| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | |
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| ANA | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.32 | Expected goals | 2.62 |
| 0 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 2.42 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.38 |
| 64 | Shot attempts | 59 |
| 49 | Unblocked attempts | 44 |
| 33 | Shots on goal | 26 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00 | VAN | Goalie change | Goalie change · Lankinen in for Tolopilo
The start of the 2nd; Tolopilo had allowed 0 goals on 9 shots (0.73 xG) |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 2:11 | VAN | Goalie change | Goalie change · Tolopilo in for Lankinen
2:11 of the 2nd; Lankinen had allowed 0 goals on 1 shots (0.01 xG) |
| 13:28 | VAN | Goalie | Goalie · Tolopilo +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.07 xG, 18 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 19:42 | ANA | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Dostal, down 2–0
With 0:18 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 64 | Mikael Granlund | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 22:31 |
| 45 | Beckett Sennecke | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 8 | 0.69 | 1 | 0 | 21:00 |
| 61 | Cutter Gauthier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 10 | 0.50 | 1 | 0 | 20:01 |
| 17 | Alex Killorn | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 | 19:37 |
| 25 | Ryan Poehling | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 18:19 |
| 22 | Chris Kreider | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.47 | 1 | 0 | 16:35 |
| 25 | Jeffrey Viel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 4 | 1 | 13:25 |
| 10 | Jansen Harkins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 3 | 0 | 11:35 |
| 42 | Tim Washe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 3 | 3 | 09:42 |
| 12 | Sam Colangelo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 09:29 |
| 49 | Ross Johnston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 0 | 08:10 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 65 | Jacob Trouba | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.06 | 0 | 3 | 25:13 |
| 2 | Jackson LaCombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 25:07 |
| 98 | Pavel Mintyukov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 20:26 |
| 8 | Olen Zellweger | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.47 | 1 | 1 | 16:26 |
| 6 | Radko Gudas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 15:14 |
| 14 | Drew Helleson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 14:13 |
| 3 | Ian Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 09:10 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | 25 | 1 | 24 | .960 | 2.08 | +1.08 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 83 | Conor Garland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.11 | 0 | 3 | 19:50 |
| 40 | Elias Pettersson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.17 | 1 | 3 | 17:49 |
| 74 | Jake DeBrusk | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 16:27 |
| 91 | Evander Kane | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.32 | 1 | 1 | 15:55 |
| 64 | David Kampf | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.10 | 2 | 1 | 15:32 |
| 94 | Linus Karlsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | 0 | 0 | 15:18 |
| 73 | Teddy Blueger | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.44 | 0 | 0 | 15:01 |
| 77 | Filip Chytil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 14:59 |
| 18 | Drew O'Connor | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.13 | 1 | 0 | 14:27 |
| 54 | Aatu Räty | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.05 | 2 | 0 | 12:54 |
| 88 | Jonathan Lekkerimäki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11:33 |
| 92 | Liam Ohgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 10:38 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 17 | Filip Hronek | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 27:00 |
| 26 | Marcus Pettersson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 23:59 |
| 57 | Tyler Myers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 17:39 |
| 25 | Elias Pettersson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 17:37 |
| 5 | Tom Willander | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 2 | 15:32 |
| 7 | Pierre-Olivier Joseph | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 13:01 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Tolopilo | 32 | 0 | 32 | 1.000 | 3.30 | +3.30 |
| Kevin Lankinen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 0.01 | +0.01 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 Olen Zellweger D | +1.87 | 0.00 | +0.31 | +1.36 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:26 |
| 7 Radko Gudas D | +1.51 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +1.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:14 |
| 45 Beckett Sennecke R | +1.37 | 0.00 | +0.45 | +0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:00 |
| 17 Alex Killorn L | +1.15 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 19:37 |
| 64 Mikael Granlund C | +1.10 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +1.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.02 | — | 22:31 |
| 1 Lukas Dostal G | +1.08 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.08 | 57:47 |
| 20 Chris Kreider L | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.31 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:35 |
| 61 Cutter Gauthier L | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.32 | -0.08 | +0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 20:01 |
| 24 Jansen Harkins C | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.14 | 0.00 | -0.06 | 0.00 | — | 11:35 |
| 98 Pavel Mintyukov D | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:26 |
| 74 Ian Moore D | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:10 |
| 12 Sam Colangelo R | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:29 |
| 42 Tim Washe C | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.06 | 0.00 | -0.07 | +0.15 | — | 9:42 |
| 65 Jacob Trouba D | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 25:13 |
| 28 Jeffrey Viel L | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.06 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:25 |
| 44 Ross Johnston L | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 8:10 |
| 25 Ryan Poehling C | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.08 | -0.15 | +0.02 | +0.01 | — | 18:19 |
| 2 Jackson LaCombe D | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 25:07 |
| 14 Drew Helleson D | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.24 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:13 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 Nikita Tolopilo G | +3.60 | 0.00 | — | — | +0.30 | — | — | +3.30 | 57:49 |
| 17 Filip Hronek D | +0.90 | +0.70 | +0.05 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 27:00 |
| 18 Drew O'Connor L | +0.75 | +0.75 | +0.08 | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 14:27 |
| 74 Jake DeBrusk L | +0.74 | +0.70 | +0.22 | -0.02 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:27 |
| 72 Filip Chytil C | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 14:59 |
| 40 Elias Pettersson C | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.03 | +0.15 | +0.04 | +0.13 | — | 17:49 |
| 25 Elias Pettersson D | +0.21 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 17:37 |
| 8 Conor Garland R | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.13 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 19:50 |
| 54 Aatu Räty C | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 12:54 |
| 7 Pierre-Olivier Joseph D | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:01 |
| 94 Linus Karlsson C | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:18 |
| 91 Evander Kane L | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.21 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:55 |
| 32 Kevin Lankinen G | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.01 | 2:11 |
| 64 David Kampf C | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.09 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.05 | — | 15:32 |
| 57 Tyler Myers D | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.06 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:39 |
| 53 Teddy Blueger C | -0.45 | +0.75 | +0.29 | -1.45 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 15:01 |
| 92 Liam Ohgren L | -0.61 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.69 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 10:38 |
| 23 Jonathan Lekkerimäki R | -0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:33 |
| 5 Tom Willander D | -1.05 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 15:32 |
| 29 Marcus Pettersson D | -1.19 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 23:59 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.