St. Louis BluesSTL 2–1 Final Ottawa SenatorsOTT

Saturday, December 6, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
St. Louis BluesSTL	0	1	1	2	20
Ottawa SenatorsOTT	0	0	1	1	42

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
17:36	STL	Jake Neighbours (7) Brayden Schenn (6), Pius Suter (7) · bat xG 0.43	1–0 ▶
3rd Period
0:12	STL	Jake Neighbours (8) Pavel Buchnevich (9) · tip-in xG 0.22	2–0 ▶
15:39	OTT	Fabian Zetterlund (6)PP Stephen Halliday (2), Claude Giroux (13) · wrist xG 0.23	2–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

STL 14%Deserve to win86% OTT

STL		OTT
2.29	Expected goals	4.14
2	Goals (no shootout)	1
1.52	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.17
41	Shot attempts	80
31	Unblocked attempts	57
20	Shots on goal	42

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
14:02	STL	Goalie	Goalie · Hofer +2.0 goals saved 0 goals on 2.04 xG, 24 shots on goal
3rd Period
0:20	STL	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced OTT 1.45–0.11 In xG over 10 minutes, 12:10 of the 2nd to 2:10 of the 3rd; goals 2–0
4:10	STL	No shift	No shift · Kessel, 10:15 on the bench No shift from 12:08 of the 2nd to 4:24 of the 3rd; 11 shifts (7:35) before that
11:30	OTT	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced STL 1.68–0.03 In xG over 10 minutes, 5:50 to 15:50 of the 3rd; goals 1–0
18:10	STL	No shift	No shift · Kessel, 10:37 on the bench No shift after 5:34 of the 3rd; 12 shifts (8:45) before that

Shot map

STL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ OTT shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

St. Louis Blues

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
22	Pius Suter	0	1	1	+1	2	0.19	0	2	20:47
89	Pavel Buchnevich	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	19:44
18	Robert Thomas	0	0	0	+1	3	0.10	1	3	19:10
81	Dylan Holloway	0	0	0	+1	3	0.21	3	1	17:05
70	Oskar Sundqvist	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	4	2	15:32
63	Jake Neighbours	2	0	2	+2	7	0.76	4	1	15:15
21	Mathieu Joseph	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	2	2	14:46
10	Brayden Schenn	0	1	1	+1	2	0.10	1	1	14:08
72	Nick Bjugstad	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	13:36
15	Dalibor Dvorsky	0	0	0	0	4	0.09	0	1	11:10
25	Jordan Kyrou	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	00:53
Defense
6	Philip Broberg	0	0	0	+1	5	0.11	1	4	25:35
17	Cam Fowler	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	0	0	25:04
55	Colton Parayko	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	1	2	24:07
72	Justin Faulk	0	0	0	0	3	0.09	1	1	21:55
23	Logan Mailloux	0	0	0	0	4	0.15	0	0	12:40
4	Matthew Kessel	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	08:45

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Joel Hofer	42	1	41	.976	4.14	+3.14

Ottawa Senators

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
18	Tim Stützle	0	0	0	-2	7	0.64	1	2	23:24
24	Dylan Cozens	0	0	0	0	4	0.26	2	0	22:22
8	Brady Tkachuk	0	0	0	-1	4	0.32	1	0	21:26
19	Drake Batherson	0	0	0	0	5	0.06	0	1	20:32
20	Fabian Zetterlund	1	0	1	-2	8	0.60	4	0	18:52
28	Claude Giroux	0	1	1	-1	7	0.19	0	1	18:35
71	Ridly Greig	0	0	0	0	5	0.25	1	1	15:59
22	Michael Amadio	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	3	0	15:25
16	David Perron	0	0	0	0	4	0.37	1	0	13:56
34	Stephen Halliday	0	1	1	0	3	0.23	2	0	11:12
21	Nick Cousins	0	0	0	0	1	0.43	1	0	10:04
Defense
85	Jake Sanderson	0	0	0	-1	14	0.25	0	2	31:04
10	Jordan Spence	0	0	0	0	8	0.11	2	0	21:18
43	Tyler Kleven	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	3	1	14:57
2	Artem Zub	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	2	1	14:46
4	Nick Jensen	0	0	0	0	4	0.08	0	1	13:10
33	Nikolas Matinpalo	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	11:03

