| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:54 | Oliver Bjorkstrand (5)PP Anthony Cirelli (10), Jake Guentzel (19) · wrist xG 0.37 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:21 | Adrian Kempe (12) Anze Kopitar (11), Corey Perry (8) · wrist xG 0.02 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 15:58 | Adrian Kempe (13) Unassisted · backhand xG 0.24 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| LAK | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.49 | Expected goals | 3.17 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 1 |
| 1.08 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.43 |
| 33 | Shot attempts | 77 |
| 26 | Unblocked attempts | 55 |
| 20 | Shots on goal | 32 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:30 | LAK | No shift | No shift · Helenius, 12:09 on the bench
No shift after 3:16 of the 3rd; 7 shifts (6:20) before that |
| 19:50 | LAK | Goalie | Goalie · Forsberg +2.2 goals saved
1 goal on 3.17 xG, 32 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 55 | Quinton Byfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.38 | 1 | 1 | 19:12 |
| 11 | Anze Kopitar | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 19:06 |
| 12 | Trevor Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | 2 | 1 | 16:45 |
| 37 | Warren Foegele | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 16:27 |
| 22 | Kevin Fiala | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 15:54 |
| 9 | Adrian Kempe | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.26 | 1 | 1 | 15:41 |
| 14 | Alex Laferriere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 2 | 2 | 15:01 |
| 90 | Corey Perry | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 12:42 |
| 62 | Andrei Kuzmenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 2 | 12:20 |
| 40 | Joel Armia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 11:58 |
| 15 | Alex Turcotte | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 0 | 2 | 10:57 |
| 79 | Samuel Helenius | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 06:20 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Drew Doughty | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 24:19 |
| 44 | Mikey Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 5 | 22:45 |
| 6 | Joel Edmundson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 3 | 1 | 19:15 |
| 2 | Brian Dumoulin | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 3 | 18:40 |
| 5 | Cody Ceci | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 18:32 |
| 92 | Brandt Clarke | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.01 | 1 | 3 | 15:48 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Forsberg | 32 | 1 | 31 | .969 | 3.17 | +2.17 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 59 | Jake Guentzel | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0.44 | 0 | 1 | 26:45 |
| 21 | Brayden Point | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.54 | 0 | 0 | 22:04 |
| 28 | Oliver Bjorkstrand | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.77 | 1 | 0 | 20:54 |
| 20 | Nick Paul | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.24 | 2 | 0 | 17:31 |
| 93 | Gage Goncalves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.25 | 2 | 0 | 17:26 |
| 37 | Yanni Gourde | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 17:22 |
| 71 | Anthony Cirelli | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 15:40 |
| 29 | Pontus Holmberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.09 | 2 | 1 | 15:37 |
| 17 | Dominic James | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 13:58 |
| 28 | Zemgus Girgensons | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.09 | 3 | 0 | 13:57 |
| 42 | Curtis Douglas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 06:59 |
| 86 | Nikita Kucherov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Darren Raddysh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 26:01 |
| 90 | J.J. Moser | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 0 | 2 | 22:00 |
| 51 | Charle-Edouard D'Astous | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.03 | 3 | 2 | 21:33 |
| 27 | Ryan McDonagh | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 17:49 |
| 24 | Max Crozier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 13:31 |
| 72 | Declan Carlile | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 11:45 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Vasilevskiy | 20 | 2 | 18 | .900 | 1.49 | -0.51 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Anton Forsberg G | +2.17 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.17 | 60:00 |
| 9 Adrian Kempe R | +1.60 | +1.50 | +0.17 | +0.14 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 15:41 |
| 11 Anze Kopitar C | +0.76 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 | — | 19:06 |
| 10 Corey Perry R | +0.58 | +0.55 | +0.10 | +0.08 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:42 |
| 2 Brian Dumoulin D | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 18:40 |
| 37 Warren Foegele L | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:27 |
| 15 Alex Turcotte C | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 10:57 |
| 5 Cody Ceci D | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:32 |
| 92 Brandt Clarke D | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 15:48 |
| 96 Andrei Kuzmenko L | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 12:20 |
| 79 Samuel Helenius C | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 6:20 |
| 12 Trevor Moore L | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 16:45 |
| 6 Joel Edmundson D | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.17 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:15 |
| 55 Quinton Byfield R | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.25 | -0.24 | 0.00 | -0.08 | +0.01 | — | 19:12 |
| 40 Joel Armia R | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 11:58 |
| 8 Drew Doughty D | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | — | 24:19 |
| 44 Mikey Anderson D | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.38 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.25 | — | 22:45 |
| 14 Alex Laferriere R | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.37 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.06 | — | 15:01 |
| 22 Kevin Fiala L | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.26 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:54 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oliver Bjorkstrand R | +1.38 | +0.75 | +0.50 | +0.14 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 20:54 |
| 71 Anthony Cirelli C | +1.10 | +0.70 | +0.10 | +0.09 | +0.15 | +0.08 | -0.02 | — | 15:40 |
| 59 Jake Guentzel C | +1.06 | +0.55 | +0.28 | +0.04 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 26:45 |
| 17 Dominic James C | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.60 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:58 |
| 43 Darren Raddysh D | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.22 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 26:01 |
| 51 Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.16 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 21:33 |
| 90 J.J. Moser D | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 22:00 |
| 93 Gage Goncalves C | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.29 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 17:26 |
| 21 Brayden Point C | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.35 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:04 |
| 20 Nick Paul L | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.06 | — | 17:31 |
| 27 Ryan McDonagh D | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:49 |
| 42 Curtis Douglas C | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:59 |
| 29 Pontus Holmberg R | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.34 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.01 | — | 15:37 |
| 24 Max Crozier D | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:31 |
| 28 Zemgus Girgensons C | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.32 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 13:57 |
| 67 Declan Carlile D | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:45 |
| 37 Yanni Gourde C | -0.34 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.35 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 17:22 |
| 88 Andrei Vasilevskiy G | -0.51 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.51 | 57:08 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.