hockeystats.io

Washington CapitalsWSH 3–5 Final Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

Thursday, November 6, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Washington CapitalsWSH 030 3 30
Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 212 5 31

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
2:22 PIT Sidney Crosby (10)PP Ben Kindel (1), Bryan Rust (8) · wrist xG 0.06 0–1 ▶
11:32 PIT Sidney Crosby (11)PP Bryan Rust (9), Erik Karlsson (11) · wrist xG 0.08 0–2 ▶
2nd Period
2:08 PIT Anthony Mantha (7) Tommy Novak (5), Blake Lizotte (1) · backhand xG 0.34 0–3 ▶
9:41 WSH Dylan Strome (4) Alex Ovechkin (6) · wrist xG 0.18 1–3 ▶
14:55 WSH Rasmus Sandin (1) Dylan Strome (9), Alex Ovechkin (7) · wrist xG 0.14 2–3 ▶
19:55 WSH Tom Wilson (9) Dylan Strome (10), John Carlson (7) · wrist xG 0.37 3–3 ▶
3rd Period
11:16 PIT Bryan Rust (5)PP Evgeni Malkin (17), Ben Kindel (2) · wrist xG 0.16 3–4 ▶
17:56 PIT Connor Dewar (4)EN Kris Letang (6) · wrist xG 0.54 3–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WSH 39%Deserve to win61% PIT
WSHPIT
2.90Expected goals4.14
3Goals (no shootout)5
2.66Expected goals, 5 on 52.46
59Shot attempts67
42Unblocked attempts51
30Shots on goal31

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
1:40 WSH xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced PIT 1.47–0.08
In xG over 10 minutes, 12:40 of the 2nd to 2:40 of the 3rd; goals 2–0
17:49 WSH Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Lindgren, down 4–3
With 2:11 left; PIT scored at 17:56 of the 3rd (3–5)
19:00 WSH Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Lindgren, down 5–3
With 1:00 left

Shot map

WSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PIT shoots
Tommy Novak: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 0:51) Bryan Rust: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 1:12) Bryan Rust: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 1:21) Bryan Rust: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:22) Joona Koppanen: tip-in, 94 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:28) Connor Dewar: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:50) Blake Lizotte: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 2:52) Bryan Rust: tip-in, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:34) Sonny Milano: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:03) Kris Letang: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:51) Aliaksei Protas: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:12) Aliaksei Protas: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:17) Sidney Crosby: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:21) Bryan Rust: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 8:40) Ben Kindel: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 8:45) Ryan Leonard: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:00) Erik Karlsson: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 10:58) Bryan Rust: tip-in, 30 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 11:31) Rasmus Sandin: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:15) Jakob Chychrun: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:23) Kris Letang: wrist, 184 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 15:39) Sidney Crosby: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:05) Erik Karlsson: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 16:54) Evgeni Malkin: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 17:43) Ryan Shea: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:18) Philip Tomasino: wrist, 129 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 18:36) Blake Lizotte: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 19:09) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:29) Jakob Chychrun: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:53) Dylan Strome: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:00) Dylan Strome: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:03) Anthony Beauvillier: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 1:04) Dylan Strome: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:11) Anthony Beauvillier: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 1:19) John Carlson: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:26) Tommy Novak: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 2:06) Erik Karlsson: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 3:14) Tom Wilson: wrist, 88 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:21) Ville Koivunen: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 4:25) Tommy Novak: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 4:35) Rasmus Sandin: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 5:00) Connor Dewar: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:43) Ryan Leonard: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:00) Sidney Crosby: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 6:43) Connor McMichael: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 7:06) Trevor van Riemsdyk: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:33) Erik Karlsson: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 8:00) Bryan Rust: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 10:18) Anthony Mantha: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 11:34) Ryan Graves: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:38) Blake Lizotte: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.23 (P2 12:09) Danton Heinen: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 12:25) Connor Dewar: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:36) Erik Karlsson: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:39) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:51) Alex Ovechkin: tip-in, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 13:13) Blake Lizotte: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:17) Alex Ovechkin: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 18:10) Alex Ovechkin: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.25 (P2 18:12) Alex Ovechkin: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 18:28) Tom Wilson: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 19:52) Dylan Strome: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:52) Matt Roy: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 0:11) Ben Kindel: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:19) Dylan Strome: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 1:10) Anthony Beauvillier: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:18) Connor Dewar: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:22) Danton Heinen: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:35) Sidney Crosby: wrist, 161 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:42) Connor Dewar: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 5:05) Connor Dewar: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 6:01) Alex Ovechkin: backhand, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:09) John Carlson: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:24) Jakob Chychrun: slap, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 8:32) Alex Ovechkin: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 9:12) Anthony Beauvillier: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:32) Anthony Beauvillier: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 12:16) Bryan Rust: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:05) Connor Clifton: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:50) Tommy Novak: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:02) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 15:35) Tom Wilson: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:49) Ryan Shea: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:22) Alex Ovechkin: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:00) Tom Wilson: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 19:14) Sidney Crosby: GOAL, wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 2:22) Sidney Crosby: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 11:32) Anthony Mantha: GOAL, backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.34 (P2 2:08) Dylan Strome: GOAL, wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 9:41) Rasmus Sandin: GOAL, wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 14:55) Tom Wilson: GOAL, wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.37 (P2 19:55) Bryan Rust: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 11:16) Connor Dewar: GOAL, wrist, 117 ft, xG 0.54 (P3 17:56)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Washington Capitals

