| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 |
 |
0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 35 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:32 | |
Trent Frederic (2) Leon Draisaitl (13) · snap xG 0.22 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:28 | |
Nick Paul (1) J.J. Moser (5), Emil Lilleberg (2) · slap xG 0.13 | 1–1 ▶ |
| Overtime | |||
| 1:43 | |
Jake Guentzel (12) Darren Raddysh (6), Nikita Kucherov (10) · wrist xG 0.16 | 1–2 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| EDM | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.53 | Expected goals | 2.78 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 1.57 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.92 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 56 |
| 38 | Unblocked attempts | 45 |
| 25 | Shots on goal | 35 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 14:40 | TBL | No shift | No shift · Douglas, 22:47 on the bench
No shift from 2:36 of the 2nd to 9:46 of the 3rd; 4 shifts (1:55) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 7:10 | EDM | No shift | No shift · Walman, 22:50 on the bench
No shift after 14:49 of the 2nd; 14 shifts (10:03) before that |
| 8:15 | EDM | Goalie | Goalie · Pickard +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.04 xG, 27 shots on goal |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 97 | Connor McDavid | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 0.69 | 0 | 0 | 24:06 |
| 29 | Leon Draisaitl | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 23:14 |
| 18 | Zach Hyman | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.33 | 2 | 0 | 20:35 |
| 19 | Adam Henrique | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 2 | 1 | 18:06 |
| 96 | Jack Roslovic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.12 | 1 | 1 | 17:25 |
| 92 | Vasily Podkolzin | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.08 | 3 | 0 | 16:32 |
| 22 | Matt Savoie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 15:38 |
| 10 | Trent Frederic | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.22 | 1 | 0 | 13:57 |
| 26 | Andrew Mangiapane | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.25 | 2 | 0 | 12:37 |
| 13 | Mattias Janmark | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 10:14 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 2 | Evan Bouchard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.11 | 1 | 1 | 28:07 |
| 14 | Mattias Ekholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 2 | 2 | 24:17 |
| 27 | Brett Kulak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 17:38 |
| 49 | Ty Emberson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 14:46 |
| 25 | Darnell Nurse | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 14:33 |
| 96 | Jake Walman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 3 | 10:03 |
| 75 | Alec Regula | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 08:35 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Pickard | 35 | 2 | 33 | .943 | 2.78 | +0.78 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 86 | Nikita Kucherov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 9 | 0.37 | 0 | 0 | 23:37 |
| 59 | Jake Guentzel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.42 | 2 | 0 | 20:39 |
| 21 | Brayden Point | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.57 | 0 | 1 | 20:24 |
| 38 | Brandon Hagel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.30 | 0 | 1 | 20:04 |
| 71 | Anthony Cirelli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 17:24 |
| 20 | Nick Paul | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.28 | 4 | 0 | 15:21 |
| 37 | Yanni Gourde | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 14:42 |
| 28 | Oliver Bjorkstrand | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.17 | 1 | 2 | 13:48 |
| 28 | Zemgus Girgensons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 3 | 1 | 12:46 |
| 93 | Gage Goncalves | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.15 | 2 | 0 | 11:58 |
| 17 | Dominic James | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 11:04 |
| 42 | Curtis Douglas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 03:32 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Darren Raddysh | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.11 | 1 | 2 | 27:38 |
| 51 | Charle-Edouard D'Astous | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 3 | 1 | 22:08 |
| 90 | J.J. Moser | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 4 | 21:51 |
| 78 | Emil Lilleberg | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.15 | 4 | 2 | 21:32 |
| 72 | Declan Carlile | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 13:45 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Vasilevskiy | 25 | 1 | 24 | .960 | 2.53 | +1.53 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Trent Frederic C | +1.27 | +0.75 | +0.14 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:57 |
| 30 Calvin Pickard G | +0.78 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.78 | 61:43 |
| 29 Leon Draisaitl C | +0.63 | +0.70 | +0.07 | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.02 | — | 23:14 |
| 18 Zach Hyman L | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +0.13 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:35 |
| 49 Ty Emberson D | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:46 |
| 92 Vasily Podkolzin R | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.36 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 16:32 |
| 2 Evan Bouchard D | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | — | 28:07 |
| 86 David Tomasek R | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 8:46 |
| 28 Jack Roslovic C | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 17:25 |
| 97 Connor McDavid C | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.45 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 24:06 |
| 88 Andrew Mangiapane L | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.38 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:37 |
| 96 Jake Walman D | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 10:03 |
| 14 Mattias Ekholm D | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 24:17 |
| 22 Matt Savoie C | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 15:38 |
| 13 Mattias Janmark C | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:14 |
| 19 Adam Henrique C | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 | — | 18:06 |
| 75 Alec Regula D | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.17 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 8:35 |
| 27 Brett Kulak D | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.31 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:38 |
| 25 Darnell Nurse D | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.35 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:33 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 J.J. Moser D | +1.87 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +1.12 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 21:51 |
| 88 Andrei Vasilevskiy G | +1.53 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.53 | 61:43 |
| 20 Nick Paul L | +1.19 | +0.75 | +0.18 | +0.25 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.04 | — | 15:21 |
| 43 Darren Raddysh D | +1.16 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 27:38 |
| 59 Jake Guentzel C | +0.87 | +0.75 | +0.27 | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 20:39 |
| 93 Gage Goncalves C | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:58 |
| 38 Brandon Hagel L | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | — | 20:04 |
| 86 Nikita Kucherov R | +0.64 | +0.55 | +0.24 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | — | 23:37 |
| 71 Anthony Cirelli C | +0.60 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.51 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 17:24 |
| 78 Emil Lilleberg D | +0.58 | +0.55 | +0.10 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 21:32 |
| 37 Yanni Gourde C | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.29 | 0.00 | -0.08 | +0.05 | — | 14:42 |
| 17 Dominic James C | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:04 |
| 21 Brayden Point C | +0.16 | 0.00 | +0.37 | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 20:24 |
| 42 Curtis Douglas C | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 3:32 |
| 16 Steven Santini D | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 8:56 |
| 28 Zemgus Girgensons C | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:46 |
| 22 Oliver Bjorkstrand R | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 13:48 |
| 51 Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:08 |
| 67 Declan Carlile D | -0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 13:45 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.