Los Angeles KingsLAK 2–1 Final Tampa Bay LightningTBL

Thursday, December 18, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Los Angeles KingsLAK 020 2 20
Tampa Bay LightningTBL 100 1 32

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
12:54 TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (5)PP Anthony Cirelli (10), Jake Guentzel (19) · wrist xG 0.37 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
5:21 LAK Adrian Kempe (12) Anze Kopitar (11), Corey Perry (8) · wrist xG 0.02 1–1 ▶
15:58 LAK Adrian Kempe (13) Unassisted · backhand xG 0.24 2–1 ▶
3rd Period
No scoring

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

LAK 21%Deserve to win79% TBL
LAKTBL
1.49Expected goals3.17
2Goals (no shootout)1
1.08Expected goals, 5 on 51.43
33Shot attempts77
26Unblocked attempts55
20Shots on goal32

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
15:30 LAK No shift No shift · Helenius, 12:09 on the bench
No shift after 3:16 of the 3rd; 7 shifts (6:20) before that
19:50 LAK Goalie Goalie · Forsberg +2.2 goals saved
1 goal on 3.17 xG, 32 shots on goal

Shot map

LAK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ TBL shoots
Brandt Clarke: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:10) Corey Perry: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:11) Joel Armia: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:12) Mikey Anderson: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:17) Charle-Edouard D'Astous: backhand, 41 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:28) Quinton Byfield: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:41) J.J. Moser: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:40) Trevor Moore: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:29) Brayden Point: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:47) Zemgus Girgensons: tip-in, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:12) Zemgus Girgensons: tip-in, 80 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 8:30) Trevor Moore: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:27) Joel Edmundson: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:36) Alex Turcotte: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 9:38) Corey Perry: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 10:01) Corey Perry: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 10:02) Yanni Gourde: tip-in, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 10:27) Dominic James: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:46) Ryan McDonagh: tip-in, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:58) Jake Guentzel: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:03) Darren Raddysh: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:17) Brayden Point: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 12:34) Oliver Bjorkstrand: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 12:52) Dominic James: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:16) Yanni Gourde: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 17:08) Declan Carlile: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:28) Dominic James: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 19:55) Ryan McDonagh: tip-in, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:59) Jake Guentzel: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:09) Gage Goncalves: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 2:23) Gage Goncalves: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 2:55) Brian Dumoulin: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:02) Quinton Byfield: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:48) Jake Guentzel: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:07) J.J. Moser: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:11) Alex Laferriere: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:12) Andrei Kuzmenko: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 10:39) Anthony Cirelli: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 11:09) Quinton Byfield: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 11:57) Darren Raddysh: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:36) Warren Foegele: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:54) Darren Raddysh: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:12) Kevin Fiala: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:27) Gage Goncalves: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 14:48) J.J. Moser: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:49) Dominic James: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 15:12) Zemgus Girgensons: tip-in, 93 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 15:40) Quinton Byfield: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:10) Jake Guentzel: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:21) Oliver Bjorkstrand: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:30) Darren Raddysh: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:51) Joel Armia: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 18:21) Charle-Edouard D'Astous: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:57) Zemgus Girgensons: backhand, 22 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:59) Quinton Byfield: wrist, 91 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 0:18) Brayden Point: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:42) Pontus Holmberg: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:08) Zemgus Girgensons: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:09) Declan Carlile: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:37) Trevor Moore: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 1:59) Brandt Clarke: wrist, 125 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:37) Jake Guentzel: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 5:03) Jake Guentzel: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 5:06) Charle-Edouard D'Astous: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:12) Nick Paul: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 6:57) Jake Guentzel: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 7:56) Brayden Point: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 8:02) Oliver Bjorkstrand: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 8:44) Nick Paul: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 9:40) Pontus Holmberg: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 10:03) Quinton Byfield: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 11:25) Pontus Holmberg: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:51) Dominic James: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:59) Oliver Bjorkstrand: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:26) Darren Raddysh: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:38) Nick Paul: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 18:12) Oliver Bjorkstrand: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 19:09) Brayden Point: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 19:50) Oliver Bjorkstrand: GOAL, wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.37 (P1 12:54) Adrian Kempe: GOAL, wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:21) Adrian Kempe: GOAL, backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 15:58)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Los Angeles Kings

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
55 Quinton Byfield 000 0 70.38 1119:12
11 Anze Kopitar 011 +2 00.00 0119:06
12 Trevor Moore 000 0 30.24 2116:45
37 Warren Foegele 000 +1 10.01 2016:27
22 Kevin Fiala 000 0 10.01 0015:54
9 Adrian Kempe 202 +2 30.26 1115:41
14 Alex Laferriere 000 0 20.02 2215:01
90 Corey Perry 011 0 30.16 0012:42
62 Andrei Kuzmenko 000 0 20.10 0212:20
40 Joel Armia 000 0 20.14 1011:58
15 Alex Turcotte 000 0 10.12 0210:57
79 Samuel Helenius 000 0 00.00 3006:20
Defense
8 Drew Doughty 000 +1 00.00 0024:19
44 Mikey Anderson 000 0 10.01 1522:45
6 Joel Edmundson 000 +1 20.02 3119:15
2 Brian Dumoulin 000 +1 10.02 0318:40
5 Cody Ceci 000 +1 00.00 0018:32
92 Brandt Clarke 000 +1 40.01 1315:48
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Anton Forsberg 32131 .969 3.17 +2.17

