| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 24 | |
| 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 25 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:41 | Lenni Hameenaho (1) Simon Nemec (12), Cody Glass (5) · backhand xG 0.31 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 2:34 | Nico Hischier (16)PP Jack Hughes (21), Dougie Hamilton (12) · slap xG 0.15 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 3:14 | Cody Glass (12) Lenni Hameenaho (1), Jonas Siegenthaler (7) · tip-in xG 0.12 | 3–0 ▶ | |
| 9:47 | Linus Karlsson (11) Nils Hoglander (2), Marcus Pettersson (9) · wrist xG 0.42 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 11:59 | Teddy Blueger (2)SH Drew O'Connor (8) · snap xG 0.30 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 15:12 | Connor Brown (10)PP Arseny Gritsyuk (12), Nico Hischier (23) · snap xG 0.19 | 4–2 ▶ | |
| 18:12 | Zeev Buium (5) Elias Pettersson (17) · wrist xG 0.30 | 4–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 11:03 | Cody Glass (13) Timo Meier (14), Johnathan Kovacevic (2) · wrist xG 0.18 | 5–3 ▶ | |
| 18:48 | Brock Boeser (12) Linus Karlsson (13), Tom Willander (12) · wrist xG 0.28 | 5–4 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NJD | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.85 | Expected goals | 3.36 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 2.31 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.22 |
| 55 | Shot attempts | 53 |
| 38 | Unblocked attempts | 38 |
| 24 | Shots on goal | 25 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:03 | VAN | Goalie | Goalie · Lankinen −2.2 goals saved
5 goals on 2.81 xG, 22 shots on goal |
| 16:04 | VAN | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Lankinen, down 5–3
With 3:56 left; VAN scored at 18:48 of the 3rd (5–4) |
| 19:00 | VAN | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Lankinen, down 5–4
With 1:00 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 13 | Nico Hischier | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 8 | 0.64 | 1 | 1 | 19:57 |
| 91 | Dawson Mercer | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 19:03 |
| 86 | Jack Hughes | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 7 | 0.45 | 0 | 1 | 18:54 |
| 16 | Connor Brown | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 4 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 | 18:37 |
| 28 | Timo Meier | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 1.01 | 0 | 0 | 17:02 |
| 63 | Jesper Bratt | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 15:26 |
| 81 | Ondrej Palat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 13:27 |
| 81 | Arseny Gritsyuk | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 13:14 |
| 12 | Cody Glass | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 0.35 | 0 | 2 | 12:28 |
| 33 | Evgenii Dadonov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 11:32 |
| 47 | Paul Cotter | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.10 | 3 | 1 | 10:12 |
| 29 | Lenni Hameenaho | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 0.55 | 2 | 1 | 10:03 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 22 | Brett Pesce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 23:56 |
| 71 | Jonas Siegenthaler | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 22:46 |
| 7 | Dougie Hamilton | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 21:22 |
| 5 | Brenden Dillon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 20:23 |
| 8 | Johnathan Kovacevic | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 5 | 0 | 14:28 |
| 71 | Simon Nemec | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 13:10 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom | 25 | 4 | 21 | .840 | 3.36 | -0.64 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 6 | Brock Boeser | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 | 20:26 |
| 77 | Filip Chytil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 18:29 |
| 18 | Drew O'Connor | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 18:11 |
| 91 | Evander Kane | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.12 | 1 | 1 | 15:33 |
| 83 | Conor Garland | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 15:29 |
| 94 | Linus Karlsson | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 0.60 | 0 | 1 | 14:38 |
| 73 | Teddy Blueger | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.31 | 3 | 0 | 14:25 |
| 40 | Elias Pettersson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 14:18 |
| 74 | Jake DeBrusk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.39 | 1 | 0 | 12:44 |
| 92 | Liam Ohgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 12:33 |
| 64 | David Kampf | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 12:32 |
| 21 | Nils Hoglander | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.13 | 1 | 0 | 12:25 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 17 | Filip Hronek | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.08 | 3 | 2 | 27:27 |
| 8 | Zeev Buium | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 0.40 | 0 | 0 | 23:59 |
| 57 | Tyler Myers | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.10 | 2 | 3 | 19:18 |
| 26 | Marcus Pettersson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.09 | 2 | 2 | 17:34 |
| 25 | Elias Pettersson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 5 | 4 | 16:08 |
| 5 | Tom Willander | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 13:15 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen | 24 | 5 | 19 | .792 | 3.09 | -1.91 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Lenni Hameenaho R | +3.09 | +1.45 | +0.36 | +1.24 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 10:03 |
| 12 Cody Glass C | +2.82 | +2.05 | +0.23 | +0.47 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.10 | — | 12:28 |
| 13 Nico Hischier C | +2.32 | +1.30 | +0.42 | +0.22 | +0.30 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 19:57 |
| 28 Timo Meier R | +1.96 | +0.70 | +0.66 | +0.56 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.02 | — | 17:02 |
| 7 Dougie Hamilton D | +1.38 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:22 |
| 86 Jack Hughes C | +1.32 | +0.70 | +0.29 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 18:54 |
| 81 Arseny Gritsyuk R | +1.20 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.35 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:14 |
| 5 Brenden Dillon D | +0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 20:23 |
| 71 Jonas Siegenthaler D | +0.64 | +0.55 | +0.10 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:46 |
| 17 Simon Nemec D | +0.59 | +0.70 | +0.03 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.05 | — | 13:10 |
| 8 Johnathan Kovacevic D | +0.56 | +0.55 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:28 |
| 18 Ondrej Palat L | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:27 |
| 16 Connor Brown R | +0.07 | +0.75 | +0.21 | -0.91 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 18:37 |
| 63 Jesper Bratt L | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.18 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:26 |
| 91 Dawson Mercer C | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.19 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 19:03 |
| 47 Paul Cotter L | -0.63 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.78 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 10:12 |
| 25 Jacob Markstrom G | -0.64 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.64 | 60:00 |
| 22 Brett Pesce D | -0.66 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 23:56 |
| 33 Evgenii Dadonov L | -1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.01 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 11:32 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94 Linus Karlsson C | +2.79 | +1.45 | +0.39 | +0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:38 |
| 21 Nils Hoglander L | +1.88 | +0.70 | +0.09 | +1.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:25 |
| 24 Zeev Buium D | +1.34 | +0.75 | +0.26 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 23:59 |
| 40 Elias Pettersson C | +1.27 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +0.35 | +0.15 | -0.02 | +0.08 | — | 14:18 |
| 17 Filip Hronek D | +0.91 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 27:27 |
| 18 Drew O'Connor L | +0.69 | +0.70 | +0.21 | -0.39 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 18:11 |
| 29 Marcus Pettersson D | +0.68 | +0.55 | +0.06 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:34 |
| 64 David Kampf C | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.62 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 12:32 |
| 6 Brock Boeser R | +0.51 | +0.75 | +0.32 | -0.53 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 20:26 |
| 5 Tom Willander D | +0.44 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 13:15 |
| 91 Evander Kane L | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:33 |
| 72 Filip Chytil C | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.06 | — | 18:29 |
| 53 Teddy Blueger C | -0.24 | +0.75 | +0.20 | -1.20 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:25 |
| 74 Jake DeBrusk L | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.26 | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:44 |
| 25 Elias Pettersson D | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 | — | 16:08 |
| 92 Liam Ohgren L | -0.74 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:33 |
| 57 Tyler Myers D | -0.81 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 19:18 |
| 8 Conor Garland R | -0.82 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.55 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:29 |
| 32 Kevin Lankinen G | -1.91 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.91 | 56:16 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.