| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 28 | |
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 22 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| 3rd Period | |||
| 5:31 | Warren Foegele (4) Joel Armia (6), Joel Edmundson (8) · tip-in xG 0.11 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 10:49 | Fabian Zetterlund (3) Nikolas Matinpalo (3), Nick Jensen (5) · wrist xG 0.39 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 13:50 | Brandt Clarke (3)PP Joel Edmundson (9), Corey Perry (6) · slap xG 0.04 | 1–2 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| OTT | LAK | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.93 | Expected goals | 2.34 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 1.98 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.69 |
| 54 | Shot attempts | 48 |
| 44 | Unblocked attempts | 33 |
| 28 | Shots on goal | 22 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:50 | LAK | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · LAK takes the lead, 60–40%
OTT had led since 1:08 of the 1st, by as much as 71% |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 17:23 | OTT | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · OTT takes the lead, 63–37%
LAK had led since 16:50 of the 1st, by as much as 60% |
| 19:04 | LAK | Goalie | Goalie · Kuemper +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.12 xG, 21 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 6:00 | LAK | No shift | No shift · Helenius, 20:16 on the bench
No shift after 10:23 of the 2nd; 5 shifts (3:25) before that |
| 6:30 | OTT | No shift | No shift · Hodgson, 11:19 on the bench
No shift from 11:08 of the 2nd to 7:41 of the 3rd; 8 shifts (4:20) before that |
| 17:40 | OTT | No shift | No shift · Halliday, 10:22 on the bench
No shift after 5:31 of the 3rd; 12 shifts (8:03) before that |
| 17:53 | OTT | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Meriläinen, down 2–1
With 2:07 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 18 | Tim Stützle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.47 | 3 | 0 | 22:48 |
| 12 | Shane Pinto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.24 | 1 | 0 | 20:40 |
| 28 | Claude Giroux | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 20:31 |
| 19 | Drake Batherson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.45 | 1 | 0 | 19:54 |
| 24 | Dylan Cozens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 2 | 0 | 19:12 |
| 22 | Michael Amadio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.23 | 2 | 1 | 15:59 |
| 20 | Fabian Zetterlund | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.50 | 1 | 1 | 15:38 |
| 20 | Lars Eller | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 15:28 |
| 16 | David Perron | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 11:46 |
| 21 | Nick Cousins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 08:21 |
| 34 | Stephen Halliday | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 08:03 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 85 | Jake Sanderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.11 | 1 | 1 | 25:56 |
| 43 | Tyler Kleven | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 3 | 18:43 |
| 2 | Artem Zub | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.07 | 2 | 3 | 18:28 |
| 10 | Jordan Spence | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 18:18 |
| 4 | Nick Jensen | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 3 | 15:56 |
| 33 | Nikolas Matinpalo | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.27 | 1 | 2 | 15:02 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leevi Meriläinen | 22 | 2 | 20 | .909 | 1.91 | -0.09 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 55 | Quinton Byfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.65 | 2 | 0 | 22:25 |
| 22 | Kevin Fiala | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 20:13 |
| 9 | Adrian Kempe | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.55 | 2 | 1 | 18:54 |
| 11 | Anze Kopitar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 17:59 |
| 14 | Alex Laferriere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.13 | 1 | 0 | 16:23 |
| 24 | Phillip Danault | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 16:18 |
| 12 | Trevor Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 16:06 |
| 40 | Joel Armia | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 15:51 |
| 37 | Warren Foegele | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 14:08 |
| 62 | Andrei Kuzmenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 13:41 |
| 90 | Corey Perry | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 1 | 1 | 08:00 |
| 79 | Samuel Helenius | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 03:25 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 2 | Brian Dumoulin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 21:41 |
| 6 | Joel Edmundson | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 2 | 2 | 20:34 |
| 92 | Brandt Clarke | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 20:24 |
| 44 | Mikey Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 19:23 |
| 5 | Cody Ceci | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.17 | 1 | 1 | 17:47 |
| 43 | Jacob Moverare | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 11:08 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper | 28 | 1 | 27 | .964 | 2.93 | +1.93 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 Nikolas Matinpalo D | +1.66 | +0.70 | +0.18 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 15:02 |
| 20 Fabian Zetterlund L | +1.56 | +0.75 | +0.32 | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 15:38 |
| 3 Nick Jensen D | +1.33 | +0.55 | +0.02 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 15:56 |
| 18 Tim Stützle C | +0.72 | 0.00 | +0.31 | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.04 | — | 22:48 |
| 42 Hayden Hodgson R | +0.64 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 5:44 |
| 85 Jake Sanderson D | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 25:56 |
| 22 Michael Amadio R | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.08 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:59 |
| 2 Artem Zub D | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 18:28 |
| 12 Shane Pinto C | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.20 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 20:40 |
| 21 Nick Cousins C | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:21 |
| 28 Claude Giroux R | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 20:31 |
| 19 Drake Batherson R | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.29 | -0.28 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 19:54 |
| 1 Leevi Meriläinen G | -0.09 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.09 | 57:34 |
| 57 David Perron L | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:46 |
| 83 Stephen Halliday C | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.37 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:03 |
| 89 Lars Eller C | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.14 | -0.15 | +0.06 | -0.02 | — | 15:28 |
| 24 Dylan Cozens C | -0.37 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.20 | -0.30 | +0.02 | +0.02 | — | 19:12 |
| 10 Jordan Spence D | -0.49 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 18:18 |
| 43 Tyler Kleven D | -0.57 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 18:43 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 Darcy Kuemper G | +1.93 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.93 | 59:40 |
| 37 Warren Foegele L | +1.32 | +0.75 | +0.07 | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:08 |
| 92 Brandt Clarke D | +0.78 | +0.75 | +0.04 | +0.09 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:24 |
| 6 Joel Edmundson D | +0.71 | +1.25 | +0.03 | -0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:34 |
| 40 Joel Armia R | +0.66 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:51 |
| 10 Corey Perry R | +0.54 | +0.55 | +0.07 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 8:00 |
| 5 Cody Ceci D | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:47 |
| 55 Quinton Byfield R | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.43 | -0.08 | 0.00 | -0.09 | 0.00 | — | 22:25 |
| 9 Adrian Kempe R | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.36 | -0.32 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 18:54 |
| 43 Jacob Moverare D | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:08 |
| 12 Trevor Moore L | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.06 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:06 |
| 96 Andrei Kuzmenko L | +0.16 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.09 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:41 |
| 2 Brian Dumoulin D | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:41 |
| 24 Phillip Danault C | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.06 | — | 16:18 |
| 11 Anze Kopitar C | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.07 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.00 | — | 17:59 |
| 79 Samuel Helenius C | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.13 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 3:25 |
| 14 Alex Laferriere R | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.28 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:23 |
| 22 Kevin Fiala L | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:13 |
| 44 Mikey Anderson D | -0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.53 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:23 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.