Tampa Bay Lightning

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
59 Jake Guentzel 011 0 80.44 0126:45
21 Brayden Point 000 0 80.54 0022:04
28 Oliver Bjorkstrand 101 0 60.77 1020:54
20 Nick Paul 000 0 50.24 2017:31
93 Gage Goncalves 000 0 30.25 2017:26
37 Yanni Gourde 000 -2 30.06 1017:22
71 Anthony Cirelli 011 0 20.15 0015:40
29 Pontus Holmberg 000 -2 30.09 2115:37
17 Dominic James 000 0 100.25 1013:58
28 Zemgus Girgensons 000 -2 50.09 3013:57
42 Curtis Douglas 000 0 00.00 0006:59
86 Nikita Kucherov 000 0 00.00 0000:00
Defense
43 Darren Raddysh 000 0 80.10 1026:01
90 J.J. Moser 000 0 30.08 0222:00
51 Charle-Edouard D'Astous 000 -2 40.03 3221:33
27 Ryan McDonagh 000 -2 40.03 0017:49
24 Max Crozier 000 0 30.00 1113:31
72 Declan Carlile 000 0 20.04 1011:45
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Andrei Vasilevskiy 20218 .900 1.49 -0.51

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Los Angeles Kings

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
31 Anton Forsberg G +2.17 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.17 60:00
9 Adrian Kempe R +1.60 +1.50 +0.17 +0.14 -0.30 0.00 +0.09 — 15:41
11 Anze Kopitar C +0.76 +0.70 0.00 -0.01 0.00 +0.04 +0.03 — 19:06
10 Corey Perry R +0.58 +0.55 +0.10 +0.08 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 12:42
2 Brian Dumoulin D +0.49 0.00 +0.01 +0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 18:40
37 Warren Foegele L +0.42 0.00 +0.01 +0.43 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:27
15 Alex Turcotte C +0.25 0.00 +0.07 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 10:57
5 Cody Ceci D +0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:32
92 Brandt Clarke D +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 15:48
96 Andrei Kuzmenko L +0.17 0.00 +0.06 +0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 12:20
79 Samuel Helenius C +0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.14 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 6:20
12 Trevor Moore L +0.13 0.00 +0.15 -0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.09 — 16:45
6 Joel Edmundson D +0.04 0.00 +0.02 -0.17 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 19:15
55 Quinton Byfield R -0.07 0.00 +0.25 -0.24 0.00 -0.08 +0.01 — 19:12
40 Joel Armia R -0.16 0.00 +0.09 -0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 11:58
8 Drew Doughty D -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 — 24:19
44 Mikey Anderson D -0.27 0.00 +0.01 -0.38 -0.15 0.00 +0.25 — 22:45
14 Alex Laferriere R -0.32 0.00 +0.02 -0.37 0.00 -0.03 +0.06 — 15:01
22 Kevin Fiala L -0.41 0.00 0.00 -0.26 -0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 15:54

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
22 Oliver Bjorkstrand R +1.38 +0.75 +0.50 +0.14 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 20:54
71 Anthony Cirelli C +1.10 +0.70 +0.10 +0.09 +0.15 +0.08 -0.02 — 15:40
59 Jake Guentzel C +1.06 +0.55 +0.28 +0.04 +0.15 -0.01 +0.05 — 26:45
17 Dominic James C +0.76 0.00 +0.16 +0.60 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 13:58
43 Darren Raddysh D +0.44 0.00 +0.07 +0.22 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 26:01
51 Charle-Edouard D'Astous D +0.43 0.00 +0.02 +0.16 +0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 21:33
90 J.J. Moser D +0.39 0.00 +0.05 +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 22:00
93 Gage Goncalves C +0.29 0.00 +0.16 +0.29 -0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 17:26
21 Brayden Point C +0.26 0.00 +0.35 -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 22:04
20 Nick Paul L +0.23 0.00 +0.16 +0.05 0.00 +0.08 -0.06 — 17:31
27 Ryan McDonagh D +0.15 0.00 +0.02 +0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:49
42 Curtis Douglas C +0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 6:59
29 Pontus Holmberg R -0.13 0.00 +0.06 -0.34 +0.15 -0.01 +0.01 — 15:37
24 Max Crozier D -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:31
28 Zemgus Girgensons C -0.28 0.00 +0.06 -0.32 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 13:57
67 Declan Carlile D -0.29 0.00 +0.03 -0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:45
37 Yanni Gourde C -0.34 0.00 +0.04 -0.35 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 17:22
88 Andrei Vasilevskiy G -0.51 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.51 57:08

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.