Utah MammothUTA 2–4 Final Ottawa SenatorsOTT

Sunday, November 9, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Utah MammothUTA	1	1	0	2	31
Ottawa SenatorsOTT	1	2	1	4	25

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
13:59	OTT	Ridly Greig (2) Dylan Cozens (5) · wrist xG 0.43	0–1 ▶
17:33	UTA	Clayton Keller (6) Mikhail Sergachev (9), Vitek Vanecek (1) · wrist xG 0.67	1–1 ▶
2nd Period
7:13	OTT	Jordan Spence (1) David Perron (7) · slap xG 0.13	1–2 ▶
15:52	OTT	Nick Cousins (3) Dylan Cozens (6), Ridly Greig (5) · wrap-around xG 0.07	1–3 ▶
18:56	UTA	Nick Schmaltz (9) Logan Cooley (5), Nick DeSimone (1) · backhand xG 0.19	2–3 ▶
3rd Period
3:46	OTT	Michael Amadio (6) Thomas Chabot (8), Jordan Spence (6) · tip-in xG 0.12	2–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

UTA 52%Deserve to win48% OTT

UTA		OTT
3.47	Expected goals	3.50
2	Goals (no shootout)	4
2.48	Expected goals, 5 on 5	3.09
58	Shot attempts	48
45	Unblocked attempts	37
31	Shots on goal	25

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
17:02	UTA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Vanecek, down 4–2 With 2:58 left
18:36	UTA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Vanecek, down 4–2 With 1:24 left

Shot map

UTA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ OTT shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Utah Mammoth

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
92	Logan Cooley	0	1	1	+2	3	0.11	1	1	20:50
8	Nick Schmaltz	1	0	1	+1	7	0.37	1	0	20:43
9	Clayton Keller	1	0	1	+1	5	1.01	1	0	20:33
10	JJ Peterka	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	0	0	17:33
11	Dylan Guenther	0	0	0	-1	4	0.37	1	0	16:53
27	Barrett Hayton	0	0	0	-1	2	0.19	0	0	15:21
82	Kevin Stenlund	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	2	0	12:11
56	Kailer Yamamoto	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	0	0	12:10
67	Lawson Crouse	0	0	0	-2	5	0.14	2	1	11:53
22	Jack McBain	0	0	0	-3	1	0.15	3	1	11:49
53	Michael Carcone	0	0	0	-3	1	0.04	1	0	10:11
13	Brandon Tanev	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	08:19
Defense
98	Mikhail Sergachev	0	1	1	0	3	0.22	0	1	26:07
6	John Marino	0	0	0	-1	7	0.07	0	2	23:21
88	Nate Schmidt	0	0	0	-2	5	0.08	0	0	20:22
28	Ian Cole	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	2	17:35
57	Nick DeSimone	0	1	1	0	3	0.01	0	0	12:47

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Vitek Vanecek	25	4	21	.840	3.37	-0.63

Ottawa Senators

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
12	Shane Pinto	0	0	0	0	5	0.23	3	1	19:36
71	Ridly Greig	1	1	2	+2	2	0.43	3	1	17:55
22	Michael Amadio	1	0	1	0	3	0.12	0	0	17:52
19	Drake Batherson	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	4	1	17:13
28	Claude Giroux	0	0	0	0	3	0.66	1	1	17:13
18	Tim Stützle	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	2	0	15:53
16	David Perron	0	1	1	+1	2	0.07	0	1	15:18
24	Dylan Cozens	0	2	2	+2	2	0.05	3	0	14:20
20	Fabian Zetterlund	0	0	0	+1	5	0.27	3	0	14:15
20	Lars Eller	0	0	0	-1	4	0.38	1	0	12:59
21	Nick Cousins	1	0	1	+1	2	0.37	1	0	10:00
Defense
72	Thomas Chabot	0	1	1	+2	3	0.03	1	2	22:14
85	Jake Sanderson	0	0	0	0	4	0.38	0	0	22:00
2	Artem Zub	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	0	1	21:58
10	Jordan Spence	1	1	2	+2	5	0.24	0	1	20:01
43	Tyler Kleven	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	3	1	15:44
4	Nick Jensen	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	14:34

