Ottawa SenatorsOTT 4–3 Final/SO Vegas Golden KnightsVGK

Wednesday, November 26, 2025

Final/SO	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	SO	T	SOG
Ottawa SenatorsOTT	3	0	0	0	1	4	22
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK	1	1	1	0	0	3	35

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:51	OTT	Shane Pinto (11) Jake Sanderson (13), Claude Giroux (11) · wrist xG 0.02	1–0 ▶
13:04	OTT	Jake Sanderson (4)PP Claude Giroux (12), Tim Stützle (11) · slap xG 0.06	2–0 ▶
16:52	VGK	Brett Howden (4) Mitch Marner (18), Shea Theodore (11) · backhand xG 0.18	2–1 ▶
19:43	OTT	Drake Batherson (8) Tim Stützle (12), Jake Sanderson (14) · snap xG 0.26	3–1 ▶
2nd Period
2:09	VGK	Jack Eichel (11) Ivan Barbashev (12), Braeden Bowman (3) · backhand xG 0.66	3–2 ▶
3rd Period
6:40	VGK	Mark Stone (3)PP Unassisted · wrist xG 0.45	3–3 ▶
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
	OTT	Drake Batherson vs Akira Schmid	Saved
	VGK	Pavel Dorofeyev vs Linus Ullmark	Missed
	OTT	Tim Stützle vs Akira Schmid	Missed
	VGK	Jack Eichel vs Linus Ullmark	Saved
	OTT	Shane Pinto vs Akira Schmid	Goal
	VGK	Mitch Marner vs Linus Ullmark	Saved

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

OTT 11%Deserve to win89% VGK

OTT		VGK
1.86	Expected goals	4.71
3	Goals (no shootout)	3
1.38	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.97
55	Shot attempts	63
40	Unblocked attempts	51
22	Shots on goal	35

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
19:43	VGK	Goalie	Goalie · Schmid −2.1 goals saved 3 goals on 0.90 xG, 10 shots on goal
2nd Period
9:50	VGK	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced OTT 1.63–0.22 In xG over 10 minutes, 1:40 to 11:40 of the 2nd; goals 1–0
3rd Period
16:40	VGK	No shift	No shift · Hutton, 13:20 on the bench No shift after 5:12 of the 3rd; 9 shifts (7:16) before that
17:50	OTT	No shift	No shift · Halliday, 12:17 on the bench No shift after 7:43 of the 3rd; 12 shifts (6:59) before that

Shot map

OTT shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ VGK shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Ottawa Senators

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
18	Tim Stützle	0	2	2	+1	0	0.00	2	0	23:31
12	Shane Pinto	1	0	1	-1	6	0.16	9	1	22:01
28	Claude Giroux	0	2	2	0	2	0.05	1	0	21:50
19	Drake Batherson	1	0	1	+1	6	0.59	1	2	20:01
22	Michael Amadio	0	0	0	-1	4	0.24	2	0	18:42
24	Dylan Cozens	0	0	0	-1	6	0.27	1	0	17:40
20	Lars Eller	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	14:19
20	Fabian Zetterlund	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	1	2	13:14
16	David Perron	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	11:52
21	Nick Cousins	0	0	0	0	4	0.24	4	0	10:02
34	Stephen Halliday	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	2	0	06:59
Defense
85	Jake Sanderson	1	2	3	+1	4	0.12	0	1	28:01
43	Tyler Kleven	0	0	0	-1	5	0.05	0	1	22:13
2	Artem Zub	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	1	22:10
10	Jordan Spence	0	0	0	+1	3	0.03	0	1	19:12
33	Nikolas Matinpalo	0	0	0	0	4	0.03	1	1	15:11
4	Nick Jensen	0	0	0	-1	3	0.01	0	0	14:08

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Linus Ullmark	35	3	32	.914	4.71	+1.71

Vegas Golden Knights

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
9	Jack Eichel	1	0	1	0	4	0.84	1	1	26:48
93	Mitch Marner	0	1	1	0	6	0.47	2	0	20:20
61	Mark Stone	1	0	1	0	4	0.54	2	0	19:58
49	Ivan Barbashev	0	1	1	0	5	0.54	6	1	19:23
42	Braeden Bowman	0	1	1	0	2	0.30	0	1	17:53
21	Brett Howden	1	0	1	0	4	0.34	5	0	17:34
16	Pavel Dorofeyev	0	0	0	0	6	0.58	0	1	14:30
48	Tomas Hertl	0	0	0	0	4	0.20	2	0	14:20
15	Colton Sissons	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	0	12:08
55	Keegan Kolesar	0	0	0	0	3	0.11	5	2	10:45
20	Brandon Saad	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	10:36
19	Reilly Smith	0	0	0	0	3	0.11	0	0	09:58
Defense
27	Shea Theodore	0	1	1	0	7	0.45	0	0	28:26
15	Noah Hanifin	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	1	3	27:10
3	Brayden McNabb	0	0	0	0	5	0.01	4	0	23:48
28	Zach Whitecloud	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	2	0	17:35
6	Kaedan Korczak	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	2	2	12:04
17	Ben Hutton	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	07:16

