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Washington CapitalsWSH 1–5 Final Seattle KrakenSEA

Tuesday, January 27, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Washington CapitalsWSH 001 1 20
Seattle KrakenSEA 032 5 32

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
1:15 SEA Jared McCann (13)PP Jordan Eberle (17), Chandler Stephenson (18) · slap xG 0.06 0–1 ▶
10:09 SEA Jared McCann (14) Matty Beniers (23), Ryan Lindgren (7) · wrist xG 0.08 0–2 ▶
17:54 SEA Jordan Eberle (19) Jared McCann (11), Adam Larsson (8) · wrist xG 0.21 0–3 ▶
3rd Period
2:30 WSH Alex Ovechkin (22)PP Ryan Leonard (20), Jakob Chychrun (20) · snap xG 0.16 1–3 ▶
13:12 SEA Ryker Evans (5) Frederick Gaudreau (10) · wrist xG 0.05 1–4 ▶
16:27 SEA Matty Beniers (13) Jared McCann (12), Brandon Montour (14) · wrist xG 0.14 1–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WSH 41%Deserve to win59% SEA
WSHSEA
2.28Expected goals2.79
1Goals (no shootout)5
1.53Expected goals, 5 on 52.33
47Shot attempts63
29Unblocked attempts47
20Shots on goal32

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
16:27 WSH Goalie Goalie · Thompson −2.5 goals saved
5 goals on 2.48 xG, 27 shots on goal

Shot map

WSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ SEA shoots
Dylan Strome: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 1:27) Eeli Tolvanen: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:50) Declan Chisholm: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:47) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 2:57) Ryan Lindgren: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 3:15) Jared McCann: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:26) Justin Sourdif: deflected, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 4:09) Ethen Frank: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 4:18) Ryker Evans: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:44) Ryan Winterton: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:59) Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 7:45) Berkly Catton: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:47) Jaden Schwartz: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:14) Kaapo Kakko: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:33) Jakob Chychrun: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 10:20) Brandon Montour: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:49) Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 149 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:22) Jaden Schwartz: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.24 (P1 11:34) Trevor van Riemsdyk: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 12:16) Jacob Melanson: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 13:16) Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:57) Ryan Leonard: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 14:33) Eeli Tolvanen: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 15:09) Jaden Schwartz: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:55) Jared McCann: poke, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:14) Eeli Tolvanen: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:29) Frederick Gaudreau: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:55) Alex Ovechkin: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:22) Vince Dunn: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:59) Jared McCann: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 3:08) Jaden Schwartz: snap, 95 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 5:05) Ethen Frank: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:42) Ryan Leonard: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 8:50) Ethen Frank: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 9:08) Matty Beniers: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 10:08) Nic Dowd: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:16) Eeli Tolvanen: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 10:33) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:07) Ryan Winterton: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:05) Ryker Evans: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:10) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 16:04) Jaden Schwartz: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:29) Tom Wilson: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 17:05) Chandler Stephenson: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 17:36) Jared McCann: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:52) Jacob Melanson: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:45) Brandon Duhaime: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:38) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 0:23) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 1:03) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 1:04) Matty Beniers: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:05) Connor McMichael: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 1:16) Martin Fehérváry: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.37 (P3 1:18) Eeli Tolvanen: snap, 164 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 1:54) Dylan Strome: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 2:20) Aliaksei Protas: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:05) Aliaksei Protas: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:32) Alex Ovechkin: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 6:48) Dylan Strome: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 8:29) Chandler Stephenson: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 11:20) Brandon Montour: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:02) Justin Sourdif: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:02) Alex Ovechkin: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 13:39) Ryan Leonard: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 14:04) John Carlson: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:24) Ryan Winterton: wrist, 94 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 16:39) Jacob Melanson: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 18:11) Eeli Tolvanen: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 18:53) Kaapo Kakko: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 18:59) Kaapo Kakko: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:00) Jared McCann: GOAL, slap, 47 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 1:15) Jared McCann: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 10:09) Jordan Eberle: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 17:54) Alex Ovechkin: GOAL, snap, 12 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 2:30) Ryker Evans: GOAL, wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 13:12) Matty Beniers: GOAL, wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 16:27)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Washington Capitals

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
17 Dylan Strome 000 -1 30.17 0019:24
8 Alex Ovechkin 101 0 40.42 1019:10
43 Tom Wilson 000 -2 10.14 0018:41
34 Justin Sourdif 000 -1 50.11 1018:14
21 Aliaksei Protas 000 -2 30.03 1017:35
77 Connor McMichael 000 -2 10.16 1014:58
53 Ethen Frank 000 0 50.26 0014:41
9 Ryan Leonard 011 0 50.29 0114:30
72 Anthony Beauvillier 000 -2 10.00 2213:11
26 Nic Dowd 000 -1 10.01 2112:47
24 Brandon Duhaime 000 0 20.01 0110:13
22 Hendrix Lapierre 000 -1 00.00 3007:52
Defense
6 Jakob Chychrun 011 -2 80.17 0224:35
74 John Carlson 000 -1 20.01 0122:49
42 Martin Fehérváry 000 -2 20.37 1519:29
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk 000 -3 20.12 1219:06
47 Declan Chisholm 000 0 10.03 1012:34
52 Dylan McIlrath 000 0 10.00 3111:53
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Logan Thompson 32527 .844 2.79 -2.21

