| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 31 |
 |
0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 0:55 | |
Bo Horvat (16) Max Shabanov (5) · wrist xG 0.17 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 5:30 | |
Anthony Duclair (4) Calum Ritchie (2), Tony DeAngelo (9) · snap xG 0.15 | 0–2 ▶ |
| 16:26 | |
Dominic James (2) Emil Lilleberg (4), Nick Paul (3) · wrist xG 0.03 | 1–2 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| TBL | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.08 | Expected goals | 3.53 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 2.89 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.75 |
| 74 | Shot attempts | 44 |
| 52 | Unblocked attempts | 37 |
| 31 | Shots on goal | 24 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:35 | NYI | Goalie | Goalie · Sorokin +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.00 xG, 20 shots on goal |
| 15:20 | TBL | No shift | No shift · Douglas, 14:48 on the bench
No shift from 3:07 of the 2nd to 4:15 of the 3rd; 5 shifts (3:52) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 16:40 | TBL | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Vasilevskiy, down 2–1
With 3:20 left |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 86 | Nikita Kucherov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.17 | 0 | 1 | 26:35 |
| 38 | Brandon Hagel | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.17 | 2 | 0 | 24:16 |
| 71 | Anthony Cirelli | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 9 | 1.39 | 0 | 2 | 22:17 |
| 59 | Jake Guentzel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 21:31 |
| 20 | Nick Paul | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.44 | 2 | 0 | 15:02 |
| 37 | Yanni Gourde | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 14:40 |
| 28 | Zemgus Girgensons | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.26 | 2 | 1 | 13:10 |
| 28 | Oliver Bjorkstrand | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.24 | 1 | 0 | 11:36 |
| 17 | Dominic James | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.03 | 2 | 0 | 11:32 |
| 29 | Pontus Holmberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 10:23 |
| 93 | Gage Goncalves | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 07:31 |
| 42 | Curtis Douglas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 04:27 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Darren Raddysh | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.21 | 0 | 2 | 25:28 |
| 90 | J.J. Moser | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 22:48 |
| 51 | Charle-Edouard D'Astous | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 21:39 |
| 78 | Emil Lilleberg | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.10 | 2 | 1 | 18:54 |
| 72 | Declan Carlile | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 14:48 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Vasilevskiy | 24 | 2 | 22 | .917 | 2.09 | +0.09 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Bo Horvat | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.46 | 0 | 0 | 22:22 |
| 92 | Simon Holmstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.61 | 1 | 2 | 19:57 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.51 | 1 | 2 | 19:31 |
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.65 | 0 | 0 | 17:01 |
| 92 | Jonathan Drouin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 16:00 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 15:53 |
| 64 | Calum Ritchie | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 2 | 14:38 |
| 49 | Maxim Shabanov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 14:06 |
| 11 | Anthony Duclair | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 11:36 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 10:37 |
| 32 | Kyle MacLean | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.10 | 4 | 0 | 09:27 |
| 72 | Maxim Tsyplakov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.20 | 5 | 0 | 09:01 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 7 | 0.25 | 3 | 3 | 23:50 |
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 21:21 |
| 6 | Ryan Pulock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 20:39 |
| 24 | Scott Mayfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.13 | 1 | 2 | 19:23 |
| 77 | Tony DeAngelo | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 16:40 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | 31 | 1 | 30 | .968 | 4.08 | +3.08 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nick Paul L | +1.40 | +0.55 | +0.29 | +0.71 | -0.15 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 15:02 |
| 71 Anthony Cirelli C | +1.39 | 0.00 | +0.91 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 22:17 |
| 78 Emil Lilleberg D | +1.23 | +0.70 | +0.06 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:54 |
| 22 Oliver Bjorkstrand R | +0.84 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:36 |
| 43 Darren Raddysh D | +0.66 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.58 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 25:28 |
| 67 Declan Carlile D | +0.61 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:48 |
| 17 Dominic James C | +0.57 | +0.75 | +0.02 | -0.13 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.04 | — | 11:32 |
| 38 Brandon Hagel L | +0.57 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 24:16 |
| 28 Zemgus Girgensons C | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.32 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 13:10 |
| 90 J.J. Moser D | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.19 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 22:48 |
| 59 Jake Guentzel C | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +0.22 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 21:31 |
| 51 Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:39 |
| 86 Nikita Kucherov R | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.37 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 26:35 |
| 37 Yanni Gourde C | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.02 | — | 14:40 |
| 93 Gage Goncalves C | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.05 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:31 |
| 29 Pontus Holmberg R | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:23 |
| 16 Steven Santini D | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:43 |
| 88 Andrei Vasilevskiy G | +0.09 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.09 | 56:40 |
| 42 Curtis Douglas C | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 4:27 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Ilya Sorokin G | +3.08 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +3.08 | 60:00 |
| 14 Bo Horvat C | +1.21 | +0.75 | +0.30 | +0.05 | +0.15 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 22:22 |
| 11 Anthony Duclair L | +0.87 | +0.75 | +0.11 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:36 |
| 49 Max Shabanov R | +0.67 | +0.70 | +0.12 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 14:06 |
| 64 Calum Ritchie C | +0.66 | +0.70 | +0.04 | -0.02 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.10 | — | 14:38 |
| 7 Maxim Tsyplakov R | +0.60 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 9:01 |
| 51 Emil Heineman L | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.33 | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.10 | — | 19:31 |
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 | — | 10:37 |
| 10 Simon Holmstrom R | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.40 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 19:57 |
| 77 Tony DeAngelo D | +0.15 | +0.55 | +0.07 | -0.33 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 16:40 |
| 6 Ryan Pulock D | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 20:39 |
| 24 Scott Mayfield D | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 19:23 |
| 32 Kyle MacLean C | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.16 | -0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 9:27 |
| 3 Adam Pelech D | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 23:50 |
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 21:21 |
| 38 Travis Mitchell D | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 11:58 |
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | -0.73 | 0.00 | +0.42 | -1.24 | +0.15 | -0.03 | -0.04 | — | 17:01 |
| 27 Anders Lee L | -0.85 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -1.09 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:53 |
| 29 Jonathan Drouin L | -1.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:00 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.