayko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 4 | 21:26 |
| 6 | Philip Broberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.20 | 0 | 3 | 20:16 |
| 17 | Cam Fowler | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 18:33 |
| 75 | Tyler Tucker | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.04 | 3 | 1 | 15:35 |
| 23 | Logan Mailloux | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 13:52 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington | 15 | 4 | 11 | .733 | 1.57 | -2.43 |
| Joel Hofer | 17 | 2 | 15 | .882 | 2.26 | +0.26 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 8 | Alex Ovechkin | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 8 | 0.52 | 0 | 0 | 16:40 |
| 17 | Dylan Strome | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 16:34 |
| 26 | Nic Dowd | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.44 | 0 | 0 | 16:19 |
| 9 | Ryan Leonard | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0.10 | 2 | 0 | 15:40 |
| 15 | Sonny Milano | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.22 | 0 | 1 | 15:27 |
| 72 | Anthony Beauvillier | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 0.20 | 0 | 1 | 15:10 |
| 22 | Hendrix Lapierre | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.17 | 0 | 1 | 14:01 |
| 43 | Tom Wilson | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 0.80 | 1 | 1 | 13:54 |
| 34 | Justin Sourdif | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 13:26 |
| 77 | Connor McMichael | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 1 | 13:22 |
| 24 | Brandon Duhaime | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 11:53 |
| 21 | Aliaksei Protas | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 11:32 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Jakob Chychrun | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 9 | 0.30 | 0 | 2 | 22:47 |
| 74 | John Carlson | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.40 | 0 | 1 | 21:05 |
| 3 | Matt Roy | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 4 | 0.02 | 1 | 3 | 20:02 |
| 57 | Trevor van Riemsdyk | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 19:45 |
| 42 | Martin Fehérváry | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.10 | 3 | 1 | 19:34 |
| 38 | Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 16:58 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson | 24 | 1 | 23 | .958 | 2.34 | +1.34 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Philip Broberg D | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.10 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 20:16 |
| 89 Pavel Buchnevich L | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 16:44 |
| 30 Joel Hofer G | +0.26 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.26 | 30:32 |
| 18 Robert Thomas C | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:23 |
| 13 Alexey Toropchenko R | +0.14 | +0.75 | +0.05 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:53 |
| 21 Jimmy Snuggerud R | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:39 |
| 17 Cam Fowler D | +0.11 | +0.55 | +0.01 | -0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:33 |
| 22 Pius Suter C | -0.04 | +0.70 | +0.15 | -0.74 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:26 |
| 70 Oskar Sundqvist C | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.26 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.03 | — | 7:43 |
| 54 Dalibor Dvorsky R | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.43 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.12 | — | 16:48 |
| 72 Justin Faulk D | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 25:07 |
| 25 Jordan Kyrou R | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.25 | -0.69 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:43 |
| 77 Nick Bjugstad C | -0.50 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.60 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 12:44 |
| 55 Colton Parayko D | -0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.55 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.14 | — | 21:26 |
| 26 Nathan Walker L | -0.81 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.87 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.04 | — | 15:08 |
| 10 Brayden Schenn C | -0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:10 |
| 75 Tyler Tucker D | -1.10 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -1.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:35 |
| 81 Dylan Holloway L | -1.17 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -1.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 17:41 |
| 23 Logan Mailloux D | -1.60 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:52 |
| 50 Jordan Binnington G | -2.43 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.43 | 29:28 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jakob Chychrun D | +3.51 | +1.95 | +0.20 | +1.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 22:47 |
| 43 Tom Wilson R | +2.81 | +1.50 | +0.52 | +0.88 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:54 |
| 72 Anthony Beauvillier L | +2.25 | +1.50 | +0.13 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:10 |
| 74 John Carlson D | +2.09 | +1.45 | +0.26 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 21:05 |
| 9 Ryan Leonard R | +1.66 | +0.70 | +0.06 | +0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:40 |
| 8 Alex Ovechkin L | +1.53 | +0.75 | +0.34 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 16:40 |
| 42 Martin Fehérváry D | +1.36 | +0.55 | +0.07 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:34 |
| 48 Logan Thompson G | +1.34 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.34 | 59:51 |
| 38 Rasmus Sandin D | +1.19 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 16:58 |
| 3 Matt Roy D | +1.03 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +1.04 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 20:02 |
| 26 Nic Dowd C | +1.02 | 0.00 | +0.28 | +0.68 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | — | 16:19 |
| 21 Aliaksei Protas C | +0.97 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.71 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:32 |
| 57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D | +0.80 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:45 |
| 34 Justin Sourdif R | +0.68 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.65 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:26 |
| 22 Brandon Duhaime R | +0.61 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.39 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:53 |
| 24 Connor McMichael C | +0.58 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.44 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.05 | — | 13:22 |
| 15 Sonny Milano L | +0.52 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 15:27 |
| 29 Hendrix Lapierre C | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.46 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.05 | — | 14:01 |
| 17 Dylan Strome C | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.18 | -0.15 | +0.06 | -0.02 | — | 16:34 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.