Tuesday, November 11, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
DAL 53%Deserve to win 47% OTT
DAL OTT
2.83 Expected goals 2.66
3 Goals (no shootout) 2
1.57 Expected goals, 5 on 5 1.92
57 Shot attempts 50
42 Unblocked attempts 40
33 Shots on goal 29
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
2nd Period
10:00
OTT
No shift
No shift · Chabot, 36:13 on the bench
No shift after 17:56 of the 1st; 9 shifts (6:51) before that
Shot map
DAL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → OTT shoots
Dylan Cozens: backhand, 84 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:53)
Ridly Greig: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 3:42)
Ridly Greig: backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:43)
Jake Sanderson: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:43)
Thomas Harley: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:48)
Miro Heiskanen: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:14)
Sam Steel: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 7:47)
Claude Giroux: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:16)
Shane Pinto: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:28)
Tyler Kleven: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:34)
Mavrik Bourque: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:22)
Ridly Greig: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:40)
Adam Erne: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:46)
Adam Erne: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:53)
Jason Robertson: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 11:14)
Roope Hintz: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 12:38)
Tyler Kleven: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:41)
Lars Eller: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 14:03)
Tim Stützle: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 15:08)
Ridly Greig: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 17:01)
Miro Heiskanen: wrist, 184 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 17:05)
Drake Batherson: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 18:25)
Miro Heiskanen: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:21)
Sam Steel: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:25)
Claude Giroux: wrist, 127 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:59)
Ridly Greig: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 1:42)
Nick Jensen: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 1:50)
Drake Batherson: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 2:57)
Shane Pinto: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 6:39)
Fabian Zetterlund: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 7:31)
Alexander Petrovic: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 7:44)
Nick Cousins: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:20)
Claude Giroux: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 11:34)
Michael Amadio: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:50)
Drake Batherson: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:26)
Mikko Rantanen: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:26)
Tim Stützle: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 16:44)
Tim Stützle: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:45)
Tyler Seguin: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 17:07)
Thomas Harley: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:09)
Miro Heiskanen: backhand, 30 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:15)
Tyler Seguin: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:38)
Esa Lindell: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:45)
Jason Robertson: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 0:58)
Drake Batherson: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 1:23)
Tyler Kleven: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:33)
Drake Batherson: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:54)
Radek Faksa: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 2:57)
Wyatt Johnston: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 5:37)
Alexander Petrovic: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:44)
Wyatt Johnston: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:45)
Esa Lindell: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:54)
Mikko Rantanen: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 7:08)
Jason Robertson: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 7:18)
Jason Robertson: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 7:50)
Jordan Spence: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:11)
David Perron: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 8:24)
Jordan Spence: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.23 (P3 8:26)
Adam Erne: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 8:54)
Mavrik Bourque: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 8:56)
Miro Heiskanen: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:44)
Tyler Seguin: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:46)
Tyler Kleven: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:19)
