| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 28 |
 |
0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 31 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 7:59 | |
Oskar Sundqvist (1) Mathieu Joseph (5), Nathan Walker (6) · wrist xG 0.21 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 10:11 | |
Shane Pinto (12) Nikolas Matinpalo (4), Michael Amadio (4) · wrist xG 0.31 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 18:26 | |
Fabian Zetterlund (4) Jake Sanderson (15), Brady Tkachuk (4) · wrist xG 0.15 | 2–1 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 2:01 | |
Jordan Kyrou (7) Jake Neighbours (3), Robert Thomas (11) · backhand xG 0.15 | 2–2 ▶ |
| 5:33 | |
Pavel Buchnevich (3) Brayden Schenn (5), Philip Broberg (7) · snap xG 0.12 | 2–3 ▶ |
| 7:31 | |
David Perron (3) Unassisted · backhand xG 0.15 | 3–3 ▶ |
| 9:19 | |
Matthew Kessel (2) Dylan Holloway (6), Pius Suter (6) · backhand xG 0.10 | 3–4 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| OTT | STL | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.20 | Expected goals | 3.03 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 2.42 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.63 |
| 58 | Shot attempts | 60 |
| 40 | Unblocked attempts | 42 |
| 28 | Shots on goal | 31 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9:19 | STL | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · STL takes the lead, 61–39%
OTT had led since 15:48 of the 1st, by as much as 65% |
| 17:13 | OTT | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Meriläinen, down 4–3
With 2:47 left |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 18 | Tim Stützle | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 21:24 |
| 12 | Shane Pinto | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 0.58 | 1 | 0 | 20:50 |
| 19 | Drake Batherson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.22 | 1 | 1 | 18:41 |
| 8 | Brady Tkachuk | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0.99 | 3 | 0 | 17:12 |
| 24 | Dylan Cozens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.38 | 5 | 1 | 16:37 |
| 28 | Claude Giroux | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 16:30 |
| 22 | Michael Amadio | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.05 | 1 | 1 | 13:34 |
| 20 | Fabian Zetterlund | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.26 | 0 | 1 | 13:32 |
| 20 | Lars Eller | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 11:53 |
| 16 | David Perron | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | 2 | 1 | 10:40 |
| 21 | Nick Cousins | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 10:17 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 85 | Jake Sanderson | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 5 | 27:18 |
| 2 | Artem Zub | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 19:58 |
| 43 | Tyler Kleven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 18:34 |
| 33 | Nikolas Matinpalo | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 | 17:28 |
| 10 | Jordan Spence | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 16:17 |
| 4 | Nick Jensen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 16:02 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leevi Meriläinen | 31 | 4 | 27 | .871 | 3.03 | -0.97 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 18 | Robert Thomas | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 20:21 |
| 89 | Pavel Buchnevich | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 18:09 |
| 63 | Jake Neighbours | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.15 | 1 | 0 | 16:08 |
| 21 | Jimmy Snuggerud | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.10 | 3 | 1 | 16:01 |
| 25 | Jordan Kyrou | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 15:37 |
| 10 | Brayden Schenn | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.54 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 |
| 81 | Dylan Holloway | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 0.65 | 2 | 0 | 14:14 |
| 22 | Pius Suter | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 13:44 |
| 15 | Dalibor Dvorsky | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.43 | 2 | 0 | 13:09 |
| 70 | Oskar Sundqvist | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.29 | 1 | 0 | 13:01 |
| 21 | Mathieu Joseph | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 12:57 |
| 26 | Nathan Walker | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.10 | 2 | 0 | 12:55 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Philip Broberg | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 4 | 24:53 |
| 17 | Cam Fowler | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0.11 | 0 | 2 | 20:53 |
| 55 | Colton Parayko | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 20:36 |
| 72 | Justin Faulk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 20:33 |
| 23 | Logan Mailloux | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 16:07 |
| 4 | Matthew Kessel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 | 11:58 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington | 28 | 3 | 25 | .893 | 3.20 | +0.20 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Shane Pinto C | +1.97 | +0.75 | +0.37 | +0.87 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 20:50 |
| 7 Brady Tkachuk L | +1.78 | +0.55 | +0.65 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:12 |
| 33 Nikolas Matinpalo D | +1.71 | +0.70 | +0.19 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:28 |
| 20 Fabian Zetterlund L | +1.70 | +0.75 | +0.17 | +0.64 | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 13:32 |
| 22 Michael Amadio R | +1.47 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +0.87 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 13:34 |
| 24 Dylan Cozens C | +0.98 | 0.00 | +0.24 | +0.58 | +0.08 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 16:37 |
| 57 David Perron L | +0.83 | +0.75 | +0.14 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 10:40 |
| 3 Nick Jensen D | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 16:02 |
| 28 Claude Giroux R | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 16:30 |
| 10 Jordan Spence D | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:17 |
| 85 Jake Sanderson D | +0.04 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.21 | — | 27:18 |
| 43 Tyler Kleven D | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 18:34 |
| 89 Lars Eller C | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:53 |
| 19 Drake Batherson R | -0.95 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -1.00 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:41 |
| 42 Hayden Hodgson R | -0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.81 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:00 |
| 1 Leevi Meriläinen G | -0.97 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.97 | 57:13 |
| 2 Artem Zub D | -1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 19:58 |
| 21 Nick Cousins C | -1.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.20 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 10:17 |
| 18 Tim Stützle C | -1.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.68 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 21:24 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81 Dylan Holloway L | +1.75 | +0.70 | +0.42 | +0.49 | +0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:14 |
| 25 Jordan Kyrou R | +1.45 | +0.75 | +0.11 | +0.46 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:37 |
| 70 Oskar Sundqvist C | +1.23 | +0.75 | +0.19 | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 13:01 |
| 23 Logan Mailloux D | +1.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +1.13 | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 16:07 |
| 63 Jake Neighbours L | +1.06 | +0.70 | +0.10 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:08 |
| 18 Robert Thomas C | +1.03 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.48 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.03 | — | 20:21 |
| 51 Matthew Kessel D | +1.03 | +0.75 | +0.08 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 11:58 |
| 10 Brayden Schenn C | +0.89 | +0.70 | +0.35 | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.06 | — | 15:11 |
| 22 Pius Suter C | +0.66 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.14 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 13:44 |
| 21 Jimmy Snuggerud R | +0.66 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:01 |
| 6 Philip Broberg D | +0.62 | +0.55 | +0.07 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | — | 24:53 |
| 17 Cam Fowler D | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:53 |
| 26 Nathan Walker L | +0.58 | +0.55 | +0.07 | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:55 |
| 71 Mathieu Joseph R | +0.54 | +0.70 | +0.05 | -0.16 | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:57 |
| 55 Colton Parayko D | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | — | 20:36 |
| 89 Pavel Buchnevich L | +0.25 | +0.75 | +0.08 | -0.57 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:09 |
| 50 Jordan Binnington G | +0.20 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.20 | 59:33 |
| 54 Dalibor Dvorsky R | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.28 | -0.52 | +0.15 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 13:09 |
| 72 Justin Faulk D | -1.20 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:33 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.