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Akira Schmid	22	3	19	.864	1.86	-1.14

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Ottawa Senators

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
85 Jake Sanderson D	+2.17	+2.00	+0.08	+0.07	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	28:01
35 Linus Ullmark G	+1.71	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.71	64:48
18 Tim Stützle C	+1.18	+1.25	0.00	-0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	23:31
28 Claude Giroux R	+1.13	+1.25	+0.03	-0.08	-0.15	+0.09	-0.02	—	21:50
19 Drake Batherson R	+0.92	+0.75	+0.39	-0.31	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	20:01
21 Nick Cousins C	+0.28	0.00	+0.16	+0.15	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	10:02
57 David Perron L	+0.08	0.00	0.00	-0.08	+0.15	-0.01	+0.02	—	11:52
83 Stephen Halliday C	+0.02	0.00	+0.01	+0.08	0.00	-0.03	-0.04	—	6:59
20 Fabian Zetterlund L	-0.09	0.00	+0.01	-0.20	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	13:14
10 Jordan Spence D	-0.15	0.00	+0.02	-0.22	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	19:12
89 Lars Eller C	-0.18	0.00	0.00	-0.43	+0.15	+0.08	+0.02	—	14:19
42 Hayden Hodgson R	-0.19	0.00	0.00	-0.04	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	8:38
33 Nikolas Matinpalo D	-0.47	0.00	+0.02	-0.53	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	15:11
2 Artem Zub D	-0.64	0.00	+0.02	-0.71	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	22:10
12 Shane Pinto C	-0.67	+0.75	+0.10	-1.57	0.00	-0.02	+0.07	—	22:01
3 Nick Jensen D	-0.92	0.00	0.00	-0.93	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:08
43 Tyler Kleven D	-1.10	0.00	+0.03	-1.17	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	22:13
24 Dylan Cozens C	-1.29	0.00	+0.17	-1.25	-0.15	-0.04	-0.02	—	17:40
22 Michael Amadio R	-1.32	0.00	+0.15	-1.44	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	18:42

Vegas Golden Knights

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
9 Jack Eichel C	+2.57	+0.75	+0.54	+0.99	+0.30	-0.05	+0.03	—	26:48
49 Ivan Barbashev L	+2.12	+0.70	+0.35	+1.05	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	19:23
61 Mark Stone R	+1.97	+0.75	+0.35	+0.83	0.00	0.00	+0.04	—	19:58
27 Shea Theodore D	+1.96	+0.55	+0.29	+1.12	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	28:26
42 Braeden Bowman R	+1.73	+0.55	+0.19	+0.92	0.00	+0.01	+0.05	—	17:53
21 Brett Howden C	+1.64	+0.75	+0.22	+0.76	0.00	-0.03	-0.06	—	17:34
93 Mitch Marner R	+1.62	+0.70	+0.30	+0.77	-0.15	+0.01	-0.02	—	20:20
15 Noah Hanifin D	+1.07	0.00	+0.09	+0.85	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	27:10
3 Brayden McNabb D	+0.82	0.00	+0.01	+0.81	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	23:48
2 Zach Whitecloud D	+0.79	0.00	0.00	+0.96	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	17:35
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R	+0.40	0.00	+0.38	-0.03	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	14:30
55 Keegan Kolesar R	+0.19	0.00	+0.07	+0.01	0.00	+0.01	+0.10	—	10:45
48 Tomas Hertl C	+0.11	0.00	+0.13	0.00	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	14:20
10 Colton Sissons C	+0.06	0.00	+0.04	-0.01	0.00	+0.03	0.00	—	12:08
19 Reilly Smith R	+0.02	0.00	+0.07	-0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	9:58
6 Kaedan Korczak D	-0.02	0.00	+0.02	-0.11	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	12:04
17 Ben Hutton D	-0.14	0.00	0.00	-0.17	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	7:16
20 Brandon Saad L	-0.19	0.00	0.00	-0.02	-0.15	-0.02	0.00	—	10:36
40 Akira Schmid G	-1.14	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.14	64:35

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.