Utah MammothUTA 3–2 Final/OT New York RangersNYR

Monday, January 5, 2026

Final/OT	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T	SOG
Utah MammothUTA	0	1	1	1	3	27
New York RangersNYR	0	2	0	0	2	24

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
8:29	NYR	Alexis Lafrenière (9)PP Mika Zibanejad (21), Artemi Panarin (29) · wrist xG 0.16	0–1 ▶
12:38	UTA	Dylan Guenther (21) Ian Cole (11) · wrist xG 0.06	1–1 ▶
16:36	NYR	Vincent Trocheck (10)PP Artemi Panarin (30), Mika Zibanejad (22) · tip-in xG 0.13	1–2 ▶
3rd Period
6:15	UTA	Michael Carcone (8) John Marino (16) · wrist xG 0.23	2–2 ▶
Overtime
1:06	UTA	Sean Durzi (2) Nick Schmaltz (23), Lawson Crouse (10) · wrist xG 0.24	3–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

UTA 52%Deserve to win48% NYR

UTA		NYR
3.57	Expected goals	3.42
3	Goals (no shootout)	2
3.29	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.45
64	Shot attempts	52
48	Unblocked attempts	43
27	Shots on goal	24

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
13:00	NYR	Goalie change	Goalie change · Quick in for Shesterkin 13:00 of the 1st; Shesterkin had allowed 0 goals on 9 shots (0.92 xG)
2nd Period
9:40	NYR	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced UTA 1.37–0.34 In xG over 10 minutes, 19:40 of the 1st to 9:40 of the 2nd; goals 1–0
16:36	NYR	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · NYR takes the lead, 61–39% UTA had led since 10:56 of the 1st, by as much as 74%
3rd Period
14:10	UTA	No shift	No shift · Guenther, 13:24 on the bench No shift from 3:46 to 19:36 of the 3rd; 18 shifts (14:52) before that

Shot map

UTA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYR shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Utah Mammoth

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
9	Clayton Keller	0	0	0	0	6	0.38	0	0	20:05
67	Lawson Crouse	0	1	1	+1	3	0.24	4	1	19:40
8	Nick Schmaltz	0	1	1	+1	4	0.27	0	0	18:36
11	Dylan Guenther	1	0	1	+1	9	0.26	0	2	16:00
10	JJ Peterka	0	0	0	+1	4	0.44	0	0	15:41
27	Barrett Hayton	0	0	0	+2	3	0.10	0	0	15:21
50	Daniil But	0	0	0	+1	3	0.24	0	1	13:56
53	Michael Carcone	1	0	1	+1	3	0.25	3	1	13:32
22	Jack McBain	0	0	0	0	4	0.32	4	1	13:25
82	Kevin Stenlund	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	12:21
14	Alexander Kerfoot	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	09:19
13	Brandon Tanev	0	0	0	0	4	0.23	3	0	07:39
Defense
98	Mikhail Sergachev	0	0	0	+1	3	0.11	0	1	26:48
5	Sean Durzi	1	0	1	+1	4	0.32	0	0	22:09
6	John Marino	0	1	1	+1	2	0.09	1	0	21:14
88	Nate Schmidt	0	0	0	+1	6	0.21	2	0	20:57
28	Ian Cole	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	1	2	17:52
57	Nick DeSimone	0	0	0	0	5	0.05	0	0	10:42

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Karel Vejmelka	24	2	22	.917	3.42	+1.42

New York Rangers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
10	Artemi Panarin	0	2	2	-2	8	0.33	0	0	24:56
93	Mika Zibanejad	0	2	2	-1	6	0.55	2	0	24:45
16	Vincent Trocheck	1	0	1	-1	5	0.86	3	2	21:55
13	Alexis Lafrenière	1	0	1	-1	4	0.53	1	0	19:40
50	Will Cuylle	0	0	0	0	4	0.45	7	1	19:23
14	Taylor Raddysh	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	0	0	13:41
94	Gabe Perreault	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	1	0	12:47
22	Jonny Brodzinski	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	1	1	11:56
10	Sam Carrick	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	3	0	10:07
73	Matt Rempe	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	7	2	08:42
37	Justin Dowling	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	2	1	07:18
Defense
23	Adam Fox	0	0	0	-1	4	0.09	0	0	23:30
44	Vladislav Gavrikov	0	0	0	-1	6	0.17	1	2	22:39
17	Will Borgen	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	19:50
7	Carson Soucy	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	2	1	19:39
4	Braden Schneider	0	0	0	-2	3	0.01	3	1	16:27
18	Urho Vaakanainen	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	2	14:22