Seattle Kraken

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Chandler Stephenson 011 0 20.12 0119:46
71 Jaden Schwartz 000 0 50.29 0017:29
10 Matty Beniers 112 +3 30.29 0117:27
89 Frederick Gaudreau 011 +1 10.01 0016:04
7 Jordan Eberle 112 +3 60.61 1115:37
17 Eeli Tolvanen 000 0 60.43 1214:51
19 Jared McCann 224 +3 80.31 0014:11
51 Shane Wright 000 0 10.00 0113:50
84 Kaapo Kakko 000 0 40.21 0013:13
63 Jacob Melanson 000 +1 30.16 7012:12
26 Ryan Winterton 000 +1 30.03 0111:17
27 Berkly Catton 000 0 10.04 0110:15
Defense
6 Adam Larsson 011 +1 10.00 1020:07
62 Brandon Montour 011 +1 40.02 1119:27
4 Jamie Oleksiak 000 +1 40.11 0119:26
29 Vince Dunn 000 +1 40.04 1118:37
55 Ryan Lindgren 011 +2 40.04 1218:10
41 Ryker Evans 101 +2 30.07 2117:45
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Philipp Grubauer 20119 .950 2.28 +1.28

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Washington Capitals

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
8 Alex Ovechkin L +1.26 +0.75 +0.27 +0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:10
9 Ryan Leonard R +0.86 +0.70 +0.19 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 14:30
42 Martin Fehérváry D +0.41 0.00 +0.24 -0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.25 — 19:48
53 Ethen Frank C +0.28 0.00 +0.17 +0.26 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 15:00
6 Jakob Chychrun D -0.08 +0.55 +0.11 -0.99 +0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 24:35
17 Dylan Strome C -0.10 0.00 +0.11 -0.18 0.00 +0.05 -0.08 — 19:24
24 Connor McMichael C -0.10 0.00 +0.10 -0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:58
26 Nic Dowd C -0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.25 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 12:47
34 Justin Sourdif R -0.21 0.00 +0.07 -0.58 +0.30 0.00 0.00 — 18:11
22 Brandon Duhaime R -0.24 0.00 +0.01 -0.10 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 10:16
74 John Carlson D -0.26 0.00 +0.01 -0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 22:49
52 Dylan McIlrath D -0.36 0.00 0.00 -0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:53
29 Hendrix Lapierre C -0.51 0.00 0.00 -0.48 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 7:52
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D -0.59 0.00 +0.08 -0.77 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 19:06
47 Declan Chisholm D -0.60 0.00 +0.02 -0.43 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 12:53
72 Anthony Beauvillier L -0.70 0.00 0.00 -0.75 0.00 -0.03 +0.08 — 13:30
21 Aliaksei Protas C -1.14 0.00 +0.02 -1.13 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 17:35
43 Tom Wilson R -1.18 0.00 +0.09 -1.25 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:41
48 Logan Thompson G -2.21 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.21 60:00

Seattle Kraken

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
19 Jared McCann L +4.11 +2.90 +0.20 +1.03 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:11
7 Jordan Eberle R +2.89 +1.45 +0.40 +1.01 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:07
10 Matty Beniers C +2.41 +1.45 +0.19 +0.96 -0.30 +0.02 +0.09 — 17:35
41 Ryker Evans D +1.66 +0.75 +0.05 +0.81 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:45
55 Ryan Lindgren D +1.50 +0.55 +0.02 +0.87 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 18:02
31 Philipp Grubauer G +1.28 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.28 60:00
62 Brandon Montour D +1.12 +0.55 +0.02 +0.37 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 19:24
6 Adam Larsson D +0.80 +0.55 0.00 +0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:59
9 Chandler Stephenson C +0.73 +0.55 +0.08 +0.21 -0.15 -0.03 +0.07 — 19:38
89 Frederick Gaudreau C +0.73 +0.70 +0.01 +0.06 0.00 -0.04 0.00 — 16:04
24 Jamie Oleksiak D +0.63 0.00 +0.07 +0.36 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 19:33
20 Eeli Tolvanen R +0.42 0.00 +0.28 +0.19 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 15:40
29 Vince Dunn D +0.37 0.00 +0.03 +0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:38
17 Jaden Schwartz L +0.36 0.00 +0.19 +0.16 0.00 +0.03 -0.02 — 17:48
63 Jacob Melanson R +0.35 0.00 +0.10 +0.10 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 12:12
84 Kaapo Kakko R +0.34 0.00 +0.14 +0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 13:32
51 Shane Wright C +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.22 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 14:09
27 Berkly Catton C +0.23 0.00 +0.03 +0.30 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 10:23
26 Ryan Winterton C +0.03 0.00 +0.02 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:17

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.