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
17 Dylan Strome 123 +2 80.43 1023:30
43 Tom Wilson 101 0 70.63 2021:47
8 Alex Ovechkin 022 +2 100.66 6021:20
72 Anthony Beauvillier 000 0 60.39 1018:05
21 Aliaksei Protas 000 0 30.10 0215:50
77 Connor McMichael 000 0 10.11 0014:13
9 Ryan Leonard 000 0 50.04 4113:24
26 Nic Dowd 000 -1 00.00 0010:51
15 Sonny Milano 000 0 10.03 0109:21
22 Hendrix Lapierre 000 0 00.00 2009:18
24 Brandon Duhaime 000 0 10.00 3008:17
34 Justin Sourdif 000 -1 00.00 0007:17
Defense
6 Jakob Chychrun 000 0 80.19 2227:52
74 John Carlson 011 0 30.02 1223:47
3 Matt Roy 000 +1 20.09 0221:28
38 Rasmus Sandin 101 +1 30.19 2418:25
42 Martin Fehérváry 000 0 00.00 2016:37
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk 000 0 10.01 1112:29
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Charlie Lindgren 30426 .867 3.60 -0.40

Pittsburgh Penguins

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
87 Sidney Crosby 202 -2 70.27 0022:03
17 Bryan Rust 123 -1 100.73 1021:36
81 Ben Kindel 022 -1 20.13 0220:48
71 Evgeni Malkin 011 +1 10.20 0018:22
19 Connor Dewar 101 0 80.87 0115:21
46 Blake Lizotte 011 +1 40.44 1013:59
18 Tommy Novak 011 0 50.44 0013:54
39 Anthony Mantha 101 +1 40.40 0112:02
58 Danton Heinen 000 -1 20.09 0111:31
41 Ville Koivunen 000 0 30.21 0109:49
Defense
65 Erik Karlsson 011 -1 60.29 0224:34
58 Kris Letang 011 0 30.01 1321:11
6 Ryan Shea 000 0 30.04 0018:17
29 Parker Wotherspoon 000 -1 00.00 2116:51
75 Connor Clifton 000 0 40.01 4316:50
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Arturs Silovs 30327 .900 2.90 -0.10

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Washington Capitals

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
17 Dylan Strome C +4.15 +2.15 +0.28 +1.82 -0.15 +0.09 -0.04 — 23:30
8 Alex Ovechkin L +3.85 +1.25 +0.43 +2.20 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 21:20
38 Rasmus Sandin D +1.69 +0.75 +0.12 +0.64 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 18:25
72 Anthony Beauvillier L +1.35 0.00 +0.25 +0.95 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 18:05
43 Tom Wilson R +1.28 +0.75 +0.41 +0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:47
74 John Carlson D +1.25 +0.55 +0.02 +0.63 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 23:47
6 Jakob Chychrun D +0.54 0.00 +0.12 +0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 27:52
22 Brandon Duhaime R -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 8:17
29 Hendrix Lapierre C -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.16 0.00 -0.03 +0.02 — 9:18
42 Martin Fehérváry D -0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:37
9 Ryan Leonard R -0.19 0.00 +0.03 -0.43 +0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 13:24
24 Connor McMichael C -0.20 0.00 +0.07 -0.06 -0.15 -0.06 0.00 — 14:13
3 Matt Roy D -0.22 0.00 +0.06 -0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 21:28
21 Aliaksei Protas C -0.32 0.00 +0.07 -0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 15:50
79 Charlie Lindgren G -0.40 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.40 58:01
15 Sonny Milano L -0.49 0.00 +0.02 -0.39 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 9:21
34 Justin Sourdif R -0.53 0.00 0.00 -0.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:17
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D -0.76 0.00 +0.01 -0.52 -0.30 0.00 +0.05 — 12:29
26 Nic Dowd C -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.05 0.00 +0.03 +0.02 — 10:51

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
17 Bryan Rust R +1.96 +2.00 +0.48 -0.48 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 21:36
39 Anthony Mantha R +1.84 +0.75 +0.26 +0.48 +0.30 0.00 +0.05 — 12:02
18 Tommy Novak C +1.46 +0.70 +0.28 +0.53 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 13:54
46 Blake Lizotte C +1.32 +0.55 +0.29 +0.52 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 13:59
19 Connor Dewar C +1.02 +0.75 +0.56 -0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:21
81 Ben Kindel C +0.91 +1.25 +0.08 -0.31 -0.15 0.00 +0.04 — 20:48
65 Erik Karlsson D +0.78 +0.55 +0.19 -0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 24:34
87 Sidney Crosby C +0.76 +1.50 +0.17 -0.94 0.00 +0.04 -0.02 — 22:03
41 Ville Koivunen R +0.51 0.00 +0.13 +0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 9:49
27 Ryan Graves D +0.48 0.00 +0.01 +0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:59
75 Connor Clifton D +0.47 0.00 +0.01 +0.45 -0.15 0.00 +0.17 — 16:50
71 Evgeni Malkin C +0.47 +0.70 +0.13 -0.49 +0.15 -0.01 -0.02 — 18:22
28 Parker Wotherspoon D +0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.01 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 16:51
53 Philip Tomasino R -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 9:49
37 Arturs Silovs G -0.10 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.10 59:37
58 Kris Letang D -0.12 +0.70 0.00 -0.96 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 21:11
15 Joona Koppanen L -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 +0.02 — 11:27
43 Danton Heinen L -0.29 0.00 +0.06 -0.41 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 11:31
5 Ryan Shea D -1.11 0.00 +0.03 -1.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:17

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.