| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 31 |
 |
0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 40 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:12 | |
Ville Koivunen (1)PP Kris Letang (10), Tommy Novak (8) · snap xG 0.11 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 7:53 | |
Evgeni Malkin (7) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.23 | 2–0 ▶ |
| 9:49 | |
Ben Kindel (7)PP Erik Karlsson (17), Evgeni Malkin (21) · tip-in xG 0.12 | 3–0 ▶ |
| 18:46 | |
Nikita Kucherov (12) Darren Raddysh (14), Jake Guentzel (14) · tip-in xG 0.06 | 3–1 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 1:17 | |
Brandon Hagel (16)PP Nikita Kucherov (22), Darren Raddysh (15) · slap xG 0.05 | 3–2 ▶ |
| 11:44 | |
Brandon Hagel (17) Nick Paul (4), Gage Goncalves (5) · snap xG 0.21 | 3–3 ▶ |
| 17:17 | |
Evgeni Malkin (8) Tommy Novak (9), Anthony Mantha (8) · wrist xG 0.10 | 4–3 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| PIT | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.08 | Expected goals | 4.31 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.28 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.18 |
| 51 | Shot attempts | 73 |
| 47 | Unblocked attempts | 58 |
| 31 | Shots on goal | 40 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 13:40 | TBL | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced PIT 1.30–0.30
In xG over 10 minutes, 3:40 to 13:40 of the 1st; goals 0–1 |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:03 | PIT | Goalie | Goalie · Jarry +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.05 xG, 15 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 6:30 | TBL | No shift | No shift · Douglas, 20:16 on the bench
No shift after 9:06 of the 2nd; 5 shifts (2:33) before that |
| 17:57 | TBL | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Johansson, down 4–3
With 2:03 left |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 17 | Bryan Rust | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.58 | 0 | 0 | 21:37 |
| 87 | Sidney Crosby | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 21:30 |
| 81 | Ben Kindel | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0.41 | 0 | 2 | 17:50 |
| 46 | Blake Lizotte | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | 2 | 1 | 16:07 |
| 13 | Kevin Hayes | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.29 | 3 | 0 | 14:58 |
| 71 | Evgeni Malkin | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 0.40 | 1 | 0 | 14:58 |
| 19 | Connor Dewar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 1 | 2 | 13:43 |
| 2 | Rutger McGroarty | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 3 | 0 | 13:01 |
| 41 | Ville Koivunen | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.19 | 1 | 1 | 12:48 |
| 39 | Anthony Mantha | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.34 | 1 | 1 | 11:40 |
| 18 | Tommy Novak | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11:21 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 65 | Erik Karlsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 8 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 25:29 |
| 6 | Ryan Shea | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 20:05 |
| 58 | Kris Letang | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 2 | 2 | 20:03 |
| 29 | Parker Wotherspoon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | 2 | 1 | 20:01 |
| 75 | Connor Clifton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 2 | 14:16 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Jarry | 40 | 3 | 37 | .925 | 4.31 | +1.31 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 59 | Jake Guentzel | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.37 | 0 | 0 | 26:08 |
| 86 | Nikita Kucherov | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 19 | 0.95 | 0 | 0 | 25:28 |
| 71 | Anthony Cirelli | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 17:40 |
| 28 | Oliver Bjorkstrand | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.37 | 0 | 0 | 17:24 |
| 20 | Nick Paul | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 17:24 |
| 38 | Brandon Hagel | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0.87 | 0 | 0 | 17:09 |
| 37 | Yanni Gourde | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | 4 | 1 | 16:22 |
| 28 | Zemgus Girgensons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 3 | 0 | 15:38 |
| 29 | Pontus Holmberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.28 | 2 | 0 | 13:41 |
| 17 | Dominic James | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 09:02 |
| 93 | Gage Goncalves | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 08:16 |
| 42 | Curtis Douglas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 02:33 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Darren Raddysh | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 0.16 | 1 | 0 | 27:49 |
| 90 | J.J. Moser | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 23:03 |
| 51 | Charle-Edouard D'Astous | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.42 | 0 | 0 | 19:31 |
| 78 | Emil Lilleberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 18:06 |
| 72 | Declan Carlile | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 10:57 |
| 24 | Max Crozier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 10:12 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Johansson | 31 | 4 | 27 | .871 | 3.08 | -0.92 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 Evgeni Malkin C | +2.31 | +2.05 | +0.26 | +0.02 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.02 | — | 14:58 |
| 18 Tommy Novak C | +1.50 | +1.25 | 0.00 | +0.30 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 11:21 |
| 35 Tristan Jarry G | +1.31 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.31 | 60:00 |
| 39 Anthony Mantha R | +1.21 | +0.55 | +0.22 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 11:40 |
| 81 Ben Kindel C | +0.99 | +0.75 | +0.27 | -0.25 | +0.15 | -0.03 | +0.10 | — | 17:50 |
| 65 Erik Karlsson D | +0.84 | +0.70 | +0.11 | +0.20 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 25:29 |
| 58 Kris Letang D | +0.63 | +0.70 | +0.06 | -0.05 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:03 |
| 28 Parker Wotherspoon D | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.52 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 20:01 |
| 87 Sidney Crosby C | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.02 | — | 21:30 |
| 41 Ville Koivunen R | +0.52 | +0.75 | +0.12 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:48 |
| 46 Blake Lizotte C | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.15 | +0.15 | +0.04 | +0.05 | — | 16:07 |
| 19 Connor Dewar C | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 13:43 |
| 17 Bryan Rust R | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.38 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:37 |
| 13 Kevin Hayes R | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 14:58 |
| 5 Ryan Shea D | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:05 |
| 14 Bokondji Imama L | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 5:38 |
| 75 Connor Clifton D | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 14:16 |
| 27 Ryan Graves D | -0.26 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.14 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 14:40 |
| 2 Rutger McGroarty R | -0.61 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:01 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 Brandon Hagel L | +3.01 | +1.50 | +0.56 | +1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 17:09 |
| 86 Nikita Kucherov R | +2.35 | +1.45 | +0.62 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | — | 25:28 |
| 20 Nick Paul L | +1.09 | +0.70 | +0.06 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:24 |
| 93 Gage Goncalves C | +0.90 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:16 |
| 43 Darren Raddysh D | +0.86 | +1.25 | +0.11 | -0.32 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 27:49 |
| 59 Jake Guentzel C | +0.70 | +0.55 | +0.24 | -0.29 | +0.15 | +0.03 | +0.02 | — | 26:08 |
| 78 Emil Lilleberg D | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.26 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:06 |
| 51 Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.27 | +0.16 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:31 |
| 71 Anthony Cirelli C | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:40 |
| 90 J.J. Moser D | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.13 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 23:03 |
| 22 Oliver Bjorkstrand R | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.24 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:24 |
| 24 Max Crozier D | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.15 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:12 |
| 42 Curtis Douglas C | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 2:33 |
| 17 Dominic James C | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.36 | +0.15 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 9:02 |
| 29 Pontus Holmberg R | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:41 |
| 67 Declan Carlile D | -0.35 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.28 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 10:57 |
| 28 Zemgus Girgensons C | -0.45 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.50 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 15:38 |
| 37 Yanni Gourde C | -0.67 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.69 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.01 | — | 16:22 |
| 31 Jonas Johansson G | -0.92 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.92 | 57:48 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.