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Leevi Meriläinen	31	2	29	.935	3.47	+1.47

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Utah Mammoth

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
9 Clayton Keller R	+1.83	+0.75	+0.66	+0.25	+0.15	0.00	+0.02	—	20:33
8 Nick Schmaltz C	+1.29	+0.75	+0.24	+0.28	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	20:43
6 John Marino D	+1.17	0.00	+0.05	+1.02	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	23:21
92 Logan Cooley C	+0.95	+0.70	+0.07	+0.18	0.00	-0.03	+0.03	—	20:50
57 Nick DeSimone D	+0.50	+0.55	0.00	-0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	12:47
82 Kevin Stenlund C	+0.34	0.00	+0.11	+0.22	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:11
56 Kailer Yamamoto R	+0.28	0.00	+0.13	+0.18	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	12:10
13 Brandon Tanev L	+0.21	0.00	+0.01	+0.22	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	8:19
11 Dylan Guenther R	-0.03	0.00	+0.24	-0.25	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	16:53
41 Vitek Vanecek G	-0.08	+0.55	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.63	57:14
88 Nate Schmidt D	-0.11	0.00	+0.06	-0.10	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	20:22
28 Ian Cole D	-0.15	0.00	+0.01	-0.24	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	17:35
77 JJ Peterka R	-0.19	0.00	+0.11	-0.27	0.00	+0.01	-0.04	—	17:33
98 Mikhail Sergachev D	-0.25	+0.70	+0.14	-1.09	0.00	0.00	-0.01	—	26:07
27 Barrett Hayton C	-0.60	0.00	+0.13	-0.56	-0.15	-0.02	0.00	—	15:21
67 Lawson Crouse L	-0.76	0.00	+0.09	-0.86	0.00	-0.02	+0.03	—	11:53
22 Jack McBain C	-1.09	0.00	+0.10	-1.16	0.00	-0.05	+0.03	—	11:49
53 Michael Carcone L	-1.30	0.00	+0.03	-1.16	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	10:11
26 Dmitri Simashev D	-1.38	0.00	+0.09	-1.52	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	18:08

Ottawa Senators

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
71 Ridly Greig C	+2.45	+1.30	+0.28	+0.81	0.00	+0.03	+0.03	—	17:55
24 Dylan Cozens C	+2.34	+1.40	+0.03	+0.90	0.00	+0.04	-0.04	—	14:20
10 Jordan Spence D	+2.12	+1.30	+0.16	+0.65	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	20:01
72 Thomas Chabot D	+1.63	+0.70	+0.02	+0.83	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	22:14
1 Leevi Meriläinen G	+1.47	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.47	60:00
21 Nick Cousins C	+1.37	+0.75	+0.24	+0.39	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	10:00
22 Michael Amadio R	+1.35	+0.75	+0.08	+0.54	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	17:52
20 Fabian Zetterlund L	+1.20	0.00	+0.18	+1.05	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	14:15
57 David Perron L	+1.07	+0.70	+0.05	+0.14	+0.15	-0.01	+0.05	—	15:18
2 Artem Zub D	+1.04	0.00	+0.06	+0.93	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	21:58
28 Claude Giroux R	+0.73	0.00	+0.43	+0.22	0.00	+0.03	+0.05	—	17:13
85 Jake Sanderson D	+0.68	0.00	+0.25	+0.43	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	22:00
12 Shane Pinto C	+0.30	0.00	+0.15	+0.28	-0.15	0.00	+0.01	—	19:36
19 Drake Batherson R	+0.08	0.00	0.00	+0.03	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	17:13
43 Tyler Kleven D	-0.23	0.00	+0.01	-0.29	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	15:44
89 Lars Eller C	-0.23	0.00	+0.25	-0.50	0.00	+0.02	0.00	—	12:59
42 Hayden Hodgson R	-0.25	0.00	0.00	-0.25	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	6:55
18 Tim Stützle C	-0.40	0.00	+0.10	-0.71	+0.15	+0.05	0.00	—	15:53
3 Nick Jensen D	-0.46	0.00	0.00	-0.51	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	14:34

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.