Jason Robertson: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:37)
Thomas Harley: wrist, 139 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 11:16)
Drake Batherson: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:44)
Jordan Spence: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:32)
Sam Steel: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 16:07)
Oskar Bäck: backhand, 77 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:45)
Tyler Kleven: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:58)
Esa Lindell: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:46)
Tim Stützle: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 0:33)
Miro Heiskanen: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 1:03)
Tyler Seguin: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (OT 1:26)
Shane Pinto: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.21 (OT 1:36)
Tim Stützle: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.17 (OT 2:03)
Jason Robertson: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.14 (OT 3:01)
Drake Batherson: GOAL, wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 0:49)
Nick Jensen: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 8:53)
Mikko Rantanen: GOAL, snap, 28 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 16:22)
Jason Robertson: GOAL, wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 8:00)
Roope Hintz: GOAL, wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.53 (OT 3:04)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Dallas Stars
Ottawa Senators
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Dallas Stars
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
21 Jason Robertson L
+2.64
+2.15
+0.30
+0.18
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
20:11
4 Miro Heiskanen D
+1.87
+1.10
+0.11
+0.43
+0.15
0.00
+0.08
—
28:50
96 Mikko Rantanen R
+1.81
+1.45
+0.24
+0.16
0.00
-0.02
-0.01
—
21:43
24 Roope Hintz C
+0.85
+0.75
+0.43
-0.39
0.00
+0.06
0.00
—
16:07
29 Jake Oettinger G
+0.66
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.66
63:04
23 Esa Lindell D
+0.43
0.00
+0.03
+0.37
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
23:38
12 Radek Faksa C
+0.23
0.00
+0.04
+0.16
0.00
-0.01
+0.05
—
8:56
73 Adam Erne L
+0.19
0.00
+0.06
+0.15
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
8:36
53 Wyatt Johnston C
+0.06
0.00
+0.06
-0.05
0.00
+0.03
+0.02
—
23:33
6 Lian Bichsel D
+0.02
0.00
0.00
+0.04
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
12:18
91 Tyler Seguin C
+0.02
0.00
+0.15
-0.14
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
15:53
22 Mavrik Bourque C
0.00
0.00
+0.15
-0.16
0.00
+0.01
0.00
—
13:26
28 Alexander Petrovic D
-0.12
0.00
+0.09
-0.18
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
13:31
15 Colin Blackwell C
-0.12
0.00
0.00
-0.11
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
10:38
18 Sam Steel C
-0.21
0.00
+0.14
-0.35
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
17:42
49 Justin Hryckowian C
-0.34
0.00
0.00
-0.44
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
14:00
10 Oskar Bäck C
-0.55
0.00
0.00
-0.56
0.00
-0.02
+0.03
—
15:11
46 Ilya Lyubushkin D
-0.79
0.00
0.00
-0.81
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
16:47
55 Thomas Harley D
-0.85
0.00
+0.04
-0.91
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
24:12
Ottawa Senators
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
3 Nick Jensen D
+1.09
+0.75
+0.18
+0.08
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
19:18
85 Jake Sanderson D
+1.07
+0.70
+0.01
+0.27
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
29:03
28 Claude Giroux R
+1.01
+0.55
+0.07
+0.38
0.00
+0.03
-0.02
—
16:36
22 Michael Amadio R
+0.96
+0.70
+0.02
+0.24
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
14:22
19 Drake Batherson R
+0.83
+0.75
+0.22
+0.01
-0.15
0.00
0.00
—
19:52
18 Tim Stützle C
+0.71
0.00
+0.35
+0.22
+0.15
+0.01
-0.01
—
22:23
43 Tyler Kleven D
+0.39
0.00
+0.07
+0.27
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
25:27
2 Artem Zub D
+0.31
0.00
0.00
+0.28
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
22:38
20 Fabian Zetterlund L
+0.31
0.00
+0.04
+0.15
+0.15
0.00
-0.02
—
14:20
10 Jordan Spence D
+0.30
0.00
+0.19
+0.13
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
16:42
89 Lars Eller C
+0.26
0.00
+0.08
+0.11
0.00
-0.03
+0.10
—
10:22
12 Shane Pinto C
+0.25
0.00
+0.23
-0.04
0.00
-0.02
+0.08
—
20:48
71 Ridly Greig C
+0.22
0.00
+0.22
+0.24
-0.30
-0.01
+0.07
—
15:24
24 Dylan Cozens C
+0.21
0.00
0.00
+0.22
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
17:01
21 Nick Cousins C
+0.10
0.00
0.00
+0.01
0.00
+0.01
+0.07
—
9:24
57 David Perron L
+0.08
0.00
+0.05
+0.04
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
16:20
72 Thomas Chabot D
+0.04
0.00
0.00
+0.04
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
6:51
42 Hayden Hodgson R
+0.03
0.00
0.00
+0.03
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
7:04
35 Linus Ullmark G
-0.17
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-0.17
63:04
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.