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Linus Ullmark	20	2	18	.900	1.75	-0.25

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

St. Louis Blues

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
30 Joel Hofer G	+3.14	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+3.14	59:49
63 Jake Neighbours L	+2.34	+1.50	+0.49	+0.59	-0.30	0.00	+0.05	—	15:15
10 Brayden Schenn C	+1.59	+0.70	+0.06	+0.80	0.00	-0.01	+0.03	—	14:08
22 Pius Suter C	+0.92	+0.55	+0.12	+0.19	0.00	-0.04	+0.10	—	20:47
81 Dylan Holloway L	+0.72	0.00	+0.13	+0.70	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	17:05
89 Pavel Buchnevich L	+0.42	+0.70	0.00	-0.26	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	19:44
55 Colton Parayko D	+0.19	0.00	0.00	+0.11	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	24:07
17 Cam Fowler D	+0.17	0.00	+0.02	+0.17	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	25:04
6 Philip Broberg D	-0.01	0.00	+0.07	-0.30	+0.08	0.00	+0.14	—	25:35
65 Aleksanteri Kaskimaki C	-0.12	0.00	0.00	-0.12	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	7:39
18 Robert Thomas C	-0.14	0.00	+0.07	-0.15	-0.26	+0.05	+0.15	—	19:10
23 Logan Mailloux D	-0.15	0.00	+0.10	-0.21	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	12:40
71 Mathieu Joseph R	-0.23	0.00	+0.03	-0.34	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	14:46
77 Nick Bjugstad C	-0.24	0.00	0.00	-0.26	0.00	-0.01	+0.03	—	13:36
25 Jordan Kyrou R	-0.24	0.00	0.00	-0.24	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	0:53
70 Oskar Sundqvist C	-0.44	0.00	+0.07	-0.64	+0.04	-0.01	+0.10	—	15:32
51 Matthew Kessel D	-0.54	0.00	0.00	-0.54	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	8:45
54 Dalibor Dvorsky R	-0.68	0.00	+0.06	-0.79	0.00	+0.03	+0.03	—	11:10
72 Justin Faulk D	-0.86	0.00	+0.06	-0.80	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	21:55

Ottawa Senators

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
83 Stephen Halliday C	+1.89	+0.70	+0.15	+1.04	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	11:12
10 Jordan Spence D	+1.25	0.00	+0.07	+1.18	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	21:18
20 Fabian Zetterlund L	+0.96	+0.75	+0.39	-0.18	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	18:52
21 Nick Cousins C	+0.87	0.00	+0.28	+0.62	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	10:04
43 Tyler Kleven D	+0.56	0.00	+0.04	+0.45	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	14:57
57 David Perron L	+0.47	0.00	+0.24	+0.25	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	13:56
24 Dylan Cozens C	+0.46	0.00	+0.17	+0.26	-0.04	+0.04	+0.02	—	22:22
42 Hayden Hodgson R	+0.45	0.00	+0.14	+0.31	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	1:53
85 Jake Sanderson D	+0.42	0.00	+0.16	-0.02	+0.15	0.00	+0.12	—	31:04
71 Ridly Greig C	+0.40	0.00	+0.17	+0.21	0.00	-0.02	+0.05	—	15:59
19 Drake Batherson R	+0.34	0.00	+0.04	+0.34	-0.04	-0.02	+0.03	—	20:32
3 Nick Jensen D	+0.33	0.00	+0.05	+0.08	+0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	13:10
7 Brady Tkachuk L	+0.29	0.00	+0.21	-0.13	+0.26	-0.03	-0.02	—	21:26
22 Michael Amadio R	+0.22	0.00	+0.03	+0.17	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	15:25
2 Artem Zub D	-0.10	0.00	+0.02	-0.15	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	14:46
28 Claude Giroux R	-0.16	+0.55	+0.12	-0.77	-0.15	+0.08	+0.01	—	18:35
18 Tim Stützle C	-0.25	0.00	+0.42	-0.85	+0.11	-0.05	+0.12	—	23:24
35 Linus Ullmark G	-0.25	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.25	57:55
33 Nikolas Matinpalo D	-0.58	0.00	0.00	-0.73	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	11:03

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.