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Igor Shesterkin	9	0	9	1.000	0.92	+0.92
Jonathan Quick	18	3	15	.833	2.65	-0.35

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Utah Mammoth

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
6 John Marino D	+1.98	+0.70	+0.06	+1.24	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	21:14
53 Michael Carcone L	+1.96	+0.75	+0.17	+0.82	+0.15	0.00	+0.07	—	13:32
8 Nick Schmaltz C	+1.66	+0.70	+0.18	+0.79	0.00	+0.01	-0.02	—	18:36
70 Karel Vejmelka G	+1.42	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.42	61:06
67 Lawson Crouse L	+1.40	+0.55	+0.15	+0.66	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	19:40
88 Nate Schmidt D	+1.37	0.00	+0.14	+1.22	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	20:57
50 Sean Durzi D	+1.35	+0.75	+0.20	+0.59	-0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	22:09
11 Dylan Guenther R	+1.29	+0.75	+0.17	+0.45	-0.15	+0.01	+0.06	—	16:00
28 Ian Cole D	+1.25	+0.70	+0.02	+0.46	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	17:52
19 Daniil But L	+1.01	0.00	+0.16	+0.82	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	13:56
9 Clayton Keller R	+0.92	0.00	+0.25	+0.65	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	20:05
98 Mikhail Sergachev D	+0.90	0.00	+0.07	+0.83	0.00	0.00	-0.01	—	26:48
22 Jack McBain C	+0.79	0.00	+0.21	+0.52	0.00	+0.01	+0.05	—	13:25
27 Barrett Hayton C	+0.78	0.00	+0.07	+0.70	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	15:21
77 JJ Peterka R	+0.70	0.00	+0.29	+0.41	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:41
13 Brandon Tanev L	+0.43	0.00	+0.15	+0.42	-0.15	0.00	+0.02	—	7:39
15 Alexander Kerfoot C	+0.36	0.00	0.00	+0.48	-0.15	+0.03	0.00	—	9:19
57 Nick DeSimone D	+0.34	0.00	+0.03	+0.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	10:42
82 Kevin Stenlund C	+0.25	0.00	0.00	+0.31	0.00	-0.06	0.00	—	12:21

New York Rangers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
93 Mika Zibanejad C	+1.50	+1.25	+0.36	-0.22	+0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	24:45
10 Artemi Panarin L	+1.15	+1.25	+0.21	-0.40	+0.15	0.00	-0.06	—	24:56
31 Igor Shesterkin G	+0.92	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.92	13:00
50 Will Cuylle L	+0.21	0.00	+0.29	-0.15	0.00	+0.02	+0.05	—	19:23
16 Vincent Trocheck C	+0.02	+0.75	+0.56	-1.33	0.00	-0.02	+0.06	—	21:55
13 Alexis Lafrenière L	0.00	+0.75	+0.35	-1.10	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	19:40
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D	-0.01	0.00	+0.11	-0.18	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	22:39
25 Anton Blidh L	-0.07	0.00	+0.01	-0.07	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	7:56
39 Sam Carrick C	-0.27	0.00	+0.05	-0.30	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	10:07
23 Adam Fox D	-0.33	0.00	+0.06	-0.56	+0.15	0.00	+0.02	—	23:30
32 Jonathan Quick G	-0.35	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.35	47:51
73 Matt Rempe C	-0.37	0.00	0.00	-0.45	0.00	-0.02	+0.10	—	8:42
37 Justin Dowling C	-0.43	0.00	+0.04	-0.53	0.00	+0.01	+0.05	—	7:18
18 Urho Vaakanainen D	-0.66	0.00	+0.01	-0.61	-0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	14:22
14 Taylor Raddysh R	-0.70	0.00	+0.09	-0.78	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:41
4 Braden Schneider D	-0.70	0.00	+0.01	-0.77	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	16:27
22 Jonny Brodzinski C	-0.78	0.00	+0.04	-0.86	0.00	+0.01	+0.03	—	11:56
94 Gabe Perreault R	-0.78	0.00	+0.03	-0.79	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	12:47
24 Carson Soucy D	-1.13	0.00	+0.01	-1.32	+0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	19:39
17 Will Borgen D	-1.18	0.00	0.00	-1.23	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	19:50

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.